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XRP $3 Bets Dominate Trading Volumes as XRP/BTC’s ‘Wedge’ Suggests Further Rally

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Payments-focused cryptocurrency XRP (XRP) has risen by over 3.5% in the past 24 hours, with volume in the Deribit-listed options market suggesting bullish expectations.

Since July 1, higher-level July 25 call options at strikes of $3.00 and $4.00 and the Sept. 28 expiry call at the $2.80 strike have emerged as the most traded bets, according to data source Amberdata.

Most traded XRP options since July 1. (Deribit/Amberdata)

A call option gives the buyer the right to buy the underlying asset at a predetermined strike price at a later date. The option represents a bullish view on the market. For instance, the $3 strike call buyer is betting that XRP’s spot price will top that level by July 25. On Deribit, one options contract represents one XRP.

A closer look at the flows reveals that the higher volume ranking for the $3 calls primarily stems from buy trades. In the past 24 hours, the $3 strike call has seen 2 million contracts change hands in investor buy trades (market makers on the opposite side). Conversely, investors have been mostly sellers or writers in the $2.8 call.

XRP options: direction of flows. (Deribit/Amberdata)

The $3 call is also the most popular bet in terms of the increase in open interest, or the number of active or open contracts, in the past seven days.

The increased activity in the higher strike calls follows strengthening expectations for a spot ETF debut in the U.S. According to Bloomberg’s analysts Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, the probability that the U.S. SEC will approve a spot XRP ETF now stands at 95% – almost a done deal.

On Wednesday, fintech firm Ripple, which utilizes XRP to facilitate cross-border transactions, announced that it has applied for a national banking license at the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC).

«If approved, we would have both state (via NYDFS) and federal oversight, a new (and unique!) benchmark for trust in the stablecoin market,» Ripple’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse said on X.

XRP/BTC breakout

XRP’s bitcoin-denominated price, represented by the Binance-listed XRP/BTC pair, may be headed higher, having broken out of a falling wedge pattern.

The falling wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, characterized by two converging trendlines that indicate a narrowing range of price movement. The converging nature of trendlines suggests that sellers are slowly losing steam. Hence, a subsequent move above the upper trendline is said to confirm renewed bull dominance.

XRP/BTC has risen above the upper trendline, confirming the bullish breakout. The pattern indicates that the correction from the April highs has ended and the broader XRP bullish trend has resumed.

XRP/BTC's daily chart with 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

While the wedge breakout indicates that the path of least resistance is on the higher side, popular averages, 50-day, 100-day and 200-day SMAs disagree.

Both the 50- and 100-day SMAs are trending south, having recently crossed bearishly below the 200-day SMA. Note, however, that moving averages are lagging indicators and take backseat to the bullish wedge breakout.

Read more: Ripple Applies for Federal Bank Trust Charter, XRP Jumps 3%

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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on

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Gemini Shares Slide 6%, Extending Post-IPO Slump to 24%

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI), the crypto exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has seen its shares tumble by more than 20% since listing on the Nasdaq last Friday.

The stock is down around 6% on Tuesday, trading at $30.42, and has dropped nearly 24% over the past week. The sharp decline follows an initial surge after the company raised $425 million in its IPO, pricing shares at $28 and valuing the firm at $3.3 billion before trading began.

On its first day, GEMI spiked to $45.89 before closing at $32 — a 14% premium to its offer price. But since hitting that high, shares have plunged more than 34%, erasing most of the early enthusiasm from public market investors.

The broader crypto equity market has remained more stable. Coinbase (COIN), the largest U.S. crypto exchange, is flat over the past week. Robinhood (HOOD), which derives part of its revenue from crypto, is down 3%. Token issuer Circle (CRCL), on the other hand, is up 13% over the same period.

Part of the pressure on Gemini’s stock may stem from its financials. The company posted a $283 million net loss in the first half of 2025, following a $159 million loss in all of 2024. Despite raising fresh capital, the numbers suggest the business is still far from turning a profit.

Compass Point analyst Ed Engel noted that GEMI is currently trading at 26 times its annualized first-half revenue. That multiple — often used to gauge whether a stock is expensive — means investors are paying 26 dollars for every dollar the company is expected to generate in sales this year. For a loss-making company in a volatile sector, that’s a steep price, and could be fueling investor skepticism.

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