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Why Trump’s Potential Plan to Make Crypto Gains Tax-Free Could Be a Bad Idea

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In January, following Donald Trump’s inauguration, reports emerged claiming that his son, Eric Trump, had confirmed that U.S.-based cryptocurrencies would eventually be exempt from capital gains tax, while non-U.S. based cryptocurrencies would face a 30% tax.

The elimination of capital gains taxes on U.S.-based cryptocurrencies might sound like a dream come true for American investors, but it won’t come without a price. Whether it turns into a net negative for the global crypto industry — well, we’ll just have to wait and see.

But there are some glaring red flags.

1. Markets may wobble after confirmation.

If this new rule actually gets approved and takes effect, be prepared for market turbulence as U.S. investors could dump non-U.S. cryptos, take the tax hit and rotate some of their capital into domestic options. This could increase sell pressure on global projects, particularly those with significant U.S. investor exposure.

But that would be the least of the concerns — this could have far-reaching, long-term consequences for the entire crypto industry.

2. Making this change before sound regulations are in place could be harmful.

This elimination of taxes on crypto investments could trigger a surge in the creation of new cryptocurrencies from the U.S., similar to the 2017 Initial Coin Offering (ICO) boom — in which nearly 80% of projects had collapsed or turned out to be scams within two years. If the U.S. government removes capital gains tax before implementing clear and solid regulations, we could see a repeat of that chaos, but on a much larger scale.

A zero capital gains tax would almost certainly lure in U.S. retail investors who’ve never dabbled in crypto, drawn by the obvious tax advantage. But if bad actors flood the space and take advantage of them, it could drive these newcomers away from crypto entirely.

3. Potential harm to the global crypto industry.

The U.S. may be home to major crypto projects like Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), XRP (XRP) and Hedera (HBAR), but it’s also been a breeding ground for scam tokens. In 2024, the FBI even issued a warning about criminals creating fake crypto tokens that mimicked legitimate ones, preying on unsuspecting investors.

In addition, global crypto startups may have a more challenging time securing funding if U.S. venture firms start favoring local projects to maximize tax-free returns on token allocations. This could drain investment from emerging markets, where crypto is often used for real-world financial inclusion. Such a change would also likely bring back many U.S. firms back home after they left because of the SEC’s enforcement-heavy approach under the Biden administration.

Even if other countries jumped on the bandwagon with their own zero capital gains tax for local cryptos, it might backfire. The market would likely be flooded with new tokens, trading would become more fragmented, and liquidity would dry up for most of them. While countries like the UAE and Cayman Islands already have zero capital gains tax on crypto, they apply it universally, not just to locally-created crypto tokens.

Conclusion

The U.S. taking this approach risks skewing the market, incentivizing artificial token creation and isolating American investors from the global crypto economy. What seems like a tax break now might end up killing competition, pumping money into scams and hurting crypto’s credibility in the long run.

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Strategy Bought $27M in Bitcoin at $123K Before Crypto Crash

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Strategy (MSTR), the world’s largest corporate owner of bitcoin (BTC), appeared to miss out on capitalizing on last week’s market rout to purchase the dip in prices.

According to Monday’s press release, the firm bought 220 BTC at an average price of $123,561. The company used the proceeds of selling its various preferred stocks (STRF, STRK, STRD), raising $27.3 million.

That purchase price was well above the prices the largest crypto changed hands in the second half of the week. Bitcoin nosedived from above $123,000 on Thursday to as low as $103,000 on late Friday during one, if not the worst crypto flash crash on record, liquidating over $19 billion in leveraged positions.

That move occurred as Trump said to impose a 100% increase in tariffs against Chinese goods as a retaliation for tightening rare earth metal exports, reigniting fears of a trade war between the two world powers.

At its lowest point on Friday, BTC traded nearly 16% lower than the average of Strategy’s recent purchase price. Even during the swift rebound over the weekend, the firm could have bought tokens between $110,000 and $115,000, at a 7%-10% discount compared to what it paid for.

With the latest purchase, the firm brought its total holdings to 640,250 BTC, at an average acquisition price of $73,000 since starting its bitcoin treasury plan in 2020.

MSTR, the firm’s common stock, was up 2.5% on Monday.

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HBAR Rises Past Key Resistance After Explosive Decline

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HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph) experienced pronounced volatility in the final hour of trading on Oct. 13, soaring from $0.187 to a peak of $0.191—a 2.14% intraday gain—before consolidating around $0.190.

The move was driven by a dramatic surge in trading activity, with a standout 15.65 million tokens exchanged at 13:31, signaling strong institutional participation. This decisive volume breakout propelled the asset beyond its prior resistance range of $0.190–$0.191, establishing a new technical footing amid bullish momentum.

The surge capped a broader 23-hour rally from Oct. 12 to 13, during which HBAR advanced roughly 9% within a $0.17–$0.19 bandwidth. This sustained upward trajectory was characterized by consistent volume inflows and a firm recovery from earlier lows near $0.17, underscoring robust market conviction. The asset’s ability to preserve support above $0.18 throughout the period reinforced confidence among traders eyeing continued bullish action.

Strong institutional engagement was evident as consecutive high-volume intervals extended through the breakout window, suggesting renewed accumulation and positioning for potential continuation. HBAR’s price structure now shows resilient support around $0.189–$0.190, signaling the possibility of further upside if momentum persists and broader market conditions remain favorable.

HBAR/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators Highlight Bullish Sentiment
  • HBAR operated within a $0.017 bandwidth (9%) spanning $0.174 and $0.191 throughout the previous 23-hour period from 12 October 15:00 to 13 October 14:00.
  • Substantial volume surges reaching 179.54 million and 182.77 million during 11:00 and 13:00 sessions on 13 October validated positive market sentiment.
  • Critical resistance materialized at $0.190-$0.191 thresholds where price movements encountered persistent selling activity.
  • The $0.183-$0.184 territory established dependable support through volume-supported bounces.
  • Extraordinary volume explosion at 13:31 registering 15.65 million units signaled decisive breakout event.
  • High-volume intervals surpassing 10 million units through 13:35 substantiated significant institutional engagement.
  • Asset preserved support above $0.189 despite moderate profit-taking activity.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Crypto Markets Today: Bitcoin and Altcoins Recover After $500B Crash

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The crypto market staged a recovery on Monday following the weekend’s $500 billion bloodbath that resulted in a $10 billion drop in open interest.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 1.4% while ether (ETH) outperformed with a 2.5% gain. Synthetix (SNX, meanwhile, stole the show with a 120% rally as traders anticipate «perpetual wars» between the decentralized trading venue and HyperLiquid.

Plasma (XPL) and aster (ASTER) both failed to benefit from Monday’s recovery, losing 4.2% and 2.5% respectively.

Derivatives Positioning

  • The BTC futures market has stabilized after a volatile period. Open interest, which had dropped from $33 billion to $23 billion over the weekend, has now settled at around $26 billion. Similarly, the 3-month annualized basis has rebounded to the 6-7% range, after dipping to 4-5% over the weekend, indicating that the bullish sentiment has largely returned. However, funding rates remain a key area of divergence; while Bybit and Hyperliquid have settled around 10%, Binance’s rate is negative.
  • The BTC options market is showing a renewed bullish lean. The 24-hour Put/Call Volume has shifted to be more in favor of calls, now at over 56%. Additionally, the 1-week 25 Delta Skew has risen to 2.5% after a period of flatness.
  • These metrics indicate a market with increasing demand for bullish exposure and upside protection, reflecting a shift away from the recent «cautious neutrality.»
  • Coinglass data shows $620 million in 24 hour liquidations, with a 34-66 split between longs and shorts. ETH ($218 million), BTC ($124 million) and SOL ($43 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations. Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $116,620 as a core liquidation level to monitor, in case of a price rise.

Token Talk

By Oliver Knight

  • The crypto market kicked off Monday with a rebound in the wake of a sharp weekend leverage flush. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market cap climbed roughly 5.7% in the past 24 hours, with volume jumping about 26.8%, suggesting those liquidated at the weekend are repurchasing their positions.
  • A total of $19 billion worth of derivatives positions were wiped out over the weekend with the vast majority being attributed to those holding long positions, in the past 24 hours, however, $626 billion was liquidated with $420 billion of that being on the short side, demonstrating a reversal in sentiment, according to CoinGlass.
  • The recovery has been tentative so far; the dominance of Bitcoin remains elevated at about 58.45%, down modestly from recent highs, which implies altcoins may still lag as capital piles back into safer large-cap names.
  • The big winner of Monday’s recovery was synthetix (SNX), which rose by more than 120% ahead of a crypto trading competition that will see it potentially start up «perpetual wars» with HyperLiquid.
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