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Why DeFi Will Benefit From Trade Wars

Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled over the weekend, sinking well below the $100K mark as markets reacted to the latest escalation in the U.S. trade disputes. The broader digital asset market followed suit, leading to one of the most significant sell-offs since the outbreak of Covid and the collapse of FTX. Specifically, President Donald Trump announced sweeping new tariffs of 25% on imports from Canada and Mexico and 10% on Chinese goods.
Canada and Mexico initially retaliated but have since reached deals to delay the imposition of U.S. tariffs, while China has announced its own tariffs against U.S. goods. The developments have increased global economic uncertainty and sent risk assets into a temporary free fall.
As global economies wrestle with trade disputes, crypto markets face ripple effects in the form of price volatility, mining disruptions and regulatory challenges. But could these tensions also fuel the rise of decentralized finance? Let’s explore how tariff wars could shape the future of crypto.
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BTC’s reaction to tariff announcement
Market volatility: a double-edged sword
Tariff wars create uncertainty in traditional markets, often driving investors toward alternative assets like bitcoin, ether and other cryptocurrencies. During economic turbulence, crypto is sometimes seen as a “safe haven” similar to gold. However, even as institutional adoption of crypto grows, digital assets remain highly speculative. In the short term, the crypto market will be negatively impacted by increased volatility in global trade, with sudden surges or dips influenced by shifting trade policies — but over time, crypto will be less impacted than traditional finance.
Mining disruptions
Crypto mining relies heavily on specialized hardware, much of which is produced in countries like China. Tariffs on electronic components, semiconductors and mining rigs can drive up production costs and reduce profitability. Additionally, increased expenses could push smaller miners out of the market, potentially leading to greater centralization of mining power among major players with the resources to weather these financial storms.
Regulatory uncertainty and compliance hurdles
Tariff wars don’t just impact physical goods; they can also influence financial regulations. Governments engaged in tariff wars may use financial regulations as an additional tool to assert control. Increased scrutiny of international crypto transactions, exchanges and cross-border payments could lead to stricter compliance requirements. This, in turn, could slow adoption rates and make crypto less accessible, particularly in regions where trade restrictions are tightening. At the same time, heightened regulations may push some users deeper into decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, which operate outside traditional banking systems.
Shift towards decentralized finance (DeFi)
As trade conflicts heighten distrust in traditional financial systems, decentralized finance (DeFi) may offer users a way to bypass some of the barriers imposed by tariffs and regulations. More users may turn to DeFi platforms for financial autonomy. DeFi applications allow for peer-to-peer transactions without intermediaries, reducing reliance on traditional banking, which is often impacted by trade policies. If tariff wars continue to disrupt traditional trade channels, crypto-based financial solutions could see increased adoption.
Conclusion
While crypto is often seen as a hedge against economic instability, it is not immune to the effects of tariff wars. From increased volatility and mining costs, to regulatory shifts and the potential rise of DeFi, the trade conflicts of today could shape the digital economy of tomorrow. While crypto may face new hurdles in the short term, it will emerge stronger in the long term as global markets seek an alternative to traditional finance amidst global governments’ ongoing economic battles. Investors, miners and policymakers should keep a close eye on trade developments as they navigate the complex relationship between geopolitics and digital assets.
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MARA Holdings Nears 50K Bitcoin Treasury Milestone

MARA Holdings (MARA) now holds 49,940 bitcoin (BTC), a trove that puts the public miner near the 50,000 threshold and makes it the second-largest publicly traded bitcoin holder behind Strategy (MSTR).
At current prices, the stack is worth close to $5.3 billion. Out of its treasury, 15,534 BTC are “pledged as collateral or held in a separately managed account” for the firm’s benefit, said the company in its June production update.
“This milestone reflects our disciplined approach to accumulating bitcoin through both mining and strategic purchases,” said MARA’s Chairman and CEO, Fred Thiel.
As for operations, MARA won 211 blocks in June, a 25% decline from the previous month thanks mostly to «weather-related curtailment and the temporary deployment of older machines in Garden City while storm-related damage was being remediated,» said the company.
The bitcoin miner is looking to expand its hash rate to 75 exahash by year-end, representing a 40% rise from last year’s year-end hash rate.
Shares are lower by 2.7% premarket alongside an overnight dip in the price of bitcoin to $106,400.
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Securitize, RedStone Pilot ‘Trusted Single Source Oracle’ to Secure Tokenized Fund NAVs

Securitize, one of the largest tokenized asset issuers, and oracle provider RedStone have released a whitepaper they say introduces a new model for securely verifying Net Asset Value (NAV) data on-chain, tailored specifically for tokenized private funds.
The model, dubbed the Trusted Single Source Oracle (TSSO), is designed to address a key gap in decentralized finance (DeFi) infrastructure: how to reliably prove that each NAV update really comes from the trusted source — and hasn’t been tampered with once it’s on-chain.
In traditional crypto markets, oracles pull data from multiple price feeds to guard against manipulation or errors. But for private funds, the NAV is calculated by a single fund administrator. That creates a unique problem: there’s no way to double-check the number through market aggregation. For DeFi protocols that rely on accurate collateral values, this single point of trust has been a sticking point.
The TSSO framework solves this by creating a cryptographically linked chain of NAV updates, according to the whitepaper. Each update includes a secure digital signature, a timestamp, a reference to the previous record, and a hash that locks the sequence together. The system uses two keys: a cold-stored “root key” for major updates and a “chain key” for small, routine changes that stay within tight thresholds. This design aims to balance high security with the practical need to refresh NAV data without constant manual work.
“We need to make sure that we can fully authenticate the information, that we can check that no one is compromising with the data, and we can only rely on a single source. That’s why the whole process needs to be taken to the next level – so that’s the challenge,” said Jakub Wojciechowski, the founder of RedStone, in an interview with CoinDesk.
According to Wojciechowski, Securitize is taking the lead on the development of the product, “building sort of like an internal blockchain, which is a chain with the price updates,” he said. “We know that they will not miss any single price update, because the next price update is cryptographically connected to the previous one.” After that, “once everything is properly signed, we gather the ability to verify that the data truly comes from the source.”
Tokenized funds are widely seen as one of the next big growth areas for blockchain. But their success depends on bridging the trust gap between traditional finance and crypto infrastructure.
While still early, the effort highlights the growing push to build institutional-grade infrastructure for DeFi. If widely adopted, models like TSSO could make it easier for tokenized funds to integrate with on-chain tools.
Securitize said that it is already piloting TSSO with some of its clients, and that it hopes to make significant progress and have it more widely available soon.
“This is open to the industry, but for Securitize, it’s very natural for the assets that we’re dealing with,” said Jorge Serna, the Chief Product and Technology Officer at Securitize. “We have been issuing treasury funds and credit funds for which either we’re the transfer agent or the fund admin or perform both functions, and we are already, for those in particular, publishing the price feeds via Redstone. And so this is something that definitely we want to secure between Securitize and Redstone.”
Read more: Securitize’s Tokenized Credit Fund Set for Solana DeFi Debut as RWA Trend Expands
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Circle’s Valuation Not Stretched, Says Citi, Starting Coverage With Buy Rating

Circle (CRCL) has the opportunity to be a prime facilitator of stablecoin adoption, Wall Street bank Citigroup said in a research report Monday assuming coverage of the stock.
Despite the stock’s outsized rally since going public, Circle’s valuation is not stretched, the report said. The stablecoin issuer priced at $31 a share in its initial public offering (IPO), and hit a record high of $299 last week before slipping back to $181 since.
The bank’s analysts initiated coverage of the shares with a buy/high risk rating and a $243 price target, or about 34% upside from last night’s close.
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies whose value is tied to another asset, such as the U.S. dollar or gold. They play a major role in cryptocurrency markets and are also used to transfer money internationally.
Circle benefits from «scarcity value, a ‘winner takes most’ construct, a large addressable opportunity, legislative momentum» and «significant operating leverage potential,» the report said.
The company’s «key competitive strength is its neutrality,» analysts led by Peter Christiansen wrote, adding that «Circle’s defense against the risk of stablecoin fragmentation — being best of breed will be crucial.»
Due to the company’s weighty operating leverage and low capital intensity, the stablecoin issuer can achieve large excess returns given the potential addressable market, the report added.
Rival Wall Street bank JPMorgan is not as bullish, beginning coverage of Circle with an underweight rating yesterday, citing the stock’s valuation.
Read more: Circle Valuation Is ‘Outside Our Comfort Zone,’ Initiate at Underweight: JPMorgan
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