Uncategorized
Ukraine Ceasefire Breakthrough Sends Markets Into Green; Bitcoin Retakes $83K

What was shaping up to be another down day in markets has reversed in Tuesday afternoon U.S. trading after Ukraine agreed to a Trump administration proposal for a 30-day ceasefire in its war with Russia.
Russia has yet to weigh in, but the agreement will hinge on that country’s acceptance, according to a joint statement of Ukraine and the U.S. after a meeting of their delegations in Saudi Arabia.
As part of the agreement, the U.S. will immediately lift a pause on intelligence sharing and military assistance to Ukraine, the statement continued.
Trade tensions ease as well
Helping the mood, Ontario Premier Doug Ford agreed to suspend a 25% electricity export surcharge he had put in place against a number of U.S. states.
The surcharge was made in retaliation to 25% tariffs Trump had placed on Canadian imports last week. Shooting back at that, Trump earlier Tuesday had threatened to double that tariff to 50% for steel and aluminum imports from the U.S. neighbor to the north.
Markets gain
Adding to yesterday’s major losses, markets were again sharply lower prior to the news, but the Nasdaq has moved into the green by 1.25% and the S&P 500 by 0.4%.
Crypto markets have turned nicely higher as well, with bitcoin (BTC) now up by 7% over the past 24 hours to $83,300 after dropping as low as $76,000 overnight. Ether (ETH) is ahead 5.6% and Solana’s (SOL) by 10%.
Uncategorized
Strategy Raises $711M to Buy More Bitcoin in Upsized STRF Perpetual Offering

Strategy (MSTR) will likely soon be in the market for additional sizable bitcoin purchases after pricing an upsized sale of its latest preferred stock issue.
The company sold 8.5M shares of its 10% Series A Perpetual Strife Preferred Stock at price of $85 each, raising roughly $711.2M. Strategy initially had hoped to raise $500M.
The latest series of preferred stock differs from the original STRK in that it comes with a higher coupon (10% versus 8%) and has no common share conversion provision.
The company at last check owned more than 499,200 bitcoin, so this coming fresh round of purchases should take the Strategy stack well above 500,000 tokens.
MSTR shares are down marginally in premarket action to just under $300. Bitcoin is steady at $84,000.
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Trump Administration Eyes Blockchain for Foreign Aid in USAID Overhaul: Report

The Trump administration is preparing to restructure the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) and integrate blockchain technology into its procurement system, Wired reported, citing a memo circulating among State Department staff.
The plan proposes rebranding the agency as U.S. International Humanitarian Assistance and moving it directly under the authority of the Secretary of State, Wired said. It would leverage a blockchain to trace aid distributions and enforce payment models based on outcomes rather than inputs.
“All distributions would also be secured and traced via blockchain technology to radically increase security, transparency, and traceability,” the memo reportedly reads, adding that such an approach would encourage innovation and efficiency.
It’s unclear whether the blockchain would involve cryptocurrency or stablecoin usage, or simply act as a digital ledger.
USAID has been under scrutiny from the Trump administration since the establishment of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), led by Elon Musk. DOGE has in the past proposed the use of blockchain technology to boost efficiency. The president froze USAID payments in a Jan. 20 executive order.
Uncategorized
This Indicator Supports Bullish Case in Bitcoin and Nasdaq, for Now

A key gauge of economic sentiment and corporate credit health has receded from its recent multi-month highs in a positive development for risk-taking in stocks and crypto markets. The relief, however, could be short-lived, per some observers.
The indicator in consideration is the ICE/BofA U.S. High Yield Index Option-Adjusted Spread (OAS), which measures the average yield difference (spread) between U.S. dollar-denominated high-yield corporate bonds and U.S. Treasury securities, adjusted for embedded optionality in the bonds.
It’s widely tracked as a credit risk barometer, with the widening spread representing growing investor concern about corporate defaults or economic weakness, often leading to investors lightening their exposure to riskier assets such as technology stocks and cryptocurrencies.
The OAS, representing the premium investors demand for holding high-yielding bonds over the relatively safer Treasury notes, has dropped to 3.2% from the six-month high of 3.4% early this month.
The decline in the spread supports a renewed upswing in bitcoin (BTC) and Nasdaq.
The spread surged by 100 basis points in four weeks to mid-March as President Donald Trump’s tariffs raised the recession spectre. During that time, both BTC and Nasdaq took a beating, with the cryptocurrency falling to lows under $80K.
Temporary relief?
Analysts expect the OAS spread to widen further in the coming weeks as the negative impact of Trump’s tariffs becomes clear, according to Mint and Reuters.
«We think this is just getting started and will get worse before it gets better,» Hans Mikkelsen, managing director of credit strategy at TD Securities, said in a recent client note.
Applying technical analysis principles to the OAS chart suggests the same.
The spread has moved past the three-year descending trendline, warranting high alert from risk asset investors.
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