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U.S. February Job Growth of 151K Roughly Matches Forecasts

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Solid strength in the U.S. employment market continued in February, though the unemployment rate ticked higher.

Nonfarm payrolls rose 151,000 last month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday morning. Economist forecasts had been for a gain of 160,000. January payroll growth was revised lower to 125,000 versus an originally reported 143,000.

The February unemployment rate was 4.1% against forecasts for 4.0% and January’s 4.0%.

Seeing major price swings (mostly to the downside) for the last couple of weeks for any number of reasons — tariff threats, stock market plunges, and the idea of a U.S. strategic reserve (no longer a rumor) — bitcoin (BTC) spiked above $90,000 in the minutes following the report, and wallowed around the round-number level. The S&P 500 was also ticked a bit higher pre-market, while the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield dropped 3 basis points to 4.24%. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) dipped to its weakest level since early November before grinding higher.

While cryptocurrencies moved slightly higher after the report, the market «has more chance of movement’ based on outcomes of today’s White House Crypto Summit,» Paul Howard, senior director of crypto trading firm Wincent, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message. While anticipation for potential announcements are growing, the event «in itself may bring no fresh news and BTC remains floating between $85-95k over the weekend,» Howard added.

Due in part to the jittery macro developments of late, market participants — previously having nearly written off the chances of any more rate cuts in 2025 — had raised the odds of a Fed rate cut to nearly 50% by May and of one or more rate cuts by June to almost 90%.

Indeed, a report from Challenger on Thursday showed that U.S.-based employers announced 172,000 job cuts last month, the highest reading since July 2020, likely driven by layoffs from the Elon Musk-led Department of Government Efficiency’s (DOGE) actions. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow model forecasts the U.S. economy to shrink 2.4% in the first quarter of 2025, a stark contrast with analyst estimates of above 2% growth.

An economic slowdown, though could put the Fed in a tight spot — feeling the need to ease monetary policy to support growth even as inflation remains stubbornly perky, with the year-over-year headline rate in January at 3% and the core rate at 3.3%.

UPDATE (March 7, 13:55 UTC): Updates bitcoin, traditional markets price action following the report.

UPDATE (March 7, 14:13 UTC): Adds analyst comment.

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Bitcoin Nears Golden Cross Weeks After ‘Trapping Bears’ as U.S. Debt Concerns Mount

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Bitcoin’s BTC price chart is echoing a bullish pattern that foreshadowed the late 2024 price surge from $70,000 to $100,000 amid mounting concerns over the sustainability of the U.S. debt.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value appears on track to confirm a «golden cross» in the coming days, according to charting platform TradingView. The pattern occurs when the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of prices crosses above the 200-day SMA to suggest that the short-term trend is outperforming the broader trend, with the potential to evolve into a major bull run.

The moving average-based golden cross has a mixed record of predicting price trends. The impending one, however, is worth noting because it’s about to occur weeks after its ominous-sounding opposite, the death cross, trapped bears on the wrong side of the market.

A similar pattern unfolded from August through September 2024, setting the stage for a convincing move above $70,000 in early November. Prices eventually set a record high above $109K in January this year.

BTC's price chart: 2024 vs 2025. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The chart on the left shows that BTC bottomed out at around $50,000 in early August last year as the 50-day SMA moved below the 200-day SMA to confirm the death cross.

In other words, the death cross was a bear trap, much like the one in early April this year. Prices turned higher in subsequent weeks, eventually beginning a new uptrend after the appearance of the golden cross in late October 2024.

The bullish sequence is being repeated since early April, and prices could begin the next leg higher following the confirmation of the golden cross in the coming days.

Past performance does not guarantee future results, and technical patterns do not always deliver as expected. That said, macro factors seem aligned with the bullish technical setup.

Moody’s amplifies U.S. debt concerns

On Friday, credit rating agency Moody’s downgraded the U.S. sovereign credit rating from the highest ”Aaa” to ”Aa1”, citing concerns over the increasing national debt, which has now reached $36 trillion.

The bond market has been pricing fiscal concerns for some time. Last week, CoinDesk detailed how persistent elevated Treasury yields reflected expectations for continued fiscal splurge and sovereign risk premium, both bullish for bitcoin.

Read: BTC Boom Likely as Bond Yields Surge

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XRP Price Surges After V-Shaped Recovery, Targets $3.40

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Global economic tensions and regulatory developments continue to influence XRP’s price action, with the digital asset showing remarkable resilience despite recent volatility.

After experiencing a significant dip to $2.307 on high volume, XRP has established an upward trajectory with a series of higher lows, suggesting continued momentum as it approaches resistance levels.

Technical indicators point to a potential bullish breakout, with multiple analysts highlighting critical support at $2.35-$2.40 that must hold for upward continuation.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • Price experienced a 3.76% range ($2.307-$2.396) over 24 hours with a sharp sell-off at 16:00 dropping to $2.307 on high volume (77.9M).
  • Strong support emerged at $2.32 level with buyers stepping in during high-volume periods, particularly during the 13:00-14:00 recovery.
  • Asset established upward trajectory, forming higher lows from the bottom, with resistance around $2.39 tested during 07:00 session.
  • In the last hour, XRP climbed from $2.358 to $2.368, representing a 0.42% gain with notable volume spikes at 01:52 and 01:55.
  • Price surged past resistance at $2.36 to reach $2.366, later establishing new local highs at $2.369 during 02:03 session on substantial volume (539,987).
  • Currently maintaining strength above $2.368 support level with decreasing volatility suggesting potential continuation of upward trajectory.

Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.

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SUI Surges After Finding Strong Support at $3.75 Level

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Global economic tensions and shifting trade policies continue to influence cryptocurrency markets, with SUI showing particular resilience.

The asset established a trading range of 4.46% between $3.70 and $3.86, finding strong volume support at the $3.755 level.

A notable bullish momentum emerged with price surging 1.9% on above-average volume, establishing resistance at $3.850.

The formation of higher lows throughout the latter part of the day suggests consolidation above the $3.775 support level.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • SUI established a 24-hour trading range of 0.165 (4.46%) between the low of 3.700 and high of 3.862.
  • Strong volume support emerged at the 3.755 level during hours 17-18, with accumulation exceeding the 24-hour volume average by 45%.
  • Notable bullish momentum occurred in the 20:00 hour with price surging 7.2 cents (1.9%) on above-average volume.
  • Resistance established at 3.850 with higher lows forming throughout the latter part of the day.
  • Decreasing volatility in the final hours suggests consolidation above the 3.775 support level.
  • Significant buyer interest appeared between 01:27-01:30, forming a strong support zone at 3.756-3.760 with exceptionally high volume (over 300,000 units per minute).
  • Decisive bullish reversal began at 01:42, establishing a series of higher lows and higher highs.
  • Breakout above 3.780 occurred at 01:55, followed by consolidation near 3.785 with decreasing volume.

Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.

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