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Two Ways This Bitcoin Bull Market is Sturdier Than 2020-21 and 2017

Bitcoin BTC has long been criticized for its high volatility, with bull runs marked by sudden, sharp pullbacks that would qualify as full-blown bear trends in stocks.
However, the latest bull market, which kicked off in early 2023, feels different in a positive way, exhibiting relatively low volatility and drawdowns.
Volatility in downtrend
According to data tracked by Glassnode, bitcoin’s realized volatility on a three-month rolling basis has averaged less than 50% during this bull cycle, significantly lower than the 80% to 100% observed during previous bull runs.
The same thing can be said about the 30-day implied volatility, tracked by Volmex’s BVIV index, which has been in a downtrend, according to data source TradingView. The implied volatility refers to the expected price turbulence over a specific period and is a forward-looking metric.
The stability likely stems from bitcoin’s ever-growing market capitalization, which inadvertently fosters stability and increased institutional participation through ETFs and derivatives.
«Boasting a market capitalization of over $2T, Bitcoin now ranks as the 7th largest asset worldwide. As liquidity deepens, and the valuation of an asset reaches these heights, the capital required to meaningfully move the price of the asset becomes significantly larger,» Glassnode said, explaining the volatility meltdown.
«Additionally, the launch of the US Spot ETF Products, supplemented by increasing regulatory clarity, has altered the underlying composition of the investor base, allowing sophisticated, institutional investors and capital to gain exposure to bitcoin for the first time,» Glassnode added.
Stair-step rally
Pull up the price chart from 2020-21, and you’ll see that bitcoin’s then-bull run from $4,000 to $70,000 had several steep price pullbacks, sometimes more than 30%. In traditional markets, a drawdown of over 20% is typically considered a bear market.
Now compare it to the rally from roughly $30,000 to over $100,000 since March 2023, and the picture looks different. It has been a stair-step ascent, characterized by an impulsive move higher followed by broad accumulation ranges that set the stage for the next leg higher.
«We’ve observed a shallower drawdown profile relative to previous bull markets, with the current cycle drawdowns generally less than -25% from the local high, with only two instances exceeding -30%,» Glassnode said.
The change in character is again linked to institutional participation, lower leverage and speculative excesses in the broader market.
Major exchanges, including Binance, offered 100X leverage during the previous bull runs, allowing investors to control a significantly larger trading position. Such use of leverage helped investors juice up profits but also magnified losses, resulting in liquidation cascades and frequent double-digit price corrections.
However, exchanges eventually cut down the leverage significantly, curbing speculative excesses. That seems to have contributed to the sturdier rally this time.
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Bitcoin Rebounds Above $104,300 as Tariff Chaos Triggers Nearly $1B in Liquidations

Global economic tensions and trade policy uncertainties continue to influence cryptocurrency markets as Bitcoin recovers from a recent correction.
Despite the pullback, institutional interest remains strong with firms like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and GameStop adding BTC to their corporate treasuries.
Technical Analysis Highlights
- The 24-hour period shows a clear bottoming pattern with strong volume support emerging around the $103,200-$103,400 zone, where buyers consistently stepped in, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.
- The subsequent recovery phase gained momentum after breaking above the $104,000 resistance level, with increasing volume confirming buyer conviction.
- This technical structure suggests the correction has likely completed, with the price now establishing a new support base for potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
- In the last hour, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery pattern, climbing from $104,146 to $104,303, with significant bullish momentum emerging at 14:01.
- Price surged from $104,188 to $104,323 on substantially higher volume (429 BTC traded).
- The price action formed a clear consolidation range between $104,077 and $104,263 before the breakout, with key support established around $104,080-$104,090.
External References
- «Bitcoin Price Extends Losses — Is More Downside on the Horizon?«, NewsBTC, published May 30, 2025.
- «Bitcoin at Risk of Breakdown if Major Support Level Fails, Says Trader Justin Bennett – Here Are His Targets«, The Daily Hodl, published May 30, 2025.
- «Bitcoin price prediction 2025-2031: Will BTC hit $150k soon?«, Cryptopolitan, published May 31, 2025.
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Bitcoin Cash Rebounds 6.4% as Bulls Defend Key Support Zone

The cryptocurrency market is navigating choppy waters amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) showing resilience despite broader market pressure.
BCH recently demonstrated strong technical performance, forming a V-shaped recovery after testing critical support at $391.656, with substantial buying volume establishing a high-volume support level.
This comes as the global cryptocurrency market faces headwinds from the ongoing US-China trade disputes, which continue to introduce uncertainty across financial markets worldwide.
Meanwhile, traditional financial indicators like rising US Treasury yields signal systemic stress that historically creates mixed environments for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
Technical Analysis Highlights
- BCH tested critical support at $391.656, triggering substantial buying volume particularly during the 01:00-04:00 timeframe.
- A powerful breakout occurred during the 13:00 hour, with BCH surging to $416.958 on the highest hourly volume (28,068 units).
- Price established a new resistance-turned-support level at $409.800, with momentum indicators suggesting potential for continued upside.
- A bull flag pattern formed after the initial impulse move, with decreasing volume during consolidation suggesting potential continuation.
- The $413.000-$413.500 zone represents a key support level that bulls need to defend to maintain upward momentum.
External References
- «What’s Happening in Crypto Today? Daily Crypto News Digest«, Cryptonews, published May 29, 2025.
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Crypto’s Most Watched Whale Gets Fully Liquidated After Placing Billions in Risky Bets

James Wynn, the trader whose risky moves on Hyperliquid captivated crypto watchers this month, has been fully liquidated.
He ended a volatile month with just $23 left in his account, according to HyperDash data.
Wynn built his reputation and following by placing massive, leveraged on-chain trades across bitcoin BTC, PEPE PEPE, and other tokens.
His downfall began with a $1.25 billion long position on BTC that unraveled as prices dropped below $105,000 amid growing geopolitical uncertainty. That trade alone cost him more than $37 million after fees.
The trader briefly pivoted to memecoins like PEPE, where one long position initially gained over 10%, before market swings liquidated him again.
Over the course of the month, Wynn cycled through assets including ETH, SUI, TRUMP, and even FARTCOIN. His trades at one point saw him achieve an unrealized gain of $85 million.
An account associated with Wynn on X commented on the liquidation and dismissed the losses. “I’ll run it back, I always do. And I’ll enjoy doing it. I like playing the game,” the account wrote on X. “I took a large and calculated bet at making billions.”
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