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Tariff Fallout Slaps Ether Bulls With Looming $100M Liquidation

Analysis of on-chain data curated by DefiLlama shows that nearly $100 million in ether (ETH) positions are at risk if the price slides by 15%.
Traders in Asia faced a sea of red during the Monday business day as the ripple effects of U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policy were felt around the world.
ETH is down nearly 16% Monday, according to CoinDesk data, now trading above $1490, while the CoinDesk 20 index is down 13%, and market participants fear that the U.S. open could bring more pain.
Should the U.S. open bring another 15% drop in ETH’s price, sending it below $1,274, more than $100 million in leveraged positions could face imminent liquidation.
On-chain liquidations are potentially more impactful than those related to derivatives as it involves spot assets being sold onto the market. In MakerDAO’s case, a liquidated position is auctioned off at a cheaper rate to traders who can then sell at a relative premium, flooding the market with supply and creating more sell pressure.
One wallet which would get liquidated at $1418 had a number of close calls Monday but trimmed its holdings of ETH and paid back repaid some of the DAI it owed.
DeFiLlama data also shows that should the price of ETH sink by 20%, another $36 million is at risk.
The largest single ETH position, with $147 million in collateral locked, has a strike price of $1,132.
Lending protocols were some of the hardest hit tokens during the Monday Asia trading day, with CoinGecko data showing that the category is down 17% on-day as concern grows about the health of levarage around some positions.
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VARA Fortifies Controls on Crypto Margin Trading in Dubai, Refreshes Rulebook

Dubai’s crypto regulator Virtual Asset Regulatory Authority (VARA) has updated its rulebook for digital asset trading.
The emirati regulator has introduced greater leverage controls and collateralization requirements through provisions in its Broker-Deal and Exchange Rulebooks. This will help VARA’s rules to align with global risk standards, the regulator said in an emailed announcement on Monday.
VARA has also introduced sections of its rulebook to properly oversee areas of the crypto industry that were previously lightly regulated, such as broker-dealers and wallets.
The rules previously laid out by VARA have helped establish the city as a crypto hub, winning praise from crypto companies for being reasonably clear in their requirements to operate there. Major exchanges such as Binance, Crypto.com and OKX have all won approvals under VARA.
VARA is now taking these rules and upgrading them to reflect a more mature framework that it says incorporates real-world licensing experience and international best practices.
«These rulebook updates reinforce the foundations of a responsible, scalable ecosystem,” said Ruben Bombardi, General Counsel and Head of Regulatory Enablement at VARA, said in an emailed comment shared with CoinDesk.
Read More: Dubai Government Opens Door to Accepting Crypto for Service Fees
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Bulls and Bears Get Caught off Guard as Bitcoin Jumps to $106K, Then Falls Back to $103K

Over $600 million in crypto derivatives positions have been liquidated since late Sunday as bitcoin (BTC) staged a sharp rally past $106,000 in the wee hours, only to reverse course and dump back to near $103,000, catching both bulls and bears off guard.
The move began around 21:00 UTC on Sunday, when bitcoin spiked more than $2,500 in less than an hour — a pattern that can be attributed to thin weekend liquidity and potential algorithmic buying triggered by technical levels.
Such price action was a textbook short squeeze followed by aggressive profit-taking or stop-run. A short squeeze happens when traders betting against a price (short sellers) are forced to buy the asset as it rises, to cover their losses, which pushes the price even higher and often very quickly.
The sudden move wiped out over $460 million in long positions and $220 million in shorts, across futures tracking majors like ether (ETH), solana (SOL), and dogecoin (DOGE).
The liquidation wave was notable for occurring during traditionally quiet weekend hours, an unusual event that marks forced selling or buying activity by a major player.
SOL, DOGE and XRP prices are down more than 4% in the past 24 hours, data shows, with the broad-based CoinDesk (CD20) down more than 2%.
The volatility follows a week of macro uncertainty, with Moody’s cutting the U.S. credit rating on Friday and inflation fears resurfacing after mixed economic data. The downgrade also led to U.S. 30-year treasury yields breaching the 5% mark.
While crypto has broadly benefited from renewed institutional inflows and spot ETF momentum, traders remain cautious at current price levels, as reported.
Bitcoin is flat over the past week, but the recent failure to hold above $106,000 — a key psychological and technical level — may signal near-term resistance, FxPro’s Alex Kuptsikevich told CoinDesk last week.
Meanwhile, some traders anticipate higher volatility in the days to come in a warning sign for those looking to leverage their bets.
“Investors are shifting capital to Bitcoin as concerns grow over a pending US spending bill that could add trillions in debt and push for higher Treasury premiums,” Haiyang Ru, co-CEO of the HashKey Business Group, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.
“But while bitcoin hovers just below new highs, we anticipate more market volatility as traders prepare for new trade deals and a final version of the fiscal policy,” Ru added.
Read more: U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Breaches 5% Amid Moody’s Rating Downgrade, Fiscal Concerns
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U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield Breaches 5% Amid Moody’s Rating Downgrade, Fiscal Concerns

The yield on the U.S. 30-year treasury bills crossed the 5% threshold for the first time since April, reaching an intraday high of 5.011%. This move comes in the wake of Moody’s downgrading U.S. credit, stripping the country of Aaa rating due to mounting deficits and escalating interest expenses.
The last time the long end of the yield curve reached 5% was on April 9, during the so-called «tariff tantrum,» which triggered sharp sell-offs in both crypto and U.S. equity markets.
At that time, bitcoin (BTC) was hovering near its local low of around $75,000. It has since rebounded strongly, currently trading around $103,000 after hitting a Sunday high of $106,000.
“The last time the 30-year closed at or above 5% (at the 6 PM ET mark) was October 31, 2023. The highest closing yield in recent memory was 5.11% on October 19, 2023, the highest since July 2007, nearly 18 years ago. The current yield is just 12 basis points away from surpassing that milestone,” said Jim Bianco, head of Bianco Research.
In addition, the United Kingdom surpassed China in March to become the second-largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasuries, with holdings totaling $779.3 billion—trailing only Japan, which remains the top foreign holder.
Both China and Japan have continued to reduce their U.S. Treasury holdings over the past 12 months, underscoring the growing need for the U.S. to attract new buyers for its debt.
As the U.S. Treasury faces growing deficits, with the potential of more bonds being issued, increasing supply and thereby pushing yields higher while prices fall. Meanwhile, Nasdaq futures are down around 2%, reflecting broader risk-off sentiment in the market.
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