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Strategy Stock Volatility Sinks to Historic Lows, Possibly Making Shares Less Attractive

Strategy (MSTR) is currently experiencing its lowest 10-day realized volatility since it first added bitcoin {BTC} to its balance sheet in 2020, according to Jeff Park, Head of Alpha Strategies at Bitwise Asset Management.
Realized volatility refers to the actual historical movement of an asset’s price over a specific period, in this case ten days. It is calculated using past price data and indicates how much the price has fluctuated in reality, as opposed to how much it is expected to fluctuate in the future.
In addition to subdued historical price swings, MSTR’s implied volatility (IV) currently sits at 48.33 percent, which is among the lowest levels recorded for the stock in recent years. Implied volatility reflects the market’s forecast of a stock’s future volatility, derived from options prices. A lower IV suggests the options market is anticipating smaller price movements going forward. For comparison, MSTR’s IV peaked at 225% in November 2024, during a sharp rally in bitcoin prices following Donald Trump’s U.S. presidential election victory. At that time, bitcoin traded above $95,000 and MSTR’s share price surged from $350 to a high of $525. As of now, MSTR shares are trading at $367.
MSTR currently holds 592,345 BTC, but last week added just 245 BTC, marking its smallest weekly purchase since March. This slowdown in accumulation may suggest a saturation point, particularly as other public companies globally begin to adopt bitcoin treasury strategies.
Furthermore, capital flows appear to be rotating from MSTR to smaller bitcoin-holding companies, many of which are experiencing strong performance in both share price and trading volume. Among them are Canada’s LQWD Technologies Corp, which has risen about three-fold in recent days on its BTC treasury strategy.
Notably, this marks the fourth consecutive week in which MSTR has not utilized its at-the-market (ATM) equity offering program. As a result, the company now trades at a 1.83x multiple to its net asset value (NAV) in bitcoin terms, known as mNAV. This multiple is calculated by dividing the company’s enterprise value by the market value of its bitcoin holdings.
Is MSTR yesterday’s news?
Led by Executive Chairman Michael Saylor, Strategy has benefited significantly in recent years from the company’s status as a high-beta, high-volatility proxy for bitcoin. This elevated volatility made MSTR particularly attractive to options traders and speculators, enabling outsized gains on both the upside and downside compared to BTC itself.
However, as MSTR’s volatility compresses, that appeal may diminish. With less price movement, traders, investors, and speculators could begin reallocating capital to other, more volatile bitcoin-linked equities or assets that offer greater trading opportunities.
In response, Strategy has also leaned into alternative financing strategies, including at-the-market offerings tied to its perpetual preferred stock tickers, STRK and STRF. These fixed-income products represent a strategic pivot, but whether they gain meaningful traction remains to be seen.
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Coinbase Outpaces S&P 500 With 43% June Rise as Stablecoin Narrative Grows: CNBC

Shares of Nasdaq-listed cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) rose 43% this month, making the firm the top performer in the S&P 500 since it joined the index at the end of last month.
June’s run is already the stock’s best since November and caps three straight monthly gains. Coinbase’s shares reached their highest level since their public debut.
COIN hit a $382 high this week before enduring a slight correction, ending the week at $353 and seeing a slight 0.7% drop in after-hours trading to $351.
The wider S&P 500 index rose roughly 5% in June as geopolitical tensions eased.
Washington’s progress on the GENIUS Act, Congress’s first rulebook for dollar-pegged stablecoins, helped shift investor focus from trading fees to stablecoin revenue.
The bill brightened the outlook for Circle, whose shares hit a record high and saw its market cap near that of Coinbase this week.
Coinbase keeps all yield on USDC balances held on its platform and nearly half of other USDC income, equal to about 99 percent of Circle’s revenue, giving shareholders indirect exposure at no added cost, CNBC reported Friday, citing analysts including Citizens’ head of financial technology research Devin Ryan.
Trading, however, remains subdued. Average daily volume on Coinbase has drifted lower since April.
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Robinhood Launches Micro Bitcoin, Solana and XRP Futures Contracts

Robinhood (HOOD) has introduced micro futures on bitcoin (BTC), solana (SOL) and XRP in the United States., expanding its existing crypto futures offering for its nearly 26 million funded accounts.
Micro contracts need far less collateral than full-size futures, letting traders take directional positions while committing a smaller slice of capital.
The contracts offer traders more flexibility to bet on a cryptocurrency’s future price direction or hedge current positions given their smaller size.
The launch rounds out a futures suite that began with BTC and ETH in January. It also comes weeks after the firm closed its $200 million purchase of Bitstamp and finalized a $179 million deal for Canada’s WonderFi.
Robinhood’s data shows that crypto notional volumes have exploded upward over time, reaching $11.7 billion in May. The figure marks a 36% rise month-over-month, and a 65% growth year-over-year.
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Why is XRP Up Today? Trio of Catalysts Sees Token Outperform Wider Crypto Market

XRP climbed 5.5% to $2.19 in the last 24 hours after a trio of catalysts converged to help the cryptocurrency outperform the wider cryptocurrency market.
One of the catalysts was launch of XRP micro futures on Robinhood. The contracts offer traders more flexibility to bet on the cryptocurrency’s future price direction or hedge current positions given their smaller size.
Regulatory fog also thinned. On Friday, Ripple withdrew its cross-appeal in its long-running U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit. The SEC sued Ripple back in 2020 over its XRP sales, alleging these violated securities laws. The SEC is expected to drop its own appeal, leaving last year’s ruling, ordering Ripple to pay a $125 million civil penalty to the SEC, intact. The move could lift a lid that had kept some investors on the sidelines.
On-chain data rounded out the bullish setup. The XRP Ledger logged over a 1.1 million active addresses over the past week according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who cited Glassnode data.
XRP’s rise saw it outperform the wider crypto market, with the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index rising 1.7% in the last 24 hours.
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