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Strategy Bears Cave In as Anti-MSTR Leveraged ETF Hits Rock Bottom

Those betting against bitcoin (BTC)-holder MicroStrategy (MSTR) seem to have run out of patience and look to be exiting bearish bets.
On Monday, a U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides a leveraged bearish exposure to shares of bitcoin holder MicroStrategy sank to lifetime lows on the back of near-record trading activity.
Prices for the Defiance daily target 2x short MSTR ETF, listed under the ticker SMST on Nasdaq, slipped 7.58% to $18.17 on Monday, hitting a record low for the fourth consecutive day, according to data source TradingView.
The decline happened as 2.88 million shares changed hands, the second-largest trading volume tally ever.
Bears capitulate as BTC surges
SMST’s high-volume collapse points to capitulation of bears – those betting against MSTR have likely given up and are exiting the market.
A high-volume record low typically indicates capitulation – market participants surrendering to the relentless bearish trend and exiting all their positions, giving up all hope of a recovery. This type of price action often marks peak bearishness in the market or bottoms.
Bitcoin’s price tapped record highs above $122,000 during Monday’s Asian trading hours, providing bullish cues to all things tied to crypto. Later in the day, shares in MSTR rose over 3% to $456, the highest since November.
Leveraged bearish bet
The 2x short ETF seeks to deliver daily investment results that are -200%, or minus 2x, the daily percentage change in the MSTR share price. In other words, it’s a leveraged bearish bet.
The ETF’s price, however, has collapsed from over $2,000 on the inception day in August last year, and has been primarily in a downtrend, barring the brief uptrend from $1,600 to $2,368 in late August last year. As of Friday, the fund had a net inflow of $8.2 million in six months, according to VettaFi.
MSTR’s share price has increased multi-fold from $100 to over $440 during the same time. MicroStrategy is the largest publicly-listed bitcoin holder in the world, boasting a coin stash of 601,550 BTC ($70.56 million) as of writing.
2x long MSTR ETF rises
The Defiance daily target 2x long MSTR ETF rose to nearly $50 on Monday, the highest since January 24, with trading volumes rising for the fourth straight day to tally 9.2 million.
As of Friday, MSTX had a net six-month outflow of over $175 million, per VettaFi.
Read more: Anti-Bitcoin Vanguard Might Be the Largest Institutional Holder of MSTR Stock
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Filecoin Plunges 6% as Selling Pressure Increases, Crypto Markets Retracts

Filecoin (FIL) crashed 5.6% in the 24-hour trading session from July 14 10:00 UTC to July 15 09:00 UTC, sliding from $2.66 to $2.51, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
The model shows that the token posted a volatile 7.52% intraday movement.
The slump in token of the decentralized storage network came as the wider crypto market also fell, with the broader market gauge, the CoinDesk 20, recently down 3.8%.
Filecoin recently announced a partnership with blockchain Avalanche, aimed at optimizing smart contract handling and data storage.
In recent trading, FIL was 5.6% lower over 24 hours, trading around $2.51.
Technical Analysis:
- Price tumbled from $2.66 to $2.51, posting 5.6% decline
- Resistance solidifies at $2.66 level with support forming around $2.50.
- Heaviest selling pressure hits July 14, 14:00-03:00 UTC window as price cascades from $2.65 to $2.46.
- Volume patterns show elevated activity during decline phases, particularly July 15, between 02:00-03:00 UTC, with volumes topping 6.3 million.
- Two-phase movement pattern features initial consolidation followed by upward momentum starting 09:01 UTC.
- Institutional interest emerges at lower levels with volumes exceeding 71,000 at 09:19 UTC.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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Function Raises $10M to Bring Yield to Bitcoin; Gets Backing From Galaxy Digital, Antalpha, and Mantle

Crypto infrastructure firm Function has closed a $10 million seed round led by Galaxy Digital (GLXY), with participation from Antalpha (ANTA) and Mantle, the company said in a press release on Tuesday.
The round positions Function, formerly known as Ignition, at the forefront of a growing effort to unlock institutional yield opportunities from bitcoin (BTC), which remains the largest yet least-utilized digital asset in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Function’s flagship product, FBTC, a fully reserved and composable bitcoin representation, has already amassed $1.5 billion in total value locked (TVL), the company said.
Function is positioning FBTC as the gateway for institutions and corporate treasuries to productively deploy bitcoin while maintaining full custodial control and 1:1 asset backing.
The firm is entering the market as momentum builds around the institutional adoption of bitcoin, not just as a store of value, but as a yield-generating instrument.
With Mike Novogratz’s Galaxy joining as both an investor and core contributor, Function gains a heavyweight partner in scaling FBTC’s institutional reach. Galaxy’s involvement includes liquidity provisioning, governance and risk framework design, and strategic oversight.
“By 2026, treating bitcoin as a passive treasury asset may no longer be enough. The new standard will be actively earning yield” said Thomas Chen, CEO of Function, in emailed comments.
“We’re evolving from wrapped assets to functional infrastructure that’s programmable and institutional-grade to transform bitcoin into a productive asset class. Sophisticated allocators will demand their bitcoin work as hard as their cash. Those slow to adapt will underperform; forward-looking firms will win the next era of bitcoin yield.” Chen added.
Read more: The Open Platform Becomes First TON Unicorn Following $28.5M Raise
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Bitcoin’s Volatility Will Continue to Decline as Adoption Grows: Deutsche Bank

Bitcoin’s (BTC) volatility could continue to fall as mainstream acceptance grows and the cryptocurrency is adopted by companies, retail investors and governments, Deutsche Bank said in a research report on Tuesday.
Excitement over upcoming legislation in the U.S. has spurred bitcoin’s recent rally, the german lender said, but it is notable that the crypto’s rise has also been accompanied by a historic decline in volatility levels.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency has risen nearly 75% since mid-November, driven by a mix of favorable regulations, growing institutional adoption, and global macroeconomic shifts, the report said.
The rally coincides with “Crypto Week” in Washington, DC, highlighting increasing government and corporate engagement with digital assets. This week the House of Representatives is set to vote on the CLARITY Act, a crypto market structure bill, and the GENIUS Act, which regulates stablecoins in the U.S.
Deutsche Bank suggests the drop in volatility signals a maturing market, where regulatory clarity, broader adoption, and long-term investment behaviors are stabilizing performance.
As bitcoin gains legitimacy through regulation and integration into traditional portfolios, it may continue to shed its speculative image and evolve into a more stable, strategic asset, the report added.
As volatility decreases and regulatory certainty increases, bitcoin is becoming more appealing for pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and other long-term allocators.
Read more: CLARITY Act Could be a Game Changer for Institutional Adoption of Crypto: Benchmark
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