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State of Crypto: Previewing Congress’ ‘Crypto Week’

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U.S. lawmakers may actually get a crypto bill to the president’s desk. The House is set to vote on market structure and stablecoin legislation next week, bringing the U.S. a vital step closer to drafting new rules for the industry.

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Crypto win

The narrative

The U.S. House of Representatives is set to vote on a market structure bill, a stablecoin bill and a bill banning a U.S. central bank digital currency next week. Perhaps it’s premature to suggest the industry will notch a major win — but all signs indicate that U.S. President Donald Trump will sign a stablecoin bill into law before the August recess, as his team has sought since February.

Why it matters

The crypto industry has long sought «regulatory clarity» on its own terms — previous rule proposals it disagreed with were fervently opposed and the industry’s political action committees poured tens of millions of dollars into the 2024 elections to try and create a Congress that would be friendlier to crypto policies.

Next week, those efforts may pay off, as the House of Representatives gets set to vote on a stablecoin bill that may become law within weeks and a market structure bill that could get to the White House before Christmas.

Breaking it down

The House of Representatives dubbed next week — July 14 to July 18 — «Crypto Week.» The main event will be the House vote on, and expected passage of, the «Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025» (Clarity), the Anti-CBDC Surveillance Act and the «Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins of 2025» (GENIUS).

The House Rules Committee is scheduled to meet Monday at 4:00 p.m. ET to discuss each of the bills. That means there may be a floor vote, where the entire House votes, by Tuesday. Though there was some discussion of packaging the Clarity and GENIUS Acts into one larger bill, it appears there will instead be separate votes for each of the bills. If the GENIUS Act does receive its own vote, U.S. President Donald Trump may sign it into law as soon as next Friday or the following Monday, I’m told, though at this point none of this is confirmed (and obviously depends on the actual House vote).

Notably, the House Financial Services Committee confirmed on Thursday that the House would vote on the GENIUS Bill sent to it by the Senate, and not its own «Stablecoin Transparency and Accountability for a Better Ledger Economy» (STABLE Act), as previously reported by CoinDesk’s Jesse Hamilton.

It is likely that all three bills will pass, and with bipartisan majorities.

To recap: The Clarity Act will create a framework for how different cryptocurrencies are treated by federal regulators, including the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

There’s no Senate counterpart to this bill yet, though the Senate Banking Committee has already held multiple hearings on market structure issues, and the Senate Agriculture Committee has scheduled a hearing for this upcoming Tuesday on the same topic. Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott previously said he expects the Senate to wrap up its work on market structure by Sept. 30.

The House’s last effort to pass market structure legislation, last year’s Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act, saw massive bipartisan support with 279 lawmakers (208 Republicans and 71 Democrats) voting in favor of the bill.

While there is no public whip count yet for this year’s version, the Clarity Act passed out of the House Agriculture Committee with massive bipartisan support (47-6) and the House Financial Services Committee with some bipartisan support (32-19). Either number suggests both Democrats and Republicans will vote for the bill on the House floor.

The GENIUS Act will set up a framework for overseeing stablecoins. The Senate already passed the GENIUS Act, meaning once the House passes it, it goes to Trump’s desk for his signature into law. This could mark the stablecoin bill as the first major crypto-focused bill to become law.

The GENIUS Act could then also be one of the few bills that isn’t a «must-pass» to go through the legislative process, meaning it’s not a budget bill and it’s not the annual National Defense Authorization Act. While the House is voting on the Senate version and not its own STABLE Act, updated House text in the Clarity Act would add some additional rules around stablecoins.

The Anti-CBDC Surveillance Act would, as the name suggests, ban the U.S. from developing or launching a central bank digital currency. The House passed a version of this bill in 2024 as well.

In theory, the passage of these bills is positive for the industry. Though it may take time for regulators to write and implement rules after these bills become law, within the next few years crypto companies will have firm guidelines to operate within. Less clear is what these bills may actually do for usage or adoption.

A recent publication by Moody’s Ratings suggested that while passage of the GENIUS Act will «have significant implications for banks» but that stablecoins writ large «need to offer a compelling advantage over existing consumer and commercial payment systems» to become a more broadly accepted transaction tool.

«While there appears to be solid bipartisan political support for U.S. stablecoins, assuming issuers are prohibited from paying any kind of financial incentive, we view the likelihood of a significant shift in domestic payments toward stablecoins as relatively modest,» the report said.

Democrats are raising concern about the potential for these bills’ passage to enable or further corruption, with Financial Services Committee Ranking Member Maxine Waters and Rep. Stephen Lynch pointing to Trump’s crypto ventures and their potential for enriching the president.

«These bills serve as a brazen stamp of approval for the blatant abuse of power we’re witnessing in real time,» Waters said in a statement.

The House Ways and Means Committee is also holding a hearing on crypto taxation next Wednesday, though it hasn’t shared many details yet.

To recap the schedule for next week, or if you want to just see it at a glance:

  • Monday, July 14, 4:00 p.m. ET: The House Rules Committee will meet and discuss the Clarity Act, GENIUS Act and Anti-CBDC Surveillance Act.
  • Tuesday, July 15, 3:00 p.m. ET: The Senate Agriculture Committee will hold a hearing on market structure legislation.
  • Tuesday, July 15, time TBA: The House may meet and begin voting on all three bills discussed above.
  • Wednesday, July 16, 9:00 a.m. ET: The House Ways and Means Committee will hold a hearing on crypto taxation.
  • Thursday, July 17: Nothing is scheduled (at least right now).
  • Friday, July 18: If the House votes to advance GENIUS on Tuesday, there may be a bill signing.

Stories you may have missed

This week

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Tuesday

  • 14:30 UTC (10:30 a.m. ET) A federal judge held a final in-person pretrial conference for Roman Storm.

Wednesday

  • 14:00 UTC (10:00 a.m. ET) The Senate Banking Committee held a hearing on market structure issues.

Elsewhere:

  • (The Nation) Last month, Dubai-based Aqua 1 Foundation said it would invest $100 million in the Trump-affiliated World Liberty Financial. Aqua 1, however, does not appear to actually exist, reports Jacob Silverman in The Nation.
  • (Wired) McDonald’s uses an AI bot to filter applicants, but this bot may have exposed applicants’ personal information to any hacker due to «absurdly basic security flaws,» Wired’s Andy Greenberg reports.
  • (The New York Times) The Times has a long read into how U.S. President Donald Trump went from being a crypto skeptic to a pro-crypto president.
  • (The Wall Street Journal) Grok, the large language model artificial intelligence built by xAI — the AI firm associated with X, the company formerly known as Twitter — posted some very antisemitic statements, called itself MechaHitler and said the actual Adolf Hitler would be the best 20th century figure to address «anti-white hate.» This came just days after X owner Elon Musk said he was making some changes to the bot.
  • (404 Media) Polymarket got weird after bettors could not come to an agreement over whether Ukraine President Volodomyr Zelenskyy wore a suit or not. He wore some form of formal clothing at a recent appearance, which the Polymarket pool initially resolved as «yes.» UMA token holders disputed that resolution, and it was later changed to resolve the bet as «no.» Derek Guy, an expert on formal clothing and historical clothing styles, told 404 Media that in his view, Zelenskyy’s garments did qualify as a suit.

soc twt 070825

If you’ve got thoughts or questions on what I should discuss next week or any other feedback you’d like to share, feel free to email me at nik@coindesk.com or find me on Bluesky @nikhileshde.bsky.social.

You can also join the group conversation on Telegram.

See ya’ll next week!

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Crypto Traders Eye $130K Bitcoin as Majors Price-Action Shows Market Structure Shift

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Bitcoin’s rally to $120,000 this week has sparked a broader breakout across major crypto assets, with ether (ETH), Solana’s SOL, XRP, and dogecoin (DOGE) all posting high single-digit percentage gains.

However, this time, price action isn’t just about momentum, as traders claim that market structure is evolving under the weight of institutional influence.

“This isn’t a frenzied boom with no foundation,” said Seamus Rocca, CEO of Xapo Bank. “It’s a measured ascent, backed up by large institutional players with the long-term in mind.”

Rocca pointed to tight monetary policy and geopolitical volatility as reinforcing Bitcoin’s emerging role as a macro hedge, adding that “the momentum we’ve seen over the last 48 hours is clear. Bitcoin isn’t just growing in value, but also as a genuine asset class that is rivalling traditional finance.”

Ethereum, up over 17% on the week and briefly crossed $3,000, remains a primary beneficiary. «In Q2, corporate treasury purchases of BTC outpaced inflows into spot ETFs,» said the analytics team at Bitcoin yield protocol TeraHash in a note to CoinDesk.

«That points to strategic positioning. At the same time, custodians like Anchorage and Fidelity are scaling institutional pipelines, while OTC desks are tightening spreads.»

Solana, now trading around $163, gained over 11% on the week amid renewed demand across retail and memecoin ecosystems. The chain continues to act as a high-beta proxy for risk-on sentiment. XRP, meanwhile, jumped 25%, benefiting from both a technical breakout and rising speculation around regulatory resolution.

“Price action may grab the spotlight,” TeraHash added, “but the real breakthrough this summer is structural.”

The altcoin move is broad-based. Dogecoin has rallied 23% over the past week, driven by increased retail participation through platforms like Robinhood and Binance. XRP volumes have spiked on Korean exchanges, while Cardano, TRX, and AVAX are all trading firmly in the green.

Meanwhile, Bitpanda Deputy CEO Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad said that “strong bitcoin rallies are often followed by significant movements in altcoins with a slight delay — and a potential comeback of meme coins can’t be ruled out either.”

But not everyone sees a straight line up.

“Despite briefly touching this key milestone, BTC remains below a major resistance zone,” said Ruslan Lienkha, Chief of Markets at YouHodler, said in an email.

“A decisive breakout and sustained move above this level could trigger a sharp upward rally, potentially targeting the $130,000 range,” Lienkha added.

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DOGE Surges 9% Before Sharp Reversal as $0.213 Resistance Halts Rally

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What to know:

  • DOGE advanced 8.6% from $0.198 to $0.213 between July 11 06:00 and July 12 05:00 before closing at $0.202 — a full retracement of its intraday gains.
  • Trading volumes surged past 1.1B during the 13:00–15:00 session, establishing resistance between $0.208–$0.213.
  • Support held at $0.200–$0.201 through late-session volatility, with final hour price action stabilizing around $0.202.
  • Analysts flagged the rejection at $0.211 (20:00) as evidence of systematic profit-taking by larger holders.

News Background: BTC Record, Risk-On Flows Drive Meme Coin Rally
Bitcoin touched an all-time high of $118,000 during the session, as crypto markets benefited from a surge in institutional inflows — estimated at $50B this week alone.
Easing geopolitical tensions, improving trade relations, and dovish signals from central banks have boosted risk assets across the board. Dogecoin, typically a high-beta play during crypto rallies, surged alongside altcoins in response.

Price Action Summary

  • Range: $0.198 → $0.213 → $0.202 | Total swing: 8.6%
  • Breakout Zone: $0.200–$0.208 cleared on strong volume
  • Resistance: $0.208–$0.213, with reversal from $0.211
  • Support: $0.200–$0.201 tested and held multiple times
  • Final Hour (04:55–05:54): Price rose from $0.200 → $0.202 (+0.5%)
  • Volume Peak: 1.1B between 13:00–15:00; 19M during 05:00–05:10 late surge

Technical Analysis

  • Mid-session momentum broke above key resistance zones but failed to sustain above $0.213
  • Volume-backed reversal near session high suggests strategic exits by institutions
  • Final-hour recovery shows $0.200 remains psychologically significant
  • Momentum cooling; near-term consolidation expected in $0.200–$0.204 band

What Traders Are Watching

  • Can DOGE reclaim and hold above $0.208–$0.210 to retest highs?
  • Breakdown below $0.198–$0.200 would signal trend exhaustion
  • Consolidation above $0.202 would support a bullish continuation setup into next week
  • Broader BTC and macro risk sentiment will continue to dictate altcoin flows

Takeaway
DOGE followed broader crypto markets higher with a clean intraday breakout — but its rejection at $0.213 and sharp pullback highlight the fragile nature of meme coin rallies during high volatility sessions.

Institutional flows remain, but traders should watch for volume confirmation before chasing upside. $0.200 is now the line in the sand.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Why is XRP Up Today? Whale-Driven Rally Sends Ripple to Nearly $3

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What to know:

  • XRP rallied 8% from $2.58 to $2.78 between July 11 06:00 and July 12 05:00, with an intraday high of $2.96 at 15:00 before retracing.
  • Afternoon price action saw exceptional volume — over 375M between 13:00–15:00 — with buyers repeatedly defending the $2.70–$2.75 zone.
  • A $14.03M leveraged long was opened on Hyperliquid at $2.30, signaling aggressive whale positioning.
  • Analysts now target $2.90–$3.40 as the next resistance band, citing bullish structure and capital inflows.
  • News Background
    Whale wallets have ramped up exposure in recent sessions, most notably with a $14M long established on derivatives venue Hyperliquid.
  • The trade coincides with a breakout from an ascending triangle structure and a growing belief among technical analysts that the $2.90 region, once cleared, could spark a fast leg toward $3.40 and beyond.
  • This comes as Ripple’s broader ecosystem — including RLUSD stablecoin momentum and cross-border settlement integrations — continues to attract institutional interest.

Price Action Summary

  • Range: $0.35 | Low: $2.58 → High: $2.96
  • Peak Time: 15:00 | Sharp retracement followed, but price held above $2.70
  • Support Zone: $2.70–$2.75, where demand remained intact through multiple tests
  • Final Hour (04:55–05:54): XRP rose from $2.76 → $2.79 (+1%)
  • Volume Spike: 2.6M between 05:30–05:35 validated breakout toward session close

Technical Analysis

  • Price formed an ascending triangle with higher lows and horizontal resistance tests
  • Total trading range of $0.35 = 14% volatility on session
  • Afternoon resistance at $2.96; consolidation at $2.78
  • Key breakout zone remains $2.90–$3.40; breach would likely trigger accelerated upside
  • Late-session breakout confirmed by real volume, not thin order books — a key bullish sign

What Traders Are Watching

  • Can XRP flip $2.80–$2.85 into a new base?
  • Watch for reaction near $2.90; a clean move through that zone with >200M volume may open path to $3.40
  • Failure to hold above $2.70 could invite pullback toward $2.58–$2.60
  • Whale long at $2.30 continues to act as downside anchor for bullish bias

Takeaway
Real flows, strong technical structure, and aggressive leveraged positioning underpin XRP’s 8% daily move. The $2.96 rejection showed local resistance, but recovery into the close points to renewed strength.

A confirmed breakout above $2.90 could mark the start of a new bullish leg — with traders already eyeing $3.40 and, in ultra-bullish cases, $5+ as long-term targets.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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