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Solana’s SOL Could See Nearly 6% Price Swing as Whales Dump Coins Before U.S. Jobs Data

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Solana’s SOL token is poised for a potential price swing of almost 6% after some large investors, or whales, dumped their holdings ahead of the U.S. non-farm payroll (NFP) report due later Friday.

This estimate comes from Volmex’s one-day implied volatility index (IV) for SOL. At press time, the index showed a one-day reading annualized at 109.70%, indicating an expected 24-hour price volatility of 5.74%. (The daily figure is derived by dividing the annualized volatility by the square root of 365, the number of trading days in a year.)

A movement that size represents moderate volatility, especially considering that the cryptocurrency has experienced several days of 6% or higher volatility since early March, according to data from CoinDesk.

In other words, the market is likely to be volatile, but nothing out of the ordinary.

Whale selling

Data tracked by blockchain sleuth Lookonchain shows several whales unstaked and dumped SOL worth $46.3 million into the market.

Large offloading of coins by whales often leads to bearish price action. However, the amount sold early today equates to 0.97% of the cryptocurrency’s 24-hour trading volume of $4.7 billion.

So, it’s no surprise that SOL is trading little changed at around $116, having printed a low of $112 on Thursday. Broadly speaking, the cryptocurrency has been in a downtrend since reaching a high of $295 on Jan. 19.

Focus on payrolls

The U.S. jobs data, scheduled for release at 12:30 GMT, is forecast to reveal that the economy added 130,000 jobs in March, slowdown from February’s 151,000 and well below the 12-month average of 162,300, according to FactSet.

The median estimate for the jobless rate for March is is 4.2%, the highest since November and up from February’s 4.1% reading. Average hourly earnings are forecast to have risen 0.3% month-on-month, matching February’s pace.

A weaker-than-expected figure will likely validate renewed pricing for four 25-basis-point interest-rate cuts this year, potentially sending risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, higher.

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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: Litecoin (LTC) Falls 4.9%, Leading Index Lower

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CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2372.84, down 1.4% (-32.6) since 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

Two of the 20 assets are trading higher.

Leaders: HBAR (+2.5%) and ICP (+0.7%).

Laggards: LTC (-4.9%) and FIL (-4.5%).

The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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Wrapped BTC Holders Can Now Secure 6% APY on Base via Umoja

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Decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Umoja has released a product that allows Coinbase wrapped BTC (cbBTC) token holders to earn a 6% yield on layer-2 network Base.

Umoja achieves its yield by tapping into a range of centralized and decentralized exchange strategies including covered calls and arbitrage, which involves buying an asset at on one venue and simultaneously selling it for a higher price on another venue.

It’s worthing noting that cbBTC is a wrapped token and not bitcoin (BTC) itself, it is an erc20 token backed 1:1 by bitcoin held at Coinbase.

The Umoja protocol supports a number of Yield Vault Tokens (YVTs) collateralized by cryptocurrencies (including real world asset tokens).

One of those YVTs is yBTC, which is minted once users deposit cbBTC on the protocol.

Acquiring a yield on BTC using DeFi strategies has been a controversial topic for bitcoin maximalists, who are generally opposed to the DeFi sector and altcoins.

However, as BTC continues its plunge from above $100K to the April 7 low of $74.8K, investor demand for achieving a yield to mitigate against spot value losses looks set to increase.

Japanese firm Metaplanet has recently started to earn a yield on bitcoin by purchasing spot assets at the same time as put options, then selling premium on put options as price slumps.

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U.S. CPI Declined in March; Core Rate Rose Just 0.1%.

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Inflation in the U.S. actually declined at the headline level last month and the core rate barely rose, possibly reigniting debate about whether the Federal Reserve would resume trimming rates at its next meeting in May.

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.1% in March. Economists had expected a 0.1% increase, following February’s 0.2% gain. On a year-over-year basis, headline CPI increased just 2.4% compared to forecasts of 2.6% and February’s 2.8%.

Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, climbed only 0.1% in March against forecasts 0.3% and February’s 0.2% reading. Core CPI rose 2.8% year-over-year, well shy of expectations for 3% and and February’s 3.1%.

The price of bitcoin (BTC) rose modestly to above $82,000 in the minutes following the news. After yesterday’s historic move higher, U.S. stock index futures are under pressure on Thursday morning, the Nasdaq 100 -2.7% and S&P 500 2.1%.

Thursday morning’s CPI report, of course, contains data from prior to President Trump’s «Liberation Day» sweeping tariff announcements last week that sent market into a multi-day panic, a portion of which was recovered yesterday following the president’s 90-day pause.

Prior to the tariff pause and market recovery, traders had been busily pricing in a rate cut to come at the Fed’s next meeting in May. Just prior to the CPI data, though, those odds had been whittled back to just 17%. For now, June is looking like the action meeting, with a 75% chance of 25 basis points or more of rate cuts by the end of that event.

Looking ahead, attention turns to Friday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report, which may further shape expectations for Fed policy in May.

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