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Powell Likely to Wait Until Trump Blinks, ‘Dr. Doom’ Roubini Says

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Nouriel Roubini, the economist who predicted the 2008 global financial meltdown to earn himself the nickname Dr. Doom, warned traders against relying on the Federal Reserve for a swift resolution to the financial market instability sparked by President Donald Trump’s tariffs on international trade.

A week ago, Trump announced sweeping tariffs against many nations, including a hefty levy on Chinese imports that’s now been lifted to 104%. Financial markets cratered on concerns the move will drag the U.S. and other economies into recession.

The Nasdaq 100 has lost 12% and bitcoin (BTC), the largest cryptocurrency by market value, dropped 10%, hitting prices below $75,000 at one point. Volatility in the U.S. Treasury market exploded, with yields on longer-dated bonds surging, sending prices lower even as equity markets swooned. That has raised fears of a full-blown dollar liquidity crisis like the one observed five years ago during the COVID crash.

Speculation is rife the Federal Reserve will soon take action to ease liquidity conditions, as it did in 2020, putting a floor under asset prices. Traders have priced in at least five quarter-point interest-rate cuts from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for this year, according to the CME’s FedWatch tool. Roubini suggests that won’t happen.

«There is, of course, a game of chicken between the Trump put and the Powell put. But I would say that the strike price for the Powell put is going to be lower than the strike price for the Trump put, meaning Powell is going to wait until it’s Trump who blinks,» Roubini told Bloomberg.

In other words, Powell will likely wait for Trump to temper his rhetoric before intervening to stabilize market volatility. This approach makes sense given the current market instability is largely a result of Trump’s tariffs.

The sentiment could quickly reverse with a single-social media post from Trump announcing a possible trade deal or negotiation with China. An episode from early this week is symptomatic. On Monday, an unconfirmed report of a tariff pause triggered a sharp surge in market valuations, only for the news to later be debunked as false.

Sticky inflation, no recession

Roubini, who runs Roubini Macro Associates, expects inflation to be sticky in a new world of higher tariffs, hurting longer-dated bonds. That partly explains the swoon in the 10- and 30-year U.S. Treasury notes and the resulting surge in yields.

At the same time, he said he expects the U.S. to avoid slipping into a recession, contrary to the market zeitgeist and pricing in betting platforms, which suggests an over 50% chance of the economy facing back-to-back quarterly contractions in the growth rate.

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Gemini Shares Slide 6%, Extending Post-IPO Slump to 24%

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI), the crypto exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has seen its shares tumble by more than 20% since listing on the Nasdaq last Friday.

The stock is down around 6% on Tuesday, trading at $30.42, and has dropped nearly 24% over the past week. The sharp decline follows an initial surge after the company raised $425 million in its IPO, pricing shares at $28 and valuing the firm at $3.3 billion before trading began.

On its first day, GEMI spiked to $45.89 before closing at $32 — a 14% premium to its offer price. But since hitting that high, shares have plunged more than 34%, erasing most of the early enthusiasm from public market investors.

The broader crypto equity market has remained more stable. Coinbase (COIN), the largest U.S. crypto exchange, is flat over the past week. Robinhood (HOOD), which derives part of its revenue from crypto, is down 3%. Token issuer Circle (CRCL), on the other hand, is up 13% over the same period.

Part of the pressure on Gemini’s stock may stem from its financials. The company posted a $283 million net loss in the first half of 2025, following a $159 million loss in all of 2024. Despite raising fresh capital, the numbers suggest the business is still far from turning a profit.

Compass Point analyst Ed Engel noted that GEMI is currently trading at 26 times its annualized first-half revenue. That multiple — often used to gauge whether a stock is expensive — means investors are paying 26 dollars for every dollar the company is expected to generate in sales this year. For a loss-making company in a volatile sector, that’s a steep price, and could be fueling investor skepticism.

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