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New Trump Tariffs Spell Caution for Bitcoin, Ether, Dogecoin Bets

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A fresh round of tariffs by U.S. president Donald Trump and lack of short term catalysts is inciting caution from market watchers, who believe Ethereum’s ether (ETH) may be particularly affected.

Trump on Sunday said he will introduce 25% tariffs on all steel and aluminium imports into the US, on top of existing duties, with reciprocal tariffs later in the week applicable to all countries.

The rhetoric and spike in inflation expectations could breed downside volatility with a key indicator that foresaged a move above $100,000 for bitcoin, when it traded under $70,000, turning bearish on Sunday.

Crypto majors remained little-changed in European afternoon hours Monday, with U.S. futures Dow and S&P 500 up 0.46% ahead of the New York open. Bitcoin, ether, XRP, Solana’s SOL and dogecoin (DOGE) were up under 1% in the past 24 hours, while BNB Chain’s BNB lost 4.5% after a Sunday rally.

Tariffs introduce economic uncertainty by potentially escalating trade wars, which can lead to market volatility — such events tend to impact bitcoin and the broader crypto market as investors tend to move away from risk assets to safer investments.

Some traders say ether could be further impacted as sentiment for crypto fades down, adding to an already tumultuous year for the asset which saw a widely-watched bitcoin-ether ratio drop to 2021, indicative of a fallout for ETH and preference for BTC.

A drop in ETH may further spell bad news for related beta bets such as memecoin dogecoin (DOGE) and Ethereum-based DeFi tokens, which tend to mirror the movements of the parent asset.

“The rise of BTC vs everything else is the most evident in comparison with ETH, which is seeing record short-interest and FUD with the 2nd largest token being down -23% YTD vs a +2.5% gain in BTC,” Augustine Fan, head of insights at SignalPlus, told CoinDesk in a Telegram message.

“At the risk of sounding like a broken record, but a lack of L1 catalysts and narrative leadership will likely continue to weigh on Ethereum in the foreseeable future,” Fan added.

“Ethereum has been hit particularly hard as ETH reversed its entire pump from late November last year, unwinding any gains to holders,” shared Nick Ruck, director at LVRG Research, in a Telegram message. Due to expectations of increased inflation, investors are betting on only one interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve this year, casting a grim outlook for risk assets including crypto.”

Meanwhile, traders at Singapore-based QCP Capital expect crypto markets to flip-flop in the coming weeks as Trump’s words continue to impact markets.

“A feedback loop is emerging—President Trump, highly sensitive to market reactions, is facing a market increasingly calling his bluff. This could embolden him further, adding another layer of volatility,” the firm said in a Monday broadcast message.

“BTC volatility now skews in favor of puts until April, reflecting a lack of upside catalysts,” it ended.

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Michael Saylor’s Strategy Added 4,980 Bitcoin Last Week, Bringing Stack to 597,325 Coins

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Strategy (MSTR), the largest publicly traded company holding bitcoin (BTC), boosted its BTC reserves by buying 4,980 BTC for a total of $531.9 million last week.

This addition brings Strategy’s total bitcoin holdings to 597,235 BTC purchased for $42.4 billion, or an average price of $70,982 each. At bitcoin’s current price of about $107,500, that stack is worth more than $64 billion.

Strategy financed the purchase through $519 million of common share sales alongside about $59 million of STRK and STRF preferred stock sales.

MSTR shares are up 1.3% premarket.

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Spanish Police Arrest 5 in Suspected $540M Crypto Fraud Operation

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Spanish police arrested five members of a suspected crypto fraud operation that allegedly laundered 460 million euros ($540 million) stolen from over 5,000 victims.

The bust, carried out by Guarda Civil, the armed wing of the country’s law enforcement agencies, saw three arrests from searches in the Canary Islands and two in Madrid on June 25.

The investigation was supported Europol, as well as police forces from Estonia, France and the U.S.

The criminal network raised funds through cash withdrawals, bank transfers and crypto payments, Europol said in a statement on Monday.

Investigators suspect the organization of having set up a corporate and banking network out of Hong Kong to receive, store and transfer criminal funds through accounts in different names and in different exchanges.

The investigation is still in progress, Europol added.

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Bitcoin-Gold Price Ratio’s 10% Surge Greenlights Bullish Flag Pattern: Technical Analysis

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This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

The ratio between the per-piece dollar price of bitcoin (BTC) and gold’s (XAU) per-ounce dollar-denominated price rose over 10% to 33.33 last week, registering its best performance in two months, according to data source TradingView.

The double-digit gain, representing BTC’s outperformance relative to gold, marked a breakout from the bull flag pattern. The so-called flag breakout signals a continuation of the rally from lows near 24.85 reached on April 11.

A bull flag pattern is characterized by a sharp uptrend followed by a relatively brief counter-trend consolidation that usually refreshes higher, as is the case with the BTC-gold ratio.

The flag breakout is said to extend the upside by an amount equivalent to the magnitude of the initial rally. So, the ratio could rise to 42.00, topping the record high of 40.73 hit in December.

BTC/Gold ratio and BTC/USD's daily charts. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

Previous uptrends in the ratio have been characterized by sharp upswings in BTC’s dollar-denominated price, as observed in late 2024 and in April and May, rather than gold dropping more than BTC.

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