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More Pain Likely, Market Expert Says After Bitcoin’s Biggest Loss Since August

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Bitwise’s Europe head of research, who has been accurately bullish on bitcoin (BTC) for months, has turned cautious after last week’s 8% dip, warning of deeper losses in the coming weeks.

Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency by market value, fell 8.8% to nearly $95,000 last week, the biggest percentage drop since August, according to data source TradingView and CoinDesk Indices. The losses came as the Federal Reserve signaled fewer rate cuts for next year while stressing that it prohibited from holding BTC and doesn’t seek a change in the law to do so.

The so-called hawkish rate projections also roiled sentiment in traditional markets, leading to a 2% drop in the S&P 500 and a 0.8% gain in the dollar index, lifting it to the highest since October 2022. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, the so-called risk-free rate, rose 14 basis points, breaking out bullishly from a technical pattern.

The risk-off mood may persist for some time, according to Andre Dragosch, director and head of research Europe at Bitwise.

«The big macro picture is that the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place as financial conditions have continued to tighten despite 3 consecutive rate cuts since September. Meanwhile, real-time measures of consumer price inflation have re-accelerated over the past months to new highs as well judging by truflation‘s indicator for U.S. inflation,» Dragosch told CoinDesk.

Dragosch is one of the few observers who correctly predicted a massive BTC price rally in late July when the sentiment was hardly bullish. BTC put in lows near $50,000 around that time and recently topped $100,000 for the first time on record.

«So, it’s quite likely that we will see more pain in the coming weeks, but this could be an interesting buying opportunity given the ongoing tailwinds provided by the BTC supply deficit,» Dragosch added.

The hardening of the Treasury yields, representing higher borrowing costs and relative attractiveness of fixed-income investments, typically leads to outflow from riskier assets like cryptocurrencies and stocks. A stronger dollar also makes USD-based assets expensive, discouraging capital inflows.

Inflation following the 1970s model?

If you have been following financial markets for a while, you have likely encountered discussions that price pressures in the U.S. economy are on the same inflation rollercoaster ride as the 1970s. Back then, the second wave was more intense than the first.

Dragosch notes that the sticky CPI inflation readings in recent months have raised concerns at the Fed about a potential second wave, leading to a more cautious stance on rate cuts.

«They are probably scared of the double hump scenario and a revival of the 70s twin peak in inflation which is why they are probably too reluctant to cut rates more aggressively,» Dragosch said. «They risk a significant acceleration in inflation if they cut rates aggressively, if they do little, the economy may suffer.»

Eventually, however, the financial tightening caused by rising yields and the dollar index would force the Fed to take action, Dragosch added, stressing BTC’s supply scarcity as a major bullish factor over the long run.

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Ethereum Surges After Holding $2,477, Fueled by Very Heavy Trading Volume

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Global economic tensions and trade disputes continue to influence cryptocurrency markets, with ETH showing resilience despite broader market uncertainty.

The second-largest cryptocurrency is currently navigating a critical technical zone between $2,500-$2,530, which analysts identify as immediate resistance that must be overcome for continued upward movement.

Institutional interest remains strong, with spot Ethereum ETFs recording consecutive days of positive inflows, signaling growing confidence from larger investors despite the recent volatility.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • 24-hour ETH price action revealed a substantial 3.5% range ($99.85).
  • Sharp sell-off during midnight hour saw price plummet to $2,477.40, establishing a key support zone.
  • Extraordinary volume (291,395 units, nearly 3x average) confirmed the significance of the support level.
  • Buyers stepped in at the $2,467-$2,480 support band, confirmed by high-volume accumulation during the 08:00-09:00 period.
  • Recent price action shows bullish momentum with ETH reclaiming the $2,515 level.
  • Potential higher low pattern suggests the correction may have found its bottom.
  • $2,520-$2,530 area remains the immediate resistance to overcome for continued upward movement.
  • Significant bullish surge at 13:35 saw price jump from $2,515.85 to $2,521.79, accompanied by exceptional volume (5,839 units).
  • Sharp reversal occurred at 14:00, with price dropping 5.07 points to $2,508.02 on heavy volume (4,043 units).
  • Hourly range of 14.46 points ($2,508.02-$2,522.48) demonstrates market indecision.

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XRP Plunges Below $2.30 Amid Heavy Selling Pressure

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Global economic tensions are weighing heavily on cryptocurrency markets as XRP experiences a significant correction amid heavy selling pressure.

The recent announcement of potential 50% tariffs on European Union imports by the US government has triggered widespread market uncertainty, with XRP falling alongside most major cryptocurrencies despite Bitcoin recently reaching new all-time highs.

Technical analysts point to critical support at the $2.25-$2.26 range, with market watchers warning that a break below this level could trigger deeper corrections toward the $1.55-$1.90 zone.

Meanwhile, institutional interest remains strong with Volatility Shares launching an XRP futures ETF and leveraged ETF inflows surging despite the price dip, suggesting Wall Street continues accumulating positions during market weakness.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • XRP underwent a notable 3.46% correction over the 24-hour period, with price declining from $2.361 to $2.303, creating an overall range of $0.084 (3.57%).
  • The most significant price action occurred during the midnight hour (00:00), when XRP plummeted to $2.297 on exceptionally high volume (37.1M), establishing a strong volume-based support zone.
  • A secondary sell-off at 08:00 saw price touch the period low of $2.280 with the highest volume spike (39.9M), confirming a double-bottom formation.
  • In the last hour, XRP experienced significant volatility with a recovery attempt following the earlier correction.
  • After reaching a low of $2.297 at 13:11, price formed a base around $2.298 before staging a substantial rally beginning at 13:27, peaking at $2.307 at 13:36-13:39 with exceptionally high volume (627K-480K).
  • This bullish momentum created a clear resistance zone at $2.307, which was tested multiple times.
  • The final 15 minutes saw profit-taking pressure emerge, with price retracing to $2.300, establishing a short-term support level that aligns with the psychological $2.30 threshold.

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Bitcoin Drops Below $107.5K as Trump Tariff Threat Triggers Crypto Sell-Off

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Bitcoin’s recent pullback has established strong volume-based resistance near $108,300, with support forming in the $106,700-$107,000 zone.

The correction accelerated with a notable price surge from $107,373 to $107,671 between 13:06-13:36, followed by a sharp reversal.

Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin is now trading within a compression zone, trapped between two major fair value gaps that will determine the upcoming market direction.

If bulls reclaim the $109K to $110K area, price could push toward resistance beyond $112K, while a break below $107,000 might test liquidity around $106K.

Technical Analysis Breakdown

  • The decline accelerated during the 22:00-23:00 hour on May 24th with exceptionally high volume (16,335 BTC), establishing a strong volume-based resistance near $108,300.
  • Support has formed in the $106,700-$107,000 zone where buyers emerged during the 09:00-10:00 period on May 25th, though recovery attempts have been modest with price consolidating around $107,500.
  • The overall technical structure suggests a short-term bearish trend with potential for further consolidation before directional clarity emerges.
  • Bitcoin experienced significant volatility with a notable price surge from $107,373 to $107,671 between 13:06-13:36, followed by a sharp reversal that saw prices decline to $107,393 by 14:00.
  • The most substantial price movement occurred during the 13:35 minute candle where BTC jumped nearly $150 with exceptionally high volume (148.76 BTC), establishing temporary resistance around $107,630.
  • Support formed near $107,400 where buyers emerged during the final minutes of the period, though the overall technical structure suggests continued consolidation within the broader correction from the $109,239 high.

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