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Markets Today: Crypto Declines as U.S. Index Futures Hold Steady

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The cryptocurrency market experienced broad losses Monday, while U.S. stock index futures held steady ahead of a crucial meeting between European leaders and U.S. President Donald Trump aimed at shaping the future of Ukraine.

Market volatility across multiple asset classes declined sharply as investors looked forward to Federal Reserve Chairman Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium later this week, where he is expected to signal the possibility of rate cuts starting in September.

Bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH), and other major tokens dropped, while the crypto oracle Chainlink’s LINK token held steady. Solana hit a major milestone in transaction speeds. On the macro front, some observers hailed Japan’s plans to approve its first yen-backed stablecoin by the third quarter as a game changer.

«From Tokyo to Wall Street, major players are locking in positions, and it seems the next leg up may be less about hype, and more about positioning in a maturing ecosystem,» Mena Theodorou, a co-founder of crypto exchange Coinstash, said in an email.

Derivatives Positioning

— Omkar Godbole

  • Bitcoin’s price decline since Friday is marked by a steady increase in futures open interest (OI), which has surged to 720,000 BTC, the most since Aug. 2.
  • At the same time, positive funding rates are fading, indicating that bearish short positions are gaining momentum in the market.
  • The same can be said for the ether market, where open interest has increased to 14.34 million ETH, also the highest since Aug. 2.
  • OI in LINK, which has bucked the broader market weakness, reached a record high 68.13 million LINK, alongside annualized funding rates of around 10%. The combination points to investor interest in chasing price gains.
  • On the CME, open interest in Solana futures hovers at a record high of over 4.6 million SOL. However, the annualized three-month premium has declined sharply to 15% from 35% last week. The premium for BTC and ETH remains locked near 10%.
  • Open interest in CME bitcoin futures remains well below July highs, pointing to low participation from institutional traders. The OI here has continued to print lower highs since December, diverging bearishly from the new highs in the spot price.
  • On Deribit, risk reversals out to November expiry showed a bias for put options as the spot price drop spurred demand for downside protection. In ETH’s case, bearishness was pronounced at the short-end.
  • Block flows featured a giant short strangle, involving writing of $4.4K puts and $4.7K calls. The trader collected a premium of $680,000, betting on a rangeplay between $4,040 and $5,020.
  • In BTC’s case, a trader picked up the Sept. 25 expiry put option at $110,000, anticipating a price sell-off.

Token Talk

  • Solana’s on-chain liquidations exceeded wipeouts at centralized exchanges during the weekend slump, with $37.4 million of SOL flushed on the blockchain versus $20.9 million on CEXs. Drift and Hyperliquid carried most of the flow, showing how much perp activity has migrated on-chain.
  • Hyperliquid OI in SOL hit a record $1.2 billion even as Binance volumes slipped. Total OI is back near $5 billion, with whales split: 59 wallets long, 70 short. One standout, “White Whale,” holds a $79 million 20x leveraged long now sitting $1.22 million in the red.
  • Ecosystem fees are back above $1 million a day as Jupiter, Jito and Kamino see fresh inflows. Stablecoins on Solana have crossed $12 billion, with nearly half of new capital migrating in from Ethereum.
  • A Shiba inu (SHIB) whale shifted 3 trillion SHIB (~$38 million) off Coinbase Institutional into cold storage on Aug. 15, signaling conviction over trading. The wallet had no prior history.
  • The move coincided with SHIB’s burn rate jumping nearly 2,000% in 24 hours, with 4.7 million tokens destroyed. Supply compression remains a key narrative for the community.
  • Developers are prepping cross-chain expansion to Base and Solana using Chainlink CCIP alongside a new dev hub and DEX to deepen liquidity. Price action is steady near $0.000013, with technicals pointing to a slow grind higher.

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Business

Strategy Bought $27M in Bitcoin at $123K Before Crypto Crash

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Strategy (MSTR), the world’s largest corporate owner of bitcoin (BTC), appeared to miss out on capitalizing on last week’s market rout to purchase the dip in prices.

According to Monday’s press release, the firm bought 220 BTC at an average price of $123,561. The company used the proceeds of selling its various preferred stocks (STRF, STRK, STRD), raising $27.3 million.

That purchase price was well above the prices the largest crypto changed hands in the second half of the week. Bitcoin nosedived from above $123,000 on Thursday to as low as $103,000 on late Friday during one, if not the worst crypto flash crash on record, liquidating over $19 billion in leveraged positions.

That move occurred as Trump said to impose a 100% increase in tariffs against Chinese goods as a retaliation for tightening rare earth metal exports, reigniting fears of a trade war between the two world powers.

At its lowest point on Friday, BTC traded nearly 16% lower than the average of Strategy’s recent purchase price. Even during the swift rebound over the weekend, the firm could have bought tokens between $110,000 and $115,000, at a 7%-10% discount compared to what it paid for.

With the latest purchase, the firm brought its total holdings to 640,250 BTC, at an average acquisition price of $73,000 since starting its bitcoin treasury plan in 2020.

MSTR, the firm’s common stock, was up 2.5% on Monday.

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Business

HBAR Rises Past Key Resistance After Explosive Decline

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HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph) experienced pronounced volatility in the final hour of trading on Oct. 13, soaring from $0.187 to a peak of $0.191—a 2.14% intraday gain—before consolidating around $0.190.

The move was driven by a dramatic surge in trading activity, with a standout 15.65 million tokens exchanged at 13:31, signaling strong institutional participation. This decisive volume breakout propelled the asset beyond its prior resistance range of $0.190–$0.191, establishing a new technical footing amid bullish momentum.

The surge capped a broader 23-hour rally from Oct. 12 to 13, during which HBAR advanced roughly 9% within a $0.17–$0.19 bandwidth. This sustained upward trajectory was characterized by consistent volume inflows and a firm recovery from earlier lows near $0.17, underscoring robust market conviction. The asset’s ability to preserve support above $0.18 throughout the period reinforced confidence among traders eyeing continued bullish action.

Strong institutional engagement was evident as consecutive high-volume intervals extended through the breakout window, suggesting renewed accumulation and positioning for potential continuation. HBAR’s price structure now shows resilient support around $0.189–$0.190, signaling the possibility of further upside if momentum persists and broader market conditions remain favorable.

HBAR/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators Highlight Bullish Sentiment
  • HBAR operated within a $0.017 bandwidth (9%) spanning $0.174 and $0.191 throughout the previous 23-hour period from 12 October 15:00 to 13 October 14:00.
  • Substantial volume surges reaching 179.54 million and 182.77 million during 11:00 and 13:00 sessions on 13 October validated positive market sentiment.
  • Critical resistance materialized at $0.190-$0.191 thresholds where price movements encountered persistent selling activity.
  • The $0.183-$0.184 territory established dependable support through volume-supported bounces.
  • Extraordinary volume explosion at 13:31 registering 15.65 million units signaled decisive breakout event.
  • High-volume intervals surpassing 10 million units through 13:35 substantiated significant institutional engagement.
  • Asset preserved support above $0.189 despite moderate profit-taking activity.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Crypto Markets Today: Bitcoin and Altcoins Recover After $500B Crash

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The crypto market staged a recovery on Monday following the weekend’s $500 billion bloodbath that resulted in a $10 billion drop in open interest.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 1.4% while ether (ETH) outperformed with a 2.5% gain. Synthetix (SNX, meanwhile, stole the show with a 120% rally as traders anticipate «perpetual wars» between the decentralized trading venue and HyperLiquid.

Plasma (XPL) and aster (ASTER) both failed to benefit from Monday’s recovery, losing 4.2% and 2.5% respectively.

Derivatives Positioning

  • The BTC futures market has stabilized after a volatile period. Open interest, which had dropped from $33 billion to $23 billion over the weekend, has now settled at around $26 billion. Similarly, the 3-month annualized basis has rebounded to the 6-7% range, after dipping to 4-5% over the weekend, indicating that the bullish sentiment has largely returned. However, funding rates remain a key area of divergence; while Bybit and Hyperliquid have settled around 10%, Binance’s rate is negative.
  • The BTC options market is showing a renewed bullish lean. The 24-hour Put/Call Volume has shifted to be more in favor of calls, now at over 56%. Additionally, the 1-week 25 Delta Skew has risen to 2.5% after a period of flatness.
  • These metrics indicate a market with increasing demand for bullish exposure and upside protection, reflecting a shift away from the recent «cautious neutrality.»
  • Coinglass data shows $620 million in 24 hour liquidations, with a 34-66 split between longs and shorts. ETH ($218 million), BTC ($124 million) and SOL ($43 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations. Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $116,620 as a core liquidation level to monitor, in case of a price rise.

Token Talk

By Oliver Knight

  • The crypto market kicked off Monday with a rebound in the wake of a sharp weekend leverage flush. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market cap climbed roughly 5.7% in the past 24 hours, with volume jumping about 26.8%, suggesting those liquidated at the weekend are repurchasing their positions.
  • A total of $19 billion worth of derivatives positions were wiped out over the weekend with the vast majority being attributed to those holding long positions, in the past 24 hours, however, $626 billion was liquidated with $420 billion of that being on the short side, demonstrating a reversal in sentiment, according to CoinGlass.
  • The recovery has been tentative so far; the dominance of Bitcoin remains elevated at about 58.45%, down modestly from recent highs, which implies altcoins may still lag as capital piles back into safer large-cap names.
  • The big winner of Monday’s recovery was synthetix (SNX), which rose by more than 120% ahead of a crypto trading competition that will see it potentially start up «perpetual wars» with HyperLiquid.
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