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House’s Crypto Markets Bill on Track, But Some in Industry Hope For Senate Overhaul

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Crypto industry insiders so far expect the long-awaited House of Representatives bill to set up rules for U.S. crypto markets will garner at least 30 Democrat voters when it reaches time for a vote as soon as Wednesday afternoon, alongside the 220-member majority of Republicans in the chamber.

Even as much of the sector prepares to celebrate one of its most consequential legislative wins, some in the industry still want to fix what they see as serious flaws in the Digital Asset Markets Clarity Act when it moves to the Senate. That may be an option, because crypto lobbyists have been advised by Senate contacts that the chamber expects to write its own bill, which will have some strong overlap with Clarity but may take different approaches in key areas.

«After years of regulatory unclarity and regulation by enforcement, the Clarity Act passing the House will be a major and welcome step, even if it isn’t perfect,» Chen Arad, co-founder and chief experience officer at Solidus Labs, said in a statement to CoinDesk. When the bill gets to the Senate, he said he’d expect more work on «jurisdictional clarity» between the regulators — the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Behind the scenes, in venues including group phone calls among crypto executives and their lawmakers allies, leaders have urged the diverse crypto crowd to show a united front on the legislation to finally establish U.S. regulations for the industry, according to people familiar with the discussions. But the decentralized finance (DeFi) arm of the digital assets space — for one — has had significant reservations about the wording of the Clarity Act.

If the legislation passes with a bipartisan surge this week, it next heads to the Senate for consideration. House Republicans took to calling this «Crypto Week,» and they’re already moving on procedural votes Tuesday to tee up the more consequential bill votes, with the Clarity Act expected on Wednesday and the GENIUS Act on Thursday.

President Donald Trump urged Republicans to get behind the crypto legislative push on Tuesday, boasting in a post on Truth Social that it’s putting the U.S. ahead of foreign competitors in China and Europe.

«We are leading the World, and will work hard with the Senate and the House to get even more Legislation on this passed!» Trump concluded.

Senate do-over?

The lengthy Clarity Act would establish a wholly new regulatory regime for oversight of the crypto markets, setting clear definitions for different types of digital assets and assigning the watchdog agencies to specific roles — most notably elevating the CFTC as a primary regulator of most of the crypto sector’s trading, because its most popular asset (BTC) is a commodity.

While Senate Banking Committee Chairman Tim Scott has said the Clarity Act will be a «strong template» for the Senate’s work, the Senate demonstrated with the other major crypto bill, the stablecoin-regulating Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act, that it may favor its own version. House lawmakers openly expressed concerns as recently as Monday night that details of their Clarity Act will be ignored by their Senate counterparts. Last week, the House acknowledged it would dump its own stablecoin bill in favor of the Senate version rather than try to reconcile the two pieces of legislation.

Industry lobbyists have been eagerly awaiting the specific language of the Senate’s own market structure bill, having so far only received a list of principles the key Republican lawmakers intended to follow in its drafting. As the lobbyists wait, the Senate Agriculture Committee — one of the two panels that needs to sign off on the legislation — is holding its opening hearing on the topic on Tuesday afternoon.

Among the points of debate between the chambers may be the maturity test in the Clarity Act that would effectively draw a border delineating whether a project belongs under the securities jurisdiction (SEC) or commodities oversight (CFTC).

«It’s great that the bill encourages blockchains to decentralize,» said Linda Jeng, founder and CEO of Digital Self Labs and an academic who has focused on crypto. «But there could be unintended consequences granting the SEC and CFTC with the authority to determine if a blockchain is ‘mature.'»

That’s one of the central tenets of the Clarity Act, the method by which a project can eventually move into a decentralized status that pulls it out of the reach of securities regulation. And it’s a component that some within the DeFi space argue isn’t being handled fairly.

DeFi insiders told CoinDesk that there’s insufficient protection for self-custody of digital assets in the bill and that its maturity test would favor a few incumbent projects, making it harder for new entrants to compete. They also shared concerns about the need to make sure federal preemption over the patchwork of state rules is clear, and one executive called for expanding current language about exemptions for «digital commodity» transactions to be expanded to «digital assets,» because DeFi projects would struggle if they were required to pre-determine whether each action did or didn’t involve a commodity under the law’s definition.

When the Senate takes the reins, the chamber will be further deluged with crypto interests looking for such changes. And if it writes a different market structure bill, the House may be pressured to vote on that rewrite without making further changes, if the situation with the GENIUS Act repeats. Congress is already likely to press past Trump’s initial August deadline for crypto legislation, and the president has been eager for results.

In the end, even the Senate’s work won’t be the last word, because once a regulatory bill becomes law, the relevant watchdog agencies have to write their own rules to implement it — a complex process that can take more than a year to complete and longer to put it into effect.

But the House has to act first before any of the rest can begin.

House progress

As the Clarity Act vote approaches, digital assets lobbyists are laser-focused on the number of Democrats that ultimately add their yes votes with Republicans. During last year’s vote on the predecessor bill, the Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21), 71 Democrats threw their hats in, though the Senate never acted.

This time, advocates hope for another big, bipartisan number that will give the Senate a hefty push on the House’s market structure ideas. (The Senate’s own GENIUS Act drew an impressive 68-30 approval in a chamber that’s accustomed to scraping by with razor-thin votes.)

House Democratic leaders have chosen not to erect a roadblock for their own members on this bill, so they’ll be free to vote as they wish, said Rashan Colbert, the U.S. policy director for the Crypto Council for Innovation, noting it as an important development removing headwinds from crypto-friendly Democrats.

«If we can get an overwhelming bipartisan vote here, then this clearly becomes a must-do priority,» Colbert said in a CoinDesk interview. «If it’s a disappointing number, then I think it becomes harder,» he added.Representative Maxine Waters, the ranking Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, has been trying to marshal a resistance to the bill. She has some prominent allies in the AFL-CIO and in the North American Securities Administrators Association, the organization of state-level securities regulators.

Consumer advocates have also weighed in, with a coalition of them saying in a letter to Congress that the Clarity Act «guarantees the crypto industry will be given kid-glove treatment by captured regulators, putting investors and the economy at significant risk.»

Still, the industry is counting on a wide margin of Democrat support — especially from younger Democrats that have routinely bucked their leadership on crypto matters.

«It was a long road to get here, and I think that it’s not practical to believe that we’re going to be able to spin up this type of momentum again,» CCI’s Colbert said. «For those who want regulation, this is an important moment to focus and be supportive of the process.»

Read More: House Gears Up for Crypto Market Structure Vote on Wednesday, Stablecoins Thursday

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Wall Street Bank Citigroup Sees Ether Falling to $4,300 by Year-End

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Wall Street giant Citigroup (C) has launched new ether (ETH) forecasts, calling for $4,300 by year-end, which would be a decline from the current $4,515.

That’s the base case though. The bank’s full assessment is wide enough to drive an army regiment through, with the bull case being $6,400 and the bear case $2,200.

The bank analysts said network activity remains the key driver of ether’s value, but much of the recent growth has been on layer-2s, where value “pass-through” to Ethereum’s base layer is unclear.

Citi assumes just 30% of layer-2 activity contributes to ether’s valuation, putting current prices above its activity-based model, likely due to strong inflows and excitement around tokenization and stablecoins.

A layer 1 network is the base layer, or the underlying infrastructure of a blockchain. Layer 2 refers to a set of off-chain systems or separate blockchains built on top of layer 1s.

Exchange-traded fund (ETF) flows, though smaller than bitcoin’s (BTC), have a bigger price impact per dollar, but Citi expects them to remain limited given ether’s smaller market cap and lower visibility with new investors.

Macro factors are seen adding only modest support. With equities already near the bank’s S&P 500 6,600 target, the analysts do not expect major upside from risk assets.

Read more: Ether Bigger Beneficiary of Digital Asset Treasuries Than Bitcoin or Solana: StanChart

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XLM Sees Heavy Volatility as Institutional Selling Weighs on Price

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Stellar’s XLM token endured sharp swings over the past 24 hours, tumbling 3% as institutional selling pressure dominated order books. The asset declined from $0.39 to $0.38 between September 14 at 15:00 and September 15 at 14:00, with trading volumes peaking at 101.32 million—nearly triple its 24-hour average. The heaviest liquidation struck during the morning hours of September 15, when XLM collapsed from $0.395 to $0.376 within two hours, establishing $0.395 as firm resistance while tentative support formed near $0.375.

Despite the broader downtrend, intraday action highlighted moments of resilience. From 13:15 to 14:14 on September 15, XLM staged a brief recovery, jumping from $0.378 to a session high of $0.383 before closing the hour at $0.380. Trading volume surged above 10 million units during this window, with 3.45 million changing hands in a single minute as bulls attempted to push past resistance. While sellers capped momentum, the consolidation zone around $0.380–$0.381 now represents a potential support base.

Market dynamics suggest distribution patterns consistent with institutional profit-taking. The persistent supply overhead has reinforced resistance at $0.395, where repeated rally attempts have failed, while the emergence of support near $0.375 reflects opportunistic buying during liquidation waves. For traders, the $0.375–$0.395 band has become the key battleground that will define near-term direction.

XLM/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators
  • XLM retreated 3% from $0.39 to $0.38 during the previous 24-hours from 14 September 15:00 to 15 September 14:00.
  • Trading volume peaked at 101.32 million during the 08:00 hour, nearly triple the 24-hour average of 24.47 million.
  • Strong resistance established around $0.395 level during morning selloff.
  • Key support emerged near $0.375 where buying interest materialized.
  • Price range of $0.019 representing 5% volatility between peak and trough.
  • Recovery attempts reached $0.383 by 13:00 before encountering selling pressure.
  • Consolidation pattern formed around $0.380-$0.381 zone suggesting new support level.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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HBAR Tumbles 5% as Institutional Investors Trigger Mass Selloff

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Hedera Hashgraph’s HBAR token endured steep losses over a volatile 24-hour window between September 14 and 15, falling 5% from $0.24 to $0.23. The token’s trading range expanded by $0.01 — a move often linked to outsized institutional activity — as heavy corporate selling overwhelmed support levels. The sharpest move came between 07:00 and 08:00 UTC on September 15, when concentrated liquidation drove prices lower after days of resistance around $0.24.

Institutional trading volumes surged during the session, with more than 126 million tokens changing hands on the morning of September 15 — nearly three times the norm for corporate flows. Market participants attributed the spike to portfolio rebalancing by large stakeholders, with enterprise adoption jitters and mounting regulatory scrutiny providing the backdrop for the selloff.

Recovery efforts briefly emerged during the final hour of trading, when corporate buyers tested the $0.24 level before retreating. Between 13:32 and 13:35 UTC, one accumulation push saw 2.47 million tokens deployed in an effort to establish a price floor. Still, buying momentum ultimately faltered, with HBAR settling back into support at $0.23.

The turbulence underscores the token’s vulnerability to institutional distribution events. Analysts point to the failed breakout above $0.24 as confirmation of fresh resistance, with $0.23 now serving as the critical support zone. The surge in volume suggests major corporate participants are repositioning ahead of regulatory shifts, leaving HBAR’s near-term outlook dependent on whether enterprise buyers can mount sustained defenses above key support.

HBAR/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators Summary
  • Corporate resistance levels crystallized at $0.24 where institutional selling pressure consistently overwhelmed enterprise buying interest across multiple trading sessions.
  • Institutional support structures emerged around $0.23 levels where corporate buying programs have systematically absorbed selling pressure from retail and smaller institutional participants.
  • The unprecedented trading volume surge to 126.38 million tokens during the 08:00 morning session reflects enterprise-scale distribution strategies that overwhelmed corporate demand across major trading platforms.
  • Subsequent institutional momentum proved unsustainable as systematic selling pressure resumed between 13:37-13:44, driving corporate participants back toward $0.23 support zones with sustained volumes exceeding 1 million tokens, indicating ongoing institutional distribution.
  • Final trading periods exhibited diminishing corporate activity with zero recorded volume between 13:13-14:14, suggesting institutional participants adopted defensive positioning strategies as HBAR consolidated at $0.23 amid enterprise uncertainty.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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