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Erdogan Rival’s Arrest Sends Lira to Record Low, Bitcoin-TRY Volume Surging on Binance

The Turkish lira (TRY) fell to a record low against the dollar following the surprise arrest of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s rival and Istanbul mayor Ekrem Imamoglu.
The currency slumped a record of nearly 41 per U.S. dollar, a 10% slide on the day. The volatility saw a sharp rise in trading volumes in the bitcoin-lira (BTC/TRY) pair on leading cryptocurrency exchange Binance.
Imamoglu’s Republican People’s Party (CHP) described the arrest as a coup to replace the will of the people. The party was set to hold a primary election next week, with Imamoglu widely expected to emerge as the presidential candidate.
On Binance, the BTC/TRY pair saw 93 BTC change hands between 7:00 UTC and 8:00 UTC, according to data source TradingView. That’s the highest hourly volume in at least a year.
Still, when adjusted for the lira’s exchange rate, BTC traded at a massive discount to prices on Coinbase (COIN).
It’s possible traders sold BTC/TRY to move money into dollar-linked assets like USDT, the largest stablecoin. CoinDesk reached out to Binance for a comment on the matter.
Fiat-currency volatility is not new to Turkey and over the years it has galvanized demand for hard assets like gold and alternative assets like stablecoins and cryptocurrencies. The lira has consistently depreciated since at least 2017, when it 3.53 to the dollar.
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XRP Zooms 10% as Garlinghouse Says SEC is Dropping Case Against Ripple

XRP jumped 10% on Wednesday during U.S. morning hours as Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to drop its appeal against Ripple, the company closely adjacent to XRP tokens
«This is it – the moment we’ve been waiting for. The SEC will drop its appeal,» Garlinghosue posted on X. «A resounding victory for Ripple, for crypto, every way you look at it.»
Reports last week alleged that the long-standing legal battle between Ripple and the U.S. agency is nearing its end. The SEC’s lawsuit against the crypto company, which Garlinghouse described as the «first major shots fired in the war on crypto,» had resulted in $15 billion in losses for holders of XRP.
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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: Index Rises 3.4% as All Assets Trade Higher

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2652.8, up 3.4% (+86.98) since 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.
All 20 assets are trading higher.
Leaders: NEAR (+7.3%) and AAVE (+6.1%).
Laggards: BCH (+1.9%) and BTC (+2.0%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
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Bitcoin, Ether, Solana Likely to See 3%- 5% Price Swings on FOMC Rate Decision, Volmex’s Data Suggests

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy-making body, is slated to publish its rate review later in the day, along with growth and inflation projections and interest rate forecast.
The widely-watched event is likely to breed crypto market volatility, spurring 3% to 5% price swings in bitcoin (BTC), ether (ETH) and solana (SOL). That’s the message from Volmex’s one-day implied volatility indices tied to BTC, ETH and SOL.
At 12:30 UTC, the bitcoin one-day IV index (BVIV) signaled an annualized volatility of 63.32%, equating to an expected 24-hour price swing of 3.31%. The daily move is calculated by dividing the annualized figure by the square root of 365, the total number of trading days in a year.
Similarly, ether and solana volatility indices suggested 24-hour price swings of 5.25% and 5.73%, respectively.
These figures might be scary for equity or currency traders but do not represent a major deviation from the normal in the crypto market. In other words, the Fed event, though pivotal, is unlikely to result in an immediate volatility explosion.
The central bank is widely expected to keep the benchmark borrowing cost steady while signaling an end of its prolonged quantitive tightening program. However, gains in risk assets may be tempered by a potential stagflationary adjustment in the summary of economic projections.
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