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Dogecoin, Cardano’s ADA Lead Market Gains as Bitcoin Traders Eye Next Fed Meeting

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Bitcoin (BTC) flirted with $100,000 Thursday as major cryptocurrencies including dogecoin (DOGE) and Cardano’s ADA led crypto market gains, boosted by dovish signals from the Federal Reserve and a pending trade deal teased by U.S. President Donald Trump.

DOGE added 5% and ADA jumped 4%, while ether (ETH), BNB Chain’s BNB, xrp (XRP) and Solana’s SOL gained 2%-3%. The broad-based CoinDesk 20 (CD20), a liquid index tracking the largest tokens, rose 2.2%.

In a social media post late Wednesday, Trump said the U.S. will unveil a “big” trade deal with a “highly respected country” at a press conference slated for 10 a.m. ET. Bloomberg, the Financial Times and New York Times all identified the country as the U.K.

The announcement would mark the start of “many” such deals, Trump added, raising speculation that months of tariff-fueled uncertainty is set to ease, possibly reviving risk appetite across global markets.

Tariff concerns have rocked equities and commodities in recent weeks. Any resolution that improves cost dynamics for U.S. businesses could serve as a tailwind for risk assets, including crypto.

Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday was no surprise, though it left markets divided on when cuts might begin.

The CME FedWatch Tool shows probabilities for a July cut to the 4.00%-4.25% range at 55%, even as traders priced in a cumulative 100 basis points of easing by year-end.

“Bitcoin is inching back up to $100k with the steady Fed rate decision and the topic of future rate cuts having more consideration by traders,” said Semir Gabeljic, head of Pythagoras Investments. “Based on the current administration’s pressure on the Fed chair, anything is a possibility—uncertainty is the only certainty.”

Other observers warned that policymakers could be walking into a period of stagflation, which occurs when high inflation, stagnant economic growth and rising unemployment occur simultaneously — considered highly detrimental for a healthy economy.

“The Federal Reserve faces an intensifying policy dilemma that threatens both sides of its dual mandate,” said Gabe Selby, head of research at CF Benchmarks, told CoinDesk in a message.

“With businesses largely passing rising tariff costs onto consumers … inflation is expected to reaccelerate over the next six months, while labor market indicators point to a deteriorating employment outlook,” Selby said.

Selby added that while CF Benchmarks still anticipates “around 100bps of rate cuts by year-end,” the Fed could err by acting too late, risking further economic pain.

“In this volatile macro backdrop, bitcoin has clearly emerged as a key beneficiary,” Selby noted, citing record inflows into U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs, including BlackRock’s IBIT, which has seen $4.3 billion in inflows over the past month.

Meanwhile, Jupiter Zheng, a partner at HashKey Capital, said BTC’s recent price moves are part of a broader structural shift.

“Bitcoin’s rise is a testament to its hedge against macroeconomic and geopolitical volatility,” Zheng said. “Investors increasingly view crypto as a core part of resilient portfolios.”

Read more: Fed Stagflation Risk Signal Could Be Bullish for Bitcoin, Analyst Says

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Trump’s Memecoin Dinner Questioned by Top Democrat on House Judiciary Committee

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A senior Democrat in the House of Representatives, Jamie Raskin, joined his name to lawmakers seeking answers about President Donald Trump’s recent dinner for top investors in his memecoin, sending questions directly to Trump.

Raskin, the ranking Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, has been a vocal critic of the president and becomes the latest of many from his party to probe details about the event, which they’ve called out as evidence of White House corruption. Because Raskin is in the minority party, his demands are unlikely to lead to further congressional action unless they regain the House or Senate in next year’s elections.

«I write today to demand that you release the names of all the attendees at this dinner and provide information about the source of the money they each used to buy $TRUMP coins, so that we can prevent illegal foreign government emoluments from being pocketed without congressional consent,» Raskin wrote this week to the president, joining many counterparts in the Senate in seeking the information, including Senators Elizabeth Warren, Chris Murphy and Richard Blumenthal.

«We deserve to know who is paying for access to our president, and what steps you took to ensure that the funds you receive are legitimate and legal, rather than the proceeds from foreign states or monarchs or illegal activities,» Rasking said, specifically highlighting Tron founder Justin Sun, a guest who was a major early investor in Trump’s family crypto operations.

Read More: Democrats Threaten Lawsuits, Join Protests Ahead of Trump Memecoin Dinner

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FTX Repayments May Have Positive Market Impact: Coinbase

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The FTX Recovery Trust will begin distributing over $5 billion in cash and stablecoins to creditors starting on Friday, with funds expected to land in accounts within the next three business days via BitGo and Kraken.

And there’s a chance this wave of repayments will help lift the crypto market, analysts at Coinbase wrote in a report on Friday.

It’s the second major round of repayments following the exchange’s collapse. The first, which began on Feb. 18, returned roughly $7 billion to creditors with claims under $50,000. That did little to lift broader crypto markets at the time, which remained under pressure from macro headwinds.

This latest wave of distributions comes as investor sentiment has shifted, the analysts said. Payments will arrive in stablecoins, offering recipients immediate on-chain liquidity, instead of cash and crypto. That could influence whether the funds are reinvested.

There’s also a broader sense of optimism in crypto markets, thanks in part to a rally in major assets and increased political clarity around regulation. Institutional players, in particular, may feel more comfortable acting on incoming funds, especially as Congress moves closer to passing legislation that would define the roles of U.S. regulators overseeing digital assets.

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Judge Declines to Order DOJ to Review Records in Roman Storm Case

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The federal judge overseeing Roman Storm’s prosecution declined to order the Department of Justice to review its records for any materials it might have missed that would help the Tornado Cash developer at the end of a 30-minute hearing Friday morning, though she told the government it should not have any disclosure issues.

Judge Katherine Polk Failla also ruled that there were no Brady violation concerns with the Department of Justice’s conversations with the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) about whether mixers needed to register as money transmitters — the conversation that prosecutors pursuing Samourai Wallet developers had with FinCEN officials, but not the prosecutors on Storm’s case — one of the DOJ representatives said in the phone conference on Friday.

If the judge had found that prosecutors had withheld information, it could affect the case moving forward.

«I’m not going to require a further review based on the representations made that there’s no additional material of this type, and based on my views that I don’t believe the material was exculpatory,» she said.

«There’s a difference between ‘this is something I’d like to know’ and ‘this is a Brady violation,'» the judge said, referring to a Supreme Court precedent that requires prosecutors to share any and all information that might help a defendant with the defendant’s team.

Storm’s defense attorneys argued during the hearing that they needed to know when the prosecutors in their case learned about the FinCEN conversation.

«They do plan to say they’re charging a conspiracy to operate an unlicensed money transmitter,» said defense attorney Brian Klein. «My question is who are they supposed to be licensed with? … this is all in the same issue. They’ve only dropped one subpart … but they’re still going to say they’re charging an unlicensed money business.»

Thane Rehn, a prosecutor who worked on the DOJ case against Sam Bankman-Fried, said that his team wouldn’t argue that Tornado Cash needed to secure a license.

«The word ‘license’ doesn’t apply here and the jury won’t be instructed on licensing issues … what we intend to prove at trial is the defendant knew they were transmitting funds derived from criminals,» he said.

The judge did at multiple points ask the prosecutors if they planned to change any other theories or charges in the weeks leading up to the trial, saying doing so might be unfair to the defense. The trial is supposed to kick off in less than two months.

Read more: DOJ Will Still Pursue Roman Storm Case Despite Blanche Memo, Prosecutors Say

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