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DOGE, XRP Down 3% as Bitcoin Traders Eye Wednesday Fed Decision

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The crypto market was little changed-to-lower on Tuesday, with dogecoin (DOGE) and XRP leading declines among major tokens with losses of just over 3% in the past 24 hours. The CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broader crypto market, fell 2%.

The lack of volatility comes as bitcoin (BTC) traders largely brace for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting scheduled for Wednesday, which could set the tone for monetary policy and influence risk assets including cryptocurrencies.

The Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates — widely expected to remain unchanged at 4.25%–4.50% — and any comments from Chair Jerome Powell could sway investor sentiment. A hawkish stance, signaling tighter policy or a slower path to rate cuts, might pressure bitcoin and lead to more pronounced losses in altcoins. Conversely, a dovish tilt hinting at future easing could spark a relief rally.

“A rate cut this Wednesday remains highly unlikely as the U.S. pivots away from fiscal dominance, where government spending fueled growth, toward [President Donald] Trump’s push for deficit reduction,” traders from QCP Capital shared in a broadcast message Tuesday. “The shift puts the burden back on monetary policy. While we do not anticipate a surprise cut, any dovish signal from Powell could be the catalyst that sparks upside momentum.

“Capital may be rotating out of Trump-driven momentum trades like NASDAQ and Bitcoin and into long-overlooked European and Chinese markets. Historically, crypto prices have lagged shifts in global liquidity conditions,” QCP Capital traders added.

Agne Linge of WeFi noted that broader market volatility remains elevated, with the crypto fear and greed index at 22 — indicating «extreme fear» — as investors grapple with uncertainties around inflation, trade wars, and geopolitical tensions.

“In the United States, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite recorded their fourth consecutive weekly declines last week, with the Dow Jones dropping by 3.1% to record its worst weekly turnover in about 24 months. While the previous week saw an unusual drawdown, more uncertainty lies ahead for the rest of the month,” Linge said, noting any macroeconomic headwinds could ultimately weigh down bitcoin prices.

At Bitget Research, chief analyst Ryan Lee said bitcoin remains in a tight range with a move to either $75,000 or $90,000 equally likely, based on how traders react to the U.S. rate decision.

“Bitcoin’s recent pullback has traders watching key support levels between $82,000 and $85,000. It’s a classic post-rally consolidation phase that is healthy but also a test of whether the recent momentum has real staying power,” Lee said in an email to CoinDesk. “Any unexpected FOMC moves could throw a wrench into the market.

“If sentiment turns bearish, we could see Bitcoin dip toward $75,000–$80,000, though a bullish macro backdrop could send it climbing back to $90,000,” he added.

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Crypto Regulatory Clarity Top Catalyst for Industry Growth: Coinbase & EYP Survey

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Crypto market regulatory clarity was cited as the top catalyst for growth in the digital asset industry, according to a survey by crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) and consulting firm EY-Parthenon (EYP).

Coinbase and EY Parthenon surveyed 352 institutional investors between Jan. 13 and Jan. 24 this year.

86% of those surveyed said they had exposure to digital assets or planned to make allocations in 2025, and 84% said they had increased allocations to crypto and crypto-related products in 2024.

59% of respondents said they planned to allocate more than 5% of their assets under management (AUM) to cryptocurrencies in 2025.

An improving regulatory backdrop under Donald Trump’s new administration is viewed as a large tailwind for the digital asset industry. The President has promised to make the U.S. the «crypto capital of the world

Altcoins are also becoming increasingly popular amongst institutional investors, according to the survey. 73% of respondents said they held tokens other than bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH), led by hedge funds at 80%.

About half of those surveyed said they leverage stablecoins, with yield generation, transactions, and foreign exchange cited as the main use cases.

60% of investors said they preferred to gain exposure to crypto via registered vehicles such as exchange-traded products (ETPs).

The survey focused on decision makers in the U.S. and Europe, with some participation from investors worldwide.

Read more: U.S. Crypto Investors Are Still Piling Into Memecoins Despite the Huge Risks: Kraken

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21Shares Polkadot ETF Plan Progresses With Nasdaq Filing for Listing Approval

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Nasdaq officially asked the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to allow Swiss asset manager 21Shares list and trade shares of a polkadot (DOT) exchange-traded fund (ETF).

The exchange submitted a 19b-4 filing to the SEC, asking for permission to list the ETF if it is approved by the regulator.

The proposed fund would track the spot price of DOT, the native cryptocurrency of the Polkadot network. The filing follows an amended S-1 form submitted by 21Shares earlier this year, marking another step in the firm’s push to bring more crypto investment products to the market.

21Shares is also seeking regulatory approval for funds linked to XRP and solana’s SOL. The company recently announced it’s set to liquidate two actively managed crypto ETFs amid the market downturn.

Grayscale Investments, a crypto asset-management company, has also filed with the SEC to launch a Polkadot ETF, signaling broader interest in the asset.

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Microsoft Raises Alarm of Malware Targeting Coinbase, MetaMask Wallets

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Tech giant Microsoft shared a new report warning of malware that targets 20 of the most popular cryptocurrency wallets used with the Google Chrome extension.

Microsoft’s Incident Response researchers raised alarms of a new remote access trojan (RAT), dubbed StilachiRAT, which could deploy “sophisticated techniques to evade detection, persist in the target environment, and exfiltrate sensitive data,” the team shared in a blog post.

According to the team, the malware was discovered in November 2024, and it could steal users’ wallet information, and any credentials, including usernames and passwords, stored in their Google Chrome browser. StilachiRAT targets 20 crypto wallets including some of the most widely-used ones like MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet, Phantom, OKX Wallet, and BNB Chain Wallet.

While the malware has not been distributed widely, Microsoft did share that it has not been able to identify what entity is behind the threat and laid out some mitigation guidelines for current targets including installing antivirus software.

“Due to its stealth capabilities and the rapid changes within the malware ecosystem, we are sharing these findings as part of our ongoing efforts to monitor, analyze, and report on the evolving threat landscape,” the team wrote.

Read more: Microsoft Shareholders Vote Down Bitcoin Treasury Proposal

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