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DOGE Rebounds From $0.21 Floor, Cup-and-Handle Pattern Targets $0.30

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News Background

  • Dogecoin fell 5% in the 24-hour period from Aug. 28 at 09:00 to Aug. 29 at 08:00, tracking broader risk-asset weakness.
  • Between Aug. 24–25, an unknown whale shifted 900 million DOGE (~$200 million) to Binance wallets, fueling concerns of distribution and triggering market volatility.
  • Open interest in DOGE futures slipped 8% after the inflows, reflecting lighter speculative positioning.
  • On-chain data shows whales continue to build exposure, with 680 million DOGE accumulated in August, signaling institutional demand despite retail selling.
  • Dogecoin’s network fundamentals remain firm, with hashrate climbing above 2.9 petahashes per second, underscoring mining security at record levels.

Price Action Summary

  • DOGE dropped from $0.22 to $0.21 in the 24-hour trading window, a 5% decline across a $0.011 (≈3%) range between $0.23 and $0.21.
  • The sharpest move occurred at 07:24–08:23 GMT on Aug. 29, when DOGE fell 0.57% from $0.22 to $0.21 on a 27.36 million volume spike at 08:20.
  • Mid-session flows of 626.3 million tokens coincided with the $0.22 breakdown, cementing $0.21 as immediate support.
  • Despite pressure, the token consolidated near $0.21 into session close, suggesting stabilization after heavy liquidation.

Technical Analysis

  • Support: $0.21 holds as the primary floor; breach risks extension to $0.20.
  • Resistance: $0.23 remains the short-term ceiling after repeated rejections.
  • Momentum: RSI hovers near mid-40s, reflecting neutral-to-bearish bias.
  • MACD: Bearish divergence persists, with no confirmed crossover yet.
  • Patterns: Tight $0.21–$0.23 consolidation suggests compression phase; direction will hinge on resolution of whale flows.
  • Volume: Elevated 626.3 million during the $0.22 breakdown signals continued institutional distribution.

What Traders Are Watching

  • Whether $0.21 support can hold under ongoing whale selling.
  • Breakout above $0.23 could open path toward $0.25–$0.30.
  • Signs of renewed institutional accumulation as whales move supply onto exchanges.
  • Futures open interest trends after the 8% drop, a key signal for leveraged demand.
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