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Crypto’s U.S. Banking Problem Likely Among the First Things Tackled Under Trump
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When inauguration day rolls around in the U.S., the first policy domino to topple could be the industry’s banking roadblocks, though the White House may be the wrong place to watch for the most consequential action.
The crypto industry will surely cheer loudly over some of the executive-order fireworks when President-elect Donald Trump is sworn in, which could reportedly include directives on crypto, but such orders can be more smoke than fire. (President Joe Biden, after all, issued a crypto order in 2022 instructing the federal government to get a better handle on crypto.)
While the White House touts its vision for the direction of crypto policy, the concrete steps will be taken at the regulatory agencies, such as the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. These are nominally independent regulators, but they’ll have new leadership closely aligned with Trump’s view, even if there’s a delay in confirming the permanent agency chiefs.
At the SEC, former Commissioner Paul Atkins is on deck to receive his formal nomination to take over. But the conservative SEC veteran may be jammed amid the potential bottleneck of Senate confirmations, where the most urgent appointees, such as the new secretary of the Treasury, will be first in line.
On January 21, the day after the inauguration, the commission will have just three members — two Republicans and a Democrat. Trump will be able to name one of the two sitting Republicans as acting chair, just as Biden had named Allison Herren Lee to that role on January 21, 2021, at the start of his presidency. Both Republican commissioners, Mark Uyeda and Hester Peirce, once served Atkins as his SEC counsels, so they’re likely to be on the same page as him, anyway.
Some expect Commissioner Uyeda to get the nod to be acting chair, and there’s a change he could immediately make that would have massive ramifications for crypto banking. He’s said he favors erasing the controversial Staff Accounting Bulletin No. 121 (SAB 121) that effectively demands banks treat their customers’ crypto assets as their own, factoring for the tokens on their balance sheets and taking the resulting hit in the capital they need to expensively maintain. A hypothetical Acting Chair Uyeda could direct that bulletin be withdrawn, taking the enforcement pressures off of the big banks that have had to tread lightly into crypto matters.
Commissioner Peirce also openly opposed SAB 121 from inside the agency, issuing a statement that argued, «the SAB does not acknowledge the Commission’s own role in creating the legal and regulatory risks that justify this accounting treatment.» So, if she were to take over, the bulletin could be similarly scrapped.
SAB 121 has been under the gun since its issuance, and Congress rose up last year to strike it from the books in a wide, bipartisan vote to use the Congressional Review Act to reverse the SEC action. But President Biden flexed his veto power to protect the accounting standard.
In a public statement in September, the SEC’s chief accountant, Paul Munter, held the line on SAB 121, saying his accounting staff still felt the same way that a bank’s balance sheets should «reflect its obligation to safeguard the crypto-assets held for others.» But the agency announced on Tuesday that he’d be retiring next week. The overhauled agency will have a new accounting chief.
If the acting chair waits for Atkins to arrive, the former commissioner will be expected to get rid of SAB 121 himself. When his name emerged last month as Trump’s SEC pick, Representative Mike Flood, a Nebraska Republican who led the House charge against the accounting standard, posted on social-media site X that he was looking forward to «working with him to end SAB 121.»
Meanwhile, U.S. banking regulators could quickly issue orders to their squads of bank supervisors that crypto no longer needs to be walled off. At the FDIC, longtime Chairman Martin Gruenberg is expected to depart the day before the inauguration. That puts Republican Vice Chairman Travis Hill at the helm, at least in an interim capacity.
«We expect Hill will advance a proposal that both clarifies that banks can engage in crypto activities and specifies when regulators must first approve an activity,» said Jaret Seiberg, a financial policy analyst at TD Cowen, in a note to clients. «It also likely will include strict deadlines for the FDIC to act.»
Last week, Hill outlined several pro-crypto policy thoughts, contending that the agency «stifled innovation and contributed to a public perception that the FDIC is closed for business if institutions are interested in anything related to blockchain or distributed ledger technology.» He also argued that the FDIC had instigated an inappropriate campaign to sever banking ties for crypto firms and those involved with them.
«I continue to think a much better approach would have been — and remains — for the agencies to clearly and transparently describe for the public what activities are legally permissible and how to conduct them in accordance with safety and soundness standards,» Hill said. «And if regulatory approvals are needed, those must be acted upon in a timely way, which has not been the case in recent years.»
Read More: U.S. Banking Should Ease Path for Crypto, Republican Taking Reins at FDIC Suggests
The FDIC’s restraints on banks’ involvement with crypto are not in the form of rules but of guidance that can be more easily overhauled. There are, however, two other agencies that share the duties of regulating U.S. banks: the Office of the Comptroller (OCC) of the Currency and the Federal Reserve.
The OCC has actually been run by an acting administrator, Michael Hsu, for more than three years. Hsu has said he awaits the new pick to replace him, which is as simple as the president directing his Treasury secretary to name a «first deputy comptroller,» a designation that automatically inserts that person into the acting comptroller role under the OCC rules. Trump had once installed Brian Brooks into that acting duty, where Brooks — a former executive at Coinbase and other crypto companies — quickly moved to blast an entrance into the banking system for crypto firms, including through a novel approach to chartering.
At the Fed, the board’s vice chairman for supervision, Michael Barr, said he’ll step down at the end of February. Barr had been in that role when the Fed issued warnings to the banks it supervises that any crypto activity had to be meticulously run by the regulator before the institutions could move forward. His departure potentially leaves an opening for a future vice chair who wishes to encourage lenders to get into digital assets.
With the old guard heading for the exits at the SEC and the banking agencies, some of the main constraints on crypto banking are especially vulnerable.
Seiberg had added a bit of Washington wisdom to his note, though: «Our caution — with a hat tip to Mike Tyson — is that everyone has a plan until punched in the face.»
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Ethereum ‘Roll Back’ Suggestion Has Sparked Criticism. Here’s Why It Won’t Happen
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On Friday, cryptocurrency exchange Bybit was allegedly hacked by North Korea’s Lazarus group, which drained nearly $1.4 billion in ether (ETH) from the exchange.
Following the hack, Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder and claiming to be a major ether (ETH) holder, wrote a post on X to Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin on whether he will “advocate to roll back the chain to help @Bybit_Official.” Meanwhile, in an X spaces session, Bybit’s CEO Ben Zhou revealed that his team had also reached out to the Ethereum Foundation to see if it was something the network would consider, noting that such a decision should be based on what the network’s community wants.
Hayes’s post immediately provoked a fierce reaction from the Ethereum community, which was firm in its belief that it wouldn’t happen. Some even questioned whether the BitMEX founder was joking. CoinDesk reached out to Hayes over X to clarify his comments.
Ethereum members, like the core developer teams, are vastly against “rolling back” the network because it would override core elements of decentralization. If Buterin decided on his own that it would happen, then that would be seen as the end of Ethereum’s ethos, which heavily involves various developer teams and other community members when it comes to the health and state of the blockchain.
“Rolling back the chain would give ETH no purpose. What’s the point if you can just change rules,” said user @the_weso in a post on X.
Some outside the Ethereum community pointed to the 2016 DAO hack as an example when $60 million in ETH was stolen. The network went forward with a hard fork, splitting the old network into two, and the new chain continued on as Ethereum.
That hard fork was not a “rollback,” though; it was known as an “irregular state transition.” Ethereum technically can’t “roll back” the network because it relies on an account model, where accounts hold users’ ETH.
At the time of the hack, developers upgraded their nodes to a new client or software. Those who didn’t upgrade their nodes were still on the old chain, which became known as Ethereum Classic.
When the nodes upgraded to the new software, the stolen ETH could move from one Ethereum account address to the next.
“The ‘irregular state change’ that they implemented at the time of the DAO hard fork was this: they airlifted all the ETH in the DAO smart contracts out to a refund contract that would send you 1 ETH for every 100 DAO tokens you sent in,” wrote Laura Shin of Unchained in a post on X.
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Bybit Sees Over $4 Billion ‘Bank Run’ After Crypto’s Biggest Hack
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Major cryptocurrency exchange Bybit has seen total outflows of over $5.5 billion after it suffered a near $1.5 billion hack that saw hackers, believed to be from North Korea’s Lazarus Group, drain its ether cold wallet.
The total assets tracked on wallets associated with the exchange plunged from around $16.9 billion to $11.2 billion at the time of writing, according to data from DeFiLlama. The exchange is now looking to understand exactly what happened.
In an X spaces session, Bybit’s CEO Ben Zhou revealed that shortly after the incident, he called for “all hands on deck” to serve their clients with processing withdrawals and responding to inquiries about what was going on.
During the session, Zhou revealed that the security breach saw the hackers make off with roughly 70% of their clients’ ether, which meant that Bybit needed to quickly secure a loan to be able to process withdrawals. Yet, Zhou found that ether wasn’t the most withdrawn token, with most users instead withdrawing stablecoin from Bybit.
The exchange, Zhou noted, has reserves to cover these withdrawals, but the crisis deepened as, in response to the incident, Safe moved to temporarily shut down its smart wallet functionalities to “ensure absolute confidence in our platform’s security.”
Safe is a decentralized custody protocol providing smart contract wallets for digital asset management. Some exchanges integrated Safe, which allows users to maintain custody of their funds and has multisig functionality to enhance the security of their cold wallets.
While the exchange had reserves to back up users’ withdrawals, $3 billion worth of USDT was in a Safe wallet that had just been shut down as the wallet moved to understand the situation, according to Zhou.
On social media, Safe said that while it had «not found evidence that the official Safe frontend was compromised,» it was temporarily shutting down «certain functionalities» out of caution.
While Zhou and Bybit’s team were figuring out how to securely withdraw their $3 billion, withdrawals were mounting. Within two hours of the security breach, the exchange was facing requests to move over $100,000 off its platform, Zhou revealed.
Responding to the situation, Zhou told his security team to engage Safe to “find a better way to get this money out.” The team ended up developing new software with code “based on Etherscan” to verify the signatures “on a very manual level” to move the stablecoins back to their wallet and cover the withdrawal surge.
The exchange’s team had to remain up all night to be able to fulfill withdrawals, according to Zhou. As the exchange managed to move the $3 billion in stablecoin reserves, it was facing a bank run of “about 50%” of all the funds within the exchange.
Zhou said that since the incident, the exchange has moved a significant amount of funds off of Safe cold wallets and is now determining what system it will use to replace Safe.
Pushing to «Roll Back» Ethereum Was not Off the Table
Since the security breach, Bybit has engaged authorities. During the session, Zhou said that the Singaporean authorities took the issue “very seriously” and that he believes it has already been escalated with Interpol.
Blockchain analysis firms, including Chainalysis, were engaged. Zhou said, “As long as Bybit is there and continues to track [the stolen ether], I hope we can get these funds back.”
Notably, he revealed that pushing to «roll back» the Ethereum blockchain, which was suggested by some industry players on social media, including BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes, had been on the table for some time if the community agreed with it.
“I had my team talking to Vitalik and the Ethereum Foundation to see if there’s any recommendations they can offer to help. I do really thank all these guys on Twitter asking if there is a possibility to roll back the chain. I’m not sure what was the response on their side, but anything that would help we would try,” Zhou said.
When asked if «rolling back» the chain is even possible, Zhou responded he doesn’t know. “I’m not sure it’s a one-man decision based on the spirit of blockchain. It should be a work in process to see what the community wants,” he said.
It’s worth noting that a blockchain «rollback» refers to a state change that would allow for the funds to be recovered. While rolling back the Bitcoin blockchain is technically possible, such a state change on Ethereum would be more complex, given its smart contract interactions and state-based architecture.
Nevertheless, any state change would require consensus and likely lead to a contentious hard fork, drawing criticism from the community. This would likely split the Ethereum blockchain into two networks, each with its own supporters.
As for what exactly caused the hack to occur, is still unclear. Per Zhou, Bybit’s laptops have not been compromised. He said the movements of the transaction’s signers have been scrutinized but appear to have been routine.
“We know the cause is definitely around the Safe cold wallet. Whether it’s a problem with our laptops or on Safe’s side, we don’t know.,” Zhou added.
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Binance Research Survey Shows 95% of Latin American Crypto Users Plan to Buy More in 2025
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A vast majority of Latin American cryptocurrency users—95%—plan to expand their holdings in 2025, according to a Binance Research survey of more than 10,000 investors in Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, and Mexico.
The findings show that 40.1% of respondents are expecting to buy more crypto within the next three months, 15.3% are looking to do so in the next six months, and 39.7% within 12 months. Only 4.9% have no plans to keep on investing this year.
Latin America led the world in crypto adoption in 2024, growing by 116%, according to research from payments firm Triple-A quoted in the report. The region now has 55 million cryptocurrency users, making up nearly 10% of total cryptocurrency users.
This rapid expansion has been fueled by rising asset prices, regulatory advancements, and new financial products like spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Brazil has just last week become the first country to approve a spot XRP ETF.
Market performance has also bolstered investor confidence. «Latin America is a rapidly expanding region for the crypto sector, and the results of this research reinforce what we have observed in our operations,” Binance’s regional VP for Latin America, Guilherme Nazar, said.
Binance’s research shows that half of those inquired already use cryptocurrencies for over a year, with most entering the space expecting significant returns and searching for financial freedom.
Portfolio diversification, privacy, and protecting their money were also quoted as motives to invest in the space.
Read more: How a $115M Crypto Fund With Big Ambitions Plans to Invest In Latin America
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