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Crypto Treasury Companies Risk Ignoring Lessons from History, Warns Galaxy

The rapidly-expanding crop of public companies using their stock to accumulate digital asset treasuries ought to trigger lessons from history about the way compounded risks can spread through the financial system and then dramatically unravel, warns a report on the trend by Galaxy Digital.
The growth model of Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs), which now account for over $100 billion in digital assets, critically depends on a persistent equity premium to net asset value (NAV), driven by the up-only trajectory of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum tokens (ETH). If the premium collapses, or worse, flips to a discount, the model begins to break.
Fear of missing out on the Bitcoin treasury play presents an interesting parallel with the rush into investment trusts of the 1920s, a reflexive loop and mass speculative pathology, which saw new trusts launched at a rate of one per day, and Goldman Sachs Trading Corporation became the MicroStrategy of its day.
Explicitly pursuing a business model of accumulating digital assets (usually bitcoin) is a blueprint established by Michael Saylor’s Strategy (MSTR), which began BTC accumulation in 2020; other large entrants to the DATCO space are Metaplanet (3350.T) and SharpLink Gaming (SBET).
If one or two companies pursue this route in isolation, it may not matter much to the broader ecosystem, Galaxy said in its report, but ten or so firms a week are now crowding into this trade. These DATCOs are largely correlated, both to each other and to the underlying cryptoasset markets upon which they are built. If redemptions or buybacks become widespread among firms, that could be the beginning of a larger-scale unwind, Galaxy said.
“By now, the playbook is clear and capital is pouring in. But this is part of the risk. When hundreds of firms adopt the same one-directional trade (raise equity, buy crypto, repeat), it can become structurally fragile. A downturn in any of these three variables (investor sentiment, crypto prices, and capital markets liquidity) can start to unravel the rest,” said the report.
An unwind in the DATCO trade could exert significant downward pressure on digital asset prices themselves. In the same way that inflows from treasury companies have served as a “persistent bid” for bitcoin, outflows driven by redemptions would likely have the opposite effect. At the very least, there could be a halt in net accumulation, Galaxy said.
The DATCO trend may still be some way off reaching crescendo, yet several firms’ stocks are already beginning to flirt with discounts to NAV. In such cases, these companies may start buying back stock to arbitrage the discount, using their digital asset reserves or operational cash. (Already, Bitmine has secured board approval to repurchase up to $1 billion worth of its shares whenever management sees fit to do so.)
One possible result of an unwind is sector consolidation, Galaxy predicts. Larger, better-capitalized players like Strategy (MSTR), still trading at a premium, may begin acquiring smaller DATCOs at NAV discounts. These transactions would effectively allow buyers to acquire BTC at a discount using their own equity. However, this only works as long as the acquirer retains a premium.
“As these firms continue to scale, their influence over digital asset markets grows accordingly. An unwind would weaken the strongest tailwind crypto has had this cycle: the normalization of digital assets on corporate balance sheets,” Galaxy said.
“An unwinding of the DATCO trade could conceivably dull the public equity markets’ appetite for digital asset exposure of any kind, slowing inflows into crypto ETFs, which, all else equal, would weigh on the underlying cryptocurrencies’ prices.”
Business
Strategy Bought $27M in Bitcoin at $123K Before Crypto Crash

Strategy (MSTR), the world’s largest corporate owner of bitcoin (BTC), appeared to miss out on capitalizing on last week’s market rout to purchase the dip in prices.
According to Monday’s press release, the firm bought 220 BTC at an average price of $123,561. The company used the proceeds of selling its various preferred stocks (STRF, STRK, STRD), raising $27.3 million.
That purchase price was well above the prices the largest crypto changed hands in the second half of the week. Bitcoin nosedived from above $123,000 on Thursday to as low as $103,000 on late Friday during one, if not the worst crypto flash crash on record, liquidating over $19 billion in leveraged positions.
That move occurred as Trump said to impose a 100% increase in tariffs against Chinese goods as a retaliation for tightening rare earth metal exports, reigniting fears of a trade war between the two world powers.
At its lowest point on Friday, BTC traded nearly 16% lower than the average of Strategy’s recent purchase price. Even during the swift rebound over the weekend, the firm could have bought tokens between $110,000 and $115,000, at a 7%-10% discount compared to what it paid for.
With the latest purchase, the firm brought its total holdings to 640,250 BTC, at an average acquisition price of $73,000 since starting its bitcoin treasury plan in 2020.
MSTR, the firm’s common stock, was up 2.5% on Monday.
Business
HBAR Rises Past Key Resistance After Explosive Decline

HBAR (Hedera Hashgraph) experienced pronounced volatility in the final hour of trading on Oct. 13, soaring from $0.187 to a peak of $0.191—a 2.14% intraday gain—before consolidating around $0.190.
The move was driven by a dramatic surge in trading activity, with a standout 15.65 million tokens exchanged at 13:31, signaling strong institutional participation. This decisive volume breakout propelled the asset beyond its prior resistance range of $0.190–$0.191, establishing a new technical footing amid bullish momentum.
The surge capped a broader 23-hour rally from Oct. 12 to 13, during which HBAR advanced roughly 9% within a $0.17–$0.19 bandwidth. This sustained upward trajectory was characterized by consistent volume inflows and a firm recovery from earlier lows near $0.17, underscoring robust market conviction. The asset’s ability to preserve support above $0.18 throughout the period reinforced confidence among traders eyeing continued bullish action.
Strong institutional engagement was evident as consecutive high-volume intervals extended through the breakout window, suggesting renewed accumulation and positioning for potential continuation. HBAR’s price structure now shows resilient support around $0.189–$0.190, signaling the possibility of further upside if momentum persists and broader market conditions remain favorable.
Technical Indicators Highlight Bullish Sentiment
- HBAR operated within a $0.017 bandwidth (9%) spanning $0.174 and $0.191 throughout the previous 23-hour period from 12 October 15:00 to 13 October 14:00.
- Substantial volume surges reaching 179.54 million and 182.77 million during 11:00 and 13:00 sessions on 13 October validated positive market sentiment.
- Critical resistance materialized at $0.190-$0.191 thresholds where price movements encountered persistent selling activity.
- The $0.183-$0.184 territory established dependable support through volume-supported bounces.
- Extraordinary volume explosion at 13:31 registering 15.65 million units signaled decisive breakout event.
- High-volume intervals surpassing 10 million units through 13:35 substantiated significant institutional engagement.
- Asset preserved support above $0.189 despite moderate profit-taking activity.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
Business
Crypto Markets Today: Bitcoin and Altcoins Recover After $500B Crash

The crypto market staged a recovery on Monday following the weekend’s $500 billion bloodbath that resulted in a $10 billion drop in open interest.
Bitcoin (BTC) rose by 1.4% while ether (ETH) outperformed with a 2.5% gain. Synthetix (SNX, meanwhile, stole the show with a 120% rally as traders anticipate «perpetual wars» between the decentralized trading venue and HyperLiquid.
Plasma (XPL) and aster (ASTER) both failed to benefit from Monday’s recovery, losing 4.2% and 2.5% respectively.
Derivatives Positioning
- The BTC futures market has stabilized after a volatile period. Open interest, which had dropped from $33 billion to $23 billion over the weekend, has now settled at around $26 billion. Similarly, the 3-month annualized basis has rebounded to the 6-7% range, after dipping to 4-5% over the weekend, indicating that the bullish sentiment has largely returned. However, funding rates remain a key area of divergence; while Bybit and Hyperliquid have settled around 10%, Binance’s rate is negative.
- The BTC options market is showing a renewed bullish lean. The 24-hour Put/Call Volume has shifted to be more in favor of calls, now at over 56%. Additionally, the 1-week 25 Delta Skew has risen to 2.5% after a period of flatness.
- These metrics indicate a market with increasing demand for bullish exposure and upside protection, reflecting a shift away from the recent «cautious neutrality.»
- Coinglass data shows $620 million in 24 hour liquidations, with a 34-66 split between longs and shorts. ETH ($218 million), BTC ($124 million) and SOL ($43 million) were the leaders in terms of notional liquidations. Binance liquidation heatmap indicates $116,620 as a core liquidation level to monitor, in case of a price rise.
Token Talk
By Oliver Knight
- The crypto market kicked off Monday with a rebound in the wake of a sharp weekend leverage flush. According to data from CoinMarketCap, the total crypto market cap climbed roughly 5.7% in the past 24 hours, with volume jumping about 26.8%, suggesting those liquidated at the weekend are repurchasing their positions.
- A total of $19 billion worth of derivatives positions were wiped out over the weekend with the vast majority being attributed to those holding long positions, in the past 24 hours, however, $626 billion was liquidated with $420 billion of that being on the short side, demonstrating a reversal in sentiment, according to CoinGlass.
- The recovery has been tentative so far; the dominance of Bitcoin remains elevated at about 58.45%, down modestly from recent highs, which implies altcoins may still lag as capital piles back into safer large-cap names.
- The big winner of Monday’s recovery was synthetix (SNX), which rose by more than 120% ahead of a crypto trading competition that will see it potentially start up «perpetual wars» with HyperLiquid.
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