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Crypto for Advisors: Trump: What’s Changed for Crypto?
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As the Trump administration appears to fully embrace digital assets in the U.S., there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about crypto’s future, but also many areas of uncertainty.
In today’s issue, Beth Haddock from Warburton Advisers takes us through the first 30 days of Trump’s term and analyzes the far-reaching impact his administration could have on the crypto industry.
Then, DJ Windle from Windle Wealth answers questions you may have from the article in Ask and Expert.
30 Days of Trump: What’s Changed for Crypto?
A year ago, skepticism and stalled policy progress stunted crypto’s growth. Trump’s election win has shifted the Overton window (referring to the change in political policies that people are willing to accept) on crypto’s acceptance, but will that lead to sustainable growth and regulatory clarity?
His January 23 Executive Order (EO) addressing crypto prioritizes «responsible growth,» a shift from President Biden’s 2022 EO focused on «responsible development.» Early actions — rescinding SAB 121, ending Operation Chokepoint 2.0, pardoning Ross Ulbricht and appointing new leaders — signal change.
One month in, progress is clear, but obstacles remain. A divided Congress, slow legislation and market speculation — seen in memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA — complicate the path forward. The key question: Are we just moving past FTX, or will crypto be recognized as critical to Web3 innovation?
Three Key Trends to Watch
1. Acceleration of Product Innovation
The chart above clearly illustrates the Trump administration’s early focus on leadership changes and rollbacks of enforcement-driven policies. With regulatory enforcement easing, U.S. crypto development no longer needs to wait — or move offshore.
The SEC’s Crypto 2.0 initiative, led by Commissioner Peirce, shifts from enforcement-first policies to a new Crypto Taskforce. Meanwhile, the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, chaired by crypto advocate David Sacks, signals a more supportive stance. These shifts create space for innovation, allowing blockchain to prove its value before regulations catch up.
Key areas for progress include stablecoin regulation, clearer digital asset custody requirements, hybrid TradFi-crypto products (such as expected Solana and ETH ETFs) and global payments advancements through partnerships like those with X Money and Visa. Resolving complex policy priorities will take time, as reflected in a16z’s 11 priorities and the Crypto Bar’s open letter, highlighting the breadth of influential voices.
As adoption grows, the network effect of successful crypto products will push for consensus-driven regulation. But without meaningful legislative action, the industry risks a return to uncertainty when Washington’s leadership inevitably shifts again.
2. Speculation vs. Sustainable Growth
Amid all this optimism, crypto still struggles to establish credibility and prove itself as a force for responsible innovation. The opportunity to revolutionize finance is here — but is market speculation part of the growth or is it hindering sustainable growth?
Memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA surged just before the inauguration, reflecting demand for high-risk, culturally driven assets, while also raising regulatory concerns about volatility and integrity. The class action lawsuit against pump.fun underscores skepticism of growth untethered to sustainable utility.
To maintain credibility, crypto must distinguish real-world and potential wealth creation applications from speculative assets. Fraud and misrepresentation remain illegal, whether in memecoins, penny stocks or collectibles. As the market evolves, businesses and investors must prioritize due diligence to separate hype from lasting potential.
3. The Urgent Need for Regulatory Clarity
Despite leadership changes, there remains an urgent need for clear, enforceable crypto regulation. Key unresolved issues include:
Addressing fraud and consumer protections without stifling innovation and decentralized finance
Defining digital asset regulatory authority among agencies
Establishing fit-for-purpose AML frameworks for stablecoins and other innovations
With crypto-friendly leaders now at the SEC and CFTC, regulatory progress is likely, but legislative action will take time. While Congress is considering proposals like the GENIUS Act, the STABLE Act, and new rules for market structure, pragmatic change isn’t guaranteed this year.
For now, the industry must keep shifting the Overton window toward recognizing crypto’s role in U.S. tech leadership, public policy and economic security. Until comprehensive laws emerge, regulatory leadership — seen with the CFTC pilot program and recent Federal Reserve speech — must guide a stable path for growth.
The Path Forward
This year is pivotal — not just because toxic policies are fading and leadership has shifted, but because momentum is driving Web3 and blockchain forward.
The goal isn’t just «responsible growth» but sustainable growth anchored in regulatory clarity. If the industry balances innovation with strong protections against fraud and theft, crypto’s resilience and credibility will be strengthened. With tech-neutral regulations, the U.S. won’t just lead in crypto and AI policy — we’ll also be ready for whatever else is next, from quantum computing to future breakthroughs. Sustainable innovation matters because technological progress is inevitable.
—Beth Haddock, managing partner and founder, Warburton Advisers
Ask an Expert
Q: Who is Ross Ulbricht?
A: Ross Ulbricht created Silk Road, an early bitcoin-powered marketplace that demonstrated crypto’s potential for decentralized commerce — both legally and illegally. His life sentence became a rallying cry in the crypto community, with many arguing it was excessive and highlighting broader debates on financial privacy and government control. His recent pardon has reignited discussions on justice reform and crypto’s role in the future of digital trade.
Q: What are the risks of memecoins?
A: Memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA are highly speculative, with prices driven more by social media hype than real utility. While they can generate quick profits, they also carry extreme volatility and risks of manipulation. Many lack long-term viability, so investors should approach them with caution and avoid putting more in them than they can afford to lose.
Q: How could state bitcoin investments impact adoption?
A: If states allocate reserves to bitcoin, it could legitimize crypto as a store of value, encouraging institutional investors and policymakers to take it more seriously. This could accelerate regulatory clarity, enhance calls for clearer tax guidelines and integrate bitcoin into broader financial infrastructure, helping solidify its role in the economy.
—DJ Windle, founder and portfolio manager, Windle Wealth
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Bybit CEO Labels Pi Network a Scam, Citing Official Police Warning
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Bybit CEO Ben Zhou said Thursday that his exchange will not list the Pi Network’s PI token, which was controversially released on Thursday, citing a Chinese police warning from 2023 that alleged the project was a scam targeting elderly people, leaking their personal information and leading to the loss of their pensions.
«There are multiple other reports out there questioning the project legitimacy,» Zhou posted on X. «Yes, I still think you are a scam, and no, Bybit will not list scam.»
The Pi Network didn’t respond to CoinDesk’s request for comments.
The token went live alongside the project’s mainnet release on Thursday. Users who «mined» tokens by clicking their smartphone screens once a day were finally able to transfer and sell tokens.
Zhou, however, found himself in the middle of a separate issue on Friday, with his exchange Bybit, which was hacked by North Korea’s Lazarus Group for $1.5 billion.
The PI token debuted on OKX at $0.67, rose as high as $2 and then slumped 65% and is currently around $0.69.
One issue that raised concerns was a marketing tactic that rewarded users who recruited other users. Each time a user persuaded someone else to sign up using their code, the first person’s «mining» rewards were increased. The idea had some drawing comparisons to the 2017 Ponzi scheme, Bitconnect.
«Pi Network is the biggest ponzi [scheme],» X user CryptoBeast alleged, posting to their 656K followers.
The project also offers users the option of locking their tokens for as long as three years. In return, they are promised increased rewards. The same technique was at the heart of the Hex project, whose founder, Richard Schueler, known online as Richard Heart, is a fugitive sought by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for, among other things, defrauding his investors.
The token has a market cap of $4.18 billion based on a circulating supply of $6.33 billion. However, its inflationary nature means the maximum supply is 100 billion, giving a fully diluted value (FDV) at a staggering $67 billion, assuming it holds the current price. At launch, FDV rose as high as $200 billion, almost double that of Solana.
Some exchanges have been undeterred by the concerns raised. OKX, Bitget and Gate have racked up a total of $620 million in trading volume for PI trading pairs between them, according to CoinMarketCap.
Read more: Pi Network’s Token Debuts at $195B Value Despite Minimal Liquidity
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North Korean Hackers Were Behind Crypto’s Largest ‘Theft of All Time’
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Blockchain analytics firm Arkham Intelligence said North Korea’s Lazarus Group was behind Bybit’s $1.46 billion hack.
In an earlier post on social media platform X, Arkham offered a bounty of 50,000 ARKM tokens for anyone who could identify the attackers for Friday’s hack. Later, the platform said onchain sleuth ZachXBT submitted «definitive proof» that the attackers were the North Korean hacker group.
«His submission included a detailed analysis of test transactions and connected wallets used ahead of the exploit, as well as multiple forensics graphs and timing analyses,» the post said.
Read more: Bybit Loses $1.5B in Hack but Can Cover Loss, CEO Confirms
The hack that rocked the crypto market and saw most prices tumbling was called the «largest crypto theft of all time, by some margin,» by Elliptic’s Tom Robinson, co-founder and chief scientist. «The next largest crypto theft would be the $611 million stolen from Poly Network in 2021. In fact it may even be the largest single theft of all time.»
Blockchain data provider Nansen told CoinDesk that the attackers first withdrew nearly $1.5 billion worth of funds from the exchange into a main wallet and then spread the funds across several others.
«Initially, the stolen funds were transferred to a primary wallet, which then distributed them across more than 40 wallets,» Nansen said. «The attackers converted all stETH, cmETH, and mETH to ETH before systematically transferring ETH in $27 million increments to over 10 additional wallets,» Nansen said.
The attack appeared to have been caused by something called «Blind Signing,» where a smart contract transaction is approved without the comprehensive knowledge of its contents.
«This attack vector is quickly becoming the favorite form of cyber attack used by advanced threat actors, including North Korea,» said blockchain security firm Blockaid’s CEO Ido Ben Natan. «It’s the same type of attack that was used in the Radiant Capital breach and the WazirX incident.»
«The problem is that even with the best key management solutions, today most of the signing process is delegated to software interfaces that interact with dApps. This creates a critical vulnerability — it opens the door for malicious manipulation of the signing process, which is exactly what happened in this attack,» he said.
Bybit CEO Ben Zhou wrote earlier on X that a hacker «took control of the specific ETH cold wallet and transferred all the ETH in the cold wallet to this unidentified address.» He also confirmed that the exchange «is solvent even if this hack loss is not recovered.»
Oliver Knight contributed to the reporting of this story
Read more: Bitcoin, Ether Slump as Crypto Prices Dip on Report of Massive $1.5B Bybit Hack
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Plunging U.S. Stocks Help Add to Crypto’s Bad Day
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Only a handful of hours ago crypto markets were buoyed as the Securities and Exchange Commission signaled its intent its dismiss a lawsuit against Coinbase (COIN).
The welcome regulatory news sparked 5% gains for COIN and the likes of increasingly important crypto trading platform Robinhood (HOOD), and sent bitcoin (BTC) breaking out of its recent tight trading range to within sight of the $100,000 level.
The first bomb to break the good vibes came late in the U.S. morning when Bybit was stung by about a $1.5 billion hack — the largest such exploit ever in crypto. That news sent bitcoin and ether (ETH) sliding roughly 2% in a manner of minutes.
Prices quickly seemed to stabilize and — at least in the case for bitcoin — bounce a bit.
Et tu stocks?
Any sort of bounce, however, was quickly snuffed out as modest losses for U.S. stocks began to accelerate in afternoon trading.
Among the excuses for the quick retreat was a poor reading from the Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which unexpectedly slipped to 64.7 versus forecasts for 67.8. The same survey’s inflation expectations rose to 3.5% against an expected 3.3%.
An outlier, but perhaps also a reason for selling, was a new coronavirus scare out of China. Discovered by researchers at the Wuhan Institute, HKU5-CoV-2 is «strikingly similar» to the virus that caused the 2020 pandemic, according to the Daily Mail.
Shortly before the close of trading on Friday, the Nasdaq is lower by 2.2% and the S&P 500 by 1.7%. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has fallen nine basis points to 4.42%.
As for crypto, bitcoin has more than erased its gains of the past couple of days, trading back to $95,000 and lower by nearly 4% over the past 24 hours. Ether (ETH) has pulled back to $2,650, also lower by about 4%. The broader CoinDesk 20 Index is down 4.4%.
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