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Crypto for Advisors: Trump: What’s Changed for Crypto?

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As the Trump administration appears to fully embrace digital assets in the U.S., there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about crypto’s future, but also many areas of uncertainty.

In today’s issue, Beth Haddock from Warburton Advisers takes us through the first 30 days of Trump’s term and analyzes the far-reaching impact his administration could have on the crypto industry.

Then, DJ Windle from Windle Wealth answers questions you may have from the article in Ask and Expert.

Sarah Morton

30 Days of Trump: What’s Changed for Crypto?

A year ago, skepticism and stalled policy progress stunted crypto’s growth. Trump’s election win has shifted the Overton window (referring to the change in political policies that people are willing to accept) on crypto’s acceptance, but will that lead to sustainable growth and regulatory clarity?

His January 23 Executive Order (EO) addressing crypto prioritizes «responsible growth,» a shift from President Biden’s 2022 EO focused on «responsible development.» Early actions — rescinding SAB 121, ending Operation Chokepoint 2.0, pardoning Ross Ulbricht and appointing new leaders — signal change.

One month in, progress is clear, but obstacles remain. A divided Congress, slow legislation and market speculation — seen in memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA — complicate the path forward. The key question: Are we just moving past FTX, or will crypto be recognized as critical to Web3 innovation?

Three Key Trends to Watch

1. Acceleration of Product Innovation

The chart above clearly illustrates the Trump administration’s early focus on leadership changes and rollbacks of enforcement-driven policies. With regulatory enforcement easing, U.S. crypto development no longer needs to wait — or move offshore.

The SEC’s Crypto 2.0 initiative, led by Commissioner Peirce, shifts from enforcement-first policies to a new Crypto Taskforce. Meanwhile, the President’s Working Group on Digital Asset Markets, chaired by crypto advocate David Sacks, signals a more supportive stance. These shifts create space for innovation, allowing blockchain to prove its value before regulations catch up.

Key areas for progress include stablecoin regulation, clearer digital asset custody requirements, hybrid TradFi-crypto products (such as expected Solana and ETH ETFs) and global payments advancements through partnerships like those with X Money and Visa. Resolving complex policy priorities will take time, as reflected in a16z’s 11 priorities and the Crypto Bar’s open letter, highlighting the breadth of influential voices.

As adoption grows, the network effect of successful crypto products will push for consensus-driven regulation. But without meaningful legislative action, the industry risks a return to uncertainty when Washington’s leadership inevitably shifts again.

2. Speculation vs. Sustainable Growth

Amid all this optimism, crypto still struggles to establish credibility and prove itself as a force for responsible innovation. The opportunity to revolutionize finance is here — but is market speculation part of the growth or is it hindering sustainable growth?

Memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA surged just before the inauguration, reflecting demand for high-risk, culturally driven assets, while also raising regulatory concerns about volatility and integrity. The class action lawsuit against pump.fun underscores skepticism of growth untethered to sustainable utility.

To maintain credibility, crypto must distinguish real-world and potential wealth creation applications from speculative assets. Fraud and misrepresentation remain illegal, whether in memecoins, penny stocks or collectibles. As the market evolves, businesses and investors must prioritize due diligence to separate hype from lasting potential.

3. The Urgent Need for Regulatory Clarity

Despite leadership changes, there remains an urgent need for clear, enforceable crypto regulation. Key unresolved issues include:

Addressing fraud and consumer protections without stifling innovation and decentralized finance

Defining digital asset regulatory authority among agencies

Establishing fit-for-purpose AML frameworks for stablecoins and other innovations

With crypto-friendly leaders now at the SEC and CFTC, regulatory progress is likely, but legislative action will take time. While Congress is considering proposals like the GENIUS Act, the STABLE Act, and new rules for market structure, pragmatic change isn’t guaranteed this year.

For now, the industry must keep shifting the Overton window toward recognizing crypto’s role in U.S. tech leadership, public policy and economic security. Until comprehensive laws emerge, regulatory leadership — seen with the CFTC pilot program and recent Federal Reserve speech — must guide a stable path for growth.

The Path Forward

This year is pivotal — not just because toxic policies are fading and leadership has shifted, but because momentum is driving Web3 and blockchain forward.

The goal isn’t just «responsible growth» but sustainable growth anchored in regulatory clarity. If the industry balances innovation with strong protections against fraud and theft, crypto’s resilience and credibility will be strengthened. With tech-neutral regulations, the U.S. won’t just lead in crypto and AI policy — we’ll also be ready for whatever else is next, from quantum computing to future breakthroughs. Sustainable innovation matters because technological progress is inevitable.

Beth Haddock, managing partner and founder, Warburton Advisers

Ask an Expert

Q: Who is Ross Ulbricht?

A: Ross Ulbricht created Silk Road, an early bitcoin-powered marketplace that demonstrated crypto’s potential for decentralized commerce — both legally and illegally. His life sentence became a rallying cry in the crypto community, with many arguing it was excessive and highlighting broader debates on financial privacy and government control. His recent pardon has reignited discussions on justice reform and crypto’s role in the future of digital trade.

Q: What are the risks of memecoins?

A: Memecoins like $TRUMP and $MELANIA are highly speculative, with prices driven more by social media hype than real utility. While they can generate quick profits, they also carry extreme volatility and risks of manipulation. Many lack long-term viability, so investors should approach them with caution and avoid putting more in them than they can afford to lose.

Q: How could state bitcoin investments impact adoption?

A: If states allocate reserves to bitcoin, it could legitimize crypto as a store of value, encouraging institutional investors and policymakers to take it more seriously. This could accelerate regulatory clarity, enhance calls for clearer tax guidelines and integrate bitcoin into broader financial infrastructure, helping solidify its role in the economy.

DJ Windle, founder and portfolio manager, Windle Wealth

Keep Reading

Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala, has invested approximately $437 million into BlackRock’s bitcoin ETF.

Google looks to simplify bitcoin adoption with wallet integration alongside existing authentication protocols.

FTX’s initial $1.2 billion payout is underway, with creditors with claims of less than $50,000 starting to receive payouts.

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Strategy Buys $555M of Bitcoin, Increases Total Stash to 538,200 BTC

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Strategy (MSTR) has added 6,556 bitcoin (BTC) to its balance sheet, spending $555.8 million in the process, according to a regulatory filing published on Monday.

The purchase was funded using proceeds from the company’s two at-the-market (ATM) stock offering programs, the filings notes.

The firm, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, sold 1.76 million shares of its Class A common stock and over 91,000 shares of a preferred stock series — STRK — between April 14 and April 20.

The common stock sale brought in $547.7 million, while the preferred shares added another $7.8 million. The latest acquisition boosts Strategy’s total holdings to 538,200 BTC, purchased at an average price of $67,766 per coin.

The Michael Saylor-led company has spent $36.47 billion on bitcoin to date. Shares of MSTR are up 2.77% in pre-market trading as BTC rose to $87,300.

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Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Breakout Lifts AI, Memecoins, Underscores Hedge Value

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin’s censorship-resistant, decentralized setup empowers individuals by facilitating peer-to-peer transactions without government interference or corporate control.

You’ve probably heard that from a Bitcoin maxi many times.

It’s an idea that resonates even more strongly today in light of reports that President Donald Trump is exploring ways to remove Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, which is the world’s most powerful central bank.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett talked about Trump’s intentions Friday and markets responded early Monday by selling the dollar and the U.S. stock futures. The Dollar Index, which tracks the currency’s exchange rate against major fiat currencies, slipped to a three-year low of 98.00 while gold touched new highs above $3,400 per ounce.

Bitcoin rose past $87,000, confirming a bullish breakout from its recent sideways trading between $83,000 and $86,000 to suggest more gains ahead. The uptick saw gaming, AI and memecoins outshine other sectors of the crypto market, with smaller tokens like ENJ and MAGIC chalking out gains in excess of 50% in 24 hours. MANTRA still tanked 15%.

«A weaker dollar could draw renewed attention from American investors, highlighting bitcoin’s potential as a hedge against declining dollar value,» said Matrixport, a crypto financial services platform.

On-chain data warned of heightened volatility as prices potentially near the $90,000 mark. «Cost‑basis clusters show little overhead supply below that range, implying the market could advance quickly before a larger tranche of holders reaches break‑even and begins taking profit,» analytics firm IntoTheBlock said in a Telegram post.

In other news, Charles Shwab CEO Rick Wurster said the financial services firm is “hopeful and likely to be able” to support spot crypto trading within the next year. Wurster said that more and more clients are seeking information about crypto.

Slovenia’s Finance Ministry proposed a 25% tax on capital gains on profits from selling cryptocurrencies for fiat or spending tokens for goods and services. The tax is proposed to go into effect from 2026.

Vitalik Buterin, a co-founder of the Ethereum blockchain, proposed replacing the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) with RISC-V, an open-source instruction set architecture used to develop custom processors for a variety of applications. Buterin said the proposal address one of Ethereum’s key scaling bottlenecks by dramatically improving the efficiency and simplicity of smart contract execution.

Speaking of Ethereum, it briefly fell behind its chief rival, Solana network in terms of the total staked value of their respective native tokens, ETH and SOL. Uniswap founder Hayden Adam warned that Ethereum could fall behind Solana if it goes back to relying on the layer 1 bockchain instead of the layer-2 scaling products.

In macro news, China said it will retaliate against countries that work with U.S. to isolate Beijing in the trade war started by Trump. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto:
    • April 21: Coinbase Derivatives will list XRP futures pending approval by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).
    • April 25, 1 p.m.: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Crypto Task Force Roundtable on «Key Considerations for Crypto Custody«.
    • April 29, 1:05 a.m.: BNB Chain (BNB) — BSC mainnet hardfork.
    • April 30, 9:30 a.m.: ProShares expects its XRP ETF, offering exposure through futures and swap agreements, to begin trading on NYSE Arca.
    • April 30, 10:03 a.m.: Gnosis Chain (GNO), an Ethereum sister chain, will activate the Pectra hard fork on its mainnet at slot 21,405,696, epoch 1,337,856.
  • Macro
    • April 21-26: World Bank (WB) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) spring meetings take place in Washington.
    • April 22, 8:30 p.m.: Statistics Canada releases March producer price inflation data.
      • PPI MoM Prev. 0.4%
      • PPI YoY Prev. 4.9%
    • April 22, 6 p.m.: Fed Governor Adriana D. Kugler will deliver a speech titled «Transmission of Monetary Policy.»
    • April 23, 8 a.m.: Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases retail sales data.
      • Retail Sales MoM Prev. 0.6%
      • Retail Sales YoY Prev. 2.7%
    • April 23, 9:45 a.m.: S&P Global releases (flash) U.S. April purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
      • Composite PMI Prev. 53.5
      • Manufacturing PMI Prev. 50.2
      • Services PMI Est. 52.9 vs. Prev. 54.4
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • April 22: Tesla (TSLA), post-market
    • April 30: Robinhood Markets (HOOD), post-market
    • May 1: Block (XYZ), post-market

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
  • Unlocks
    • April 22: Metars Genesis (MRS) to unlock 11.87% of its circulating supply worth $127.9 million.
    • April 30: Optimism (OP) to unlock 1.89% of its circulating supply worth $22.78 million.
    • May 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.28% of its circulating supply worth $167.97 million.
    • May 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 5.67% of its circulating supply worth $10.57 million.
    • May 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.73% of its circulating supply worth $12.12 million.
  • Token Launches
    • April 21: Balance (EPT) to be listed on Bitget Bybit, KuCoin, Gate.io, LBank, MEXC, BingX.
    • April 22: Hyperlane to airdrop its HYPER tokens.
    • April 22: BNB to be listed on Kraken.

Conferences:

Token Talk

By Shaurya Malwa

  • Bitget, a centralized crypto exchange, will reverse trades and compensate users due to «abnormal trading» in its perpetual futures market for VOXEL, a token linked to the Polygon-based RPG game Voxie Tactics.
  • Early Sunday, VOXEL’s trading volume surged past bitcoin’s 24-hour volume — with the token’s value surging over 300% in a week — despite being only the 723rd-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.
  • An X user claimed six-figure profits from a sub-$100 investment, attributing the surge to a potential bug in Bitget’s market-making robot,. The trade rollback will likely erase these gains.
  • Bitget’s investigation revealed possible market manipulation by certain accounts, prompting the exchange to activate its risk-control system and plan a trade rollback within 24 hours.
  • Affected users who incurred losses will receive compensation, and Bitget is continuing its investigation.

Derivatives Positioning

  • The market-wide futures open interest has climbed to $37.22 billion, the highest since March 24, according to Velo Data. The figure represents open interest in all coins listed on Binance, Bybit, OKX, Deribit and Hyperliquid.
  • ETH is the best performing major token in terms of futures open interest growth, followed by BTC and LINK.
  • Speaking of OI-adjusted cumulative volume delta, ETH also leads the pack with the highest positive reading, implying an influx of buying pressure in the market.
  • On Deribit, BTC and ETH risk reversals for short- and near-dated expiries have flattened out, recovering from the recent persistent negative prints that represented bias for protective put options.

Market Movements:

  • BTC is up 3.19% from 4 p.m. ET Sunday at $87,270.44 (24hrs: +3.63%)
  • ETH is up 2.54% at $1,631.90 (24hrs: +3.17%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 0.8% at 2,268.01 (24hrs: +3.77%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 47 bps at 2.47%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0044% (4.776% annualized) on Binance

CoinDesk 20 members’ performance

  • DXY is down 1.11% at 98.26
  • Gold is up 2.04% at $3,395.65/oz
  • Silver is up 1.12% at $32.89/oz
  • Nikkei 225 closed -1.3% at 34,279.92
  • Hang Seng closed +1.61% at 21,395.14
  • FTSE is closed at 8,275.66
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is closed at 4,935.34
  • DJIA closed on Thursday -1.33% at 39,142.23
  • S&P 500 closed +0.13% at 5,282.70
  • Nasdaq closed -0.13% at 16,286.45
  • S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.36% at 24,192.81
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.64% at 2,383.75
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is unchanged at 4.33%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 1.04% at 5,275.00
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 1.16% at 18,168.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.92% at 38,969

Bitcoin Stats:

  • BTC Dominance: 64% (0.23%)
  • Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.1873 (0.54%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 858 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $45.22
  • Total Fees: 5.48 BTC / $479,045
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 141,280 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 25.7 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 7.2%

Technical Analysis

BTC/USD's daily price chart with trading volume and seven-day volume MA. (Coinglass)

  • Bitcoin’s breakout has set the stage for a continued move higher to $90,000.
  • However, trading volume has dipped, suggesting low participation in the price recovery.
  • A low-volume rally often ends up being short-lived.

Crypto Equities

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $317.20 (1.78%), up 3.13% at $327.12 in pre-market
  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $175.03 (1.64%) up 1.4% at $177.49
  • Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$15.36 (-1.41%)
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.66 (2.76%), up 2.69% at $13.00
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $6.46 (1.57%), up 2.63% at $6.63
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $6.63 (0.61%), down 0.45% at $6.60
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.51 (3.16%), up 1.86% at $7.65
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $12.04 (1.09%), up 2.41% at $12.33
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $32.49 (4.79%)
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $36.58 (-1.64%), up 2.1% at $37.35

ETF Flows

U.S. equity markets were closed on Friday.

Overnight Flows

Top 20 digital assets’ prices and volumes

Chart of the Day

XRP options risk reversals. (Deribit/Amberdata)

  • XRP’s short- and near-dated risk reversals continue to be priced negative, a sign of persistent demand for put options, which offer downside protection.

While You Were Sleeping

In the Ether

Price range for Bitcoin in the 4th halving cycle:Schwab CEO expects to launch direct spot crypto trading w/in next 12mos…Bitcoin has no counterparty risk.Capital inflows into the crypto market have plunged 70% over the past two weeks, falling from $8.20 billion to just $2.38 billion!This brings total China’s gold reserves to a record 2,292 tonnes.

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Bitcoin’s Breakout Signals BTC Potentially Rallying to $90K-$92K: Technical Analysis

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This is a daily technical analysis by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent range play resolved bullishly early Monday, shifting focus to the $90,000-$92,000 range, which was previously a strong support zone.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value rose past $87,000, convincingly breaking out of a week-long consolidation between $83,000 and $86,000. The renewed willingness among the bulls to lead the price action indicates the resumption of the recovery from the April 7 lows under $75,000.

It also means potential for a continued move higher to the $90,000-$92,000 range, which acted as the floor, arresting price drops from December to early February. The support zone was eventually breached in late February, spurring a rapid decline to under $75,000.

BTC's hourly and daily charts. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The range breakout is seen on the hourly chart (left).

It follows the recent invalidation of the bearish trendline, characterizing the sell-off from record highs, as seen on the daily chart. BTC has also surpassed the 30-day exponential moving average (EMA) of price highs, indicating a bullish shift in momentum.

The focus, therefore, is on the $90,000-$92,000 range, the former support zone from early this year. Those tracking moving averages should note that the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) is now located at $88,245.

The bullish outlook risks invalidation should prices fall all the way back to $85K by the day’s end (UTC).

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