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Crypto Daybook Americas: Retail Shift to Riskier Tokens Jolts Bitcoin, Ether

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By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

The cryptocurrency market pulled back over the last 24 hours, led by declines in major coins as retail investors switched out of large-cap tokens and into smaller, more speculative assets.

Both bitcoin BTC and ether ETH dropped around 2% and the CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20), a measure of the broad market, fell 2.7%.

«We’ve observed a significant week-on-week increase in retail participation, reinforcing the broader narrative of rising optimism,» said Jake O., an over-the-counter trader at Wintermute. “The shift down the risk curve is most evident in retail screen flows.”

Institutional investors, for their part, have been more conservative. They’re still stocking up on bitcoin, ether and XRP, while easing off positions in solana SOL which has faced “sustained pressures.”

“Some are viewing SOLETH underperformance as an opportunity to position for Solana topside,” Jake noted, pointing to steady buying in $200 Solana call options ahead of June and July.

Other options activity suggests traders are hedging for volatility ahead. Call spreads on ether were unwound and some traders moved into collar structures — strategies often used to protect against price swings — signaling caution after recent gains.

The growing hedging activity adds a note of caution to retail’s swing to speculation. Economic uncertainty, lingering inflation pressures and U.S. tariff policy are all weighing on risk appetite in crypto as well as traditional markets.

Global asset managers, in fact, currently have their largest underweight position in the U.S. dollar in 19 years. Even though President Donald Trump secured a major investment deal with Qatar and a temporary reduction in U.S.-China tariffs, these outcomes may lead to further downside: Spanish bank Bankinter said in a note that the market has shown fatigue over the last trading session.

“We still think the damage is done: both EPS and prices should feel the strain, with rising inflationary pressures preventing the Fed from cutting rates as much as the market expects,” the bank’s analysts wrote. Market participants are set to now focus on producer price inflation and retail sales data, as well as on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today.

For the crypto market, a re-test of the all-time high isn’t out of the picture.

“Looking ahead, we believe there is further room for digital assets to rally, especially as Coinbase’s inclusion into the S&P 500 on 19 May draws closer,” Singapore-based QCP Capital wrote. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto:
    • May 16, 9:30 a.m.: Galaxy Digital Class A shares to begin trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol GLXY.
    • May 19: CME Group is expected to launch its cash-settled XRP futures.
    • May 19: Coinbase Global (COIN) will replace Discover Financial Services (DFS) in the S&P 500, effective before the opening of trading.
  • Macro
    • May 15, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics releases March retail sales data.
      • Retail Sales MoM Est. 1% vs. Prev. 0.5%
      • Retail Sales YoY Est. -0.5% vs. Prev. 1.5%
    • May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases April producer price inflation data.
      • Core PPI MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. -0.1%
      • Core PPI YoY Est. 3.1% vs. Prev. 3.3%
      • PPI MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. -0.4%
      • PPI YoY Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.7%
    • May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases April retail sales data.
      • Retail Sales MoM Est. 0% vs. Prev. 1.5%
      • Retail Sales YoY Prev. 4.9%
    • May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance data for the week ended May 10.
      • Initial Jobless Claims Est. 229K vs. Prev. 228K
    • May 15, 8:40 a.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will deliver a speech («Framework Review») in Washington. Livestream link.
    • May 16, 10 a.m.: The University of Michigan releases (Preliminary) May U.S. consumer sentiment data.
      • Michigan Consumer Sentiment Est. 53 vs. Prev. 52.2
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • May 15: Bit Digital (BTBT), post-market, -$0.05
    • May 15: Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR), pre-market, -$0.42
    • May 15: Fold Holdings (FLD), post-market, N/A
    • May 15: KULR Technology Group (KULR), post-market, N/A
    • May 28: NVIDIA (NVDA), post-market, $0.88

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Uniswap DAO is voting on a proposal to fund the integration of Uniswap V4 on Ethereum in Oku and add Unichain on Oku in a bid to enhance Uniswap’s reach and liquidity migration to V4. Voting ends May 18.
    • May 15, 11 a.m.: Yield Guild Games to host a Q1 2025 community update Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
    • May 15, 10 a.m.: Moca Network to host a Discord townhall session discussing network updates.
    • May 21, 6 p.m.: Theta Network to host an Ask Me Anything session in a livestream.
  • Unlocks
    • May 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 4.09% of its circulating supply worth $23.53 million.
    • May 15: Sei (SEI) to unlock 1.09% of its circulating supply worth $14.22 million.
    • May 16: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.35% of its circulating supply worth $17.8 million.
    • May 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 1.95% of its circulating supply worth $39.06 million.
    • May 17: Avalanche (AVAX) to unlock 0.4% of its circulating supply worth $42.84 million.
  • Token Launches
    • May 15: RIZE (RIZE) to list on Kraken.
    • May 16: Galxe (GAL), Litentry (LIT), Mines of Dalarnia (DAR), Orion Protocol (ORN), and PARSIQ (PRQ) to be delisted from Coinbase.

Conferences

CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.

Derivatives Positioning

  • BTC and ETH perpetual futures open interest ticked up alongside an overnight spot price pullback, but funding rates remain positive. Perhaps traders are buying the dip.
  • Open interest in XRP perpetual futures has dropped, signaling an unwinding of longs.
  • Ether futures open interest on the CME has increased from roughly 685K ETH to 955K ETH in a week, reaching the highest since March 11. BTC CME futures have yet to see a similar uptick.
  • On Deribit, ETH risk reversals at the front-end have flipped negative to show bias for puts, or downside protection. BTC calls continue to trade at a premium.
  • OTC tech platform Paradigm noted mixed flows, with OTM BTC put spreads both bought and sold, while ETH OTM call spreads continued to be lifted.

Market Movements

  • BTC is down 1.49% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday at $101,906.02 (24hrs: -1.52%)
  • ETH is down 2.54% at $2,540.80 (24hrs: -2.58%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 2.79% at 3,204.04 (24hrs: -3.66%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 1 bps at 3.11%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.0045% (4.8968% annualized) on Binance

CoinDesk 20 members’ performance

  • DXY is down 0.29% at 100.75
  • Gold is down 0.59% at $3,168.30/oz
  • Silver is down 0.85% at $32/oz
  • Nikkei 225 closed -0.98% at 37,755.51
  • Hang Seng closed -0.79% at 23,453.16
  • FTSE is up 0.14% at 8,596.60
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.54% at 5,374.02
  • DJIA closed on Wednesday -0.21% at 42,051.06
  • S&P 500 closed +0.1% at 5,892.58
  • Nasdaq closed +0.72% at 19,146.81
  • S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.3% at 25,692.45
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed +0.18% at 2,645.42
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is down 3 bps at 4.51%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.51% at 5,878.25
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.72% at 21,239.50
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.32% at 41,982.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 62.77 (+0.31%)
  • Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02490 (-1.23%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 861 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $54.63
  • Total Fees: 7.21 BTC / $747,357.79
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 149,720 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 31.9 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 9.04%

Technical Analysis

BTC's hourly chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

  • While BTC has pulled back from the recent high of $105,700 to under $102,000, it’s broader upward trajectory remains intact.
  • A break below $100,000 would invalidate the trend channel from April 9 lows, potentially leading to a deeper pullback.

Crypto Equities

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed on Wednesday at $416.75 (-1.15%), down 2.35% at $406.95 in pre-market
  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $263.41 (+2.53%), down 3.39% at $254.48
  • Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at $31.96 (+8.74%)
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $15.87 (-3.05%), down 2.52% at $15.47
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $8.91 (-1.66%), down 2.24% at $8.71
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $10.32 (+0.78%), down 1.55% at $10.16
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.61 (-3.9%), down 2.29% at $9.39
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $16.95 (-1.45%), down 1.71% at $16.66
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $32.54 (-11.34%), down 1.72% at $31.98
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $34.88 (-17.03%), unchanged in pre-market

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs:

  • Daily net flow: $319.5 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $41.37 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~ 1.17 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flow: $63.5 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $2.55 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~ 3.44 million

Source: Farside Investors

Overnight Flows

Top 20 digital assets’ prices and volumes

Chart of the Day

CME: ETH futures open interest. (VeloData)

  • The chart shows a sharp rise in the number of open ETH futures bets on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
  • The surge indicates growing institutional participation in the second-largest cryptocurrency.

While You Were Sleeping

In the Ether

As cryptocurrency continues to expand, here are the daily averages of new wallets created over the past month for the top 4 market capsMetaplanet delivered an impressive 170% BTC Yield in Q1 – turning #Bitcoin volatility into record profit and real shareholder value.CFTC is in a bit of a holding pattern until Quintenz is confirmed as chair, but then hopefully we'll see progress on new rules related to crypto:Nearly 1 million #Ethereum $ETH have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past month!CBOE Volatility Index $VIX just experienced its fastest reversal from over 40 to under 20 in history

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0x Acquires Competitor Flood in Push to Boost Share of $2.3B DEX Aggregator Market

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0x, a decentralized exchange infrastructure firm, announced the acquisition of rival Flood, a move the firm says will help it compete in the hyper competitive aggregation market.

Decentralized exchanges — or DEXs — are a cornerstone of the DeFi ecosystem. They let blockchain users swap between assets without the need for an intermediary or middleman such as a centralized exchange.

Aggregators like 0x’s act as a one-stop-shop for traders, searching all the DEXs out there to find the one that offers the most cost-efficient trades, for a small fee. Competition is fierce and often exists on razor-thin margins.

It was Flood’s proprietary aggregation software that motivated the acquisition, Amir Bandeali, CEO of 0x, told CoinDesk in an exclusive interview.

0x uses its own trade simulation technology to check how well its aggregation software works compared with its competitors, Bandeali said. “We were able to take a look at Flood as well and run similar types of tests and we were very impressed with the data that we saw.”

“Everything got made from scratch,” Francesco Baccetti, co-founder and CEO of Flood, told CoinDesk. “We rewrote the whole stack to get this level of performance that we now have.”

The acquisition is 0x’s first since the firm’s founding in 2017. A spokesperson for 0x declined to share how much it paid for Flood, citing contractual obligations. Flood raised $5.2 million from investors in a February 2024 seed funding round.

DEX aggregators are a big business. Over the past week, the top 12 aggregators facilitated almost $10 billion worth of swap volume, around 10% of all on-chain trading, according to data compiled by Fredrik Haga, co-founder of Dune Analytics.

Aggregators with tradable tokens are valued at a combined $2.3 billion, according to data from CoinGecko.

0x is one of the oldest DEX aggregators. But it’s not the largest.

On Ethereum and other compatible blockchains, 1inch and CoW Swap consistently handle the most trading volume among aggregators, while on Solana, Jupiter dominates.

Bandeali said he’s hopeful that by combining the two companies’ technologies, 0x will be able to win market share from larger aggregators on both Ethereum and Solana.

‘Niche domain’

Another motivation for the acquisition was Flood’s team of developers.

“This is a pretty niche domain,” Bandeali said, explaining that it’s very difficult for his firm to find talented developers who specialize in aggregation and trade routing.

Having the right developers therefore is crucial to an aggregator’s continued success.

“It sounds simple but it’s really complicated,” he said. “It gets more complicated as new chains and new tokens launch.”

The reward for proving the best swaps is great. CoW Swap is set to bring in almost $11 million in revenue this year, according to DefiLlama data. (It’s unclear how much revenue 1inch makes, while Jupiter’s projected $162 million in revenue comes from more than just its aggregation services).

0x has also expanded into other areas, such as providing APIs that integrate its aggregator into other products, and trading analytics.

But improving its core aggregation product, which powers swaps in apps like Coinbase Wallet, Robinhood, Phantom and Farcaster, is still the main focus.

And with DeFi getting more complex by the day, the demand for aggregators is likely to keep increasing.

“We’re just trying to abstract away the complexity faster than it’s created for our customers,” Bandeali said.

Read more: DEX Aggregator 1inch Integrates ZKsync to Boost Cross-Chain Swaps

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Crypto for Advisors: Stablecoins Explained

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Today’s Crypto for Advisor newsletter is coming to you from Consensus Toronto. The energy is high as digital asset policy makers, leaders and influencers gather to talk about bitcoin, blockchain, regulation, AI and so much more!

Attending Consensus? Visit the CoinDesk booth, #2513. If you are interested in contributing to this newsletter, Kim Klemballa will be at the booth today, May 15, from 3-5 pm EST. You can also reply to this email directly.

In today’s Crypto for Advisors, Harvey Li from Tokenization Insights explains stablecoins, where they came from and their growth.

Then, Trevor Koverko from Sapien answers questions about the status of stablecoin regulations and adoption with regulations in Europe in Ask an Expert.

Thank you to our sponsor of this week’s newsletter, Grayscale. For financial advisors near Chicago, Grayscale is hosting an exclusive event, Crypto Connect, on Thursday, May 22. Learn more.

Sarah Morton

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Stablecoins — Past, Present and Future

When major financial institutions — from Citi and Standard Chartered to Brevan Howard, McKinsey and BCG — rally around a once-niche innovation, it’s a good idea to take note, especially when the innovation is stablecoins, a tokenized representation of money on-chain.

What email was to the internet, stablecoin is to blockchain — instant and cost-effective value transfer at a global scale running 24/7. Stablecoin is blockchain’s first killer use case.

A Brief History

First introduced by Tether in 2015 and hailed as the first stablecoin, USDT offered early crypto users a way to hold and transfer a stable, dollar-denominated value on-chain. Until then, their only alternative was bitcoin.

Tether’s dollar-backed stablecoin made its debut on Bitfinex before rapidly spreading to major exchanges like Binance and OKX. It quickly became the default trading pair across the digital asset ecosystem.

As adoption grew, so did its utility. No longer just a trading tool, stablecoin emerged as the primary cash-equivalent for trading, cash management, and payments.

Below is the trajectory of stablecoin’s market size since inception, a reflection of its evolution from a crypto niche to a core pillar of digital finance.

Stablecoin Market size by year: chart

Usage at Scale

The reason stablecoins have been a hot topic in finance is their rapid adoption and growth. According to Visa, stablecoin on-chain transaction volume exceeded $5.5 trillion in 2024. By comparison, Visa’s volume was $13.2 trillion while Mastercard transacted $9.7 trillion during the same period.

Why such proliferation? Because stable dollar-denominated cash is the lifeblood for the entire digital assets ecosystem. Here are 3 major use cases for stablecoin.

Major Use Cases

1. Digital Assets Trading

Given its origins, it’s no surprise that trading was stablecoin’s first major use case. What began as a niche tool for value preservation in 2015 is now the beating heart of digital asset trading. Today, stablecoins underpin over $30 trillion in annual trading volume across centralized exchanges, powering the vast majority of spot and derivatives activity.

Monthly Spot vs. Derivatives Volume: chart

But stablecoin’s impact doesn’t end with centralized exchanges — It is also the liquidity backbone of decentralized finance (DeFi). Onchain traders need the same reliable cash equivalent for moving in and out of positions. A glance at leading decentralized platforms, such as Uniswap, PancakeSwap, and Hyperliquid, shows that top trading pairs are consistently denominated by stablecoins.

Monthly decentralized exchange volumes routinely hit $100-200 billion, according to The Block, further cementing stablecoin’s role as the foundational layer of the modern digital assets market.

2. Real World Assets

Real-world assets (RWAs) are tokenized versions of traditional instruments such as bonds and equities. Once a fringe idea, RWAs are now among the fastest-growing asset classes in crypto.

Leading this wave is the tokenized U.S. Treasury market, now boasting over $6 billion AUM. Launched in early 2023, these on-chain Treasuries opened the door for crypto-native capital to access the low-risk, short-duration US T-Bills yield.

The adoption saw a staggering 6,000% growth according to RWA.xyz: from just $100 million in early 2023 to over $6 billion AUM today.

Treasury Product Metrics: Chart

Asset management heavyweights such as BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, and Fidelity (pending SEC approval) are all creating on-chain treasury products for digital capital markets.

Unlike traditional Treasuries, these digital versions offer 24/7 instant mint/redemptions, and seamless composability with other DeFi yield opportunities. Investors can subscribe and redeem around the clock, with stablecoin liquidity delivered in real time. Circle’s facility with BlackRock’s BUIDL and PayPal’s integration with Ondo’s OUSG are just two prominent examples.

3. Payment

A major emerging use case for stablecoins is cross-border payment, especially in corridors underserved by traditional financial infrastructure.

In much of the world, international payments remain slow, expensive, and error-prone due to dependency on correspondent banking. By contrast, stablecoins offer merchants and consumers an alternative with its instant, low-cost, always-on transfers. According to research from a16z, stablecoin payments are 99.99% cheaper and 99.99% faster than traditional wire transfers and they settle 24/7.

Payment types: chart

The shift is gaining momentum in the West, too. Stripe’s $1 billion acquisition of Bridge and subsequent introduction of Stablecoin Financial Account signal the start of mainstream global adoption. Meanwhile, PayPal’s rollout of yield on PYUSD balances highlights stablecoin’s rise as a legitimate retail payment vertical.

What was once a crypto-native solution is fast becoming a global financial utility.

Harvey Li, founder, Tokenization Insight

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Ask an Expert

Q. In light of the recent news from Europe regarding stablecoins and Tether, can you explain how stablecoin investment is valuable to an individual?

A. In the inherently volatile and highly risky world of cryptocurrencies, stablecoins provide individuals with a capital-efficient way to gain exposure to digital assets. Pegged to fiat currencies like the euro or commodities like gold, these digital assets provide stability and a hedge against crypto’s volatility. Crypto individuals can park their funds safely in stablecoins during times of uncertainty without having to exit the market and deal with TradFi.

This is why stablecoins dominate crypto. Their combined market cap has surpassed $245bln, a massive 15x growth over the last five years.

Q. Given current market trends in Europe, are stablecoins more or less susceptible to market fluctuations?

A. While stablecoins are inherently less volatile than typical crypto assets, they remain sensitive to regulatory developments and issuer credibility. When it comes to Europe, specifically, stablecoins have become less susceptible to market fluctuations due to stringent regulatory measures.

This includes the implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation, which provides a clear legal framework that requires stablecoin issuers to maintain adequate reserves and comply with strict governance standards. Such rules reduce the risk of de-pegging and enhance overall stability. However, this leads to market consolidation, a lack of competition, and reduced innovation at the same time.

Q. Is Europe becoming a new stablecoin hub as it becomes more receptive to crypto?

A. Europe has been signalling a friendly approach to crypto through MiCA, the first comprehensive crypto framework globally that introduces licensing requirements for digital asset service providers and AML protocols. The aim is to create a structured and harmonized regulatory environment for the crypto market, protect customers, and ensure financial stability.

Through its evolving MiCA regulations, Europe could certainly enhance institutional confidence and attract more stablecoin issuers. However, that would require overcoming licensing (a lengthy and costly process) issues, effective implementation at national levels, and adapting to the fast-progressing crypto space.

Europe is currently not a global leader in stablecoin adoption, but with clearer rules coming into place and its openness to compliant entities, it is well-positioned to emerge as a key hub for compliant stablecoin innovation.

Trevor Koverko, co-founder, Sapien

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Shiba Inu (SHIB) Price Drops 7% in 24 Hours but Remains Up 25% Over the Past Month

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The cryptocurrency market is feeling the effects of shifting global economic conditions as Shiba Inu (SHIB) faces significant downward pressure.

The meme token’s recent price action shows a clear downtrend with consecutive lower highs, breaking through multiple support levels.

The most intense selling occurred during the 07:00 hour when price collapsed to 0.0000149, with volume nearly doubling the average trading rate.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • SHIB dropped from 0.0000159 to 0.0000149, representing a 6.4% decline with an overall range of 0.0000012 (7.5%).
  • Price action formed a clear downtrend with consecutive lower highs, breaking through multiple support levels around 0.0000156 and 0.0000152.
  • High-volume selling occurred during the 07:00 hour when price collapsed to 0.0000149, with volume exceeding 1.43 trillion SHIB—nearly double the average trading volume.
  • Formation of resistance at 0.0000152 and support at 0.0000148 suggests potential consolidation before the next directional move.
  • In the last hour, SHIB experienced significant volatility with a sharp decline from 0.0000151 to 0.0000147, followed by a modest recovery to 0.0000149.
  • Most intense selling pressure occurred between 13:33-13:36, with volume spiking to over 83 billion SHIB at 13:35, establishing a critical support zone around 0.0000148.
  • Price action formed a V-shaped recovery pattern after reaching the session low of 0.0000147 at 13:51, with increasing buying momentum pushing SHIB back above the 0.0000148 level.

Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.

External References

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