Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Powell Will Set the Tone While Markets Eye Asia Battles, Trade

By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
It’s Federal Open Market Committee day in the U.S., and while there’s little expectation of a change in interest rates, the market’s attention will be focused on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s comments at the FOMC’s press conference.
The CME’s FedWatch tool is pointing to a 97.6% chance of rates remaining unchanged and Polymarket traders are weighing a 98.3% chance, so it’s the outlook that will take center stage.
Spanish bank Bankinter said in a note that a potential rally attempt for risk assets would for now be “naive,” pointing to indicators showing main U.S. ports are seeing a reduction in containers from China, while Powell is “likely to strike a chilly tone on both future cuts and the inflation cycle.”
“We are entering a phase of unclear direction, probably sideways but with a weakening bias that may last for several weeks,” Bankinter analysts wrote.
Adding to the cautionary tone is the military flare-up between India and Pakistan. India’s “Operation Sindoor’ kicked off during Asian hours with strikes in parts of Pakistan, which has vowed to retaliate.
Still, spot gold retreated more than 1.7% as traders took an optimistic stance on a U.S.-China trade deal and cryptocurrency prices are rising after New Hampshire became the first state to allow the investment of public funds into crypto. Bitcoin (BTC) has added 3% in the past 24 hours and the broader crypto market, as measured via the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index, rose 2.57%. That’s in contrast with equity markets, which fell Tuesday.
It’s still too early to say whether markets will focus more on the need for safe havens as international belligerence ramps up, or on the desire to lock in a bit more volatility as trade tensions ease. One possible signal: The largest bitcoin ETF, BlackRock’s IBIT has attracted greater net inflows than the largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust (GLD), since the start of the year.
Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade went live, the network’s biggest upgrade since 2022. The upgrade includes 11 major improvement proposals (EIPs), but whether it can reverse ETH’s decline against BTC remains to be seen.
Year-to-date, ether has lost around 47% of its value to the leading cryptocurrency, with the ETH/BTC ratio now sitting at 0.019. Stay alert!
What to Watch
- Crypto:
- May 8: Judge John G. Koeltl will sentence Alex Mashinsky, the founder and former CEO of the now-defunct crypto lending firm Celsius Network, at the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.
- May 12, 1 p.m. to 5:30 p.m.: A U.S. SEC Crypto Task Force Roundtable on «Tokenization: Moving Assets Onchain: Where TradFi and DeFi Meet» will be held at the SEC’s headquarters in Washington.
- Macro
- May 7, 2 p.m.: The Federal Reserve announces its interest-rate decision. The FOMC press conference is livestreamed 30 minutes later.
- Federal Funds Rate Target Range Est. 4.25%-4.5% vs. Prev. 4.25%-4.5%
- May 8, 7 a.m.: The Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision. The Monetary Policy Report Press Conference is livestreamed 30 minutes later.
- Bank Rate Est. 4.25% vs. Prev. 4.5%
- May 8, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance data for the week ended May 3.
- Initial Jobless Claims Est. 230K vs. Prev. 241K
- May 9-12: Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold trade talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during his visit to Switzerland.
- May 7, 2 p.m.: The Federal Reserve announces its interest-rate decision. The FOMC press conference is livestreamed 30 minutes later.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Arbitrum DAO is voting on whether to put the last $10.7 million from its 35 million ARB diversification plan into three low‑risk, dollar‑based funds from WisdomTree, Spiko, and Franklin Templeton. Voting ends on May 8.
- Compound DAO is voting on which new collateral type to prioritize on Compound V3. Voting ends May 8.
- May 7, 7:30 a.m.: PancakeSwap to host an X Spaces Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on the future of trading.
- May 7, 9 a.m.: Binance to host an AMA on its Binance Seeds program.
- May 7, 11 a.m.: Pendle to host a Pendle Yield Talk: Stablecoin Alpha X Spaces session.
- May 8, 10 a.m.: Balancer and Euler to host an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
- Unlocks
- May 9: Movement (MOVE) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $7.75 million.
- May 11: Solayer (LAYER) to unlock 12.87% of its circulating supply worth $47.82 million.
- May 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.82% of its circulating supply worth $54.17 million.
- May 13: WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.41% of its circulating supply worth $1.13 billion.
- May 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 4.09% of its circulating supply worth $16.74 million.
- Token Launches
- May 7: Obol (OBOL) to be listed on Binance, Bitget, Bybit, Gate.io, MEXC and others.
- May 8: Space and Time (SXT) to be listed on Binance, MEXC, BingX, KuCoin, Bitget and others.
- May 16: Galxe (GAL), Litentry (LIT), Mines of Dalarnia (DAR), Orion Protocol (ORN) and PARSIQ (PRQ) to be delisted from Coinbase.
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
- Day 2 of 2: Financial Times Digital Assets Summit (London)
- Day 2 of 3: Stripe Sessions (San Francisco)
- Day 1 of 3: SALT’s Bermuda Digital Finance Forum 2025 (Hamilton, Bermuda)
- May 9-10: Stanford Blockchain Governance Summit (San Francisco)
- May 11-17: Canada Crypto Week (Toronto)
- May 12-13: Dubai FinTech Summit
- May 12-13: Filecoin (FIL) Developer Summit (Toronto)
- May 12-13: Latest in DeFi Research (TLDR) Conference (New York)
- May 12-14: ACI’s 9th Annual Legal, Regulatory, and Compliance Forum on Fintech & Emerging Payment Systems (New York)
- May 13: Blockchain Futurist Conference (Toronto)
- May 13: ETHWomen (Toronto)
- May 14-16: CoinDesk’s Consensus 2025 (Toronto)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
- MOG Coin, an Ethereum and Base-based memecoin, is gaining traction on tech Twitter by fusing «mogging» (being better) with accelerationism (tech progress at all costs), birthing an internet-native ideology of mog/acc.
- Technology entrepreneurs and investors such as Elon Musk and Garry Tan have joined the trend, switching their profile pics to Pit Viper sunglasses — a symbol of the mog/acc ideology — and Solana firms like Jupiter and Raydium have followed suit.
- The mog/acc aesthetic is spreading fast thanks to viral tools like an auto-Pit Viper bot that converts profile pictures to the signature look of the movement.
- Mog/acc differs from e/acc or d/acc by skipping intellectual or moral discourse and leaning into meme culture, performance and raw ambition as a form of techno-optimism.
- Widespread adoption of mog/acc and the signature Pit Viper sunglasses could lead to increased mindshare for the MOG Coin token, which could boost demand and prices.
Derivatives Positioning
- BTC and ETH annualized CME futures basis has retreated to 6% from 8%.
- On offshore exchanges, BTC perpetual funding rates hold marginally positive while ETH’s funding rates have risen to near 10%, indicating renewed interest in taking bullish long bets.
- On Deribit, BTC front-end skew flipped negative to suggest a bias for short-term puts. A block trade involved a large long position in the $90K put expiring on May 16.
Market Movements
- BTC is up 2.11% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $96.997.82 (24hrs: +2.88%)
- ETH is up 3.31% at $1,844.39 (24hrs: +2.51%)
- CoinDesk 20 is up 2.18% at 2,749.824 (24hrs: +3.35%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 1 bp at 2.955%
- BTC funding rate is at -0.0006% (-0.6406% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is up 0.31% at 99.54
- Gold is down 1.2% at $3,374.49/oz
- Silver is down 1.29% at $32.76/oz
- Nikkei 225 closed -0.14% at 36,779.66
- Hang Seng closed +0.13% at 22,691.88
- FTSE is down 0.32% at 8,569.76
- Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.2% at 5,252.95
- DJIA closed on Tuesday -0.95% at 40,829.00
- S&P 500 closed -0.77% at 5,606.91
- Nasdaq closed -0.87% at 17,689.66
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed unchanged at 24,974.72
- S&P 40 Latin America closed -2.94% at 2,517.04
- U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is up 2 bps at 4.325%
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.53% at 5,657.00
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.54% at 19,984.75
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.5% at 41,123.00
Bitcoin Stats
- BTC Dominance: 65.19 (-0.12%)
- Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.0190 (+1.28%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 897 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $51.79
- Total Fees: 5.23 BTC / $494,601
- CME Futures Open Interest: 142,100 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 28.3 oz
- BTC vs gold market cap: 8.04%
Technical Analysis
- ETH’s daily chart shows the cryptocurrency has exited the prolonged downtrend.
- However, the sideways move past the trendline doesn’t quality as a bullish breakout and the lower high of $2,104 created on March 24 is the new level to beat for the bulls.
Crypto Equities
- Strategy (MSTR): closed on Tuesday at $385.60 (-0.24%), up 2.7% at $396 in pre-market
- Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $196.89 (-1.26%), up 1.88% at $200.60
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$25.90 (-2.3%)
- MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $13.15 (+0.46%), up 2.74% at $13.51
- Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.86 (-0.51%), up 3.05% at $8.10
- Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $8.99 (+2.74%), up 2.22% at $9.19
- CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $8.09 (+0.0%), up 2.6% at $8.30
- CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $14.54 (+1.96%)
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $33.09 (-1.46%), up 4.2% at $34.48
- Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $39.48 (-4.36%), unchanged in pre-market
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
- Daily net flow: -$85.7 million
- Cumulative net flows: $40.54 billion
- Total BTC holdings ~ 1.17 million
Spot ETH ETFs
- Daily net flow: -$17.9 million
- Cumulative net flows: $2.50 billion
- Total ETH holdings ~ 3.46 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
- BTC’s 1% market depth on Bybit, the collection of buy and sell orders within 1% from the going price, has recovered to levels last seen before the exchange was hacked in February.
- The recovery represents an improvement in the order book liquidity.
While You Were Sleeping
- India Strikes Pakistan Over Tourist Killings, Pakistan Says Indian Jets Downed (Reuters): India launched its heaviest strikes on Pakistan in over 20 years, prompting Islamabad to call the action a blatant act of war and vow retaliation amid global calls for restraint.
- U.S. and Chinese Officials to Meet for Trade Talks (Wall Street Journal): U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said his weekend talks with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Switzerland will focus on easing tensions, not securing a major trade deal.
- Ethereum Activates ‘Pectra’ Upgrade, Raising Max Stake to 2,048 ETH (CoinDesk): The long-awaited “Pectra” upgrade went live, marking the blockchain’s most significant overhaul since the Merge in 2022.
- BlackRock’s Spot Bitcoin ETF Tops World’s Largest Gold Fund in Inflows This Year (CoinDesk): IBIT’s outperformance signals institutional confidence in bitcoin’s long-term outlook, even as the cryptocurrency lags in recent price performance.
- Forecasting Fed-Induced Price Swings in Bitcoin, Ether, Solana and XRP (CoinDesk): On Fed day, Volmex’s implied volatility indices suggest modest moves following the interest-rate decision, with bitcoin’s 24-hour swing at 2.56% and ether’s at 3.45%.
- Dollar Faces $2.5 Trillion ‘Avalanche’ of Asian Sales, Jen Says (Bloomberg): Eurizon SLJ Capital analysts said rising trade tensions could prompt Asian investors to repatriate funds or hedge against a weaker dollar, risking a major sell-off.
- China Keeps Adding Gold to Reserves as Challenges Stack Up (Bloomberg): The People’s Bank of China added 70,000 ounces of gold in April, lifting its six-month total to nearly 1 million, while futures trading volumes recently reached all-time highs in Shanghai.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
Bitcoin Challenges $105K on Positive Weekend Macro Headlines

They crypto bull move continued into the weekend thanks to a trio of positive macro developments.
Likely most responsible for the move was a President Trump Truth Social post regarding trade talks being held in Switzerland between the U.S. and China.
«A very good meeting today,» said Trump. «Many things discussed, much agreed to,» he continued. «A total reset negotiated in a friendly, but constructive, manner. We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business. GREAT PROGRESS MADE!!!»
Earlier Saturday, Trump also announced a «full and immediate» ceasefire in the brewing war between India and Pakistan.
Completing the trio of good news, Russian President Putin said he was «in the mood for serious talks with Ukraine,» and suggested talks «without preconditions» in Turkey next week.
Bitcoin (BTC) rose to just a few dollars short of $105,000 before pulling back to the current $104,500, ahead 1.5% over the past 24 hours. Ether (ETH) has continued its recent outperformance, up 7.7% over the same time frame.
Uncategorized
Lido Proposes a Bold Governance Model to Give stETH Holders a Say in Protocol Decisions

Lido Finance, Ethereum’s largest liquid staking platform by locked value, has introduced a proposal that grants staked ether (stETH) holders direct voting power alongside existing DAO tokenholders.
The upgrade, dubbed Lido Improvement Proposal (LIP) 28, outlines a dual governance system allowing stETH holders — those who stake ETH via Lido and receive a liquid token in return — to participate in a veto mechanism on key protocol decisions. Currently, only holders of LDO, Lido’s governance token, have a say in how the protocol evolves.
Under the new system, stETH holders could veto certain proposals approved by LDO tokenholders, though the veto would not enable them to push proposals through unilaterally.
The proposed system is framed as a mechanism to increase accountability and decentralization, especially as Lido continues to dominate Ethereum’s staking landscape. Over 25% of all ETH is staked on the network running through its infrastructure.
How it works
The Dual Governance system adds a special timelock contract between Lido DAO’s decisions and their execution, giving stETH holders a way to intervene if they strongly oppose a proposal.
The «dynamic» time lock is necessary because it is how on-chain governance technically works behind the scenes.
In the current system, decisions don’t take effect right away, as there is a set period before they’re executed. That gives users time to react if they don’t agree with certain changes.
However, Ethereum staking is different because one can’t quickly unstake or withdraw ETH, even with the current timelock. It takes time, liquidity is complex, and there is often a queue that could take several days to clear.
The new proposal wants to tackle that.
The proposed dynamic timelock assumes that, as enough users, who aren’t satisfied with a proposed change, deposit their stETH (or wrapped stETH and withdrawal of NFTs) into a designated escrow contract for withdrawal, the timelock duration begins to increase — this is called crossing the “first seal” (set at 1% of total Lido ETH staked).
If discontent continues and deposits cross the “second seal” threshold (10% of Lido’s ETH TVL), a «rage quit» is triggered: execution of the DAO’s decision is completely blocked until all protesting stakers have had the chance to withdraw their ETH.
This creates a sort of safety valve — allowing stakers to signal objection and exit — while still giving the DAO time to respond or cancel the contentious action.
The plan comes as Ethereum has surged more than 30% over the past week, riding momentum from its Pectra upgrade, which introduced execution-layer reforms to improve scalability and efficiency.
The rally has sparked renewed attention on Ethereum-native applications like Lido, which is critical in capital flow and validator participation across the chain — and directly impacts ETH market structure.
The LIP-28 proposal is still in its discussion phase, with a formal on-chain vote expected in the coming weeks.
If approved, the change could shift how governance is distributed across Ethereum’s staking ecosystem, setting a precedent for other DeFi protocols seeking to include users, not just tokenholders, in decision-making. Lido’s other competitors include Rocket Pool and Frax Ether.
LDO prices have risen 6.5% in the past 24 hours, while the CoinDesk 20 Index, a broader market gauge, climbed 2.5%.
Read more: Ethereum Activates ‘Pectra’ Upgrade, Raising Max Stake to 2,048 ETH
Uncategorized
State of Crypto: Mapping Out the Senate Stablecoin Bill’s Next Steps

House Republicans unveiled a discussion draft of a market structure bill but all eyes this week were on the Senate, where a largely bipartisan effort to advance stablecoin legislation ran up against a wall.
PS: I’ll be in Toronto next week for Consensus. In town? Come say hi.
You’re reading State of Crypto, a CoinDesk newsletter looking at the intersection of cryptocurrency and government. Click here to sign up for future editions.
Unstable movement
The narrative
Stablecoin and market structure bills are the two big things around crypto that Congress is expected to get to President Donald Trump’s desk this year. There was a press conference by crypto and AI czar David Sacks with the chairs of the House and Senate committees. Everyone had this rough deadline of «before the August recess.»
Why it matters
Of these two bills, the stablecoin legislation was supposed to be the easier lift. It’s focused on just a part of the crypto sector, while the market structure bill will define how a much broader part of the industry operates and is overseen by federal regulators. And up until just over a week ago, the stablecoin bill was largely sailing through with few issues. Now — while it’s still expected to become law — the timing of its passage is far less certain.
Breaking it down
First thing’s first: No one this reporter has spoken to this week thinks the Senate’s stablecoin bill — the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act — is dead. According to multiple individuals familiar with the situation, lawmakers were already back to negotiating after Thursday’s failed vote, and lawmakers could vote again as soon as next week — potentially even Monday.
Thursday’s vote failed after Democrats raised an alarm last weekend that certain provisions around national security, the soundness of the financial system and accountability, though Republicans argued that ongoing stablecoin usage requires swift passage. U.S. President Donald Trump’s profiting off of stablecoins also raised alarm bells for lawmakers, senators introducing multiple bills that would prevent the President from issuing financial assets, including the «End Crypto Corruption Act,» which would block all members of Congress, the president, vice president, other executive branch officials and their families from «issuing, endorsing or sponsoring crypto assets.»
On Wednesday, one individual told CoinDesk that it appeared that a deal might be in place so that Democrats would get a vote on the End Crypto Corruption Act, either as an amendment to the GENIUS Act or as a standalone bill, ahead of the procedural vote on the GENIUS Act itself.
This ultimately did not happen, with lawmakers proceeding directly to the so-called cloture vote on Thursday; it fell 48-49.
The vote did not fail on party lines either: though no Democrats voted in favor of the bill, Republicans Josh Hawley and Rand Paul joined 46 Democrats in voting against the motion (Majority Leader John Thune initially voted in favor of the bill, but flipped in a procedural move that will let him bring the bill back for a vote later).
Among other issues was the fact that there was no bill text available at the time the vote kicked off.
The cloture vote, which would open 30 hours of debate, is likely the main piece of leverage Democrats have to try and get their priorities into the bill because it needs 60 Senators to pass. After the debate, there will be another cloture vote before the final passage vote, but it would be difficult for a lawmaker who voted to open debate to walk that back afterward, one of the individuals told CoinDesk.
Having their priorities sorted before getting to the final set of votes would also just generally provide more comfort to lawmakers, the individual said.
None of the individuals who spoke to CoinDesk expect that an actual provision blocking the U.S. President from issuing or being tied to an issuer of a stablecoin will become part of the final bill.
One of the individuals said ongoing negotiations are more focused on how foreign issuers are treated and anti-money laundering provisions.
A broader concern was that a hefty delay in passing the stablecoin legislation may slow down the process for advancing the market structure bill, which will rewrite the law around how the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Securities and Exchange Commission oversee digital assets, including how cryptocurrencies might be defined as securities. A discussion draft was introduced in the House this week.
If the Senate votes on the stablecoin bill in the next week or so, it should not hold up the other bill, two individuals told CoinDesk.
Stories you may have missed
- U.S. Crypto Market Structure Bill Unveiled by House Lawmakers: As the headline says. More on this in a few weeks.
- New Hampshire Becomes First State to Approve Crypto Reserve Law: The headline is pretty self-explanatory here.
- Samourai Wallet Prosecutors Say Delayed FinCEN Disclosure Wasn’t a Brady Violation: Defense attorneys for the Samourai Wallet developers alleged the other day that the DOJ withheld crucial evidence in the form of notes about a conversation with Financial Crime Enforcement Network officials who told prosecutors that Samourai Wallet was not a money transmitting business. Prosecutors claimed Friday they didn’t withhold this evidence.
- SEC, Ripple Ink $50M Settlement Agreement, Ask NY Judge for Green Light: Ripple and the SEC have asked a judge to okay the settlement agreement they first announced in March.
- Bettors Lose Millions Predicting the New Pope as Polymarket Edge Fizzles Out: There is a new Pope, and Polymarket bettors gave him a 1% chance of succeeding Pope Francis.
- Binance Founder CZ Confirms He Has Applied for Trump Pardon After Prison Term: Changpeng Zhao said he asked U.S. President Donald Trump for a pardon after his 2023 guilty plea to a Bank Secrecy Act violation.
- CFTC Drops Appeal in Kalshi Election Betting Case: The CFTC appears to have cleared the way for political events contracts to officially launch in the U.S., after dropping its appeal of Kalshi’s 2024 court win.
- Senate Democrat Says He’s Looking Into Trump’s Crypto Businesses: Sen. Richard Blumenthal, the ranking member on the Senate Homeland Security and Government Affairs Committee’s Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, wrote letters to executives at two Trump-affiliated entities asking about their crypto projects.
- Coinbase’s SEC Documents Reveal NY Attorney General Wanted ETH Declared Security: New York Attorney General Letitia James’ office asked the Securities and Exchange Commission to call ETH a security during its case against KuCoin, according to a set of documents Coinbase received from the SEC pursuant to a Freedom of Information Act request.
- OCC: Banks Can Buy and Sell Their Customers’ Crypto Assets Held in Custody: The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency published an interpretative letter telling banks they can buy and sell crypto assets for customers to be held in custody and use third-party servicers.
- As Meta Said to Mull Tokens, Senator Warren Calls for Blocking Big Tech Stablecoins: Meta (formerly Facebook), which famously tried to get into crypto in 2019 and sparked a massive global backlash to its efforts, is mulling using stablecoins again, per Fortune. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Josh Hawley have both expressed concerns.
This week
Tuesday
- 10:00 a.m. ET (14:00 UTC) The House Financial Services and Agriculture Committees were scheduled to hold a joint hearing on digital asset market structure, but FSC Ranking Member Maxine Waters objected and instead held her own hearing on Trump’s crypto tie-ups.
Thursday
- 10:00 a.m. ET (14:00 UTC): Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky was sentenced to 12 years in prison after pleading guilty to commodities and securities fraud charges last year.
Elsewhere:
- (404 Media) It turns out former National Security Advisor Michael Waltz was not using Signal, but rather an unofficial version called TeleMessage, which was then hacked and later suspended services temporarily.
- (The San Francisco Standard) Jeffy Yu appeared to fake his own death to pump a memecoin, or something. The once late Yu is alive and kicking at his parents’ home, the San Francisco Standard reported.
If you’ve got thoughts or questions on what I should discuss next week or any other feedback you’d like to share, feel free to email me at nik@coindesk.com or find me on Bluesky @nikhileshde.bsky.social.
You can also join the group conversation on Telegram.
See ya’ll next week!
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