Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Threatened by Regulation Hiccup, Weakening Demand

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
As bitcoin (BTC) and the wider crypto market await the Fed’s rate decision on Wednesday, an anomaly has emerged that could weigh heavily on market mood: renewed doubt over the passing of U.S. crypto regulation.
Early Tuesday, CoinDesk reported that Senate Democrats are hesitant to push forward landmark stablecoin legislation, citing concerns over President Donald Trump’s growing personal gains from his crypto ventures.
When Trump took office, many observers felt crypto regulation would proceed smoothly. Looking back, that optimism was probably misplaced. With the president actively involved in digital assets through family-linked projects like WLFI and memecoins, opposition has mounted, potentially slowing the regulatory progress.
That might lead investors to reprice regulatory uncertainty just as charts for BTC and XRP are signaling pullback risks. Additionally, according to CryptoQuant, there are signs of renewed weakness in bitcoin demand from U.S.-based investors.
«Over the past month, the premium recovered significantly but is now dropping again — aligning with the recent BTC price correction,» CryptoQuant contributor AbramChart said.
On the positive side, U.S.-listed spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) marked three straight days of net inflows.
Acting CFTC Chairman Caroline Pham told crypto journalist Eleanor Terret that the derivatives market regulator plans to observe a handful of tokenization pilot programs to evaluate the technology and see how well tokenized assets function in the real world .
Speaking of traditional markets and macro, Taiwan dollar forward contracts signal extreme pressure on the U.S. dollar, meaning the greenback could continue to weaken against the Asian currency and probably major currencies like the euro. The broad-based USD weakness may act as a tailwind for crypto. FX market volatility could drive investors to gold and perhaps bitcoin, too, unless it leads to a broad-based risk-off, in which case BTC may feel the heat.
The other bullish development is the U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments that U.S. rates now carry sovereign credit risk and not just long-term growth and inflation expectations. In other words, rates are artificially high because the U.S. government itself is now the risk premium, as pseudonymous observer EndGame Macro said. So, a shift away from U.S. assets and into alternative investments could continue. Stay alert!
What to Watch
- Crypto:
- May 6, 7:15 a.m.: Casper Network (CSPR) launches its 2.0 mainnet upgrade, introducing faster transactions, enhanced smart contracts, and improved staking features to boost enterprise adoption.
- May 7, 6:05 a.m.: The Pectra hard fork network upgrade will get activated on the Ethereum (ETH) mainnet at epoch 364032. Pectra combines two major components: the Prague execution layer hard fork and the Electra consensus layer upgrade.
- May 8: Judge John G. Koeltl will sentence Alex Mashinsky, the founder and former CEO of the now-defunct crypto lending firm Celsius Network, at the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York.
- Macro
- May 6, 9 a.m.: S&P Global releases Brazil April purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
- Composite PMI Prev. 52.6
- Services PMI Prev. 52.5
- May 6, 10 a.m.: U.S. House Financial Services Committee and Agriculture Committee joint hearing titled “American Innovation and the Future of Digital Assets: A Blueprint for the 21st Century.” Livestream link.
- May 7, 2 p.m.: The Federal Reserve announces its interest-rate decision. The FOMC press conference is livestreamed 30 minutes later.
- Federal Funds Rate Target Range Est. 4.25%-4.5% vs. Prev. 4.25%-4.5%
- May 8, 7 a.m.: The Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision. The Monetary Policy Report Press Conference is livestreamed 30 minutes later.
- Bank Rate Est. 4.25% vs. Prev. 4.5%
- May 6, 9 a.m.: S&P Global releases Brazil April purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Uniswap DAO is voting on whether to pay Forse, a data‑analytics platform from StableLab, $60,000 in UNI to build an “analytics hub” that tracks how incentive programs are working on four more blockchains. Voting ends on May 6.
- Arbitrum DAO is voting on whether to put the last $10.7 million from its 35 million ARB diversification plan into three low‑risk, dollar‑based funds from WisdomTree, Spiko and Franklin Templeton. Voting ends on May 8.
- May 6, 1:30 p.m.: MetaMask and Aave to host an X Spaces session on USDC supplied to Aave being spendable on the MetaMask card.
- May 7, 7:30 a.m.: PancakeSwap to host an X Spaces Ask Me Anything (AMA) session on the future of trading.
- May 7, 9 a.m.: Binance to host an AMA on its Binance Seeds program.
- May 7, 11 a.m.: Pendle to host a Pendle Yield Talk: Stablecoin Alpha X Spaces session.
- May 8, 10 a.m.: Balancer and Euler to host an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
- Unlocks
- May 7: Kaspa (KAS) to unlock 0.55% of its circulating supply worth $13.24 million.
- May 9: Movement (MOVA) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $8.97 million.
- May 11: Solayer (LAYER) to unlock 12.87% of its circulating supply worth $55.93 million.
- May 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.82% of its circulating supply worth $54.97 million.
- May 13: WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.41% of its circulating supply worth $1.12 billion.
- May 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 4.09% of its circulating supply worth $16.34 million.
- Token Launches
- May 7: Obol (OBOL) to be listed on Binance, Bitget, Bybit, Gate.io, MEXC,and others.
- May 16: Galxe (GAL), Litentry (LIT), Mines of Dalarnia (DAR), Orion Protocol (ORN), and PARSIQ (PRQ) to be delisted from Coinbase.
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
- Day 1 of 2: Financial Times Digital Assets Summit (London)
- Day 1 of 3: Stripe Sessions (San Francisco)
- May 7-9: SALT’s Bermuda Digital Finance Forum 2025 (Hamilton, Bermuda)
- May 11-17: Canada Crypto Week (Toronto)
- May 12-13: Dubai FinTech Summit
- May 12-13: Filecoin (FIL) Developer Summit (Toronto)
- May 12-13: Latest in DeFi Research (TLDR) Conference (New York)
- May 12-14: ACI’s 9th Annual Legal, Regulatory, and Compliance Forum on Fintech & Emerging Payment Systems (New York)
- May 13: Blockchain Futurist Conference (Toronto)
- May 13: ETHWomen (Toronto)
- May 14-16: CoinDesk’s Consensus 2025 (Toronto)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
- Tokens of some DeFi powerhouses are catching a bid as attention turns to fundamentals in a flat market.
- Hyperliquid’s HYPE token surged 72% over the past week, outpacing most of the top 100 tokens. The platform’s gas-free, order book-based, decentralized exchange model is attracting traders seeking efficient and transparent trading environments.
- AAVE has seen increased activity with the integration of Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin into its V3 Ethereum Core Market. The move aims to bridge traditional finance with DeFi, enhancing AAVE’s appeal to institutional investors.
- Despite a recent security breach on Curve Finance’s X account, CRV managed to post a 40% gain in the past week, demonstrating investor confidence in the underlying protocol.
- Kay Lu, CEO of HashKey Eco Labs, said in a note to CoinDesk that traders are turning to projects with stronger fundamentals and token economics as memecoins fall out of favor.
Derivatives Positioning
- XMR, TAO, ADA lead majors in 24-hour growth of perpetual futures open interest. XRP, meanwhile, has the most negative 24-hour cumulative volume delta, hinting at an influx of selling pressure.
- BTC’s funding rate is barely positive, while ETH has flipped marginally negative, both pointing to weakening of bull momentum.
- CME futures basis climbed to between 5% and 10%, reviving interest in cash-and-carry arbitrage trades, according to Binance Research.
- Flows in the Deribit-listed options market have been mixed with May BTC calls and puts lifted.
Market Movements
- BTC is down 0.19% from 4 p.m. ET Monday at $94,160 (24hrs: -0.18%)
- ETH is down 1.09% at $1,795.10 (24hrs: -0.66%)
- CoinDesk 20 is down 1.05% at 2,675.34 (24hrs: -0.96%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 7 bps at 2.964%
- BTC funding rate is at 0.0046% (5.1147% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is down 0.14% at 99.69
- Gold is up 1.99% at $3,379.76/oz
- Silver is up 2.13% at $32.99/oz
- Nikkei 225 closed +1.04% at 36,830.69
- Hang Seng closed +0.7% at 22,662.71
- FTSE is down 0.18% at 8,580.67
- Euro Stoxx 50 is down 1.14% at 4,719.66
- DJIA closed on Monday -0.24% at 41,218.83
- S&P 500 closed -0.64% at 5,650.38
- Nasdaq closed -0.74% at 17,844.24
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed -0.31% at 24,953.52
- S&P 40 Latin America closed -1.15% at 2,493.86
- U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is up 1 bp at 4.36%
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.74% at 5,629.75
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 1.05% at 19,845.50
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.61% at 41,067.00
Bitcoin Stats
- BTC Dominance: 64.91 (0.13%)
- Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.01910 (-0.52%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 908 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $50.13
- Total Fees: 5.10 BTC / $480,379.20
- CME Futures Open Interest: 143,680 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 28.1 oz
- BTC vs gold market cap: 7.97%
Technical Analysis
- VIRTUAL, the native token of the Base-native Virtuals Protocol for creating and owning AI agents, has established a base above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of the January-April sell-off.
- The breakout means potential for a rally to the 38.2% Fibonacci level of $2.22.
- VIRTUAL is the best-performing coin of the past 30 days.
Crypto Equities
- Strategy (MSTR): closed on Monday at $386.53 (-1.99%), down 1.25% at $381.68 in pre-market
- Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $199.40 (-2.7%), down 0.63% at $198.15
- Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$26.51 (-1.23%)
- MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $13.09 (-9.6%), down 1.22% at $12.93
- Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.90 (-5.84%), down 1.27% at $7.80
- Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $8.75 (+0.11%)
- CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $8.09 (-8.17%), down 0.62% at $8.04
- CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $14.26 (-4.74%)
- Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $33.58 (-7.13%), down 0.24% at $33.50
- Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $41.28 (-7.84%), up 0.51% at $41.49
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
- Daily net flow: $425.5 million
- Cumulative net flows: $40.63 billion
- Total BTC holdings ~ 1.17 million
Spot ETH ETFs
- Daily net flow: $0 million
- Cumulative net flows: $2.53 billion
- Total ETH holdings ~ 3.47 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
- Bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility has dropped to the lowest since July last year.
- In other words, volatility is cheap, which is when seasoned traders typically prefer to buy options.
While You Were Sleeping
- BlackRock, Citi CEOs to Visit Saudi Arabia Along With Trump (Bloomberg): Several top U.S. CEOs will speak May 13 at the Saudi-U.S. Investment Forum in Riyadh, the day President Donald Trump arrives to seek another $1 trillion in Saudi trade and investment.
- Bitcoin Developers Plan OP_RETURN Limit Removal in Next Release (CoinDesk): Bitcoin Core’s plan to lift the cap has divided developers, with supporters citing cleaner UTXO handling and critics warning of spam risks and a shift away from financial use.
- Watch Out Bitcoin Bulls, $99.9K Price May Test Your Mettle (CoinDesk): Long-term BTC holders may take profits at $99,900, aligning with their historical behavior of selling at 350% paper gains, according to on-chain data from Glassnode.
- VIRTUAL Surges 200% in a Month as Smart Money Pours Into Virtuals Protocol (CoinDesk): The native token of the Base-powered decentralized AI agent platform has surged 207% in the past month, helped by $14.2 million in inflows from smart money, according to Nansen.
- Ukraine Targets Moscow With Drones for Second Straight Night, Officials Say (Reuters): All four Moscow airports were shut for several hours after Russian forces intercepted 19 drones days before the city’s planned World War II victory anniversary celebrations.
- Fed Confronts Lose-Lose Scenario Amid Haphazard Tariff Rollout (The Wall Street Journal): Fed officials are expected to delay rate cuts, fearing premature moves could intensify inflation driven by Trump’s tariffs and strained global supply chains.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
ECB Establishes Innovation Hub to Test Digital Euro as Preparation Phase Nears End

The European Central Bank (ECB) said it set up an innovation hub with 70 participants to test its digital euro project.
The participants included start-ups, banks and payment services including global professional services company Accenture, Swiss telecommunications company Swisscom, Spanish bank CaixaBank and audit and tax firm KPMG, it said in a Monday release. The companies have signed up to work with the ECB to explore the central bank digital currency’s payment functionalities and use cases, the release said.
The ECB issued a call to small and large merchants, banks and payment-service providers last year. The central bank’s President Christine Lagarde said that the testing phase of the CBDC, which it calls its preparation phase, should end by October. A decision on whether or not to issue a digital euro is expected to occur after legislation takes effect.
Read more: ECB Targets October to Finish Digital Euro Preparation Phase
Uncategorized
DeFi Development Adds $11.2M in SOL, Bringing Holdings to More Than 400K Tokens

Formerly known as Janover (JNVR), DeFi Development Corporation (DFDV has added an additional 82,404 solana (SOL) tokens to its treasury, pushing its total holdings to 400,091 SOL.
At SOL’s current price of $143, the company stack is worth more than $57 million.
The newly acquired tokens include locked SOL, purchased through BitGo’s over-the-counter desk, according to a press release. These tokens can’t be moved on-chain until unlocked, but they can still be traded over-the-counter between institutions, the firm said.
The company said it plans to stake these assets to generate yield.
The accumulation follows the acquisition of a validator operation earlier this week, which it will use to self-stake its entire SOL treasury and generate “protocol-native cashflow.”
DFDV shares are lower by 3.8% in Tuesday morning trade alongside SOL’s 2% price decline.
Uncategorized
Will Crypto Values Survive the Regulatory Wave?

It is often said that crypto is part technology and part religion. As such, it is hardly surprising that the unfolding regulatory overhaul has been accompanied both by vigorous soul searching related to the state of crypto’s (often anti-establishment) core values and palpable excitement over potential new use cases.
With the blessing of CoinDesk, I asked the panelists of our upcoming people’s regulatory roundtable at Consensus 2025—each of them crypto veterans and advocates for sensible regulation—about safeguarding crypto values in regulatory reform and about the innovation that new regulation is making possible.
You can catch Kayvan Sadeghi, Connor Spelliscy, Lewis Cohen, Michelle Ann Gitlitz and David Adlerstein speaking at the People’s Regulatory Roundtable on May 14 at 10 a.m. on the Spotlight Stage. The roundtable will be moderated by Ivo Entchev. If you would like to submit a question ahead of time, please email it to opinion@coindesk.com.
This is what they had to say.
Which core crypto values are most important to you and why? How can we ensure that they are respected by regulatory reform?
KAYVAN: Individual freedom and sovereignty are core values. Privacy and decentralization are important largely as a means to achieving that sovereignty, which can otherwise be undermined through surveillance and centralized points of control.
To ensure that these values are respected, it is helpful to reframe the conversation to focus on the ways in which new technology can achieve the objectives of the existing laws, not just differently, but better. For example, many financial regulations are designed to prevent abuse by those with control over other people’s assets. But as long as humans hold that power, the risk of corruption and greed will persist and the same problems will recur.
Heavily regulated intermediaries is one path, but removing the human intermediaries altogether can eliminate the root cause. By analogy, one can curtail drunk-driving with stricter alcohol laws and more frequent roadside checkpoints, but those are band-aids on a problem that can be eliminated with autonomous vehicles.
There will be growing pains as new technology is battle-tested, and the risks will look different from the risks of human intermediaries, but the values can be preserved by focusing the discussion around the use of technology to deliver better solutions to problems that the law is already trying to solve.
CONNOR: Blockchain technology can provide users with unprecedented levels of transparency, reliability, and security—as long as policy frameworks allow it to flourish by incentivizing decentralization.
If properly regulated, blockchain projects will continue to decentralize, giving users greater control over their finances and digital assets, reducing reliance on overreaching institutions. Beyond financial use cases, decentralized blockchain networks function as infrastructure for a variety of applications that provide users with more autonomy over their lives, including, for example: social media platforms that allow users to own and control their data, community-owned platforms that leverage decentralized governance to compete with Big Tech, and digital identity protocols necessary for users to protect their identity online from sophisticated AI-enabled bots.
We believe that focusing on control is the most effective framing option for defining decentralization under law. Meeting a test for control would significantly reduce information asymmetries stemming from the control of a blockchain’s token, justifying lower regulatory burdens or exemptions under securities laws. We recommended specific control principles to implement in our Designing Blockchain for a Flourishing Industry paper we published this week, incorporating feedback from 40+ teams, founders, operators, lawyers, and policymakers.
LEWIS: When we talk about core values, I think about the values of those users and builders who are attracted to the crypto space, rather than the values of a technology as such. These individuals, in my experience, are attracted by many things that certainly include personal sovereignty and decentralization, but are by no means limited to these features.
What means the most to me and has driven me forward for the last 10 years, is working with, and serving the needs of, that incredibly diverse community of users and builders — fiercely dedicated to innovation and developing a new “Internet of Value.” We can never forget that, at its heart, “crypto” is a system of tools built from the ground up, not by large corporations, but by individuals contributing their time, energy, and creativity to help make the world a more connected and inclusive place.
MICHELLE: Decentralization is the most important value to me because the distribution of power, control, and decision-making across a network rather than in the hands of central authorities enables true digital ownership and freedom to transact. Where there is centralization and control, we need legal and regulatory safeguards that are reasonably tailored to the particular intricacies of the blockchain-based systems. Ensuring decentralization is respected requires legislators and regulators to truly understand the underlying infrastructure so they can craft rules that protect consumers from loss of funds or value and to safeguard against financial crimes.
DAVID: I’ve been a corporate lawyer for over 20 years and am an ardent believer in free markets. The concept of recognized rights in alienable property, the concept that entrepreneurs should be free to test ideas in the marketplace, and the concept of “freedom of contract”—that consenting adults should be free to enter into exchanges of goods and services as they desire—are all at the heart of U.S. corporate law (and that of other liberal democracies). These concepts are quintessential crypto values.
For all crypto’s novelty, the paradigm of needing reasonable regulatory safeguards around a new technology is an old one. Commercial airplanes were once new tech, and for good reason we have regulations to ensure things like pilot training and safety standards, but these days you can pretty much fly anywhere whenever you want to.
The same paradigm should apply here. I believe it is possible for regulators to preserve openness to new software-based business models and organizational forms, while reasonably tailoring safeguards to prevent things like financial crises and terror financing.
Is regulation opening the door to new and valuable business models/products?
KAYVAN: Sensible regulation could have profound implications for any business driven by community engagement and network effects. Many technologies are lowering the barrier for individuals and small teams to generate and distribute content in competition with larger centralized companies. Effective regulation can further empower individuals by paving the way for good actors to have more direct access to allocation of capital, and for a broader mainstream audience to participate in the ecosystem and benefit from the network effects of the communities in which they participate.
CONNOR: To be determined! We’ve seen a lot more mainstream and institutional interest in blockchain technology now that it appears the space will have clearer parameters as laid out in legislation like a market structure and stablecoin bill but until those bills pass, I think many ambitious and exciting blockchain projects will continue to have a problem scaling. I’m optimistic we’ll be seeing more impactful projects launch in areas like decentralized AI, digital identity, and social media. I’d also love to see legal clarity for novel organizational structures like DAOs so that those types of organizations can continue to experiment and improve; with respect to DAOs, the newly available Wyoming DUNA has proven to be a great step forward.
LEWIS: The door is always open to innovation! Regulation, when it works as it should, facilitates innovation in a balanced and sustainable manner, but is reactive to new business models that the community adopts and actually uses.
I think of regulations in their most ideal form as similar to the development of car travel. Innovators developed the automobile—“horseless carriages” which initially traveled along muddy trails intended for a very different kind of transportation. Seeing this innovation, the government paved and painted lines on roads. Yes, this constrained drivers to some extent, but it also allowed them to travel more safely and go much faster. It was the private sector that took the lead when it came to automobile innovation, designing new kinds of cars with new technologies that travel on those roads.
No matter how well intended at the time, any regulation that seeks to put its finger on the scale and promote one type of technology approach over another usually winds up backfiring in some way and distorting the market. Innovators will continue to create, and regulators should continue to watch over and adapt to these innovations, not lead them.
MICHELLE: I’ve been in the crypto industry for the last 10 years and have worked mostly in heavily regulated areas dealing with financial integrity and consumer protection. I’ve seen new business models and products such as stablecoins proliferate in the ecosystem in the absence of regulatory clarity. Thoughtful regulation enables wider adoption of innovative crypto products with greater confidence by providing clarity to developers and trust amongst users. I’ve also seen more projects in the crypto industry prioritize compliance compared to a decade ago.
As a result, there is a significant opportunity for RegTech solutions to build compliance tooling and processes. We do this every day at Change Agents where we are on a mission to streamline workflows, reduce costs and unlock efficiencies using our secure AI-powered automation first platform. Traditional financial institutions often operate on decades-old platforms that were not designed to interface with modern technologies. They struggle with fragmented data stored in disparate systems and formats. Jurisdictions maintain varying approaches to regulation, further complicating these issues.
Crypto platforms inherently facilitate compliance because blockchain technology enables transparent recordkeeping, more automated compliance checks and immutable audit trails. Crypto platforms are also developed with API-first approaches, making integration with RegTech products significantly more straightforward. Finally, crypto companies can oftentimes automate regulatory compliance functions directly from their transaction data rather than manually aggregating data from multiple systems, increasing delays and creating the potential for error. Ultimately, these factors give crypto companies a competitive edge over TradFi because they can better reduce compliance costs while also providing more accurate information to regulators.
DAVID: There are many powerful narratives within crypto, beginning with Bitcoin as a resilient store of value now over 16 years old borderline ancient for technology these days. But I’m particularly excited about stablecoins and tokenization of real-world assets. The potential impact of having a nexus between capital and a fully composable, Turing-complete global computer is not widely understood.
Money is the very lifeblood of commerce, and things like instantaneous payments with little friction and the ability of the unbanked to use digital dollar equivalents, to name just a couple of examples, are only the beginning. Stablecoins are already fairly popular, but impending U.S. regulation will open the door to much more widespread usage. It’s critical to get stablecoin regulation right, with a particular emphasis on minimizing run risk, preserving the ability to combat illicit finance, and promoting interoperability.
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