Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin, Gold Rally in Tandem on Regulatory Outlook, Muted Tariff Effects

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Bitcoin remains well supported above $100,000 as it eyes record highs, buoyed by reports that the new SEC leadership has established a task force to develop a framework for crypto assets. Pundits have long said regulatory clarity could pave the way for further price appreciation.
Gold’s price rebound from December lows has also gathered pace and is now just 1% shy of setting new highs above $2,790 per ounce. That’s unusual: Bitcoin typically rallies when the price of gold stagnates.
Perhaps gold is saying the Fed will walk back on its hawkish December bias that signaled fewer rate cuts, helping keep BTC bid. And why not? Reports indicate that Trump’s tariffs will be lighter than anticipated and research from MacroMicro shows that their inflationary impact during his previous presidency was minimal.
In the broader crypto market, on-chain data from IntoTheBlock reveals that 80% of addresses holding LINK, one of the recent top performers, are in profit at the going market rate of $25.70. Key resistance levels have been identified at $27 and $29, which acted as barriers last year.
The movement of XRP, another recent outperformer, between addresses owned by whales and centralized exchanges has slowed considerably from the record levels earlier this month. That may be a sign these large holders have slowed their profit-taking activity.
Meanwhile, traders are expressing enthusiasm with sentiments like «we are so back,» especially after Bloomberg’s James Seyffart shared filings for ETF applications involving coins including LTC, SOL, DOGE, XRP and others. It seems the momentum in both the crypto and traditional markets could be setting the stage for an exciting period ahead. Stay alert!
What to Watch
Crypto
Jan. 22, 10:30 a.m.: Solana-powered decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator Jupiter’s JUP airdrop claim goes live. Jupiter’s users have three months to claim.
Jan. 22, 10:25 p.m.: dYdX Chain (DYDX) will undergo a software upgrade to v8.0 on block 35,602,000.
Jan. 23: First deadline for SEC decision on NYSE Arca’s proposal to list and trade shares of Grayscale Solana Trust (GSOL), a closed-end trust, as an ETF.
Jan. 25: First deadline for SEC decisions on proposals for four spot solana ETFs: Bitwise Solana ETF, Canary Solana ETF, 21Shares Core Solana ETF and VanEck Solana Trust, which are all sponsored by Cboe BZX Exchange.
Jan. 29: Ice Open Network (ION) mainnet launch.
Feb. 4: MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) reports Q4 2024 earnings.
Feb. 4: Pepecoin (PEPE) halving. At block 400,000, the reward will drop to 31,250 pepecoin.
Feb. 5, 3:00 p.m.: Boba Network’s Holocene hard fork network upgrade for its Ethereum-based L2 mainnet.
Feb. 12: Hut 8 Corp. (HUT) reports Q4 2024 earnings.
Feb. 15: Qtum (QTUM) hard fork network upgrade is scheduled to take place at block 4,590,000.
Feb. 20: Coinbase Global (COIN) reports Q4 2024 earnings.
Macro
Jan. 22, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases December’s Industrial Product Price Index.
PPI MoM Est. 0.8% vs. Prev. 0.6%.
PPI YoY Prev. 2.2%.
Jan. 22, 10:00 a.m.: The Conference Board releases December’s Leading Economic Index (LEI) report for the U.S.
MoM Est. -0.1% vs. Prev. 0.3%.
Jan. 23, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ended Jan. 18.
Initial Jobless Claims Est. 215K vs. Prev. 217K.
Jan. 23, 10:00 a.m.: The National Association of Realtors releases December 2024 U.S. Existing Home Sales report.
Existing Home Sales Est. 4.16M vs. Prev. 4.15M.
Existing Home Sales MoM Prev. 4.8%.
Jan. 23, 4:30 p.m.: The Fed releases the H.4.1 report, the central bank balance sheet, for the week ended Jan. 22.
Total Reserves Prev. $6.83T.
Jan. 23, 6:30 p.m.: Japan’s Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications releases December 2024’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.6%.
Core Inflation Rate YoY Est. 3% vs. Prev. 2.7%.
Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 2.9%.
Jan. 23, 10:00 p.m.: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) releases Statement on Monetary Policy.
Interest Rate Decision Est. 0.5% vs. Prev. 0.25%.
Token Events
Governance votes & calls
CoW DAO is discussing the potential allocation of 80 million COW to empower the core treasury team for further liquidity provisioning, economic opportunities, and the development of the DAO’s product roadmap from 2025 to 2028.
Morpho DAO is discussing reducing incentives by 30% across all networks and assets.
Yearn DAO is discussing funding and endorsing a subDAO called Bearn to focus on building and launching products on Berachain.
Jan. 22: Mantle (MNT) will host a livestream with updates on its 2025 roadmap at 8 a.m.
Jan. 23: Pendle (PENDLE) is hosting Pendle Swing Hour at 7 a.m.
Unlocks
Jan. 31: Jupiter (JUP) to unlock 41.5% of circulating supply worth $626 million.
Token Launches
Jan. 22: Jambo (J) is listing on OKX, Gate.io, Bitfinex and Bybit.
Jan. 22: Liquity (LQTY) and Gravity (G) are being listed on Kraken.
Jan. 22: Telegram Gifts are launching as NFTs on TON.
Conferences:
Day 10 of 12: Swiss WEB3FEST Winter Edition 2025 (Zug, Zurich, St. Moritz, Davos)
Day 3 of 5: World Economic Forum Annual Meeting (Davos-Klosters, Switzerland)
Jan. 24-25: Adopting Bitcoin (Cape Town, South Africa)
Jan. 25-26: Catstanbul 2025 (Istanbul). The first community conference for Jupiter, a decentralized exchange (DEX) aggregator built on Solana.
Jan. 30, 12:30 p.m. to 5:00 p.m.: International DeFi Day 2025 (online)
Jan 30-31: Plan B Forum (San Salvador, El Salvador)
Jan. 30 to Feb. 4: The Satoshi Roundtable (Dubai)
Feb. 3: Digital Assets Forum (London)
Feb. 5-6: The 14th Global Blockchain Congress (Dubai)
Feb. 7: Solana APEX (Mexico City)
Feb. 13-14: The 4th Edition of NFT Paris.
Feb. 18-20: Consensus Hong Kong
Feb. 23 to March 2: ETHDenver 2025 (Denver, Colorado)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
Uniswap to begin v4 deployments this week for builders to test hooks and integrations on-chain. The new architecture of v4, including the singleton contract and flash accounting system, is designed to reduce transaction costs and improve efficiency, which could attract more developers and users to the platform, increasing the overall usage of Uniswap, and, in turn, demand for UNI tokens.
AI16Z and AI Rig Complex’s ARC rallied over 30% on Tuesday while GRIFFAIN, ZEREBRO also booked double-digit advances. President Trump unveiled a $500 billion investment in private sector AI infrastructure investment with firms such as OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank involved.
Derivatives Positioning
TRX, SHIB, PEPE and DOGE lead perpetual futures open interest growth in large-cap tokens. However, TRX is the only one with a positive cumulative volume delta, representing net buying pressure in the past 24 hours.
Front-end call bias in BTC and ETH options on Deribit continues to moderate while on the CME, call skew jumped to highest since the U.S. election Tuesday.
Block flows featured long positions in BTC calls at $110K and $115K strikes and bull call spreads in ETH.
Market Movements:
BTC is down 0.9% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $105,161.32 (24hrs: +1.32%)
ETH is unchanged at $3,312.58 (24hrs: +0.28%)
CoinDesk 20 is up 0.6% at 4,000.99 (24hrs: +2.27%)
Ether staking yield is down 28 bps at 3.3%
BTC funding rate is at 0.0045% (4.9% annualized) on OKX
DXY is down 0.23% at 107.81
Gold is up 0.56% at $2,759.03/oz
Silver is up 0.33% at $30.88/oz
Nikkei 225 closed +1.58% to 39,646.25
Hang Seng closed -1.63% to 19,778.77
FTSE is up 0.41% at 8,583.19
Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.83% at 5,209.04
DJIA closed on Tuesday +1.24% to 44,025.81
S&P 500 closed +0.88% to 6,049.24
Nasdaq closed +0.64% to 19,756.78
S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.44% to 25,281.63
S&P 40 Latin America closed +0.51% to 2,269.78
U.S. 10-year Treasury is unchanged at 4.58%
E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.49% at 6,114.25
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.88% at 21,900.00
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.19% at 44,320.00
Bitcoin Stats:
BTC Dominance: 58.67
Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.031
Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 769 EH/s
Hashprice (spot): $60.7
Total Fees: 10.2 BTC / $1.1 million
CME Futures Open Interest: 502,406
BTC priced in gold: 38.1 oz
BTC vs gold market cap: 10.83%
Technical Analysis
The dollar index (DXY) looks south, having dived out of a bullish trendline from late September lows near 100.
The decline in DXY could add to the bullish momentum in risky assets.
Crypto Equities
MicroStrategy (MSTR): closed on Tuesday at $389.10 (-1.87%), down 0.63% at $386.58 in pre-market.
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $294.19 (-0.44%), down 1% at $291.26 in pre-market.
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$31.25 (+0.32%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $19.56 (-1.76%), down 1.07% at $19.35 in pre-market.
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $12.74 (-4.85%), down 0.24% at $12.71 in pre-market.
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $15.27 (+1.8%), down 0.79% at $15.15 n pre-market.
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.96 (-7.67%), up 0.36% at $11 in pre-market.
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $24.97 (-1.58%).
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $64.94 (+0.4%), down 4.22% at $62.20 in pre-market.
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $40 (+3.87%), down 2.35% at $39.06 in pre-market.
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
Daily net flow: $802.6 million
Cumulative net flows: $39.98 billion
Total BTC holdings ~ 1.155 million.
Spot ETH ETFs
Daily net flow: $74.4 million
Cumulative net flows: $2.74 billion
Total ETH holdings ~ 3.622 million.
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
The chart shows XRP’s exchange reserve or balance held in wallets tied to centralized exchanges since June 2024.
The balance has dropped sharply since Jan. 16, signaling a resumption of the broader downtrend.
The renewed exodus of coins from exchanges indicates investor bias for holding.
While You Were Sleeping
Deribit’s Crypto Trading Volume Nearly Doubled to Over $1T in 2024 (CoinDesk): Cryptocurrency exchange Deribit’s total trading volume rose 95% year-on-year to $1.185T in 2024, driven by a 99% surge in options trading to $743B, reflecting institutional adoption and market maturity.
Trump Pardons Silk Road Creator Ross Ulbricht (Cointelegraph): President Trump granted a full pardon to Ross Ulbricht, sentenced to life without parole in 2015 for creating and operating Silk Road, an online marketplace shut down in 2013 that used bitcoin for payments.
Trump-Affiliated World Liberty Financial Makes Another TRX Buy (CoinDesk): World Liberty Financial, a crypto project linked to Trump’s family, added 10.8 million TRX ($2.6 million) to its treasury, raising total TRX holdings to $7.5 million. Sources say WLFI plans to further increase its TRX holdings.
Dollar Could Fall if U.S. Tariffs Less Stringent Than Threatened (The Wall Street Journal): The dollar may weaken if Trump’s tariffs are milder than expected, analysts say. The yuan shows resilience as markets adjust to a potential 10% tariff on Chinese imports, lower than Trump’s campaign pledges of 60%.
BOJ Heads Toward Rate Hike as Markets Take Trump in Stride (Bloomberg): The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates by 25 basis points to 0.5% on Friday, the highest since 2008, with swaps pricing a 90% chance and 74% of analysts expecting the move.
The Market Is Wrong About US Rates Under Trump in 2025 (Financial Times): In an op-ed, the founder of ABP Invest argues markets are wrong to expect Fed rate cuts in 2025. He predicts robust U.S. growth and Trump’s policies will drive rate hikes from September.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
Shiba Inu Whale Accumulation, ‘Inside Week’ Candle Offer Hope to SHIB Bulls

Signs of green shoots have emerged in the shiba inu SHIB market, with whale accumulation and an inside week candle suggesting a price recovery ahead.
SHIB’s price has dropped nearly 27% to $0.00001160 since mid-May, hitting a 16-month low of $0.00001005 at one point, according to data source TradingView.
The decline, however, prompted whales – investors with ample capital supply and ability to move markets – to go bargain hunting. These entities recently purchased 10.4 trillion SHIB tokens worth approximately $110 million, according to CoinDesk’s AI insights.
Meanwhile, prices bounced 11% in the seven days to June 29, forming an «insider week» candle, signaling a pause in the downtrend.
The pattern occurs when the trading range (high- low) of a weekly candle is entirely contained within the range of the preceding weekly candle. It’s a sign of indecision, with both buyers and sellers unwilling to lead the price action.
The occurrence of the said candlestick pattern after a prolonged downtrend, as in SHIB’s case, is said to represent seller exhaustion and a potential for an upward price swing.
Key points
- SHIB experienced a 4.3% price swing from $0.00001147 to $0.00001198 during the 24-hour period from 29 June 04:00 to 30 June 03:00.
- Most significant price action occurred between 21:00-22:00 on 29 June, when SHIB broke out of its consolidation pattern on 5.8x above-average volume.
- High-volume resistance established at $0.00001198, with subsequent profit-taking leading to support at the $0.00001160 level.
- 24-hour closing price of $0.00001164 represented a 1.4% gain from the opening level.
- In the last 60 minutes from 30 June 02:53 to 03:52, SHIB dropped 0.3% from $0.00001167 to $0.00001164.
- Two distinct phases marked the hourly period: an initial sharp decline to $0.00001056 between 03:17-03:28, followed by a recovery attempt peaking at $0.00001165 around 03:45.
- Volume spikes exceeding 8 million USDT occurred during key reversal points at 03:35 and 03:49, suggesting institutional positioning.
Uncategorized
Asia Morning Briefing: ETH Bulls Eye $3K as Validator Backbone Upgrade Rolls In

Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:
Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.
As Asia begins a new trading week, ETH is trading close to $2500, up 11% in the seven days, according to CoinDesk market data, outperforming BTC.
Market observers have attributed ETH’s outperformance versus bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies to a string of bullish headlines in the past few weeks. Stablecoins have regulatory clarity thanks to the GENIUS Act – and Ethereum is home to the most stablecoin deposits; ETH exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continue to see sizable flow.
Technical analysis by CoinDesk’s analyst Omkar Godbole indicates a potential bullish case is forming on-chain, with traders increasingly viewing $ 3,000 ETH as a possibility in the near future.
But behind the scenes, something more fundamental is happening.
Ethereum’s validator architecture, the backbone of its proof-of-stake security model, is undergoing a quiet transformation that could cement ETH’s role as Wall Street’s favorite programmable asset.
At the center of that shift is distributed validator technology, or DVT, a system that allows Ethereum validators to be split across multiple operators and machines, making them far more resilient, secure, and decentralized. Obol Labs is one of the leading teams behind the technology.
“Ethereum is coming back in favor because it’s the most secure and battle-tested blockchain,” said Anthony Bertolino, head of ecosystem at Obol Labs. “And security comes from validators. The most advanced and secure ones now are distributed validators.”
Obol’s technology eliminates a long-standing problem in Ethereum staking: single points of failure. Traditional validators rely on a single node to propose and attest to blocks.
If that node goes offline or is misconfigured, the validator is penalized, or slashed in Ethereum parlance. Obol’s system uses threshold cryptography and an “active-active” architecture so that even if some nodes fail, the validator keeps running without interruption.
This upgrade is not just a technical improvement. It is an institutional requirement. As Ethereum sees inflows from ETFs, funds, and structured finance products, staking infrastructure needs to meet the standards of traditional capital allocators.
Blockdaemon, for instance, recently announced that it is integrating Obol’s distributed validator technology into its staking infrastructure. Blockdaemon is a $100 billion name for institutional crypto.
“Historically, institutions had to choose between performance and security,” Bertolino said. “Now they get both.”
Momentum is building fast. Lido, Ethereum’s largest staking protocol with $22 billion in total value locked, is preparing to approve distributed validator use across its “Curated Set” — the collection of professional node operators who manage over 30 percent of all staked ETH.
A new governance proposal would allow these operators to use either Obol or SSV in intra-operator setups, and eventually expand usage across thousands of validators.
This move builds on the success of Lido’s Simple DVT Module, which has already deployed over 9,600 DVT-powered validators with a 97.5 percent effectiveness score, outperforming the network average.
“These clusters are already showing better uptime, higher effectiveness, and similar yields to conventional setups,” Bertolino said. “This is the infrastructure shift that makes Ethereum staking enterprise-grade.”
For Ethereum, the implications go beyond validator design. DVT mitigates one of the network’s core criticisms, that its staking layer is increasingly centralized, and helps fulfill the vision of Ethereum to be neutral, distributed infrastructure.
«Institutions are thinking about two things. How do I secure the assets, and how do I generate attractive yield? Historically, you had to choose one. DVT gives you both,” Bertolino said.
And Wall Street continues to pay attention.
News Recap: Short COIN, Long BTC as Coinbase Nears Overvaluation, Says 10x Research
Coinbase shares have surged 84% in the past two months, far outpacing bitcoin’s 14% gain and raising red flags about overvaluation, according to 10x Research, covered late last week by CoinDesk.
In a Friday note, Head of Research Markus Thielen recommended a short COIN/long BTC trade, arguing that Coinbase’s fundamentals—mainly trading volumes—don’t justify the rally. “While Coinbase hasn’t quite breached the +30% overvaluation threshold, it’s approaching fast,” Thielen wrote, suggesting options strategies or pair trades to exploit the potential reversal.
10x’s model finds 75% of COIN’s price action is tied to bitcoin’s price and volumes, meaning recent gains likely reflect excessive speculation. The report notes other bullish catalysts, including Circle’s IPO and U.S. stablecoin legislation, are likely priced in, while Korean investor momentum is fading. “This rare deviation suggests Coinbase’s valuation is extended and vulnerable to mean reversion,” Thielen said, warning that COIN could soon follow other overheated crypto stocks lower.
Market Movements:
- BTC: Bitcoin is trading above $108K as Asia opens its trading week, but analyst Michaël van de Poppe says it must break $109K resistance to sustain momentum, with the rally fueled more by leveraged futures than spot demand.
- ETH: Ethereum broke above $2,440 with strong volume support, signaling bullish momentum amid new U.S. stock market highs, improving global liquidity, and easing geopolitical tensions.
- Gold: Gold is trading at $3,248.26, down slightly, as Australia cuts its commodity export earnings forecast due to weak iron ore and gas prices despite surging gold.
- Nikkei 225: Nikkei 225 futures are trending higher with an expectation that the White House will reach trade deals with Japan and other export-heavy Asian economies.
Elsewhere in Crypto:
Uncategorized
Bitcoin Jumps After Trump Says Growth Will Offset Deficits, Boosting Bull Case for BTC and Gold

Bitcoin (BTC) BTC traded at $107,937 as of 22:22 UTC on Sunday, up 0.54% over the past 24 hours, as attention turned to fiscal policy tensions in Washington following President Trump’s latest post on Truth Social.
Price action remained volatile, with BTC fluctuating between $107,194 and $108,489 during the 24-hour window, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
On June 29, 2025, President Donald Trump posted a pointed message on Truth Social addressing Republican lawmakers amid intense debate over his sweeping tax-and-spending package. “For all cost cutting Republicans, of which I am one, REMEMBER, you still have to get reelected. Don’t go too crazy! We will make it all up, times 10, with GROWTH, more than ever before,” he wrote. This statement underscores the deep divisions within the GOP as it wrestles with the ambitious legislation dubbed the “One Big Beautiful Bill.”
The bill, exceeding 900 pages, combines roughly $3.8 trillion in tax cuts with targeted spending reductions and increased funding for defense and border security. It seeks to make permanent many of the tax breaks from Trump’s 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, including eliminating taxes on tips, overtime pay, and certain auto loans. The child tax credit would rise to $2,200 under the Senate version, while deductions for seniors would increase temporarily. However, to offset these tax cuts, Republicans propose significant cuts to Medicaid and nutrition programs, sparking fierce debate within the party.
Moderate Republicans from high-tax states are pushing for a higher cap on state and local tax deductions (SALT), while conservatives demand deeper spending cuts, particularly targeting Medicaid. These internal disagreements complicate efforts to secure the narrow Republican majorities needed in both chambers to pass the bill, which Democrats uniformly oppose as favoring the wealthy and worsening inequality.
Trump’s social media message reflects an attempt to balance these competing pressures — urging fiscal restraint to satisfy conservatives while emphasizing that robust economic growth will compensate for revenue losses and help reduce deficits over time. This supply-side economic approach projects that growth will “make it all up” despite near-term increases in the national debt, which nonpartisan analysts estimate could add trillions to the existing $36.2 trillion debt.
Crypto analyst Will Clemente’s reaction on X (formerly Twitter) shortly after Trump’s post captures a common market sentiment: “How can you read this and hold long term US treasuries at current yields lol… Also, how can you read this and not hold any Bitcoin or gold.” Clemente’s skepticism toward long-term U.S. Treasuries reflects concerns that the bill’s deficit-financed tax cuts and modest spending cuts signal a loose fiscal policy that could fuel inflation and currency debasement.
In this context, traditional fixed-income assets like Treasuries may appear less attractive, as rising deficits and potential monetary accommodation threaten bond values. Conversely, hard assets such as gold and Bitcoin are increasingly viewed as stores of value and hedges against inflation and fiscal risk. The expectation of sustained deficits and political challenges to fiscal discipline bolster demand for these inflation-resistant assets.
With the Senate racing to finalize the bill before the July 4 holiday, Trump’s call for unity and moderation highlights the high stakes and political challenges in passing one of the most consequential fiscal packages in recent U.S. history. The bill’s fate remains uncertain as lawmakers negotiate to balance tax relief, spending cuts, and political feasibility.
Technical Analysis Highlights
- From June 28 15:00 to June 29 14:00 UTC, BTC traded from $107,194 to $108,489, a 1.21% intraday range.
- Support was established at $107,300, with multiple rebounds during the 02:00–03:00 window.
- Volume peaked at 7,538 BTC between 08:00 and 11:00 UTC on June 29, confirming upward momentum.
- During the final session hour (13:05–14:04 UTC), BTC fell from $108,219 to $108,059, forming a descending channel.
- A 130 BTC volume spike at 13:35 coincided with a sharp dip to $108,030, which was tested and held.
- Final intraday rally pushed price back toward $108K before fading slightly by 22:22 UTC to $107,937.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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