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Crypto Daybook Americas: Bitcoin Bulls, Remember to Zoom Out When in Doubt

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

The crypto market is looking to maintain the <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/12/11/bitcoin-crosses-above-101-k-as-xrp-ai-tokens-lead-crypto-rally» target=»_blank»>bullish momentum ignited by</a> Wednesday’s U.S. CPI report, which matched estimates and cleared the path for another <a href=»https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-cautious-fed-on-track-for-one-last-2024-cut-followed-by-a-slowing-down-in-2025-144848267.html» target=»_blank»>Federal Reserve rate cut next week</a>.

BTC has retaken $100,000 and ether is again eyeing $4,000. A number of tokens, including AAVE and LINK, are trading 10% higher on the back of accumulation by wallets tied to World Liberty Financial, the project supported by President-elect Donald Trump’s family.

The key question now is whether BTC’s rally will be long-lasting. It could be, thanks to bitcoin’s consistent price <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/06/bitcoins-coinbase-premium-jumps-to-two-month-high-as-prices-top-71k-amid-trumps-early-lead» target=»_blank»>premium on Coinbase</a> compared with global exchanges and healthier leverage levels in the broader market. The upside may be capped, however, if the producer price index shows hotter inflation in the pipeline.

«Any upside surprise — and what it means for next Friday’s release of the core PCE deflator — could prove a minor dollar positive,» ING said.

For cues on whether $100K is a major top, my advice is simple: when in doubt, zoom out.

At $100,000, the annualized three-month BTC futures basis on major exchanges hovers around 15%, way below the 30%-plus witnessed at the height of 2021’s bull market. That’s a sign the gain is driven by genuine buying in the spot market, which is longer-lasting than speculative leverage-led bull runs.

Zooming out also brings the second half of 2021 into the frame. That’s when college kids in their late teens worldwide traded tokens like DOT, SOL, ETH and other cryptocurrencies without any know-how of their use case.

It’s also when the bull market topped.

Fast forward to now, and main street is silent on crypto. Remember what Leonardo Di Caprio said in The Wolf of Wall Street: «By the time you read about it in The Wall Street Journal, it’s already too late.»

If that’s not enough, the $100,000 milestone is also marked by a rise in institutional participation and <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/12/09/crypto-groups-push-ads-letters-to-oppose-democrat-s-sec-commissioner-nomination» target=»_blank»>active lobbying</a> by crypto community for favorable regulatory environment.

Speaking of bull market continuation, ether looks primed to move above $5,000 as booming on-chain activity burns more of the token, reducing supply in the market, according to CryptoQuant.

«According to ETH’s realized price—the average price at which holders purchased their ETH—the current upper limit for ETH’s price stands around $5.2k,» the firm told CoinDesk.

The bullish outlook for ether is generally seen as good news for other altcoins too, although, according to Delphi Digital, the token supply is «too damn high,» thanks to projects like pump.fun. The resulting demand-supply imbalance makes finding the alpha that much more challenging in the altcoin sector. Stay alert!

What to Watch

Crypto:

Dec. 13: Nasdaq announces its annual changes to the Nasdaq-100 index. MicroStrategy (MSTR), the world’s largest corporate holder of bitcoin, is widely expected to be added.

Dec. 18: CleanSpark (CLSK) Q4 FY 2024 earnings. EPS Est. $-0.18 vs Prev. $-1.02.

Macro

Dec. 12, 8:15 a.m.: The European Central Bank (ECB) announces its <a href=»https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/activities/mopo/html/index.en.html» target=»_blank»>monetary policy decision</a> (three key interest rates), followed by a <a href=»https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/html/index.en.html» target=»_blank»>press conference</a> at 8:45 a.m.

Deposit facility interest rate Est. 3.0% vs Prev. 3.25%.

Main refinancing operations interest rate Est. 3.15% vs Prev. 3.4%.

Marginal lending facility interest rate Prev. 3.65%.

Dec. 12, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases the <a href=»https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf» target=»_blank»>Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report </a>for the week ended Dec. 7. Initial Jobless Claims Est. 220K vs Prev. 224K.

Dec. 16, 9:45 a.m.: December’s <a href=»https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Release/PressReleases» target=»_blank»>S&P Global Flash US PMI </a>data is released. Composite PMI Prev. 54.9.

Token Events

Governance votes & calls

EigenLayer to deploy Rewards v2 upgrade on Holesky testnet following governance vote. Stakers and operators can collect multiple rewards at once, saving on transaction costs.

Moonriver’s MR64 proposal meets quorum and would upgrade tokenomics by redirecting 80% of token inflation to the treasury to fund ecosystem growth and operations.

Synapse puts up SIP-41 for voting, and proposes a $3.5 million buyback of SYN tokens over three months. Voting is currently live.

Unlocks

Axie Infinity to unlock 815,000 AXS, worth $6 million at current prices, at 8:10 a.m.

Conferences:

Day 4 of 4: <a href=»https://adfw.com/» target=»_blank»>Abu Dhabi Finance Week 2024</a> (Abu Dhabi, UAE)

Day 4 of 5: <a href=»https://www.blockchainweek.lu/» target=»_blank»>Luxembourg Blockchain Week 2024</a>

Day 1 of 2: <a href=»https://www.globalblockchainshow.com/» target=»_blank»>Global Blockchain Show</a> (Dubai, UAE)

Day 1 of 3: <a href=»https://www.taipeiblockchainweek.com/» target=»_blank»>Taipei Blockchain Week 2024</a> (Taipei, Taiwan)

Dec. 13: <a href=»https://www.limitlesscrypto.com/» target=»_blank»>Limitless Crypto 2024</a> (San Juan, Puerto Rico)

Jan. 13 — 24: <a href=»https://web3fest.ch/swiss-web3fest/» target=»_blank»>Swiss WEB3FEST Winter Edition 2025</a> (Zug, Zurich, St. Moritz, Davos)

Dec. 16 — 17: <a href=»https://theblockchainassociation.org/policy-summit-2024/» target=»_blank»>Blockchain Association’s Policy Summit</a> (Washington D.C.)

Jan. 17: <a href=»https://www.anderson.ucla.edu/about/clubs-and-associations/institutions/entrepreneur-association-ea/unchained» target=»_blank»>Unchained: Blockchain Business Forum 2025</a> (Los Angeles)

Jan. 18: <a href=»https://bitcoinday.io/» target=»_blank»>BitcoinDay</a> (Napes, Florida)

Jan. 20 — 24: <a href=»https://www.weforum.org/meetings/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2025/» target=»_blank»>The 2025 Annual Meeting of the World Economic Forum</a> (Davos, Switzerland)

Jan. 21: <a href=»https://www.tokenizationsummit.de/eng» target=»_blank»>Frankfurt Tokenization Conference 2025</a>

Token Talk

By Shaurya Malwa

An AI agent token fashioned after venture fund a16z has flipped sector leader goat (GOAT) to become the most valued in its category.

Ai16z, a fund based on AI-based trading signals, has crossed an $850 million market capitalization to flip GOAT, which kickstarted the AI agents sector in October. Holders of AI16Z tokens pitch ideas to «AI Marc,» an AI agent modeled after Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) partner Marc Andreessen, to influence and suggest investment decisions.

The fund holds upward of $10 million from 30,000 unique “partners,” a feat it has achieved in a little over a month since going live.

The AI16Z price has surged 77% in the past seven days and more than tripled in the past 14 days, <a href=»https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ai16z» target=»_blank»>CoinGecko data shows</a>. That’s more than GOAT and other AI agent tokens that function solely as memes or online chatbots.

The action shows the market’s evolving preferences for projects offering entertainment value and tangible utility — where technical projects masquerading as memes may continue to attract more demand in the coming months.

“$ai16z flipping $goat is a huge signal for the AI agent sector,” crypto trader @Defi0xJeff wrote in <a href=»https://x.com/Defi0xJeff/status/1866537754798284916″ target=»_blank»>an X post</a>. “It shows how the new generation of agents is progressing at a much faster pace than the old guard. This is bullish not just for $ai16z but for the entire ecosystem.”

Derivatives Positioning

BTC and ETH implied volatility term structures have steepened alongside price rises.

Calls have become pricier than puts as BTC’s move back above $100,000 has reduced fears of a protracted pullback.

A market participant bought a large calendar spread by buying the $110K strike call expiring Jan. 3 while selling the $100K call expiring Dec. 27. The strategy aims to profit from the price decay in the Jan. 27 expiry while being protected from an upside volatility explosion.

In ETH, the notable trade was a bull call spread at $4,300 and $4,500 strikes.

Market Movements:

BTC is up 3.64% from 4 p.m. ET Wednesday to $100,599 (24hrs: +2.05%)

ETH is up 6.9% at $3,921.91 (24hrs: +5.41%)

CoinDesk 20 is up 2.14% to 3,905.81 (24hrs: +5.52%)

Ether staking yield is down 30 bps to 3.17%

BTC funding rate is at 0.01% (10.95% annualized) on Binance

DXY is unchanged at 106.63

Gold is up 0.49% at $2,747.10/oz

Silver is up 1.47% to $33.04/oz

Nikkei 225 closed +1.21% at 39,849.14

Hang Seng closed +1.2% at 20,397.05

FTSE is up 0.25% at 8,322.22

Euro Stoxx 50 is unchanged at 4,962.71

DJIA closed on Wednesday -0.22% at 44,148.56

S&P 500 closed +0.82% at 6,084.19

Nasdaq closed +1.77% at 20,034.89

S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.6% at 25,657.70

S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.55% at 2,398.16

U.S. 10-year Treasury is unchanged at 4.3%

E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.16% to 6,082.75

E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 0.24% to 21,741.50

E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.19% at 44,139.00

Bitcoin Stats:

BTC Dominance: 56.18% (24hrs: -1.20%)

Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.03878 (24hrs: -0.83%)

Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 770 EH/s

Hashprice (spot): $61.8

Total Fees: 18.9 BTC/ $1.9M

CME Futures Open Interest: 194,740 BTC

BTC priced in gold: 37.2 oz

BTC vs gold market cap: 10.60%

Bitcoin sitting in over-the-counter desk balances: 431,000 BTC

Basket Performance

Technical Analysis

The ETH/BTC ratio has already scaled the 50-day SMA and is now looking to establish a foothold above the 100-day average.

That would give traders more confidence that the pair has bottomed out and open the door for a test of the 200-day average at 0.044.

Crypto Equities

MicroStrategy (MSTR): closed on Wednesday at $411.4 (+9.03%), down 0.75% at $408.11 in pre-market.

Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $313.81 (+3.77%), up 0.63% at $315.80 in pre-market.

Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$27.29 (+5.04%)

MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $23.27 (+2.02%), up 0.13% at $23.30 in pre-market.

Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $11.77 (+6.04%), down 0.59% at $11.70 in pre-market.

Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $15.86 (+0.51%), up 0.19% at $15.89 in pre-market.

CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $12.83 (-0.85%), up 0.39% at $12.88 in pre-market.

CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $27.89 (+2.8%), up 3.08% at $28.75 in pre-market.

Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $64.53 (+7.86%), down 0.22% at $64.39 in pre-market.

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs:

Daily net inflow: $223.1 million

Cumulative net inflows: $34.55 billion

Total BTC holdings ~ 1.119 million.

Spot ETH ETFs

Daily net inflow: $102 million

Cumulative net inflows: $1.97 billion

Total ETH holdings ~ 3.417 million.

Source: <a href=»https://farside.co.uk/btc/» target=»_blank»>Farside Investors</a>

Overnight Flows

Chart of the Day

The number of daily transactions on Aptos, a layer-1 blockchain focused on safety and scalability, has almost tripled to 3.1 million in three months.

The increased network usage supports the bull case in the APT token, which has increased 46% this year.

While You Were Sleeping

<a href=»https://www.ft.com/content/2cf6e79c-8512-47cc-ab0b-beddc36fa109″ target=»_blank»>Dollar’s Surge Sparks Biggest Fall in Emerging Market Currencies in 2 Years</a> (Financial Times): The U.S. dollar’s surge, driven by expectations of President-elect Donald Trump’s policies, and economic struggles in emerging markets, has sparked the largest sell-off in their currencies since Sept. 2022.

<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/12/12/less-than-1-of-microsoft-shareholders-voted-for-btc-proposal» target=»_blank»>Less than 1% of Microsoft Shareholders Voted for BTC Proposal</a> (CoinDesk): Only 0.55% of Microsoft shareholders backed a proposal, advocated by the National Center for Public Policy Research, to include bitcoin in the company’s balance sheet.

<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2024/12/12/vancouver-city-council-passes-pro-bitcoin-motion-citing-fiat-challenges» target=»_blank»>Vancouver City Council Passes Pro-Bitcoin Motion Citing Fiat Challenges</a> (CoinDesk): Vancouver’s city council approved a mayoral motion to explore using bitcoin as a treasury asset and for paying fees and taxes.

<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/12/12/link-aave-rocket-30-as-trump-s-world-liberty-financial-buys-2-m-tokens» target=»_blank»>LINK, AAVE Rocket 30% as Trump’s World Liberty Financial Buys $2M Tokens</a> (CoinDesk): Crypto wallets associated with the Trump-supported World Liberty Financial project reportedly purchased millions in ETH, AAVE, and LINK tokens on Thursday, driving up their prices significantly.

<a href=»https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/south-korean-president-yoon-vows-fight-end-2024-12-12/» target=»_blank»>South Korean President Yoon Vows to ‘Fight to the End’</a> (Reuters): South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, facing a second impeachment vote on Saturday, defended his Dec. 3 martial law declaration as an attempt to save democracy.

<a href=»https://www.wsj.com/economy/inflation-prices-trump-president-186fb5cc» target=»_blank»>Inflation Is Stuck. Can Trump Unstick It?</a> (The Wall Street Journal): Despite some easing, the U.S. year-over-year inflation rate stands at 2.7%, with economists warning that President-elect Donald Trump’s planned tariffs and immigration restrictions could further drive up prices.

In the Ether

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HBAR Retreats Amid Constrained Range Trading and Diminishing Volumes

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HBAR spent much of the past 23 hours locked in a narrow range, oscillating between $0.23 and $0.24 in what amounted to just 2% volatility. The token briefly touched session highs at $0.24 on Sept. 16 around 18:00 UTC before sliding lower, ultimately finding repeated support near $0.23. Multiple rebound attempts from that level throughout Sept. 17’s morning trading hinted at a potential price floor, though conviction remained limited.

Market activity tapered alongside the price drift. Trading volumes fell steadily after an early spike, underscoring weakening participation and suggesting that bullish momentum has largely faded. The constrained range and muted volatility reinforced the impression of indecision, with buyers and sellers unwilling to press for a breakout.

The final hour of the observed period offered a sharper display of market sentiment. At 13:33 UTC on Sept. 17, HBAR sold off abruptly from $0.24 to $0.23, accompanied by an outsized 2.56 million in volume just three minutes later. Yet the coin staged a measured recovery, climbing back to end near session highs, encapsulating the day’s push and pull between sellers and opportunistic dip buyers.

Overall, HBAR slipped 1% across the 23-hour window. While the establishment of support around $0.23 provides some stability, declining volumes and sustained downward pressure leave the market vulnerable. The swift sell-off and subsequent rebound illustrate the uncertainty still shaping HBAR’s outlook, with bearish sentiment prevailing but tempered by signs of technical resilience.

HBAR/USD (TradingView)

Technical Indicators Assessment

  • Price action demonstrated consolidation within a 2% range between $0.23-$0.24 resistance and support thresholds.
  • Volume contracted from 45.7 million to 4.7 million tokens indicating deteriorating market participation.
  • Multiple rebounds at $0.23 support level suggest potential price floor establishment.
  • Acute sell-off at 13:33 followed by recovery indicates volatile intraday sentiment fluctuations.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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The Protocol: ETH Exit Queue Gridlocks As Validators Pile Up

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Welcome to The Protocol, CoinDesk’s weekly wrap of the most important stories in cryptocurrency tech development. I’m Margaux Nijkerk, a reporter at CoinDesk.

In this issue:

  • Ethereum Faces Validator Bottleneck With 2.5M ETH Awaiting Exit
  • Is Ethereum’s DeFi Future on L2s? Liquidity, Innovation Say Perhaps Yes
  • Ethereum Foundation Starts New AI Team to Support Agentic Payments
  • American Express Introduces Blockchain-Based ‘Travel Stamps’
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Network News

ETHEREUM VALIDATOR EXIT QUEUE FACES BOTTLENECK: Ethereum’s proof-of-stake system is facing its largest test yet. As of mid-September, roughly 2.5 million ETH — valued at roughly $11.25 billion — is waiting to leave the validator set, according to validator queue dashboards. The backlog pushed exit wait times to more than 46 days on Sept. 14, the longest in Ethereum’s short staking history, dashboards show. The last peak, in August, put the exit queue at 18 days. The initial spark came on Sept. 9, when Kiln, a large infrastructure provider, chose to exit all of its validators as a safety precaution. The move, triggered by recent security incidents including the NPM supply-chain attack and the SwissBorg breach, pushed around 1.6 million ETH into the queue at once. Though unrelated to Ethereum’s staking protocol itself, the hacks rattled confidence enough for Kiln to hit pause, highlighting how events in the broader crypto ecosystem can cascade into Ethereum’s validator dynamics. In a blog post from staking provider Figment, Senior Analyst Benjamin Thalman noted that the current exit queue build up isn’t only about security. After ETH has rallied more than 160% since April, some stakers are simply taking profits. Others, especially institutional players, are shifting their portfolios’ exposure. At the same time, the number of validators entering the Ethereum staking ecosystem has been steadily rising. Ethereum’s churn limit, which is a protocol safeguard that caps how many validators can enter or exit over a certain time period, is currently capped at 256 ETH per epoch (about 6.4 minutes), restricting how quickly validators can join or leave the network. The churn limit is meant to keep the network stable. With more than 2.5M ETH lined up, stakers on Sept. 16 face 44 days before even reaching the cooldown step. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.

IS L2 DEFI EATING AT ETHEREUM’S L1 DEFI?: Ethereum is in the midst of a paradox. Even as ether hit record highs in late August, decentralized finance (DeFi) activity on Ethereum’s layer-1 (L1) looks muted compared to its peak in late 2021. Fees collected on mainnet in August were just $44 million, a 44% drop from the prior month. Meanwhile, layer-2 (L2) networks like Arbitrum and Base are booming, with $20 billion and $15 billion in total value locked (TVL) respectively. This divergence raises a crucial question: are L2s cannibalizing Ethereum’s DeFi activity, or is the ecosystem evolving into a multi-layered financial architecture? AJ Warner, the chief strategy officer of Offchain Labs, the developer firm behind layer-2 Arbitrum, argues that the metrics are more nuanced than just layer-2 DeFi chipping at the layer 1.In an interview with CoinDesk, Warner said that focusing solely on TVL misses the point, and that Ethereum is increasingly functioning as crypto’s “global settlement layer,” a foundation for high-value issuance and institutional activity. Products like Franklin Templeton’s tokenized funds or BlackRock’s BUIDL product launch directly on Ethereum L1 — activity that isn’t fully captured in DeFi metrics but underscores Ethereum’s role as the bedrock of crypto finance. Ethereum as a layer-1 blockchain is the secure but relatively slow and expensive base network. Layer-2s are scaling networks built on top of it, designed to handle transactions faster and at a fraction of the cost before ultimately settling back to Ethereum for security. That’s why they’ve become so appealing to traders and builders alike. Metrics like TVL, the amount of crypto deposited in DeFi protocols, highlight this shift as activity is moved to L2s where lower fees and quicker confirmations make everyday DeFi far more practical. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.

EF STARTS DECENTRALIZED AI TEAM: The Ethereum Foundation (EF) is creating a dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) group to make Ethereum the settlement and coordination layer for what it calls the “machine economy,” according to research scientist Davide Crapis. Crapis, who announced the initiative on X, said the new dAI Team will pursue two priorities: enabling AI agents to pay and coordinate without intermediaries, and building a decentralized AI stack that avoids reliance on a small number of large companies. He said Ethereum’s neutrality, verifiability and censorship resistance make it a natural base layer for intelligent systems. The EF is a non-profit organization based in Zug, Switzerland, that funds and coordinates the development of the Ethereum blockchain. It does not control the network but plays a catalytic role by supporting researchers, developers and ecosystem projects. Its remit includes funding upgrades such as Ethereum 2.0, zero-knowledge proofs and layer-2 scaling, alongside community programs like the Ecosystem Support Program. The foundation also organizes events such as Devcon to foster collaboration and acts as a policy advocate for blockchain adoption. In 2025, EF restructured to handle Ethereum’s growth, emphasizing ecosystem acceleration, founder support and enterprise outreach. The new dAI Team represents a continuation of this shift toward specialized units addressing emerging technologies. — Siamak Masnavi Read more.

AMERICAN EXPRESS DABBLES IN BLOCKCHAIN TRAVEL STAMPS: American Express has introduced Ethereum-based «travel stamps» to create a commemorative record of travel experiences. The travel experience tokens, which are technically NFTs (ERC 721 tokens), are minted and stored on Coinbase’s Base network, said Colin Marlowe, vice president of Emerging Partnerships at Amex Digital Labs. The travel stamps, which can be collected anytime a traveler uses their card, are not tradable NTF tokens, Marlowe said, and neither do they function like blockchain-based loyalty points — at least for the time being. “It’s a valueless ERC-721, so technically an NFT, but we just didn’t brand it as such. We wanted to speak to it in a way that was natural for the travel experience itself, and so we talk about these things as stamps, and they’re represented as tokens,” Marlowe said in an interview. “As an identifier and representation of history the stamps could create interesting partnership angles over time. We weren’t trying to sell these or sort of generate any like short term revenue. The angle is to make a travel experience with Amex feel really rich, really different, and kind of set it apart,” he said. Fireblocks is also involved, supporting Amex as its Wallet-as-a-Service provider for the passport product, a Fireblocks representative said. The Amex travel app also includes a range of tools for travels and Centurion Lounge upgrades, the company said. – Ian Allison Read more.

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In Other News

  • Blockchain-based real world asset (RWA) specialists Centrifuge and Plume have launched the Anemoy Tokenized Apollo Diversified Credit Fund (ACRDX), backed by a $50 million anchor investment from Grove, a credit infrastructure protocol within the Sky Ecosystem. The fund gives blockchain investors exposure to Apollo’s diversified global credit strategy, spanning direct corporate lending, asset-backed lending and dislocated credit, a type of mispriced debt due to market stress and lack of liquidity. ACRDX will be distributed through Plume’s Nest Credit vaults under the ticker nACRDX, making the strategy accessible to institutional investors on-chain. By packaging Apollo’s portfolio in tokenized form, the fund aims to lower entry barriers and increase transparency for investors seeking exposure to private credit markets, according to a press release. — Ian Allison Read more.
  • Google is taking a step toward merging artificial intelligence (AI) and digital money, rolling out a new open-source protocol that lets AI applications send and receive payments, which includes support for stablecoins, digital tokens pegged to fiat currencies such as the U.S. dollar, according to a press release. To incorporate stablecoin rails, Google teamed up with the U.S.-based crypto exchange Coinbase, which has been developing its own AI-integrated payments infrastructure. The company also worked with the Ethereum Foundation and coordinated with more than 60 other organizations, including Salesforce, American Express and Etsy, to cover traditional finance use cases. The move builds on Google’s earlier work to establish a standard for “AI agents.” These digital agents may eventually handle complex tasks, such as negotiating mortgages or shopping for clothes, without direct human input. — Oliver Knight Read more.
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Regulatory and Policy

  • Contrary to claims from the U.S. banking industry, stablecoins do not pose a risk to the financial system, according to the chief policy officer at crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN), Faryar Shirzad. Banks’ claims that they do are are myths crafted to defend their revenues, he wrote in a blog post. «The central claim — that stablecoins will cause a mass outflow of bank deposits — simply doesn’t hold up,» Shirzad wrote. «Recent analysis shows no meaningful link between stablecoin adoption and deposit flight for community banks and there’s no reason to believe big banks would fare any worse.» Larger lenders still hold trillions of dollars at the Federal Reserve and if deposits were really at risk, he argued, they would be competing harder for customer funds by offering higher interest rates rather than parking cash at the central bank. According to Shirzad, the real reason for banks’ opposition is the payments business. Stablecoins, digital tokens whose value is pegged to a real-life asset such as the dollar, offer faster and cheaper ways to move money, threatening an estimated $187 billion in annual swipe-fee revenue for traditional card networks and banks. He compared the current pushback to earlier battles against ATMs and online banking, when incumbents warned of systemic dangers but, he said, were ultimately trying to protect entrenched profits. — Jesse Hamilton Read more.
  • U.S. SEC Chair Paul Atkins said crypto’s time has come, pledging to modernize the U.S. securities rulebook and expand “Project Crypto” to bring markets on-chain. Speaking in Paris on Sept. 10 at the OECD’s inaugural Roundtable on Global Financial Markets, Atkins said the SEC is shifting away from enforcement-driven policymaking and will provide clear rules for tokens, custody, and trading platforms. “Policy will no longer be set by ad hoc enforcement actions,” he said, calling the new approach “a golden age of financial innovation on U.S. soil.” Atkins said most tokens are not securities and promised bright-line rules for determining when crypto assets fall under SEC oversight. He said entrepreneurs must be able to raise capital on-chain without “endless legal uncertainty” and pledged a framework for platforms that integrate trading, lending, and staking under one license. Custody rules will also be updated to allow investors and intermediaries multiple options. — Siamak Masnavi Read more.
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Bullish Shares Rise 5% Ahead of Earnings After Crypto Exchange Secures New York BitLicense

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Shares of Bullish (BLSH) rose 5% to $53.12 on Tuesday after the crypto platform secured a BitLicense from the New York State Department of Financial Services, a crucial regulatory approval that opens the door to offering spot trading and custody services to institutional clients in New York.

With the license, Bullish’s U.S. arm — Bullish US Operations LLC — can now legally serve advanced traders in the financial capital of the U.S., an important step in the company’s push to expand domestically. Until now, Bullish was only regulated in Germany, Hong Kong and Gibraltar. Bullish’s global parent is also CoinDesk’s parent company.

The license comes just a day after Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest significantly increased its exposure to the company. The ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) acquired 120,609 shares while ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW) picked up 40,574 shares, together worth about $8.21 million.

Bullish, which runs a trading platform aimed at institutional investors, will report second-quarter earnings after markets close on Wednesday.

Earlier this week, investment bank Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW) initiated coverage on the company with a «market perform» rating and a $55 price target. The firm called Bullish “a rare public play” on a crypto exchange built for institutions and noted that its entry into the U.S. could drive growth. KBW sees domestic expansion as a key catalyst.

Bullish debuted on the New York Stock Exchange in August through a direct listing. Its stock surged to $104 on opening day before closing at $68. Since then, shares have fallen 22%, with today’s BitLicense announcement providing a boost.

If Bullish succeeds in expanding its footprint in the U.S., it could emerge as a legitimate competitor to Coinbase, according to brokerage firm Bernstein. The firm said success will depend on the platform’s ability to execute on its U.S. launch plans, currently targeted for 2026, Bernstein said.

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