Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: Altcoins Rally as ‘Complacent’ Bitcoin Points to Renewed Volatility

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
Investors are still rotating money into altcoins, lifting valuations for ETH, RAY, ENA, MKR and other tokens while leaving bitcoin (BTC) little changed above $100,000.
While the biggest cryptocurrency by market value is just 7% short of hitting a new high, its 30-day options-based implied or expected volatility, represented by Deribit’s DVOL index, is hovering near the lowest level since June 2024.
This type of calm usually precedes big moves. Georgii Verbitskii, a market analyst and founder of TYMIO, a crypto investor app put it best: «Options implied volatility is extremely low, the market doesn’t seem to believe in strong moves, and 1- to 3-month option pricing is still cheap. That kind of complacency often precedes a big move.»
BTC could quickly break through $115,000, Verbitskii said, noting that, «If the liquidity thesis holds — where global liquidity supports bitcoin — we could see that breakout as early as May.» Just to remind you, bitcoin hit a record high around $109,000 in January.
Still, the market faces potential headwinds. For instance, the U.S. Senate has its last opportunity to pass the bipartisan GENIUS Act, a bill introduced in February that calls for issuers to back digital currencies with safe reserves and report them monthly or deal with penalties. The bill was unable to advance in a recent vote. According to the Senate’s rules another failure will kill the bill unless all senators agree to reconsider, according to Tagus Capital.
Further, the U.S. SEC delayed a decision on Tuesday on whether to allow in-kind redemptions for BlackRock’s bitcoin exchange-traded fund while it asks for feedback.
In other news, DeFi Development Corp. purchased 172,670 SOL worth roughly $23.6 million, bringing its total Solana Treasury holdings to over $100 million.
That’s less common, with more companies running to bitcoin: An update from bitcoin-focused company River points out: «Thousands of companies across all sectors are using bitcoin to offset inflation and build up their treasury.» Stay alert!
What to Watch
- Crypto:
- May 14: eToro (ETOR) shares begin trading on Nasdaq after being priced at $52 in IPO.
- May 14: Neo (NEO) mainnet will undergo a hard fork network upgrade (version 3.8.0) at block height 7,300,000.
- May 14: VanEck Onchain Economy ETF (NODE) starts trading on Cboe BZX exchange.
- May 16, 9:30 a.m.: Galaxy Digital Class A shares to begin trading on the Nasdaq under the ticker symbol GLXY.
- May 19: CME Group is expected to launch its cash-settled XRP futures.
- May 19: Coinbase Global (COIN) will replace Discover Financial Services (DFS) in the S&P 500, effective before the opening of trading.
- Macro
- May 14, 3 p.m.: Argentina’s National Institute of Statistics and Census releases April inflation data.
- Inflation Rate MoM Est. 3.1% vs. Prev. 3.7%
- Inflation Rate YoY Est. 47.7% vs. Prev. 55.9%
- May 15, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics releases March retail sales data.
- Retail Sales MoM Est. 1% vs. Prev. 0.5%
- Retail Sales YoY Est. -0.5% vs. Prev. 1.5%
- May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releases April producer price inflation data.
- Core PPI MoM Est. 0.3% vs. Prev. -0.1%
- Core PPI YoY Est. 3.1% vs. Prev. 3.3%
- PPI MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. -0.4%
- PPI YoY Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.7%
- May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Census Bureau releases April retail sales data.
- Retail Sales MoM Est. 0% vs. Prev. 1.5%
- Retail Sales YoY Prev. 4.9%
- May 15, 8:30 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases unemployment insurance data for the week ended May 10.
- Initial Jobless Claims Est. 230K vs. Prev. 228K
- May 15, 8:40 a.m.: Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell will deliver a speech («Framework Review») in Washington. Livestream link.
- May 14, 3 p.m.: Argentina’s National Institute of Statistics and Census releases April inflation data.
- Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
Token Events
- Governance votes & calls
- Uniswap DAO is voting on a proposal to fund the integration of Uniswap V4 on Ethereum in Oku and add Unichain on Oku in a bid to enhance Uniswap’s reach and liquidity migration to V4. Voting ends May 18,
- May 14, 11:30 a.m.: Jupiter to hold a J.U.P Rally.
- May 15, 11 a.m.: Yield Guild Games to host a Q1 2025 community update Ask Me Anything (AMA) session.
- May 15, 10 a.m.: Moca Network to host a Discord townhall session discussing network updates.
- May 21, 6 p.m.: Theta Network to host an Ask Me Anything session in a livestream.
- Unlocks
- May 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 4.09% of its circulating supply worth $23.53 million.
- May 15: Sei (SEI) to unlock 1.09% of its circulating supply worth $14.22 million.
- May 16: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.35% of its circulating supply worth $17.8 million.
- May 16: Arbitrum (ARB) to unlock 1.95% of its circulating supply worth $39.06 million.
- May 17: Avalanche (AVAX) to unlock 0.4% of its circulating supply worth $42.84 million.
- Token Launches
- May 15: RIZE (RIZE) to list on Kraken.
- May 16: Galxe (GAL), Litentry (LIT), Mines of Dalarnia (DAR), Orion Protocol (ORN), and PARSIQ (PRQ) to be delisted from Coinbase.
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
- May 14-16: CoinDesk’s Consensus 2025 (Toronto)
- May 19-25: Dutch Blockchain Week (Amsterdam, Netherlands)
- May 20-22: Avalanche Summit London
- May 20-22: Seamless Middle East Fintech 2025 (Dubai)
- May 21-22: Crypto Expo Dubai
- May 21-22: Cryptoverse Conference (Warsaw, Poland)
Token Talk
By Shaurya Malwa
- Synthetix is considering buying Derive, an Ethereum-based options trading platform, in a $27 million token-swap deal, absorbing Derive’s treasury, codebase and operations.
- Derive holders would receive 27 SNX tokens for each DRV. The tokens face a three-month lockup and nine-month vesting period.
- Some members of the Derive community expressed dissatisfaction, citing unfavorable valuations and lack of benefits.
- Derive, originally Lyra, was spun out from Synthetix in 2021 but diverged by ending sUSD support and launching independent products, making this a rare DeFi reacquisition.
- Elsewhere, «Launch Coin on Believe» (LAUNCHCOIN), formerly Pasternak, surged 130% in the past 24 hours, aligning with the Clout platform’s transition into token issuance platform Believe in a move that has boosted visibility and investor interest.
- The token had over $100 million in trading volume in the past 24 hours, up from a $5 million average over the past week.
- Believe’s platform gained rapid traction since the weekend, attracting attention for its low-barrier model that lets Web2 and traditional companies offer tokens for fundraising.
- These tokens are inherently valueless, however, representing no equity rights, and a strict policy by Believe that does not allow profit sharing with tokenholders.
Derivatives Positioning
- Funding rates are green for most major tokens, except BCH, implying a bullish positioning in the perpetual futures market.
- Open interest-adjusted cumulative volume delta (CVD) paints a mixed picture, with positive values for XMR, TRX, UNI, ETH, AVAX and SOL suggesting net buying pressure. The rest of the majors have a negative 24-hour CVD.
- Block flows on Deribit featured long positions in BTC calls and short positions in ETH puts, both hinting at bullish market sentiment.
Market Movements
- BTC is down 1.18% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $103,485.75 (24hrs: -0.07%)
- ETH is down 2.81% at $2,608.56 (24hrs: +5.09%)
- CoinDesk 20 is down 1.15% at 3,329.26 (24hrs: +2.51%)
- Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 5 bps at 3.12%
- BTC funding rate is at 0.0051% (5.6316% annualized) on Binance
- DXY is down 0.63% at 100.37
- Gold is down 0.31% at $3,234.30/oz
- Silver is down 0.38% at $32.80/oz
- Nikkei 225 closed -0.14% at 38,128.13
- Hang Seng closed +2.3% at 23,640.65
- FTSE is down 0.13% at 8,591.52
- Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.56% at 5,386.05
- DJIA closed on Tuesday -0.64% at 42,140.43
- S&P 500 closed +0.72% at 5,886.55
- Nasdaq closed +1.61% at 19,010.08
- S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.33% at 25,616.86
- S&P 40 Latin America closed +2.41% at 2,640.68
- U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is down 2 bps at 4.45%
- E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 5,900.00
- E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 21,266.50
- E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are unchanged at 42,206.00
Bitcoin Stats
- BTC Dominance: 62.39 (+0.34%)
- Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02509 (-2.49%)
- Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 865 EH/s
- Hashprice (spot): $55.37
- Total Fees: 6.27 BTC / $650,612.82
- CME Futures Open Interest: 145,350 BTC
- BTC priced in gold: 31.9 oz
- BTC vs gold market cap: 9.04%
Technical Analysis
- The chart shows ether’s rally has stalled at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA).
- A breakout would confirm the onset of the bull market, potentially drawing more traders to the market.
Crypto Equities
Strategy (MSTR): closed on Tuesday at $421.61 (+4.13%), down 2.29% at $411.96 in pre-market
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $256.9 (+23.97%), down 1.38% at $253.36
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at $29.39 (+3.52%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $16.37 (+2.63%), down 1.53% at $16.12
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $9.06 (+4.14%), down 1.1% at $8.96
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $10.24 (+3.64%), down 0.68% at $10.17
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10 (+3.95%), down 2.4% at $9.76
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $17.20 (+5.26%)
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $36.70 (+5.34%), down 0.93% at $36.36
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $42.04 (-22.58%), unchanged in pre-market
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
- Daily net flows: -$91.4 million
- Cumulative net flows: $41.05 billion
- Total BTC holdings ~ 1.17 million
Spot ETH ETFs
- Daily net flows: $13.5 million
- Cumulative net flows: $2.48 billion
- Total ETH holdings ~ 3.44 million
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
- The chart shows BTC’s spot volume delta, which measures the net difference between buying and selling trade volumes.
- The metric has flipped positive, confirming that the move above $100,000 is backed by real demand in the spot market.
While You Were Sleeping
- Synthetix Considers Purchase of Options Platform Derive in $27M Token-Swap Deal (CoinDesk): A proposed 27:1 SNX-to-DRV token conversion with a lockup schedule requires approval from both communities and has sparked backlash from Derive users over valuation and unclear benefits.
- Ether Nears $2.7K, Dogecoin Zooms 9% as Crypto Market Remains Cheery (CoinDesk): A broad altcoin rebound is losing steam as traders brace for profit-taking, with bitcoin’s momentum clouded by macro headwinds, including a firmer dollar and revived trade tensions.
- Dollar Steadies With Trade Talks in Frame After Sliding on Muted U.S. Inflation (Reuters): Commonwealth Bank analysts expect the dollar index to rise 2%–3% in the coming weeks after the U.S.-China tariff truce, but see no return to early-year highs near 108.50.
- U.S. Scraps ‘AI Diffusion’ Rule in Revamp of Biden-Era Chip Curbs (The Wall Street Journal): The Commerce Department removed export curbs it said harmed U.S. innovation and diplomatic relations, boosting AI chipmakers like Nvidia and AMD by expanding overseas sales.
- Standard Chartered Will Provide Banking Services for FalconX to Enhance Cross-Border Settlement (CoinDesk): FalconX will gain access to new currency pairs and global banking rails, supporting its effort to link digital assets with traditional finance for institutional clients.
- Exporters ‘Shocked and Elated’ as China Trade Cranks Back Into Gear (Financial Times): Chinese exporters anticipate a near-term jump in shipments to the U.S., but are still diversifying abroad, viewing the tariff truce as only a short-term reprieve.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
Asia Morning Briefing: BTC Slips Below $110K as ‘Signs of Fatigue’ Emerging

Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:
Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.
Bitcoin is trading below $110,000, changing hands at $109.7K, as Asia continues its trading week.
The move challenges a prevailing market narrative of summer stagnation, coming on the heels of a note from QCP Capital that emphasized suppressed volatility and a lack of immediate catalysts.
A recent Telegram note from QCP pointed to one-year lows in implied volatility and a pattern of subdued price action, noting that BTC had been “stuck in a tight range” as summer approaches.
A clean break below $100K or above $110K, they wrote, would be needed to “reawaken broader market interest.”
Even so, QCP warned that recent macro developments had failed to spark directional conviction.
“Even as US equities rallied and gold sold off in the wake of Friday’s stronger-than-expected jobs report, BTC remained conspicuously unmoved, caught in the cross-currents without a clear macro anchor,” the note said. “Without a compelling narrative to spark the next leg higher, signs of fatigue are emerging. Perpetual open interest is softening, and spot BTC ETF inflows have started to taper.”
That context makes the current move all the more surprising.
Over the weekend, Bitcoin surged 3.26% from $105,393 to $108,801, with hourly volume spiking to 2.5x the 24-hour average, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model. BTC broke decisively above $106,500, establishing new support at $107,600, and continued upward into Monday’s session, reaching $110,169.
The breakout coincides with a tense macro backdrop: US-China trade talks in London and a $22 billion U.S. Treasury bond auction later this week have injected uncertainty into global markets. While these events could drive fresh volatility, QCP cautioned that recent headlines have mostly led to “knee-jerk reactions” that quickly fade.
The question now is whether BTC’s move above $110K has true staying power, or whether the rally is running ahead of the fundamentals.
A ‘Massive Shift’ in Institutional Staking May Drive ETH’s Next Rally
Ethereum’s critics have long highlighted centralization risks, but that narrative is fading as institutional adoption accelerates, infrastructure matures, and recent protocol upgrades directly address past limitations.
“Market participants will pay for decentralization because it’s in their economic interest from a security and principal protection standpoint,” Mara Schmiedt, CEO of institutional Ethereum staking platform Alluvial, told CoinDesk. “If you look at [decentralization metrics] all of these things have massively improved over the last couple of years.»
There’s currently $492 million worth of ETH staked by Liquid Collective – a protocol co-founded by Alluvial to facilitate institutional staking
While this figure may appear modest compared to Ethereum’s total staked volume of around $93 billion, what’s interesting is that it originates predominantly from institutional investors.
«We’re really on the cusp of a truly massive shift for Ethereum, driven by regulatory momentum and the ability to unlock the advantages of secure staking,» she noted.
Central to Ethereum’s institutional readiness is the recent Pectra upgrade, a significant development Schmiedt describes as both «massive» and «underappreciated.»
«I think Pectra has been a massive upgrade. I actually think it’s been underappreciated, just in terms of the tremendous amount of change it introduces into the staking mechanics,» Schmiedt said.
Additionally, Execution Layer triggerable withdrawals—a key component of Pectra—provide institutional participants, including ETF issuers, a crucial compatibility upgrade.
This feature enables partial validator exits directly from Ethereum’s execution layer, aligning with institutional operational requirements such as T+1 redemption timelines.
«EL triggerable withdrawals create a much more effective path to exit for large-scale market participants,» Schmiedt added.
Ultimately, Schmiedt said, «I think we’ll see that a lot more [ETH] in institutional portfolios going forward.”
News Roundup
Trump Media May Be the Cheapest Bitcoin Play Among Public Stocks, NYDIG Says
Trump Media (DJT) may be one of the cheapest ways to get bitcoin exposure in public markets, according to a new report from NYDIG, CoinDesk recently reported.
As a growing number of companies adopt MicroStrategy’s strategy of stacking BTC on their balance sheets, analysts are rethinking how to value these so-called bitcoin treasury firms.
While the commonly used modified net asset value (mNAV) metric suggests that investors are paying a premium for BTC exposure, NYDIG’s Greg Cipolaro argues mNAV alone is “woefully deficient.” Instead, he points to the equity premium to NAV, which factors in debt, cash, and enterprise value, as a more accurate gauge.
By that measure, Trump Media and Semler Scientific (SMLR) rank as the most undervalued of eight companies analyzed, trading at equity premiums of -16% and -10% respectively, despite both showing mNAVs above 1.1. In other words, their shares are worth less than the value of the bitcoin they hold.
That’s in stark contrast to MicroStrategy (MSTR), which rose nearly 5% Monday as bitcoin crossed $110,000, while DJT and SMLR remained mostly flat—making them potentially overlooked vehicles for BTC exposure.
Circle Stock Nearly Quadruples Post-IPO as Bitwise and ProShares File Competing ETFs
Two major ETF issuers, Bitwise and ProShares, filed proposals on June 6 to launch exchange-traded funds tied to Circle (CRCL), whose stock has nearly quadrupled since its IPO late last week, CoinDesk previously reported.
ProShares is aiming for a leveraged product that delivers 2x the daily performance of CRCL. At the same time, Bitwise plans a covered call fund that generates income by selling options against held shares, two very different ways to capitalize on the stock’s explosive rise.
CRCL surged another 9% Monday in volatile trading, continuing to draw interest from both traditional finance and crypto investors. The proposed ETFs have an effective date of August 20, pending SEC approval. If approved, they would further blur the lines between crypto and conventional finance, giving investors new tools to play one of the hottest post-IPO names of the year.
Market Movements:
- BTC: Bitcoin is trading at $109,795 after a 3.26% breakout fueled by institutional buying, elevated volume, and macro uncertainty from US-China trade talks and an upcoming $22B Treasury auction.
- ETH: Ethereum rebounded 4.46% from a low of $2,480 to close at $2,581, with strong buying volume confirming support at $2,580 and setting up a potential breakout above $2,590.
- Gold: Gold is trading at $3,314.45, edging up 0.08% as investors watch US-China trade talks in London and a subdued dollar keeps prices attractive.
- Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets rose Tuesday, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.51%, as investors awaited updates from ongoing U.S.-China trade talks.
- S&P 500: The S&P 500 closed slightly higher Monday, boosted by Amazon and Alphabet, as investors monitored U.S.-China trade talks.
Elsewhere in Crypto
Uncategorized
Bitcoin Climbs Above $110K, ‘At Crossroads’ for Next Major Move

Bitcoin’s BTC quiet climb on Monday accelerated to its strongest price in June, rebounding from last week’s decline to near all-time high levels.
The largest crypto advanced by 3.7% over the past 24 hours, topping $110,000, and it’s changing hands by only 2% from its record prices observed in May. Ethereum’s ether ETH kept pace with a 3.8% gain during the same period, bouncing above $2,620. Native tokens of Hyperliquid HYPE and SUI SUI outperformed most large-cap cryptocurrencies, rising 7% and 4.5%, respectively.
Bitcoin’s move higher caught leveraged traders off-guard, liquidating over $110 million worth of short positions within an hour, CoinGlass data shows. Across all crypto assets, some $330 million of shorts were liquidated during the day, the most in a month. Shorts are seeking to profit from declining asset prices.
The move happened while traditional markets showed muted action, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes flat on the day. Crypto-related stocks bounced during the session to catch up with BTC’s recovery over the weekend.
«A ‘peaceful rally’ is a perfect way to describe this price action,» said well-followed analyst Caleb Franzen, founder of Cubic Analytics. «Just a consistent development of higher highs and higher lows. Any signs of weakness? Buyers step in and defend the trend.»
The crypto market is now on steadier footing for a potential next leg higher after bitcoin’s 10% decline to near $100,000 and with more than $1.9 billion in liquidations across crypto derivatives over the past week, having flushed excessive leverage, Bitfinex analysts noted in a Monday report.
However, on-chain data indicates rising sell pressure from long-term holders that could overwhelm demand, the analysts added.
“Bitcoin is now at a crossroads—balanced between structural support and waning bullish momentum, waiting for its next macro cue,” the Bitfinex note added.
Those macro catalysts may come later this week, noted Jake O, OTC trader at crypto trading firm Wintermute.
«U.S. and Chinese trade representatives are scheduled to meet today, with markets likely sensitive to any headlines following last week’s positive momentum, and the data calendar remains light until Wednesday, when CPI will offer fresh insight into U.S. inflation,» he said.
UPDATE (June 9, 21:51 UTC): Adds short liquidation data from CoinGlass.
Uncategorized
Aptos’ APT Gains 4% on Significant Volume, Has More Potential Upside

Aptos’ APT token rallied more than 4% on significant volume, with momentum indicators suggesting more potential upside, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
The digital asset broke out of its consolidation phase between $4.65-$4.73, establishing strong support at $4.73 before pushing through previous resistance levels to establish a new local high, according to the model.
The token is currently 2.6% higher, trading around $4.86.
The broader market gauge, the CoinDesk CD20 was 1.75% higher at publication time.
Technical Analysis:
- APT rallied from $4.65 to $4.85, representing a 4.3% gain with significant volume confirmation.
- Price formed a clear consolidation pattern between $4.65-$4.73 before experiencing a decisive breakout at 09:00 with volume nearly doubling the 24-hour average.
- Strong support established at $4.73 with subsequent price action forming an ascending channel with resistance at $4.85.
- Substantial volume spike during the 16:00 candle (884,397 units) confirmed buyer conviction as APT pushed through previous resistance levels.
- Price formed a distinct pattern of higher lows while encountering resistance at $4.85, which was breached during the 20:01 candle with significant volume (10,126 units).
- Key technical development occurred at when price surged from $4.84 to $4.85 with strong volume confirmation (9,094 units).
- Support at $4.84 held through subsequent retests, with final minutes showing decisive momentum suggesting potential continuation of the uptrend.
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