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Crypto Bulls Brace for Bank of Japan’s Rate Hike That Could Derail Momentum

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Most investors have their eyes set on President Trump’s inauguration on Jan. 20, which has the potential to be a key catalyst for bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrency prices.

However, a few days later, there is a potential rate hike on the cards from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). According to a Bloomberg chart shared by analyst Michael Kramer on X, the market is currently factoring in a 90% chance of a rate hike on Jan. 24.

Previously, the BoJ rate hike caused havoc on both the traditional and digital assets market . This was a key catalyst for the Yen carry trade unwind at the start of August, which sent bitcoin tumbling to $49,000. Traders are likely bracing for another selloff this time around.

Since 2016, the BoJ has maintained negative interest rates; however, in 2024, they increased interest rates twice, from -0.1% to 0.25%. The implied rate going into the meeting is 0.45%; however, this could drastically change as Japan has an inflation report just the day before, on Jan. 23.

Headline inflation year-over-year is at 2.9%, the highest since August. A hotter-than-expected inflation print could create fears within the market, and another iteration of the Yen carry trade unwind could be on course.

Even with the remarkable strength of the DXY index, which is currently above 109, the highest level since November 2022, it has jumped from 100 from the September low.

The DXY index is following a similar trajectory to Donald Trump’s first presidential term, which saw a rally in the DXY leading into his inauguration and then fell considerably, giving risk assets a much-needed boost. The DXY index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of major foreign currencies.

The Japanese Yen is at its strongest level against the dollar since Dec. 16, at 156.

Read more: Bank of Japan Governor Hints at More Rate Hikes; BTC Drops 0.4%

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SHIB Plunges 7.4% in One Week, but Market Sentiment Remains Cautiously Optimistic

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The cryptocurrency market continues to reflect broader economic uncertainties as Shiba Inu (SHIB) faces significant downward pressure.

Recent price action shows SHIB testing critical support at $0.0000127 after experiencing a 7.4% decline from recent highs, with volume spikes coinciding with major selloffs particularly during early May, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.

Despite current volatility, on-chain data reveals growing institutional confidence in SHIB’s long-term prospects. April 2025 saw the addition of 109 new millionaire wallets holding SHIB, bringing the total to 860 addresses with at least $1 million in tokens. This accumulation occurred even as SHIB’s 7% price gain in April underperformed compared to Bitcoin’s surge toward $95,000.

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as futures open interest for SHIB nearly doubled in April, rising from under $97 million to nearly $190 million. Meanwhile, ongoing development of Shibarium, SHIB’s Layer-2 blockchain, continues with improvements to transaction throughput and validator onboarding that could provide fundamental support for future price action.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • Price action reveals a series of lower highs and lower lows, with volume spikes coinciding with major selloffs, particularly during the May 3rd decline below $0.0000130.
  • A key horizontal support zone has formed around $0.0000127, which has been tested multiple times in the last 48 hours.
  • The $0.0000129 level now represents immediate resistance, with the Fibonacci retracement suggesting potential stabilization at the current level before any meaningful recovery can occur.
  • In the last 100 minutes, SHIB demonstrated remarkable volatility and recovery, initially plunging to a critical support level at $0.0000126 during a high-volume selloff at 13:31-13:40, where volume peaked at over 22 million units.
  • The price found strong buying interest at this support zone, triggering a V-shaped recovery that accelerated dramatically around 13:57-14:01, where bullish momentum pushed SHIB up nearly 10% from its lows.
  • The most recent price action shows consolidation above $0.00001276 with decreasing volume, suggesting short-term exhaustion after the recovery rally, though the higher lows pattern forming since 14:40 indicates potential for continued upward movement if the $0.00001274 support holds.

Disclaimer: This article was generated with AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy. This article may include information from external sources, which are listed below when applicable.

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Leading House Dem Will Block Crypto Market Structure Bill Hearing

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The leading Democrat on the House Financial Services Committee, Rep. Maxine Waters, will block efforts to hold a joint hearing between her committee and the House Agriculture Committee on Monday’s newly unveiled market structure discussion draft bill.

Under House rules, all participants in a joint hearing need to agree to proceed. Waters will object to the joint hearing and prevent it from proceeding as planned, a Democratic staffer told CoinDesk, pointing to U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent and increasing engagement with crypto.

The Financial Services and Agriculture Committees announced they would host a joint hearing on market structure issues last week, and unveiled the first text addressing the issue — including how the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission would oversee crypto — earlier Monday.

«Ranking Member Maxine Waters has been incredibly vocal about Trump’s crypto crimes and has pushed Republicans to investigate these crimes,» the staffer said. «Ahead of tomorrow’s hearing, Ranking Member Waters gave Chairman Hill a phone call and told him she would not approve this hearing unless Republicans included provisions in their legislation to block Trump from further profiting from crypto off the backs of investors.»

Politico first reported that Waters would object to the joint hearing.

In recent days, Trump announced he would host a dinner for the 220 parties holding the most TRUMP memecoins. One of his children, Eric Trump, announced just last week that Abu Dhabi investment firm MGX would use World Liberty Financial’s USD1 stablecoin to close its investment in crypto exchange Binance. Freight Technologies, a publicly traded logistics firm, also said last week that it would buy $20 million in TRUMP coins with the explicit purpose of trying to influence trade policy.

The Democratic staffer told CoinDesk that Waters and other Democrats on the Financial Services Committee would hold their own hearing investigating Trump’s different crypto ties, which would include World Liberty Financial.

A spokesperson for the Financial Services Committee’s chair, French Hill, said in a statement that, «Since the last Congress, we’ve had productive bipartisan, bicameral discussions on market structure legislation. We encourage the Ranking Member to attend tomorrow’s hearing to express her views and reconsider her decision to object.»

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Bitcoin Likely Still ‘Rat Poison’ at Berkshire Hathaway Even Without Warren Buffett

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Warren Buffett, the billionaire investor who helped shape Berkshire Hathaway into a global investment powerhouse, is stepping down as CEO at year-end — but his distaste for bitcoin (BTC) will likely live on at the firm.

Buffett, who will remain chairman of the board, has famously described bitcoin as “rat poison squared” and a “gambling token,” signaling a strong ideological opposition to digital assets. His legacy on this issue casts a long shadow over his successor, Greg Abel, who now takes the reins of day-to-day leadership.

For investors hoping for a shift in Berkshire’s crypto stance, the odds look slim.

“I would be very surprised if there’s a meaningful change in Berkshire’s attitude toward Bitcoin,” said Meyer Shields, managing director at KBW. “On the merits, I think there’s a vast difference between the Buffett/Munger attitude to technology stocks (which they admitted to not understanding) and their expressed opposition to cryptocurrency.”

Currently chairman and CEO at Berkshire Hathaway Energy and vice-chairman of Berkshire’s non-insurance operations, incoming CEO Abel is unlikely to make sudden moves that could signal a break from Buffett’s and recently deceased Charlie Munger’s longstanding views, added Shields. “I expect Greg Abel to initially avoid doing anything that could look like a marked shift away from Buffett’s and Munger’s values, even if he actually disagrees.”

During a meeting with shareholders, Buffet expressed flexibility to diversify into other currencies if the U.S. economy were to weaken more, saying that “there could be […] things happen in the United States that […] make us want to own a lot of other currencies.” However, given Buffet’s continued critique of cryptocurrencies, it seems unlikely that would include bitcoin.

Still, the succession was handled with characteristic flair. “Another brilliant example of handling a major situation for Berkshire,” said Macrae Sykes, portfolio manager at GAMCO Investors. He praised Buffett’s decision to keep the news under wraps until the shareholder meeting, allowing him to “address questions and enjoy the engagement with shareholders without the succession overhang.”

Sykes sees Buffett’s continued presence on the board as a stabilizing force: “Shareholders should welcome this transparent transition, but also have confidence that Warren isn’t going anywhere.”

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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