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Coinbase Crypto Momentum Stalls, Valuation Stretches: Cut to Sell at Compass Point

Coinbase (COIN) has been downgraded to a sell rating by Compass Point, which also cut its year-end price target from $330 to $248, citing weaker-than-expected earnings and fading interest in crypto equities as key risks.
COIN is trading modestly higher on Monday at $316 following last week’s earnings-related 18% plunge.
“While we remain constructive on the current crypto cycle, we expect a choppy 3Q alongside weak August/September seasonality and waning retail interest in crypto treasury stocks,” analysts wrote. “We also expect increasing stablecoin competition to weigh on both COIN and CRCL’s valuations in 2H25.”
Coinbase missed expectations for second-quarter results, and early third-quarter trends aren’t looking much better. Subscription and services revenue, a metric investors see as a reliable income stream, came in 8% below Wall Street estimates in Q2. The midpoint of the company’s Q3 forecast is also 5% below consensus.
“‘Other S&S revenue’ was a key contributor to COIN’s 2Q/3Q miss,” Compass Point wrote, pointing to a sharp quarter-over-quarter decline in Coinbase One and other tech-related fees — segments many investors had hoped would drive long-term growth.
Compass Point’s downgrade comes as the crypto market loses momentum despite broader stock markets recovering after last week’s dip. Bitcoin (BTC) and ethereum (ETH) have struggled to gain ground, and retail investors appear to be pulling back from “TreasuryCo” stocks — companies holding large amounts of BTC or other cryptos on their balance sheets. This includes Coinbase and Strategy (MSTR), the latter of which recently slowed its bitcoin buying pace and shifted toward raising funds through preferred equity rather than stock offerings.
The analysts flagged that elevated leverage in crypto markets poses a further risk. July’s rally was fueled by aggressive trading, but with open interest rebounding after a short dip in liquidations, a deeper sell-off could trigger another round of forced selling.
Valuation is also a concern. Despite the weak Q2 results, COIN shares rallied 56% from May to July. Compass Point warns that “COIN is still trading at 44x annualized 3Q25E Street EBITDA forecast,” which it believes is too high given headwinds in retail trading, competition from ETFs and DeFi, and limited near-term regulatory breakthroughs.
Compass Point was also doubtful the CLARITY Act — a bill seen as key to regulatory reform — would pass this year. “We’re more skeptical towards a market structure bill passing this year,” the firm said, projecting movement in early 2026 instead.
Coinbase has floated the idea of offering stock trading to users, but analysts are unconvinced it will be a meaningful revenue stream, especially with competitors like Robinhood already far ahead.
“Under a backdrop of weak crypto performance, we see COIN’s premium valuation compressing back towards its prior range,” the report concluded.
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PEPE Price Sinks 6% Amid Market Sell-Off as Whales Accumulate

Meme-inspired cryptocurrency PEPE has lost nearly 6% of its value in the last 24-hour period, sliding to a $0.0000107 low even as large investors accumulate.
Trading volumes for the cryptocurrency surged into the trillions of tokens amid the drop, as the token kept failing to find support amid the intense selling pressure. The drop came amid a wider crypto market drawdown, where the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index lost 1.8% of its value.
Memecoins were especially hard hit in the sell-off. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index (CDMEME) dropped nearly 5% over the last 24 hours, while bitcoin saw a drop of 0.8%.
The drop comes just days after altcoin season speculation grew among cryptocurrency circles over the Federal Reserve’s expected interest rate cut later this week, which is expected to be a boon for risk assets.
Data from Nansen shows that over the past week, the top 100 non-exchange addresses holding PEPE on the Ethereum network have seen their holdings grow by 1.38% to 307.33 trillion tokens, while exchange wallets had a 1.45% drop in holdings to 254.4 trillion tokens.
Technical Analysis Overview
PEPE’s price action pointed to a market in retreat, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model. The token dropped from $0.000011484 to $0.000010782, with sellers dominating the chart.
Price peaked at $0.000011732 during a resistance test, but volume swelled to 5.5 trillion tokens at that level, before the market ultimately turned lower.
Support showed signs of buckling during the next phase, with the token brushing against $0.000010746. Trading activity intensified again, hitting 7.7 trillion tokens and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
The cryptocurrency’s price whipsawed within a 9% intraday range, a sign that traders remain unsure whether support levels are going to hold.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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Ether Bigger Beneficiary of Digital Asset Treasuries Than Bitcoin or Solana: StanChart

Digital asset treasuries (DATs), publicly traded firms that hold crypto on their balance sheets, have been hit hard in recent weeks as their market NAVs (mNAVs) slid below 1, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick said in a new report.
Looking ahead, ether (ETH) DATs appear to have the most staying power thanks to staking yield, regulatory clarity, and room to grow, argued Kendrick.
The mNAV ratio is crucial. When it falls, these firms lose the incentive (and sometimes the ability) to keep buying crypto, threatening a key source of demand for bitcoin (BTC), ether and solana (solana).
Kendrick said that the next phase for DATs will be one of differentiation. The winners will be those that can raise funds at the lowest cost, achieve scale that draws liquidity and investor attention, and, crucially, earn staking yield. That last point tilts the playing field toward ether and solana treasuries over bitcoin, which lacks yield.
Market saturation is also at play. Strategy’s success as the flagship BTC treasury has inspired a flood of copycats, nearly 90 at last count, who together now hold more than 150,000 BTC, up sixfold this year, the analyst noted.
But if mNAVs stay below 1, Standard Chartered expects consolidation. For BTC treasuries, that could mean firms like Saylor’s Strategy buying out rivals rather than buying new bitcoin on the open market, a coin rotation, not fresh demand.
Ether treasuries look better positioned. They have been aggressively accumulating, with 3.1% of ETH’s circulating supply purchased since June. The largest player, Bitmine (BMNR) is well-placed to keep adding to its 2 million ETH stack, the report said.
For crypto markets, this matters. DAT buying has been a key driver of bitcoin and ether prices in 2025. But with BTC treasuries facing consolidation pressure and solana treasuries still relatively small, Standard Chartered sees ETH as the likely beneficiary going forward.
Read more: Strategy’s S&P 500 Snub Is a Cautionary Signal for Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries: JPMorgan
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Ethereum Foundation Starts New AI Team to Support Agentic Payments

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) is creating a dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) group to make Ethereum the settlement and coordination layer for what it calls the “machine economy,” according to research scientist Davide Crapis.
Crapis, who announced the initiative Monday on X, said the new dAI Team will pursue two priorities: enabling AI agents to pay and coordinate without intermediaries, and building a decentralized AI stack that avoids reliance on a small number of large companies. He said Ethereum’s neutrality, verifiability and censorship resistance make it a natural base layer for intelligent systems.
Ethereum Foundation background
The EF is a non-profit organization based in Zug, Switzerland, that funds and coordinates the development of the Ethereum blockchain. It does not control the network but plays a catalytic role by supporting researchers, developers and ecosystem projects.
Its remit includes funding upgrades such as Ethereum 2.0, zero-knowledge proofs and layer-2 scaling, alongside community programs like the Ecosystem Support Program. The foundation also organizes events such as Devcon to foster collaboration and acts as a policy advocate for blockchain adoption.
In 2025, EF restructured to handle Ethereum’s growth, emphasizing ecosystem acceleration, founder support and enterprise outreach. The new dAI Team represents a continuation of this shift toward specialized units addressing emerging technologies.
Crapis’s role
Crapis is a research scientist at the EF and will lead the new dAI Team. He said the group will connect its work with both the EF’s protocol group and its ecosystem support arm.
“Ethereum makes AI more trustworthy, and AI makes Ethereum more useful,” he wrote, adding that the team intends to fund public goods and projects at the intersection of AI and blockchains.
ERC-8004 and Trust Standards
The group will build on recent work around ERC-8004, a proposed Ethereum standard that Crapis described as a way to prove who an AI agent is and whether it can be trusted. By offering identity and reputation systems for autonomous agents, the standard is intended to allow coordination without centralized gatekeepers.
Crapis said the team will support new standards and upgrades as they emerge, guided by Ethereum’s values and the “d/acc” philosophy of decentralized acceleration. The goal, he explained, is to ensure AI development remains open and verifiable while giving humans greater agency over how intelligent systems interact with the economy.
Why it matters
For Ethereum, the move signals a growing ambition to anchor emerging technologies beyond finance.
If AI agents begin transacting at scale, demand could grow for settlement rails, reputation systems and standards that run natively on Ethereum. For the AI community, the initiative offers an alternative to centralized platforms that currently dominate AI infrastructure.
“The more intelligent agents transact, the more they need a neutral base layer for value and reputation,” Crapis said. “Ethereum benefits by becoming that layer and AI benefits by escaping lock-in to a few centralized platforms.”
The team has begun hiring and publishing resources, according to Crapis. He said EF intends to work “with purpose and urgency” to connect AI developers with the Ethereum ecosystem and to accelerate research at the boundary of the two fields.
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