Connect with us

Uncategorized

BTC Risks Deeper Slide to $100K, XRP Challenges Corrective Trend

Published

on

This is a daily analysis of top tokens with CME futures by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

Bitcoin: Risks deeper pullback

Bitcoin’s (BTC) multi-month rally appears to have hit a significant wall, with a confluence of bearish signals emerging across both weekly and daily charts.

The weekly candlestick chart shows that bulls have failed to establish a foothold above the macro trendline connecting the 2017 and 2021 bull market highs. This failed breakout is supported by weakening momentum, as the MACD histogram, though still positive, is significantly lower than its peak in December 2024 when the macro trendline was first tested.

BTC's weekly chart. (TradingView)

The bearish sentiment is further reinforced by the 14-week RSI, which has broken its uptrend line from the March lows while continuing to print a series of lower highs since March 2024.

On a shorter-term daily timeframe, the shift in momentum is even more pronounced. The three-line break chart, a tool designed to filter out minor noise and confirm trend changes, has printed three straight red bricks (bars), a classic bearish reversal signal, confirming that sellers have seized control.

BTC's three-line break chart. (TradingView)

The combination of these signals – a failed long-term breakout, weakening momentum, and a confirmed short-term reversal – indicates that a deeper correction is now the path of least resistance and prices could take out the immediate support at $11,965, the former high hit in May, for a test of dip demand at $100,000.

Prices need to overcome $122,056 to invalidate the bearish setup.

  • Resistance: $120,000, $122,056, $123,181.
  • Support: $111,965, $112,301 (the 50-day SMA), $100,000.

XRP: Challenging downtrend line

While XRP (XRP) is attempting to break out of the downtrend line, which represents the recent correction, the overwhelming momentum from the moving averages across both the hourly and daily timeframes suggests that a sustained breakout may not occur immediately.

XRP's hourly chart. (TradingView)

On the daily timeframe, the price has seen a modest bounce, but this rally is capped by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, which is acting as a key resistance. This corrective move is happening against a bearish backdrop, with both the 5 and 10-day simple moving averages (SMAs) continuing to trend south, confirming the downward bias. Further, the 50-, 100-, and 200-hour SMAs are stacked in a bearish configuration, all trending south, a classic technical signal of a strong downtrend.

XRP's daily chart. (TradingView)

Should we close above $3.00, the focus would shift to the lower high of $3.33 registered on July 28.

  • Resistance: $3.33, $3.65, $4.00.
  • Support: $2.72, $2.65, $2.58.

Ether: Bearish outside week

Ether fell nearly 10% last week, forming a large bearish outside week candle, a significant bearish pattern, which indicates that sellers are looking to regain control.

Ether's weekly chart. (TradingView)

This sentiment is reinforced on the daily timeframe. The daily candlestick chart shows that the 5- and 10-day SMAs have executed a bearish cross, confirming a break in the short-term uptrend.

So, while the price has seen a modest bounce since Sunday, its strength is questionable. This is further substantiated by the daily three-line break chart, which has printed two consecutive red bricks – a decisive bearish signal that confirms the trend has reversed to the downside.

The combination of these long-term and short-term charts suggests that the path of least resistance is now lower.

  • Resistance: $3,941, $4,000, $4,100.
  • Support: $3,355, $3,000, $2,879.

Solana: Golden cross

Solana’s recent pullback appears to be meeting a critical test, with bulls successfully defending a key support level over the past 24 hours. The price has bounced from the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its recent rally, a level often watched by traders as a strong potential price floor in an uptrend.

Solana's daily chart. (TradingView)

Meanwhile, a major long-term signal is on the horizon: the 50- and 200-day SMAs are nearing a «golden cross.» While this is a lagging indicator, a successful cross would be a powerful long-term bullish signal, confirming a major shift in momentum and potentially setting the stage for a new, sustained uptrend.

For traders, the coming days are critical, with the 61.8% Fib level needing to hold strong as support while the impending golden cross provides a bullish long-term tailwind. Also note that despite the defense of the Fib level, the short-term trend remains bearish, with the 5- and 10-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) continuing to trend lower.

  • Resistance: $175, $187, $200.
  • Support: $156, $145, $126.
Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Ваш адрес email не будет опубликован. Обязательные поля помечены *

Uncategorized

PEPE Price Sinks 6% Amid Market Sell-Off as Whales Accumulate

Published

on

By

Meme-inspired cryptocurrency PEPE has lost nearly 6% of its value in the last 24-hour period, sliding to a $0.0000107 low even as large investors accumulate.

Trading volumes for the cryptocurrency surged into the trillions of tokens amid the drop, as the token kept failing to find support amid the intense selling pressure. The drop came amid a wider crypto market drawdown, where the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index lost 1.8% of its value.

Memecoins were especially hard hit in the sell-off. The CoinDesk Memecoin Index (CDMEME) dropped nearly 5% over the last 24 hours, while bitcoin saw a drop of 0.8%.

The drop comes just days after altcoin season speculation grew among cryptocurrency circles over the Federal Reserve’s expected interest rate cut later this week, which is expected to be a boon for risk assets.

Data from Nansen shows that over the past week, the top 100 non-exchange addresses holding PEPE on the Ethereum network have seen their holdings grow by 1.38% to 307.33 trillion tokens, while exchange wallets had a 1.45% drop in holdings to 254.4 trillion tokens.

Technical Analysis Overview

PEPE’s price action pointed to a market in retreat, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model. The token dropped from $0.000011484 to $0.000010782, with sellers dominating the chart.

Price peaked at $0.000011732 during a resistance test, but volume swelled to 5.5 trillion tokens at that level, before the market ultimately turned lower.

Support showed signs of buckling during the next phase, with the token brushing against $0.000010746. Trading activity intensified again, hitting 7.7 trillion tokens and reinforcing bearish sentiment.

The cryptocurrency’s price whipsawed within a 9% intraday range, a sign that traders remain unsure whether support levels are going to hold.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Ether Bigger Beneficiary of Digital Asset Treasuries Than Bitcoin or Solana: StanChart

Published

on

By

Digital asset treasuries (DATs), publicly traded firms that hold crypto on their balance sheets, have been hit hard in recent weeks as their market NAVs (mNAVs) slid below 1, Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick said in a new report.

Looking ahead, ether (ETH) DATs appear to have the most staying power thanks to staking yield, regulatory clarity, and room to grow, argued Kendrick.

The mNAV ratio is crucial. When it falls, these firms lose the incentive (and sometimes the ability) to keep buying crypto, threatening a key source of demand for bitcoin (BTC), ether and solana (solana).

Kendrick said that the next phase for DATs will be one of differentiation. The winners will be those that can raise funds at the lowest cost, achieve scale that draws liquidity and investor attention, and, crucially, earn staking yield. That last point tilts the playing field toward ether and solana treasuries over bitcoin, which lacks yield.

Market saturation is also at play. Strategy’s success as the flagship BTC treasury has inspired a flood of copycats, nearly 90 at last count, who together now hold more than 150,000 BTC, up sixfold this year, the analyst noted.

But if mNAVs stay below 1, Standard Chartered expects consolidation. For BTC treasuries, that could mean firms like Saylor’s Strategy buying out rivals rather than buying new bitcoin on the open market, a coin rotation, not fresh demand.

Ether treasuries look better positioned. They have been aggressively accumulating, with 3.1% of ETH’s circulating supply purchased since June. The largest player, Bitmine (BMNR) is well-placed to keep adding to its 2 million ETH stack, the report said.

For crypto markets, this matters. DAT buying has been a key driver of bitcoin and ether prices in 2025. But with BTC treasuries facing consolidation pressure and solana treasuries still relatively small, Standard Chartered sees ETH as the likely beneficiary going forward.

Read more: Strategy’s S&P 500 Snub Is a Cautionary Signal for Corporate Bitcoin Treasuries: JPMorgan

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Ethereum Foundation Starts New AI Team to Support Agentic Payments

Published

on

By

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) is creating a dedicated artificial intelligence (AI) group to make Ethereum the settlement and coordination layer for what it calls the “machine economy,” according to research scientist Davide Crapis.

Crapis, who announced the initiative Monday on X, said the new dAI Team will pursue two priorities: enabling AI agents to pay and coordinate without intermediaries, and building a decentralized AI stack that avoids reliance on a small number of large companies. He said Ethereum’s neutrality, verifiability and censorship resistance make it a natural base layer for intelligent systems.

Ethereum Foundation background

The EF is a non-profit organization based in Zug, Switzerland, that funds and coordinates the development of the Ethereum blockchain. It does not control the network but plays a catalytic role by supporting researchers, developers and ecosystem projects.

Its remit includes funding upgrades such as Ethereum 2.0, zero-knowledge proofs and layer-2 scaling, alongside community programs like the Ecosystem Support Program. The foundation also organizes events such as Devcon to foster collaboration and acts as a policy advocate for blockchain adoption.

In 2025, EF restructured to handle Ethereum’s growth, emphasizing ecosystem acceleration, founder support and enterprise outreach. The new dAI Team represents a continuation of this shift toward specialized units addressing emerging technologies.

Crapis’s role

Crapis is a research scientist at the EF and will lead the new dAI Team. He said the group will connect its work with both the EF’s protocol group and its ecosystem support arm.

“Ethereum makes AI more trustworthy, and AI makes Ethereum more useful,” he wrote, adding that the team intends to fund public goods and projects at the intersection of AI and blockchains.

ERC-8004 and Trust Standards

The group will build on recent work around ERC-8004, a proposed Ethereum standard that Crapis described as a way to prove who an AI agent is and whether it can be trusted. By offering identity and reputation systems for autonomous agents, the standard is intended to allow coordination without centralized gatekeepers.

Crapis said the team will support new standards and upgrades as they emerge, guided by Ethereum’s values and the “d/acc” philosophy of decentralized acceleration. The goal, he explained, is to ensure AI development remains open and verifiable while giving humans greater agency over how intelligent systems interact with the economy.

Why it matters

For Ethereum, the move signals a growing ambition to anchor emerging technologies beyond finance.

If AI agents begin transacting at scale, demand could grow for settlement rails, reputation systems and standards that run natively on Ethereum. For the AI community, the initiative offers an alternative to centralized platforms that currently dominate AI infrastructure.

“The more intelligent agents transact, the more they need a neutral base layer for value and reputation,” Crapis said. “Ethereum benefits by becoming that layer and AI benefits by escaping lock-in to a few centralized platforms.”

The team has begun hiring and publishing resources, according to Crapis. He said EF intends to work “with purpose and urgency” to connect AI developers with the Ethereum ecosystem and to accelerate research at the boundary of the two fields.

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2017 Zox News Theme. Theme by MVP Themes, powered by WordPress.