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Bitcoin’s $100K Psychological Barrier May Require Multiple Attacks: Van Straten

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Human beings are emotional, and that’s especially so in crypto markets. Round numbers are idolized much more than in traditional finance, and investors and traders are susceptible to panic-selling if price gains stall near a number with several zeros at the end.

At the same time, some traders look to front-run the exodus, stacking order books such that it becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Take, for example, bitcoin (<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin/ » target=»_blank»>BTC</a>), which has again drawn up short at the so-called psychological <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/12/02/xrp-replaces-tether-as-3rd-largest-cryptocurrency-while-btc-faces-384-m-sell-wall» target=»_blank»>$100,000 sell wall</a>. While earlier analysis has pointed at <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/26/bitcoin-long-term-holders-have-163-k-more-btc-to-sell-history-indicates-van-straten» target=»_blank»>profit-taking</a>, <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/27/short-term-bitcoin-holders-have-moved-nearly-8-b-worth-of-btc-to-exchanges-signaling-price-bottom-van-straten» target=»_blank»>capitulation from short-term holders</a> and just not enough demand to take bitcoin higher, it’s interesting — possibly even useful —to know if there’s a recurring pattern.

An analysis of historical price movements based on data from Glassnode shows it usually takes multiple attempts to breach these psychological barriers. The analysis looked at trading patterns when the bitcoin price came within 2% of a multiple of $10,000.

Bitcoin closed above that level for the first time back in December 2017. After that bubble burst, BTC endured a bear market until 2020 as it struggled to reclaim the $10,000 price level. It closed within 2% of the barrier 21 times before it conclusively broke through. An <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/09/24/bitcoins-trading-range-extends-beyond-125-days-as-september-shows-resilience» target=»_blank»>earlier analysis</a> shows that was one of bitcoin’s longest trading periods within a specific price range.

Subsequent $10,000 increments each had the price closing within 2% between 15 and 30 times before climbing above the level. That was consistent all the way through $70,000.

The pattern unravels after President-elect Donald Trumps’ election victory in November. Bitcoin shot though $80,000 and tested $90,000 only three times before the barrier crumbled.

Which leaves $100,000 in unknown territory. BTC has already closed twice within 2% of that level: Nov. 21 and Nov. 22. Are we about to revert to the long-term pattern of some 20 attempts, or will it be third time’s a charm?

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Crypto Trading Firm Keyrock Buys Luxembourg’s Turing Capital in Asset Management Push

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on

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Crypto trading firm Keyrock said it’s expanding into asset and wealth management by acquiring Turing Capital, a Luxembourg-registered alternative investment fund manager.

The deal, announced on Tuesday, marks the launch of Keyrock’s Asset and Wealth Management division, a new business unit dedicated to institutional clients and private investors.

Keyrock, founded in Brussels, Belgium and best known for its work in market making, options and OTC trading, said it will fold Turing Capital’s investment strategies and Luxembourg fund management structure into its wider platform. The division will be led by Turing Capital co-founder Jorge Schnura, who joins Keyrock’s executive committee as president of the unit.

The company said the expansion will allow it to provide services across the full lifecycle of digital assets, from liquidity provision to long-term investment strategies. «In the near future, all assets will live onchain,» Schnura said, noting that the merger positions the group to capture opportunities as traditional financial products migrate to blockchain rails.

Keyrock has also applied for regulatory approval under the EU’s crypto framework MiCA through a filing with Liechtenstein’s financial regulator. If approved, the firm plans to offer portfolio management and advisory services, aiming to compete directly with traditional asset managers as well as crypto-native players.

«Today’s launch sets the stage for our longer-term ambition: bringing asset management on-chain in a way that truly meets institutional standards,» Keyrock CSO Juan David Mendieta said in a statement.

Read more: Stablecoin Payments Projected to Top $1T Annually by 2030, Market Maker Keyrock Says

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Gemini Shares Slide 6%, Extending Post-IPO Slump to 24%

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Gemini Space Station (GEMI), the crypto exchange founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, has seen its shares tumble by more than 20% since listing on the Nasdaq last Friday.

The stock is down around 6% on Tuesday, trading at $30.42, and has dropped nearly 24% over the past week. The sharp decline follows an initial surge after the company raised $425 million in its IPO, pricing shares at $28 and valuing the firm at $3.3 billion before trading began.

On its first day, GEMI spiked to $45.89 before closing at $32 — a 14% premium to its offer price. But since hitting that high, shares have plunged more than 34%, erasing most of the early enthusiasm from public market investors.

The broader crypto equity market has remained more stable. Coinbase (COIN), the largest U.S. crypto exchange, is flat over the past week. Robinhood (HOOD), which derives part of its revenue from crypto, is down 3%. Token issuer Circle (CRCL), on the other hand, is up 13% over the same period.

Part of the pressure on Gemini’s stock may stem from its financials. The company posted a $283 million net loss in the first half of 2025, following a $159 million loss in all of 2024. Despite raising fresh capital, the numbers suggest the business is still far from turning a profit.

Compass Point analyst Ed Engel noted that GEMI is currently trading at 26 times its annualized first-half revenue. That multiple — often used to gauge whether a stock is expensive — means investors are paying 26 dollars for every dollar the company is expected to generate in sales this year. For a loss-making company in a volatile sector, that’s a steep price, and could be fueling investor skepticism.

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