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Bitcoin, S&P 500 Struggle Below Key Technical Level in Sign of Further BTC Price Drops

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Bitcoin (BTC) continued to struggle on Thursday as it fought to stay above $80,000. The largest cryptocurrency by market cap is currently down 3% on the day. It has declined 13% in the first quarter and is about 30% off its all-time high from January.

According to Glassnode data, short-term holders — investors who have held bitcoin for less than 155 days — are primarily considered speculators who tend to enter the market during price peaks or periods of market euphoria. Since February, they have sold more than 100,000 BTC (about $8 billion at current prices), a sign they’re looking to cut losses (or lock in any profits) before prices fall further.

The decline has pushed the bitcoin price below its 200-day moving average of $86,300. The average is an important metric for long-term market trends, and BTC isn’t the only risk-on investment to drop below.

U.S. equities, as measured by the S&P 500, have also lost that level. The index is currently around 5,537 while the 200-day average is at 5,738.

According to Joe Carlasare, a commercial litigator supporting bitcoin, when the S&P 500 struggles to reclaim the 200-DMA, history suggests lower prices are in the offing.

«The S&P 500 continues to struggle to reclaim the 200 day,» he wrote on X. «If we can’t get a big rally above it soon, it makes sense to expect lower prices Look back historically what happens when we loose the 200 day.»

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21Shares to Liquidate Two Bitcoin and Ether Futures ETFs Amid Market Downturn

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Crypto asset manager 21Shares is set to liquidate two actively managed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tied to bitcoin and ether futures amid a wider market downturn.

The funds slated for liquidation are the ARK 21Shares Active On-Chain Bitcoin Strategy ETF (ARKC) and the ARK 21Shares Active Bitcoin Ethereum Strategy ETF (ARKY). Investors can trade shares until the market closes on March 27, with liquidation expected to take place “on or around March 28,” according to a press release.

The actively managed ETFs, which have an expense ratio of 1% and 0.93%, respectively, are set to be liquidated as U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs saw over $1.66 billion in outflows so far this month. The outflows come as cryptocurrency prices plunge. Bitcoin is down more than 12.8% year-to-date, while the broader CoinDesk 20 Index (CD20) has lost around 24% of its value over the same period.

Shareholders who hold onto their shares until the liquidation date will receive payouts equal to their portion of the fund’s net asset value, the document adds.
Read more: Bitcoin Price Drop to $80K: Crypto Market Analysis, ETF & Trump Impact

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Coinbase Stock Decline Can’t Stop Highly Leveraged Long ETF Rollouts

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Leverage Shares by Themes has launched a new exchange-traded fund (ETF) tied to the Nasdaq-listed cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) stock despite a downturn in the crypto-related shares.

The Leverage Shares 2X Long Coinbase Daily ETF (COIG) is designed to deliver twice the daily return of Coinbase’s stock price, offering traders an amplified exposure to the U.S.’s largest cryptocurrency exchange. The ETF, which carries an expense ratio of 0.75%, is listed on Nasdaq, according to a press release.

The launch comes amid a significant cryptocurrency market downturn that saw bitcoin (BTC) drop by around 19% over the last three months, from over $105,000 to now stand at wrought $84,000. COIN shares saw even worse performance, losing nearly 42% of their value during the same period.

The new ETF allows investors to take advantage of Coinbase’s stock performance volatility without directly holding shares.

These types of single-stock leveraged ETFs, for both longs and shorts sides, are typically used for short-term trading due to the high levels of risks associated with daily compounding. The profits and losses for both types of these are amplified when the prices of the underlying stocks move significantly.

Read more: Leveraged ETFs Tied to Strategy See Trading Volume Surge as Bitcoin-HODLer MSTR Teeters on 200-Day Average

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Gold ETFs Inflow Takes Over Bitcoin ETFs Amid Historic Rally

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Gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have overtaken bitcoin ETFs in assets under management as investors shift toward the traditional safe-haven asset as BTC price tumbled more than 19% over the past three months, while the precious metal climbed 12.5%.

Bitcoin ETFs, which saw significant inflows following their U.S. launch in January last year, have experienced major outflows, losing about $3.8 billion since Feb. 24 of this year, according to Farside Investors data. Meanwhile, gold ETFs recorded their highest monthly inflows since March 2022 last month, according to the World Gold Council.

These flows have meant that gold ETFs have now “reclaimed the asset crown over bitcoin ETFs,” as Bloomberg Senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas said on social media.

Spot bitcoin ETFs listed in the U.S. first surpassed gold ETFs in assets under management in December 2024 as the cryptocurrency market surged after Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. presidential elections.

Meanwhile, gold has been seeing a significant run. This Friday, it exceeded the $3,000 per ounce mark for the first time ever, with gold futures for April delivery breaking through the same level earlier in the week.

Market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty have been helping the price of the precious metal rise as demand for a safe haven continues to grow.
Read more: Gold’s Historic Rally Leaves Bitcoin Behind, But the Trend May Reverse

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