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Bitcoin Soars to Record High Above $106K, Then Retreats as Hawkish Fed Rate Cut Looms

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Bitcoin (BTC) surged to over $106,000 in early Asian hours, setting new all-time highs before quickly retreating to $104,500 amid concerns about the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut.

The U.S. central bank is expected to reduce the benchmark borrowing cost by 25 basis points to the 4.25% to 4.5% range, marking a total easing of 100 basis points since September. However, there are concerns that the accompanying Fed commentary will seek to temper expectations for further easing, potentially diminishing the bullish impact of the rate cut.

The Fed will announce its rate decision, the dot plot, comprising interest rate projections, and economic forecasts on Dec. 18 at 14:00 ET. A press conference by the Fed Chair Jerome Powell will occur a half hour later.

The previous dot plot released on Sept. 18 showed 2.5 points of rate cuts by the end of 2026, pushing the borrowing cost below 3%. Some observers believe the Fed will trim these forecasts on Wednesday.

«We suggest the risk of a ‘hawkish’ cut with less rate hikes next year than anticipated in September in the Summary of Economic Projections (dot plot), recognition that economy is stronger than it had expected previously, and inflation is on a bumpy path that allows the Fed to be patient,» Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex, said in Sunday’s edition of the newsletter.

If the projections reflect slower or fewer rate cuts, Treasury yields and the dollar will likely extend their recent run higher, potentially making it harder for risk assets, including BTC, to stay as strongly bid as they have been of late.

That said, seasonality is quite bullish for BTC, and with President-elect Trump sending positive regulatory vibes to crypto, a potential hawkish Fed may not have a long-lasting impact on the cryptocurrency.

Besides, the Fed rate cuts will still remain on the table alongside an expected easing from China, keeping BTC’s bull case intact.

«Yet, whilst lots of ink will be spilled on the pace of cuts going forward, little detracts from the supportive macro dynamic of a global central bank rate cutting cycle and rising global liquidity, set to be propelled by China,» founders of the newsletter service LondonCryptoClub said.

Later this week, markets will get the latest core PCE reading, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, which will reveal whether the recent upticks in consumer price inflation are a fluke or hints of a genuine inflation rebound.

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Solana (SOL) Surges 6% on Bullish Reversal and DeFi Activity Toward $180

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The cryptocurrency market continues to respond to broader economic factors as Solana demonstrates resilience amid global trade uncertainties. SOL’s price action formed a clear uptrend with higher lows and higher highs, breaking through key resistance levels with institutional-grade volume suggesting accumulation despite a brief 1.35% correction in recent hours. Meanwhile, analysts point to the $166.82 level as a crucial short-term pivot, with potential for significant upward movement if SOL can maintain momentum above $177 resistance.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • SOL climbed from a low of $159.69 to a high of $173.03, representing a significant range of $13.34 (8.35%).
  • Price action formed a clear uptrend with higher lows and higher highs, breaking through key resistance at $166.87.
  • Above-average volume was observed around the $167-$170 zone, indicating strong buyer interest.
  • Notable support established at $160.34, where buyers stepped in with conviction during early hours.
  • Final four hours showed accelerated momentum with volume spikes exceeding the 24-hour average, suggesting institutional accumulation.
  • A brief downward correction occurred in the last 60 minutes, falling from $172.19 to $169.87 (1.35% decline).
  • The $170.00 psychological level briefly acted as support before failing.
  • Final 30 minutes showed decreasing volatility and volume, potentially indicating exhaustion of selling pressure.

External References

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Circle Has Explored Potential $5B Sale to Coinbase or Ripple Instead of IPO: Report

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Stablecoin issuer Circle, which filed for an initial public offering (IPO) last month, has explored the alternative of a sale to crypto exchange Coinbase (COIN) or payments company Ripple, according to a Monday report by Fortune.

The New York-based issuer of USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, took part in informal talks over a potential sale from which it was seeking at least $5 billion, Fortune reported, citing people who asked not to be identified.

This figure would be line with the company’s valuation by investment banks JPMorgan and Citi, which Circle had hired to help with the IPO.

Coinbase holds a minority share in Circle, and the two companies share revenue from USDC’s reserve interest income. Ripple recently debuted its own stablecoin, RLUSD. An offer by Ripple to buy Circle was rejected, Bloomberg reported last month.

Circle said in an emailed statement that it «is not for sale,» and remains committed to going public, Fortune said. The company aborted a previous attempt at going public via a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC) merger in 2021.

Read More: Coinbase Shares Could See $16B of Buying Pressure From S&P 500 Index Inclusion: Bernstein

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RWA Platform TokenFi Is Tokenizing the Floki Minibot

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TokenFi, a sister project to Floki that focuses on real-world asset (RWA) tokenization, is set to tokenize the Floki Minibot M1 — an AI-powered robot built by Rice Robotics — marking what the team says is the first tokenization of a consumer AI robot.

The move coincides with the launch of TokenFi’s RWA tokenization module on May 23. A presale for the Minibot M1’s token will go live the same day, initially for users on a whitelist compiled by Rice AI and select Floki ecosystem participants.

The presale ties into broader plans to launch Rice AI’s RICE token and conduct an airdrop for Floki (FLOKI) and TokenFi (TOKEN) holders, according to the announcement. Further details are expected post-sale, the team told CoinDesk.

The Floki Minibot is a branded version of Rice Robotics’ compact delivery and companion robot, which operates autonomously and is built on the RICE AI system. Rice Robotics counts Nvidia, Softbank, Mitsui Fudosan and 7-Eleven Japan among its partners and clients.

«This is the first time in history that an AI robot will be tokenized,” TokenFi said in a statement to CoinDesk. “It’s a phenomenal moment for TokenFi, the RWA industry, and the AI robotics space.”

TokenFi aims to be a leading RWA infrastructure provider, allowing companies to tokenize real-world items — from assets to equity and now robotics — using blockchain rails.

Floki developers said earlier this year that they believe Rice Robotics is “well-positioned for growth” in the AI robotics sector, citing industry projections that peg the market at over $100 billion by 2030.

TOKEN has gained 19% in the past 24 hours, data from CoinGecko show, alongside a jump in major tokens. The CoinDesk 20 Index, a measure of the broader crypto market, has added 3%.

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