Uncategorized
Bitcoin Snaps Downtrend, Hits $105K as Anticipation Builds for Trump’s Inauguration

Bitcoin (BTC) hit its strongest price in U.S. dollar terms in 2025 on Friday and notched a new record against the British pound as excitement for a new era of crypto-friendly U.S. government mounts ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration next week.
BTC topped $105,000 during the U.S. session, surging 5.2% over the past 24 hours and leading the broad-market crypto benchmark CoinDesk 20 Index higher. Of the CoinDesk 20 constituents, only NEAR, and Litecoin’s LTC kept pace with bitcoin’s gains, while solana (SOL) and Ethereum’s ether (ETH) lagged with 3% advances. XRP posted a 4% decline, retreating from its record highs after a massive market-leading rally earlier this week.
Crypto-related stocks are also moving higher. MicroStrategy (MSTR), the largest corporate BTC holder, was up 7% during the day, while exchange giant Coinbase (COIN) advanced 4.5%. MARA Holdings led gains among major bitcoin miners, up 13%.
It’s quite the turnaround from earlier in the week, when a broad-market sell-off had bitcoin plunging below $90,0000, with fear mounting of a deeper pullback. BTC since, though, has bounced 17% first as investor anxiety over Wednesday’s U.S. CPI inflation report passed and then as focus turned to speculation about Donald Trump’s potential crypto actions following his inauguration on Jan. 20.
Overcoming last week’s local high of $102,000, BTC also broke out of its multi-week downtrend of lower highs to target its December record price, said Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy.
«Now $108,000 is near term target resistance,» he said in an X post. «Lots of reasons to be bullish.»
Strong bitcoin ETF flows
Spot bitcoin ETFs combined saw $1.381 billion net inflows in the past two days, reversing the four-day streak of outflows, per Farside Investors data. Ether spot ETFs attracted $166 million in inflows, their strongest day in more than a month.
With markets closed on Monday, today is the last trading session on traditional markets before Trump’s inauguration.
BlackRock’s Ishares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) booked almost $1 billion trading volume in little over the first hour of the session, posting the fourth-largest volume among all U.S. ETFs and surpassing Vanguard’s S&P 500 ETF (VOO) with almost ten times of assets under management, per Barchart data.
All eyes on Trump
The most important upcoming catalyst will be Trump’s inauguration ceremony on Monday, and crypto investors expect a sea change from the new president. Trump promised on the campaign trail to position the U.S. as a leader in the crypto space including creating a national stockpile of bitcoin, in stark contrast to past years’ regulatory crackdowns and enforcements.
Bloomberg reported Thursday that Trump plans an executive order to elevate digital assets to a «national priority» and create an advisory council of industry members for policy recommendations.
Odds of the U.S. establishing a bitcoin reserve rose sharply over the past days, with Polymarket traders putting a 38% probability on Trump making it happen during the first 100 days of his presidency.
“As we close out the final week of the Biden presidency, the technical picture remains very constructive for BTC,» John Glover, chief investment officer at crypto lender Ledn, said in an emailed note.
«The only thing that could cause a large corrective move lower is if Trump fails to act on his plans to loosen regulatory policy around digital assets and to start building up BTC treasury holdings,» he added. «Recent headlines indicate that he is serious in making this a priority in his first 100 days,”
Glover’s analysis using wave theory projects bitcoin to hit $128,000 in the coming months following its interim 5 wave pattern, completing its larger wave 3 in its uptrend. According to wave theory, market trends unfold in five waves, three of which represent the primary trend and the others constitute retracements.
Breaking above the record high of $108,000 is key, Glover said, and there remains a slim possibility of revisiting the recent lows at $90,000. This scenario, however, is becoming increasingly unlikely, he added.
Uncategorized
Archax Buys FINRA-Regulated Broker Dealer to Offer Tokenized Assets in the U.S.

Archax, a U.K.-regulated crypto exchange and custodian focusing on tokenized assets, has acquired a U.S. broker-dealer in an effort to enter the booming institutional market in the country after recent positive changes on the regulatory environment.
Globacap Private Markets Inc, a broker-dealer and alternative trading system (ATS) regulated by FINRA and the Securities and Exchanges Commission (SEC), is being bought by Archax and being renamed to Archax Markets US.
The new entity will serve as the company’s foothold on American soil and serve the institutions and professional investors in the country, two Archax executives told CoinDesk.
Asset tokenization is a fast-growing sector in crypto as global banks, asset managers and digital asset firms are increasingly using blockchain rails to move traditional financial instruments. They do so to achieve operational efficiencies and speedier,around-the-clock settlements.
Just in the past weeks, asset manager Fidelity Investments filed to launch a tokenized money market fund and is reportedly working on issuing a stablecoin.
Derivatives exchange CME Group started tokenization tests with Google Cloud with plans to launch new services next year, while the New York Stock Exchange’s parent company partnered with Circle to explore services built on USDC stablecoin and tokenized fund USYC.
Archax specializes in the issuance, custody, and trading of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs), including money market funds, corporate bonds, carbon credits and uranium. For example, Archax’s recently-issued tokenized Treasury fund on XRP Ledger with asset manager Abrdn saw $45 million in deposits to become a top 10 product by assets under management, rwa.xyz data shows.
Archax has been exploring entering the U.S. market over the past years, but stayed on the sideline due to regulatory uncertainty, Graham Rodford, CEO of Archax, said in an interview with CoinDesk.
«Under this new administration, which seems to be more crypto positive, we are getting more interest from the U.S. as well, which obviously we can’t easily serve from the UK, so it makes sense for us strategically to go there,» Rodford said.
Archax also plans to expand its offerings to tokenized U.S. equities and bonds, building on its existing partnerships across several blockchains including Ethereum, Polygon, Solana, Hedera Hashgraph and XRP Ledger.
The firm’s U.S. entrance follows the recent purchase of a Spanish brokerage firm to expand services to the European Union, pending regulatory approvals.
Uncategorized
Crypto Daybook Americas: PumpSwap Brings in the Cash as Trump Tariffs Hang Over Bitcoin

By James Van Straten (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)
With trade tensions escalating, Asian and European stocks extended last week’s declines. Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 4%, taking it into correction territory after dropping more than 10% from its record high and European indexes including the FTSE 100, DAX, and CAC 40 opened in the red alongside falling U.S. stock futures.
The backdrop is President Donald Trump’s new tariffs, set to be revealed to the world on April 2 in an event he has dubbed «Liberation Day.» The president plans to impose levies and tariffs on any country deemed to have an unfair trading relationship with the U.S.
«You’d start with all countries, so let’s see what happens,» Trump said, according to the Financial Times. His words suggest that while the tariffs may initially apply broadly, he is open to making concessions for some countries, the FT said.
On Friday, U.S. equities dropped after a hotter-than-expected reading in core PCE inflation, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. Market uncertainty may persist with the U.S. jobs report due Friday. Economists forecast the unemployment rate to rise to 4.2%, while nonfarm payrolls are projected at 128,000, down from 151,000 the previous month.
Gold is rallying on the back of this uncertainty, surging past $3,100 per ounce for the first time ever — up 1.2% on the day and nearly 20% year-to-date. Meanwhile, bitcoin (BTC) continues to struggle, hovering just above $80,000. It’s down more than 3% this month and 12% for the quarter, marking its worst performance since fourth-quarter 2022.
Then consider ether (ETH). The second-largest cryptocurrency has performed significantly worse than bitcoin this quarter, losing 46% in a slide that’s the worst since 2018. As a result, the ether-to-bitcoin ratio has dropped to 0.02195, marking its lowest level since May 2020. At that time, bitcoin was trading below $10,000, while ether hovered just above $200. Stay alert!
What to Watch
Crypto:
March 31: The dKargo (DKA) testnet will be going live
March 31: The Keeta (KTA) testnet will be going live.
March 31: PinLink (PIN), a RWA-tokenized DePIN platform, will launch on the Ethereum mainnet.
March 31: Terraform Labs, the firm behind the collapsed LUNA and UST tokens, will open the Crypto Loss Claims Portal. All claims must be submitted by 11:59 p.m. on April 30.
April 1: Metaplanet (3350) 10-for-1 stock split becomes effective.
April 1: ONINO (ONI) will have its mainnet launch.
April 2: XIONMarkets (XION) will have its mainnet launch.
April 5: The alleged birthday of Satoshi Nakamoto.
Macro
April 1, 4:30 a.m.: S&P Global releases (Final) U.K. March producer price index (PPI) data.
Manufacturing PPI Est. 44.6 vs. Prev. 46.9
April 1, 5:00 a.m.: Eurostat releases (Flash) eurozone March consumer price index (CPI) data.
Core Inflation Rate YoY Est. 2.5% vs. Prev. 2.6%
Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.4%
Inflation Rate YoY Est. 2.2% vs. Prev. 2.3%
Unemployment Rate Est. 6.2% vs. Prev. 6.2%
April 1, 9:00 a.m.: S&P Global releases Brazil March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Prev. 53
April 1, 9:30 a.m.: S&P Global releases Canada March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Prev. 47.8
April 1, 9:45 a.m.: S&P Global releases (Final) U.S. March purchasing managers’ index (PMI) data.
Manufacturing PMI Est. 49.8 vs. Prev. 52.7
April 1, 10:00 a.m.: The U.S. Department of Labor releases February JOLTs report (job openings, hires, and separations).
Job Openings Est. 7.68M vs. Prev. 7.74M
Job Quits Prev. 3.266M
April 1, 10:00 a.m.: The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) releases March U.S. manufacturing sector data.
ISM Manufacturing PMI Est. 50.3 vs. Prev. 50.3
April 2, 12:01 a.m.: The Trump administration’s reciprocal tariffs plan, announced Feb. 13, takes effect alongside a 25% tariff on imported automobiles and certain parts announced March 26.
Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
No earnings due.
Token Events
Governance votes & calls
Arbitrum DAO is voting on converting 15 million ARB into stablecoins to be managed via a “33/33/33 split among Karpatkey, Avantgarde & Myso, and Gauntlet.” It’s also voting on allocating 10 million ARB into “on-chain strategies designed to generate yield while safeguarding the principal.” Voting ends April 3.
Sky DAO is discussing increasing the Smart Burn Engine (SBE) rate after a recent executive proposal “resulted in substantial increase to net revenue.”
March 31: A vote on a burn of 50 million CRO tokens is set to end.
March 31: GMX to hold a Community Call including a Q&A session and the presentation of proposals by potential bridging & messaging partners for GMX multi chain.
Unlocks
April 1: Sui (SUI) to unlock 2.03% of its circulating supply worth $143.15 million.
April 1: ZetaChain (ZETA) to unlock 6.05% of its circulating supply worth $12.85 million.
April 2: Ethena (ENA) to unlock 0.77% of its circulating supply worth $14.07 million.
April 3: Wormhole (W) to unlock 47.64% of its circulating supply worth $112.67 million.
April 9: Movement (MOVE) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $20.23 million.
Token Listings
March 31: Kinto (K) to be listed on BingX, Gate.iom MEXC, Kraken, Hotcoin and others.
March 31: Binance to delist USDT, FDUSD, TUSD, USDP, DAI, AEUR, UST, USTC, and PAXG.
Conferences
CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.
April 2-3: Southeast Asia Blockchain Week 2025 Main Conference (Bangkok)
April 2-5: ETH Bucharest Conference & Hackathon (Romania)
April 3-6: BitBlockBoom (Dallas)
April 6-9: Hong Kong Web3 Festival
April 8-10: Paris Blockchain Week
April 10: Bitcoin Educators Unconference (Nashville)
April 15-16: BUIDL Asia 2025 (Seoul)
Token Talk
By Francisco Rodrigues
Token launchpad Pump.fun’s trading platform PumpSwap, which allows tokens to be traded on its own platform rather than on decentralized exchange Raydium, has traded a cumulative $2.6 billion since its March 20 debut, Dune data shows.
That makes it the Solana ecosystem’s No. 1 protocol in collected fees over the last 24 hours, bringing in $3.29 million, far above the runner-up, DEX aggregator Jupiter, with $2.47 million.
PumpSwap, Dune’s data shows, has had a total of 710,000 traders on the platform and more than 32.39 million swaps since its introduction, giving it a significant share of the Solana DEX ecosystem.
Yet the protocol faces headwinds with the slowdown of the Solana ecosystem’s activity as the memecoin trading frenzy cools. Artemis data shows daily active addresses on Solana for the year dropped from an 8.1 million peak to 4.2 million on March 29.
Derivatives Positioning
The total open interest on all instruments dropped to $101.3 billion, according to data from Laevitas, continuing its downward trend from last week.
The decline suggests a more cautious stance from market participants as they brace for a volatile week that includes the end of the quarter, anticipated announcements on tariffs from President Trump and the March jobs report on Friday.
In the past 24 hours, total liquidations amounted to $229.3 million, with long positions accounting for 79% of the total. Looking at the BTC/USDT liquidation heatmap on Binance, the largest immediate liquidation cluster lies at $81,200, totaling $27.5 million.
The next key clusters are located at $83,100 and $83,600, with liquidations totaling $25.5 million and $24.7 million, respectively. Both levels align closely with the CME gap created over the weekend.
Among tokens with more than $100 million in open interest, the biggest 24-hour increases were seen in EOS (+13.4%), PEPE (+8.99%), TON (+4.85%), and HYPE (+2.55%). The assets with the largest declines in open interest over the last 24 hours include SUI, TAO and NEAR, falling 10.8%, 8.53% and 7.89%, respectively.
Market Movements:
BTC is down 2.98% from 4 p.m. ET Friday at $81,535.28 (24hrs: -1.27%)
ETH is down 4.96% at $1,792.22 (24hrs: -1.3%)
CoinDesk 20 is down 4.98% at 2,447.78 (24hrs: -3.36%)
Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 7 bps at 2.93%
BTC funding rate is at 0.0114% (4.1709% annualized) on Binance
DXY is unchanged at 104.10
Gold is up 1.3% at $3,126.50/oz
Silver is up 0.95% at $34.97/oz
Nikkei 225 closed -4.05% at 35,617.56
Hang Seng closed -1.31% at 23,119.58
FTSE is down 0.92% at 8,579.15
Euro Stoxx 50 is down 1.22% at 5,266.50
DJIA closed on Friday -1.69% at 41,583.90
S&P 500 closed -1.97% at 55,80.94
Nasdaq closed -2.7% at 17,322.99
S&P/TSX Composite Index closed -1.6% at 24,759.20
S&P 40 Latin America closed -1.52% at 2,429.43
U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is down 1 bps at 4.2%
E-mini S&P 500 futures are down 0.97% at 5,568.25
E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are down 1.39% at 19,187.50
E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are down 0.63% at 41,588.00
Bitcoin Stats:
BTC Dominance: 62.36 (0.24%)
Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.02196 (0.09%)
Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 835 EH/s
Hashprice (spot): $45.7
Total Fees: 6.8 BTC / $589,342
CME Futures Open Interest: 142,520 BTC
BTC priced in gold: 26.3 oz
BTC vs gold market cap: 7.45%
Technical Analysis
XRP, one of the year’s better-performing major altcoins, is again nearing a critical support zone between $1.95 and $2.05.
This region has consistently acted as a strong demand area, with buyers stepping in multiple times over the past four months.
Adding to its significance, the zone aligns with the 2021 all-time high and is now further supported by the daily 200 exponential moving average, which is also gradually converging toward this level.
Acceptance below this key level is likely to result in a larger expansion to the downside, given the loss of a key level that has reliably held as support for several months.
Crypto Equities
Strategy (MSTR): closed on Friday at $289.41 (-10.84%), down 3.49% at $279.38 in pre-market
Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $173.93 (-7.77%), down 3.2% at $168.37
Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at C$16.45 (-5.68%)
MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $12.47 (-8.58%), down 3.69% at $12.01
Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $7.41 (-4.63%), down 2.97% at $7.19
Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $7.48 (+3.28%), down 3.74% at $7.20
CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $7.19 (-8.29%), down 3.62% at $6.93
CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $13.13 (-6.48%), down 2.51% at $12.80
Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $36.86 (-0.16%), down 5.83% at $34.71
Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $47.84 (-8.49%), unchanged in pre-market
ETF Flows
Spot BTC ETFs:
Daily net flow: -$93.2 million
Cumulative net flows: $36.33 billion
Total BTC holdings ~ 1,121 million.
Spot ETH ETFs
Daily net flow: $4.7 million
Cumulative net flows: $2.42 billion
Total ETH holdings ~ 3.409 million.
Source: Farside Investors
Overnight Flows
Chart of the Day
Both bitcoin and ether are on track to post their steepest quarterly slides since second-quarter 2022.
While You Were Sleeping
Japan Mulls Reclassifying Crypto as a ‘Financial Product’ to Curb Insider Trading: Report (CoinDesk): Japan’s Financial Services Agency (FSA) is reportedly planning to submit amendments to the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act to the parliament as early as 2026.
‘No DOGE in D.O.G.E.’, Says Dogecoin Proponent Elon Musk (CoinDesk): Speaking at an America PAC town hall in Wisconsin on Sunday, Musk said there were no plans to use memecoin dogecoin (DOGE) for government operations.
Bitcoin Nears $81K; XRP, ADA Slide as Traders Brace for Tariff War Escalation (CoinDesk): Bitcoin hovered above $81,500 as major cryptocurrencies lost steam; XRP and ADA fell 5%, while SOL, DOGE and ETH dropped 2%-3%.
China’s Big State Banks to Get $71.6 Billion Capital Injection (The Wall Street Journal): The Finance Ministry will directly buy nearly 500 billion yuan ($71.6 billion) in new shares to boost lending amid falling margins and bad loans.
Germany’s Spending Push Drives Up Borrowing Costs Across Eurozone (Financial Times): Higher government bond yields across the euro area are raising debt concerns for countries like France and Italy, despite steady spreads and a firmer euro reflecting lingering investor optimism.
Greenland’s Prime Minister Says the U.S. Will Not ‘Get’ the Island (The New York Times): In a Facebook post on Sunday, Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen rejected President Trump’s Saturday claim in an NBC interview that the U.S. will “get” Greenland.
In the Ether
Uncategorized
Australia Warns Crypto ATM Providers on Missing Anti-Money Laundering Checks

AUSTRAC, Australia’s anti-money laundering watchdog, put crypto ATM providers on notice for not complying with required standards.
«AUSTRAC’s cryptocurrency taskforce has found that some crypto ATM providers may not have the right anti-money laundering and counter-terrorism (AML/CTF) checks in place,» the financial intelligence agency said in a release on Monday.
Crypto ATM providers need to register with the regulator, monitor transactions and complete know your customer checks to comply with the country’s Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorism Financing (AML/CTF) Act 2006.
Australia has the highest numbers of crypto ATMs in the Asia Pacific region, and the number is growing. The nation has some 1,600 in use, up from just 23 in 2019, AUSTRAC said.
A task force set up in December «identified worrying trends and indicators of suspicious activity, including transactions that may be linked to scams or fraud,” CEO Brendan Thomas said.
The watchdog has been following in the footsteps of U.K. regulators in trying to clamp down on illegal crypto ATM activity. In the U.K. only approved crypto ATMS can operate, and none have been. The Financial Conduct Authority last month secured a four year sentence against Olumide Osunkoya, 46, for illegally operating a crypto ATM network.
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