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Bitcoin ‘Skew’ Slides as Oil Prices Surge 6% on Israel-Iran Tensions

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Bitcoin’s BTC hort-term options skew crashed during the early Asian hours as traders sought downside protection amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, which triggered a sharp rise in oil prices

The seven-day skew, which measures the relative richness of Deribit-listed BTC calls to puts, slid to -3.84%, the lowest since April 16, according to data source Amberdata. In other words, put options offering downside protection became the most expensive relative to calls in three months. The demand for put also pushed the 30-day and 60-day skews into the negative territory.

Traders typically buy put options when seeking to hedge their long positions in the spot or futures market, or to profit from an expected price decline.

Bitcoin’s price fell to its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $103,150, extending 24-hour losses to 4.59%, according to CoinDesk data. Prices briefly topped the $110,000 mark early this week. The bulls might be hoping for the 50-day SMA to hold, as a potential decline below it could entice more sellers, as observed after the support broke down in February.

BTC's 7-day options skew. (Deribit/Amberdata)

The per-barrel price of WTI crude surged over 6% to $74.30 per barrel, reaching the highest since Feb 3, and extending the weekly gain to 13%, according to data source TradingView. The move happened after Israel conducted airstrikes on Iran, supposedly drawing retaliatory missile action from Tehran.

Inflationary impulse

Sudden oil price spikes tend to generate an inflationary impulse worldwide and the latest one could do so while President Donald Trump’s trade war threatens to upend the economy and inject inflation, particularly in net-importer countries.

All of this could dent expectations for Fed rate cuts, adding to downside volatility in stocks and cryptocurrencies. As of writing, futures tied to the S&P 500 traded 1.5% lower on the day.

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Coinbase Outpaces S&P 500 With 43% June Rise as Stablecoin Narrative Grows: CNBC

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Shares of Nasdaq-listed cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase (COIN) rose 43% this month, making the firm the top performer in the S&P 500 since it joined the index at the end of last month.

June’s run is already the stock’s best since November and caps three straight monthly gains. Coinbase’s shares reached their highest level since their public debut.

COIN hit a $382 high this week before enduring a slight correction, ending the week at $353 and seeing a slight 0.7% drop in after-hours trading to $351.

The wider S&P 500 index rose roughly 5% in June as geopolitical tensions eased.

Washington’s progress on the GENIUS Act, Congress’s first rulebook for dollar-pegged stablecoins, helped shift investor focus from trading fees to stablecoin revenue.

The bill brightened the outlook for Circle, whose shares hit a record high and saw its market cap near that of Coinbase this week.

Coinbase keeps all yield on USDC balances held on its platform and nearly half of other USDC income, equal to about 99 percent of Circle’s revenue, giving shareholders indirect exposure at no added cost, CNBC reported Friday, citing analysts including Citizens’ head of financial technology research Devin Ryan.

Trading, however, remains subdued. Average daily volume on Coinbase has drifted lower since April.

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Robinhood Launches Micro Bitcoin, Solana and XRP Futures Contracts

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Robinhood (HOOD) has introduced micro futures on bitcoin (BTC), solana (SOL) and XRP in the United States., expanding its existing crypto futures offering for its nearly 26 million funded accounts.

Micro contracts need far less collateral than full-size futures, letting traders take directional positions while committing a smaller slice of capital.

The contracts offer traders more flexibility to bet on a cryptocurrency’s future price direction or hedge current positions given their smaller size.

The launch rounds out a futures suite that began with BTC and ETH in January. It also comes weeks after the firm closed its $200 million purchase of Bitstamp and finalized a $179 million deal for Canada’s WonderFi.

Robinhood’s data shows that crypto notional volumes have exploded upward over time, reaching $11.7 billion in May. The figure marks a 36% rise month-over-month, and a 65% growth year-over-year.

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Why is XRP Up Today? Trio of Catalysts Sees Token Outperform Wider Crypto Market

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XRP climbed 5.5% to $2.19 in the last 24 hours after a trio of catalysts converged to help the cryptocurrency outperform the wider cryptocurrency market.

One of the catalysts was launch of XRP micro futures on Robinhood. The contracts offer traders more flexibility to bet on the cryptocurrency’s future price direction or hedge current positions given their smaller size.

Regulatory fog also thinned. On Friday, Ripple withdrew its cross-appeal in its long-running U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) lawsuit. The SEC sued Ripple back in 2020 over its XRP sales, alleging these violated securities laws. The SEC is expected to drop its own appeal, leaving last year’s ruling, ordering Ripple to pay a $125 million civil penalty to the SEC, intact. The move could lift a lid that had kept some investors on the sidelines.

On-chain data rounded out the bullish setup. The XRP Ledger logged over a 1.1 million active addresses over the past week according to crypto analyst Ali Martinez, who cited Glassnode data.

XRP’s rise saw it outperform the wider crypto market, with the broader CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index rising 1.7% in the last 24 hours.

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