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Bitcoin Resilience Suggests Bullish Outlook as Dollar Weakens, Stagflation Looms — Grayscale

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Bitcoin investors may not exactly feel it, but BTC has been a relatively good bet since President Trump’s tariff plans last week resulted in historic losses in traditional markets. While stocks and other mainstream investments have been falling off a cliff since the “Liberation Day” announcement April 2, bitcoin has remained relatively steady losing “only” 8% of its value.

“I think this is the most bullish 8% drawdown I’ve ever seen in bitcoin,” said Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, a leading crypto investment manager.

Based on historical data, you would expect bitcoin to have three times the volatility of the Nasdaq, Pandl said. And yet while the Nasdaq was down 15% at the beginning of trading April 8 (compared to April 2), bitcoin was nowhere near 45% down.

In other words, an 8% decline is a positive as historical patterns predicted a far steeper tumble.

“I think crypto investors should be extremely pleased with the modest pullback in bitcoin,” Pandl, a former analyst at Goldman Sachs, told CoinDesk.

“It reflects that tariffs — while they are a short term risk-off event for markets — are probably to be something that’s supportive for bitcoin adoption in the longer run. I think the relatively moderate drawdown reflects that,” he added.

Pandl is bullish on bitcoin in an environment where the dollar is potentially losing its place as a global reserve currency.

“Stagflation is going to be negative for stocks and bonds, and, historically, that has been positive for scarce commodities. Investors who are concerned by stagflation are looking for alternative assets that can drive returns. In traditional markets that might be gold or copper, and bitcoin,” he said.

Pandl says bitcoin’s relatively good performance reflects a rotation away from large-cap tech stocks towards commodity assets like bitcoin. You can see this in the performance of bitcoin against Roundhill “Magnificent 7 ETF.” You can now buy more of that ETF with one bitcoin compared to a week ago.

To those who subscribe to Bitcoin’s long-term investment thesis as a safe haven in uncertain times, the last few days have been a test case where bitcoin is winning. In theory, say these advocates, bitcoin should benefit as investors seek alternatives to dollars in times of stress.

“If you believe that the erosion of the dollar’s position is part of the bitcoin thesis, then your conviction in that thesis in the last week should have gone up,” Pandl says.

He expects bitcoin’s price to rise in the medium-term, reaching new all-time-highs this year.

“The price of bitcoin is down but conviction is up and there’s no need to change the medium term price outlook,” he said.

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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Gains 4.2%, Leading Index Higher

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CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.

The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2468.7, up 1.2% (+29.84) since 4 p.m. ET on Wednesday.

Eighteen of 20 assets are trading higher.

Leaders: BCH (+4.2%) and NEAR (+3.7%).

Laggards: APT (-1.4%) and FIL (-1.1%).

The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.

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Stellar Sees $3B of Real World Assets Coming On-Chain in 2025

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Stellar, a superfast and low fee-public blockchain, says it plans to hold $3 billion in real-world asset (RWA) value and power $110 billion in RWA volume by the end of 2025.

The goal set by the Stellar Development Foundation (SDF), the nonprofit that supports the development and growth of the Stellar network, is building on existing partnerships with the likes of Franklin Templeton and Wisdom Tree.

In addition, Stellar is welcoming a new round of tokenization specialists such as Paxos, Ondo, Etherfuse and SG Forge, the blockchain innovation division of French bank Société Générale.

“We have a goal of powering $3 billion in real-world asset value on Stellar in 2025,” Lauren Thorbjornsen, VP and chief of staff at Stellar Development Foundation, said in an interview. “That would be more than a 10x increase from the $290 million in RWA we had in Stellar at the end of December 2024. But already we see a lot of growth happening on the network, just in the first quarter of this year.”

Tokenizing a range of existing financial assets has become all the rage among traditional finance firms over the past year or so, with major companies including BlackRock entering the space.

Stellar, established in 2014 by former Ripple CTO Jed McCaleb, is designed to facilitate fast and low-cost cross-border transactions between any pair of currencies or assets.

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EigenLayer Adds Key ‘Slashing’ Feature, Completing Original Vision

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Almost one year to the day after Ethereum protocol EigenLayer launched its “restaking” network to unprecedented industry fanfare, the network is finally adding a core feature that was, until now, glaringly absent: “slashing.”

Eigen Labs hopes slashing — EigenLayer’s system for keeping “restakers” honest by revoking collateral if they act maliciously — will finally realize the year-old protocol’s original pitch.

“We are happy to say now that the whole promise has been delivered,” said EigenLayer founder Sreeram Kannan.

EigenLayer became one of the buzziest protocols in Ethereum history when it introduced investors to the concept of restaking, an evolution of “proof-of-stake” on Ethereum.

Ethereum’s «proof-of-stake» system lets users «stake» ether (ETH) collateral with the chain to help run and secure it in exchange for interest. EigenLayer lets users stake ETH on Ethereum and then restake it again with other protocols for even more interest.

Despite launching its main network last year, slashing, a primary component of EigenLayer’s shared security technology, was missing until Thursday. This led to criticism that EigenLayer’s ambitious pitch didn’t match its technical reality.

Today, EigenLayer boasts more than $7 billion in restaked assets, making it one of the largest decentralized finance (DeFi) apps. It also supports an ecosystem of 39 actively validated services (AVSs) that use its security model.

The new slashing system will roll out on Thursday, but AVS teams will need to opt-in, meaning it may take some time before slashing is live in any applications. Eigen Labs announced April 17 as the launch date for slashing earlier this month.

Redesigning for Safety

EigenLayer users restake ether (ETH) and other tokens through third-party “operators” — infrastructure providers who delegate their pooled EigenLayer deposits across different AVSs.

Operators that delegate stake to an AVS help run it in exchange for rewards: the more they stake, the higher the rewards.

In theory, slashing ensures these operators are running AVSs correctly. If operators “are proven to be malicious according to an on-chain Ethereum contract, then they may lose their stake or a portion of their stake,” explained Kannan.

When slashing goes live on Thursday, AVSs will have the option to set slashing conditions and begin penalizing bad actors.

“Other than Ethereum and Cosmos, most proof-of-stake systems, including Solana, are running live without any slashing,” said Kannan. “Even though it is the core accountability mechanism, it’s not like every proof of stake system already has this—that’s not true. That’s what we’re building.”

As for why EigenLayer received so much blowback compared to other incomplete proof-of-stake systems: “We’ve talked a lot about slashing, so we are held to that bar,” said Kannan.

Removing leverage

EigenLayer’s slashing system was redesigned last year to address fears that the protocol introduced an unsafe form of leverage to the Ethereum ecosystem.

“I think we completely cured that problem with this redesign,” said Kannan.

The entire idea behind EigenLayer is to allow new protocols to immediately tap into a large security pool — the total pool of restaked assets.

In proof-of-stake systems, the amount of assets staked with a protocol roughly corresponds to how secure it is. In general, attacking a protocol like Ethereum requires controlling half or more of the assets staked, which can run into billions of dollars.

EigenLayer’s pooling model has led to fears that a poorly built slashing system could expose the entire protocol to new risks, where a single bad actor on one AVS could harm every operator.

The version of EigenLayer going live Thursday, which has been tested on Ethereum’s developer networks since December, was designed so operators can limit their exposure to a given AVS, meaning bad actors on one won’t necessarily impact another.

“You have unique attributability of stake to a particular AVS,” explained Kannan. “As an AVS, I know I have, like, 10 million of ‘slashable’ stake that is not double counted — so there is no leverage.”

Additionally, the system has been configured so that “even if my AVS has a small amount of slashable stake, it is still protected in some sense, by the large amount of capital,” said Kannan, since there are still systems in place to ensure the cost of attacking a system increases with the total value of the pool of restaked assets.

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