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Bitcoin Pulls Back to $107K, but NYDIG Analysis Suggests Market Far From Overheated

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Wednesday morning U.S. hours saw a modest acceleration in crypto’s pullback from the recent big move higher, with bitcoin BTC stumbling nearly 2% to just above the $107,000 level.

Altcoins fared worse, with XRP XRP, solana SOL and dogecoin DOGE among those sporting declines in the 3%-5% range.

Among crypto-related stocks, the bitcoin miners were hardest hit, with MARA Holdings (MARA), Riot Platforms (RIOT) and Hut 8 (HUT) each lower by nearly 10%.

Bitcoin treasury companies were also showing sizable losses, led by GameStop (GME), down 11% after announcing the purchase of just over 4,710 bitcoin (or about $500 million at the current price) — to some a rather underwhelming amount considering the company raised $1.3 billion for bitcoin acquisition several weeks ago.

Cycle over?

Bitcoin’s roughly 50% rally from the post-early April bottom to a new record high of $112,000 last week has more than a few market participants suggesting 2021-like signs of froth.

Not so fast, said the research team at NYDIG.

First off, they note, bitcoin has rallied about 7X from the November 2022 low in the $15,000 area — a nice move for sure, but far behind peak-to-trough moves of 452X in 2013, 112X in 2017 and 20X in 2021. While bitcoin is a far more mature asset today than in the past and even a 20X move might seem a bit steep, the numbers still suggest a decent amount of further upside.

The team also looked at Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV), which compares the current total market cap of all bitcoins to their aggregated value based on the last time each coin moved. It’s current at 2.4X, far below prior peaks, including 2021’s top of 4.0X.

«While these are all just rough benchmarks, they suggest there’s still meaningful upside potential for bitcoin,» concluded NYDIG.

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Bitcoin Rebounds Above $104,300 as Tariff Chaos Triggers Nearly $1B in Liquidations

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Global economic tensions and trade policy uncertainties continue to influence cryptocurrency markets as Bitcoin recovers from a recent correction.

Despite the pullback, institutional interest remains strong with firms like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and GameStop adding BTC to their corporate treasuries.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • The 24-hour period shows a clear bottoming pattern with strong volume support emerging around the $103,200-$103,400 zone, where buyers consistently stepped in, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.
  • The subsequent recovery phase gained momentum after breaking above the $104,000 resistance level, with increasing volume confirming buyer conviction.
  • This technical structure suggests the correction has likely completed, with the price now establishing a new support base for potential continuation of the broader uptrend.
  • In the last hour, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery pattern, climbing from $104,146 to $104,303, with significant bullish momentum emerging at 14:01.
  • Price surged from $104,188 to $104,323 on substantially higher volume (429 BTC traded).
  • The price action formed a clear consolidation range between $104,077 and $104,263 before the breakout, with key support established around $104,080-$104,090.

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Bitcoin Cash Rebounds 6.4% as Bulls Defend Key Support Zone

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The cryptocurrency market is navigating choppy waters amid escalating geopolitical tensions, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) showing resilience despite broader market pressure.

BCH recently demonstrated strong technical performance, forming a V-shaped recovery after testing critical support at $391.656, with substantial buying volume establishing a high-volume support level.

This comes as the global cryptocurrency market faces headwinds from the ongoing US-China trade disputes, which continue to introduce uncertainty across financial markets worldwide.

Meanwhile, traditional financial indicators like rising US Treasury yields signal systemic stress that historically creates mixed environments for risk assets like cryptocurrencies.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • BCH tested critical support at $391.656, triggering substantial buying volume particularly during the 01:00-04:00 timeframe.
  • A powerful breakout occurred during the 13:00 hour, with BCH surging to $416.958 on the highest hourly volume (28,068 units).
  • Price established a new resistance-turned-support level at $409.800, with momentum indicators suggesting potential for continued upside.
  • A bull flag pattern formed after the initial impulse move, with decreasing volume during consolidation suggesting potential continuation.
  • The $413.000-$413.500 zone represents a key support level that bulls need to defend to maintain upward momentum.

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Crypto’s Most Watched Whale Gets Fully Liquidated After Placing Billions in Risky Bets

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James Wynn, the trader whose risky moves on Hyperliquid captivated crypto watchers this month, has been fully liquidated.

He ended a volatile month with just $23 left in his account, according to HyperDash data.

Wynn built his reputation and following by placing massive, leveraged on-chain trades across bitcoin BTC, PEPE PEPE, and other tokens.

His downfall began with a $1.25 billion long position on BTC that unraveled as prices dropped below $105,000 amid growing geopolitical uncertainty. That trade alone cost him more than $37 million after fees.

The trader briefly pivoted to memecoins like PEPE, where one long position initially gained over 10%, before market swings liquidated him again.

Over the course of the month, Wynn cycled through assets including ETH, SUI, TRUMP, and even FARTCOIN. His trades at one point saw him achieve an unrealized gain of $85 million.

An account associated with Wynn on X commented on the liquidation and dismissed the losses. “I’ll run it back, I always do. And I’ll enjoy doing it. I like playing the game,” the account wrote on X. “I took a large and calculated bet at making billions.”

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