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Bitcoin Options Market Now Big Enough to Move Spot Prices, FalconX Says

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The Bitcoin (BTC) options market has grown so large and so structurally diverse that it is now influencing the price of bitcoin itself, according to a report by trading firm FalconX.

Open interest in BTC options has swelled to nearly $80 billion, up from around $8 billion at the start of the year, putting it on par with bitcoin’s long-established futures market. That level of growth marks a shift in how traders express views and manage risk in crypto.

Options activity, once a secondary signal, now functions as a key input for market participants trying to read or anticipate moves in the underlying asset, FalconX said. Unlike spot trades, which show where prices are now, options reveal how investors are positioning around future moves.

Two vehicles are driving the trend, according to the trading firm: options exchange Deribit and options BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which trade on the Nasdaq. Deribit remains the go-to for crypto-native traders, with short-dated options and round-the-clock risk management. IBIT, meanwhile, has quickly become a heavyweight in institutional flow, even matching Deribit’s open interest within its first year. Its options are typically longer-dated and more call-heavy, aligned with hedging strategies, structured products and yield-enhancing overlays used in traditional finance.

The diverging profiles hint at who is trading and why. A hedge fund chasing volatility may lean into Deribit’s weekly cadence. A pension fund or asset manager, on the other hand, might be using IBIT to buy long-term upside exposure with limited downside.

Put/call ratios reinforce the split. Deribit’s ratio sits around 0.5–0.6, indicating a balance between puts and calls. On IBIT, it has hovered around 0.3, reflecting a tilt toward bullish strategies and structured positioning, according to FalconX.

Implied volatility, another core metric, has also trended lower throughout 2025, the report found. On the surface, that might suggest complacency. But the spread between implied and realized volatility remains intact, meaning option sellers are still earning typical premiums and the market isn’t mispricing risk. This dynamic has made short-vol strategies attractive, but it may not last. A spike in realized volatility, triggered by a macro shock or regulatory change, could flip that setup quickly.

The divergence in volatility between bitcoin and ether (ETH) adds another layer. While both assets used to move in sync, ETH implied volatility has stayed firmer, supported by staking and DeFi-related flows. BTC, by contrast, has seen steady supply from miners and other large holders selling options to generate income, pushing its implied volatility lower.

FalconX’s report concludes that crypto options are no longer a niche. Their size, participant mix and strategic use now make them a vital signal for anyone trying to understand or anticipate market moves. Traders, allocators and risk managers increasingly watch two dashboards: Deribit for short-term, event-driven risk, and IBIT for longer-term institutional positioning.

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Trump Tariff Threat on China Sends Bitcoin Tumbling Below $119K

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It’s deja vu all over again for bitcoin bulls as Monday’s rally to an all-time high triggered not FOMO, but instead fast retreat. That retreat sped up in a big way in late-morning U.S. action on Friday after trade war tensions between the U.S. and China ratcheted higher.

U.S. President Donald Trump said in a Truth Social post minutes ago that he’s preparing a «massive increase» in tariffs on Chinese goods in response to China earlier imposing export controls on rare earth metals.

Following the post, bitcoin (BTC) plunged below $119,000 from $122,000. Ether (ETH), solana (SOL) and XRP each joined in the swift decline.

The drop in crypto prices also weighed on stocks tied to the sector. Circle (CRCL) fell over 6%. Robinhood (HOOD), which gets a large portion of its trading activity from crypto, declined 5%.

Coinbase (COIN) also shed 5%, while MicroStrategy (MSTR) slipped about 3%.

The news rippled across traditional markets, too. WTI crude oil dropped nearly 4% below $60, its weakest price since early May. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were 1.6% and 1.3% lower, respectively.

Gold? It rallied more than 1% to back over $4,000 per ounce as the yellow metal once again showed itself, not bitcoin, to be the risk-off asset of choice for investors.

At the current $118,800, bitcoin is lower by about 2% over the past 24 hours and about 6% since hitting a new record above $126,000 just four days ago.

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Trump-Linked Firm Looks to Bitcoin Programmability to Build BTC Treasury, ETF Platform

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A subsidiary of Dominari Holdings (DOMH), the investment firm with ties to President Donald Trump’s sons, Eric and Donald Jr., is teaming up with Bitcoin programmability project Hemi to progress its digital asset treasury and exchange-traded fund (ETF) plans.

Broker-dealer Dominari Securities and Hemi, which is backed by veteran Bitcoin developer Jeff Garzik, teamed up to develop a digital asset treasury and ETF platform, according to an emailed announcement on Friday.

Dominari Holdings is located in the Trump Tower in New York City and counts Eric and Donald Trump Jr. among its investors. They also sit on its board of advisors. In March, the company took a different twist on the method of adopting bitcoin (BTC) as a treasury asset, by committing $2 billion to buy shares in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest spot bitcoin ETF on the market.

The joint venture between Dominari and Hemi will allow institutions to invest in BTC-centric markets via the HEMI token.

As part of the joint venture American Ventures LLC, of which Dominari is a member, made an undisclosed investment in the Hemispheres Foundation, the principal stewards of the Hemi project.

Hemi’s goal is to transform the possibilities for decentralized finance (DeFi) on Bitcoin by unifying it with Ethereum into a single «supernetwork». It raised $15 million in funding to expand its ecosystem in August.

Alongside competitors like Lombard, with liquid staking token LBTC, and BOB, a hybrid chain built atop Bitcoin and Ethereum, Hemi is building infrastructure to make Bitcoin more compatible with DeFi, thus harnessing its $2.4 trillion market cap for the betterment of the wider digital asset industry.

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Hyped Token Launches Fall Flat as TGE Loses Mojo Ahead of Airdrop Season

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Several recent token launches have seen dramatic drawdowns, bringing to token generation event (TGE) meta into question ahead a number of high profile airdrops.

CAMP, the native token of an AI-focused layer 1 blockchain, is now down by 88% since it was introduced last month, while DoubleZero’s 2Z has lost 60% of its value in just eight days.

There were also notable losses for Anoma’s XAN, down by 60% in a week. XPL, arguably one of the most hyped projects of the year, slumped below its TGE price on Friday amid a wave of negative sentiment around alleged founding team token sale, a claim the company’s founder refuted.

The price action is a stark contrast to last year when projects like HYPE debuted at $6.00 and rose by 400% in the subsequent month.

Why are new tokens failing to impress?

There are several catalysts behind the abject performance of newly-launched tokens; one of which is simply over-farming the hype pre-launch, this means that when a token eventually comes out, users are generally happy to get a return on their investment as opposed to doubling down.

Another reason is tokenomics, XPL’s plight has been attributed to $813 million worth of «ecosystem and growth» tokens that were allegedly sold via market makers, causing pressure on the price and outweighing retail investor demand.

Airdrop season doomed to fail?

Over the coming months crypto users are due to receive airdrops from MetaMask, OpenSea and Monad.

These projects are massive in their respective fields; MetaMask is the most commonly used crypto wallet used by millions, while OpenSea transitioned from being the largest non-fungible token (NFT) exchange to becoming an onchain trading platform, and Monad is a hyped layer 1 blockchain that will airdrop its token next week.

But if 2025’s new token performance is to repeat itself, these respective juggernauts might struggle to maintain a healthy level of demand that outweighs supply, especially in the case of a project like OpenSea where users who spent hundreds of thousands of dollars in fees in 2021 are waiting for a slither back before presumably cashing out.

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