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Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have 163K More BTC to Sell, History Indicates: Van Straten

Bitcoin (BTC) has dropped 7.6% since it almost — but not quite — touched the psychological wall of $100,000 on Nov. 22.
That’s the biggest drop since Donald Trump won the U.S. presidential election, sparking a rally that sent the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization soaring from a level of around $66,000 through its record high.
Even so, the slide isn’t out of the ordinary. In bull markets bitcoin typically tumbles as much as 20% or even 30%, so-called corrections that tend to flush out leverage in an overheated market.
A large part of the reason the bitcoin price didn’t get to $100,000 was the amount of profit-taking that took place. A record dollar value of $10.5 billion of profit-taking took place on Nov. 21, according to Glassnode data, the biggest day of profit-taking ever witnessed in bitcoin.
At the root of the action are the long-term holders (LTH), a group Glassnode defines as having held their bitcoin for more than 155 days. These investors are considered «smart money» because they tend to buy when the BTC price is depressed and sell in times of greed or euphoria.
From September to November 2024, these investors have sold 549,119 BTC, or about 3.85% of their holdings. Their sales, which started in October and have accelerated since, even outweighed buying from the likes of MicroStrategy (MSTR) and the U.S. spot-listed exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
How long is this selling pressure going to last?
What’s noticeable from patterns in previous bull markets in 2017, 2021 and early 2024, is that the percentage drop gets smaller each cycle.
In 2017, the percentage drop was 25.3%, in 2021 it reached 13.4% and earlier this year it was 6.51%. It’s currently 3.85%. If this rate of decline were to continue, that would see another 1.19% drop or 163,031 BTC, which would take the cohort’s supply to 13.54 million BTC.
Each time, the long-term investors’ supply makes higher lows and higher highs, so this would also be in line with the trend.
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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: AVAX Falls 2.1% as Nearly All Assets Trade Lower

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2428.16, down 1.0% (-25.41) since 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.
One of 20 assets is trading higher.
Leaders: AAVE (+0.2%) and BTC (-0.1%).
Laggards: AVAX (-2.1%) and BCH (-2.1%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
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Resolv Labs Raises $10M as Crypto Investor Appetite for Yield-Bearing Stablecoins Soars

Resolv Labs, the firm behind the $450 million decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Resolv, has closed a $10 million seed round to expand its crypto-native yield platform and USR stablecoin, the team told CoinDesk in an exclusive interview.
The investment round was led by Cyber.Fund and Maven11, with additional backing from Coinbase Ventures, Susquehanna’s subsidiary SCB Limited, Arrington Capital, Gumi Cryptos, NoLimit Holdings, Robot Ventures, Animoca Ventures and others.
Stablecoins, a $230 billion and rapidly expanding class of cryptocurrencies with pegged prices to an external asset, are capturing attention well beyond their traditional use in payments and trading. A growing cadre of crypto protocols offer yield-bearing stablecoins or «synthetic dollars,» wrapping diverse investment strategies into a digital token with a stable price and passing on part of the earnings to holders.
«I view stablecoins as the perfect rails for yield distribution,» Ivan Kozlov, founder and CEO of Resolv, said in an interview with CoinDesk. «This may actually become larger than transaction stablecoins like [Tether’s] USDT in the future.»
The most notable example of the trend is Ethena’s $5 billion USDe token, which primarily pursues a delta-neutral position by holding cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH and SOL and simultaneously shorting equal size of perpetual futures, scooping up yield from funding rates.
Resolv also pursues a similar strategy: its USR token, anchored to $1, is a delta-neutral stablecoin designed to deliver stable yields from crypto markets, while shielding holders from sharp price swings.
The protocol achieves this by splitting risk between two layers, inspired by Kozlov’s background in structured products in traditional finance. USR stablecoin holders sit in the less risky senior tranche earning stable but lower yields, with risk-tolerant investors in the protocol’s insurance layer represented by the RLP token with floating price. This model, borrowed from structured finance, aims to make crypto yields more predictable without sacrificing decentralization, Kozlov explained.
Following its launch in September 2024, the protocol quickly ballooned to over $600 million in assets driven by attractive yields during the crypto rally after Donald Trump’s election victory, DefiLlama data shows. However, as markets turned bearish and yields compressed, Resolv’s total value locked (TVL) also slid around $450 million this month.
With the new capital raise, Resolv plans to expand its yield sources to include bitcoin (BTC)-based strategies and deepening its integrations with institutional digital asset managers, Kozlov said. The protocol also aims to expand to new blockchains, widening its reach beyond early crypto adopters.
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Trump-Family Backed World Liberty Gets $25M Investment From DWF Labs

DWF Labs is investing $25 million in World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the decentralized finance protocol backed by U.S. President Donald Trump and his family.
The crypto market maker is also entering the U.S. market with a new office in New York City as part of its broader expansion plans, according to a press release on Wednesday.
By establishing a physical presence in the U.S., DWF aims to work more closely with traditional financial institutions, expand its local workforce and engage more directly with U.S. regulators.
The firm also plans to deepen ties with American colleges and universities to promote education on cryptocurrencies. The WLFI token purchase gives DWF Labs a governance stake in the project, which includes USD1, the project’s soon-to-launch stablecoin backed by short-term U.S. Treasury bills, cash, and equivalents.
DWF Labs said it will supply liquidity for the USD1 ecosystem, using its trading infrastructure to support activity on both centralized and decentralized platforms.
Zak Folkman, co-founder of WLFI, said DWF’s involvement is expected to accelerate “the next-generation infrastructure we’re actively building and deploying at WLFI.” DWF Labs Managing Partner Andrei Grachev, meanwhile, said that the firm’s physical presence in the U.S. reflects its confidence in “America’s role as the next growth region for institutional crypto adoption.”
WLFI is positioning USD1 as a stable, institutional-grade stablecoin designed to meet rising demand from “sovereign investors and major institutions.”
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