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Bitcoin Could Hit as High as $124k Before Year-End, Says ARK Invest Analyst

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Bitcoin (<a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/price/bitcoin?_gl=1*16vsd1c*_up*MQ..*_ga*MTA1ODY0MTAzMy4xNzMyODIwOTk0*_ga_VM3STRYVN8*MTczMjgyMDk5NC4xLjAuMTczMjgyMDk5NC4wLjAuMTk0NjQyMDA3Ng..» target=»_blank»>BTC</a>) has slumped back to $95,000 after coming within a few hundred dollars of passing the symbolic $100,000 price level. But the largest cryptocurrency is only catching its breath before surging to newer heights, according to investment management firm ARK Invest.

“We’re more or less anticipating $104,000 to $124,000 price targets by end of year,” David Puell, one of the firm’s research associates, told CoinDesk in an interview. “With the caveat that it’s not a recommendation, but so far, price action has kept up to that projection quite nicely.”

Puell’s calculus is based on bitcoin’s seasonality — a term referring to the ways the asset has behaved in various stages of previous bull markets — as well as on-chain metrics. In Puell’s view, cycles are very much still at play until any strong evidence of the contrary, meaning that he eventually expects a top to form and for bitcoin to experience another serious pullback like in 2022.

“I would classify the current market environment as a sort of middle of the bull,” Puell said. “If you’re measuring bottom to top, I would say we’re at about 55% to 65% of the way there.” That currently places the bitcoin cycle top at roughly $126,000 to $134,000 according to on-chain metrics, he said, though these price targets could move higher “if the market accelerates to the upside.”

That would lend to the theory that bitcoin returns are diminishing each cycle as the asset matures — a $134,000 top would mean bitcoin would have only doubled its valuation compared to its 2021 top of $69,000. Back then, bitcoin had managed to triple its price compared to the 2017 cycle. Puell said ARK Invest was ready for such a scenario of diminishing returns, but that data was inconclusive so far.

At the beginning of the year, ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/01/11/cathie-wood-sees-bitcoin-price-reaching-15m-by-2030-after-etf-approval» target=»_blank»>laid out</a> a bullish target of $1 million to $1.5 million per bitcoin by 2030, with a base target of $650,000. Price will likely be buoyed by the incoming Trump administration, Puell said, depending on who the President-elect picks as chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and how accommodative towards risk-on assets the Federal Reserve’s policy turns out to be. Not to mention the prospect of a strategic bitcoin reserve.

“Monetary policy and the SEC stance are the things to focus on. But the analogy I would use is that a strategic bitcoin reserve wouldn’t be just like the cherry on top — it would be like a whole new cake on top of a cake,” Puell said.

But that doesn’t mean bitcoin will keep soaring forever. Seasonality and cycles mean that eventually, the top cryptocurrency could suffer another bear market, and eventually plunge 70% from its all-time high, Puell said. The price floor will depend, then, on how high bitcoin can go before the music stops.

Read more: <a href=»https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2024/11/28/bitcoin-to-overcome-100-k-despite-pullback-has-plenty-of-more-room-before-topping-crypto-quant» target=»_blank»>Bitcoin to Overcome $100K Despite Pullback, Has Plenty of More Room Before Topping: CryptoQuant</a>

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Crypto Trader Opens $1.1B Long Bitcoin Bet on Hyperliquid Using 40X Leverage

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A single trader has opened a massive $1.1 billion notional long position on bitcoin (BTC) using 40x leverage on the onchain decentralized exchange (DEX) Hyperliquid, a rare instance of a ten-figure position being open entirely on a blockchain-based platform.

The trade is tied to wallet address “0x507,” belonging to pseudonymous trader “James Wynn” on the platform.

Lookonchain data shows the position was opened at an entry price of $108,084, with a liquidation level just under $103,640 — meaning if BTC drops to that price, the position could be wiped out. The trade is sitting on over $40 million in unrealized profit as of early Thursday.

Wynn closed 540 BTC (~$60M) in European morning hours to lock in a $1.5 million profit. Notably, his past three exits were followed by sharp BTC pullbacks and traders may want to watch for a repeat, Lookonchain said.

Hyperliquid is built on its own high-performance layer 1 blockchain, HyperEVM, and offers features typically reserved for centralized platforms, like real-time order books, deep liquidity, and near-zero gas fees.

Its consensus mechanism, HyperBFT, reportedly handles over 200,000 transactions per second, allowing traders to execute quickly and transparently.

Unlike centralized exchanges that require KYC or restrict access, Hyperliquid allows anyone with a wallet to trade permissionlessly. The platform has rapidly gained popularity for its speed and capital efficiency, and this billion-dollar position may serve as a signal to other large players exploring onchain execution.

In many ways, it also marks a new phase of capital migration from centralized finance to decentralized finance (DeFi) — one where whales, not just retail, are willing to place big bets outside the traditional system.

Hyperliquid’s HYPE is up 15% in the past 24 hours as demand for the token increased.

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King Dollar Falls, Bitcoin Marches Toward Sound Money Highs

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Bitcoin’s BTC dollar high succumbed on Thursday as the largest cryptocurrency rose past $111,800, a remarkable 50% gain from its April low near $75,000, but when measured against traditional stores of value like gold and silver, BTC — often dubbed «digital gold» — still has room to advance.

The bitcoin-to-gold ratio stands at 33.27 ounces, below its January peak of over 40 oz. BTC has also not reached an all-time high against silver, though it has just breached the 3,300 oz. level, compared with the record 3,530 oz.

The digital gold moniker reflects bitcoin’s fixed supply and decentralized nature, and it’s increasingly living up to the name. In recent weeks, it has outperformed U.S. equities, which remain sluggish for the year despite recovering from their April tariff-tantrum induced downturn.

In fiat terms, bitcoin is nearing significant psychological milestones across other currencies too. It currently trades around 82,500 British pounds, just shy of its all-time high of 88,300 pounds, and at 91,500 Swiss francs, versus a previous peak just under 100,000 francs. These levels hint at imminent breakthroughs as bitcoin gains further strength.

Notably, BTC has already achieved all-time highs relative to major financial instruments like the Nasdaq 100 and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT). Its continued outperformance of both bonds and tech stocks underscores a broader trend. The final frontier remains precious metals. Surpassing gold and silver benchmarks will mark a complete reversal of monetary dominance.

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Bitcoin Pizza Day Is Now a $1.1B Celebration

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Bitcoin (BTC) Pizza Day is here and it just got its most fitting tribute yet: a new all-time high.

Bitcoin surged past $111,800 early Thursday, setting a fresh record. 15 years ago on this day developer Laszlo Hanyecz paid 10,000 BTC for two Papa John’s pizzas, then worth roughly $40.

The May 22, 2010, purchase marked the first recorded commercial transaction using BTC, a turning point that took the asset from cypherpunk code to actual currency.

That same 10,000 BTC can buy over 70 million pizzas at current prices. It is worth over $1.1 billion as of Thursday.

Hanyecz has long shrugged off the missed fortune” tag, telling CBS in 2019 that the transaction made bitcoin “real” to him. He mined the coins back when BTC was under a penny, and few could have predicted the multi-trillion-dollar asset it would become.

Still, the transaction remains a cultural milestone for the crypto market — a moment that showed internet money could work as actual currency. Now, it’s not just pizza being paid for with bitcoin. It’s property, cars, and in some countries, even taxes (briefly).

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