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Bitcoin Bull Run Could Be Accelerated by China’s Market Meltdown, Crypto Observer Says

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The new year has offered no relief for Chinese assets, which continue to decline in a meltdown that could further fuel the ongoing bitcoin (BTC) bull run.

The Chinese yuan (CNY) fell to 3.22 per U.S. dollar early Tuesday, reaching the lowest level since September 2023, according to data source TradingView. The Chinese unit has dropped 0.4% this month, extending the three-month losing trend despite attempts by the People’s Bank of China to calm investor nerves about impending U.S. tariffs under President-elect Donald Trump’s administration.

On Monday, the CSI 300, a blue-chip index for mainland China’s stock exchanges, fell to the lowest since September. The ChiNEXT Index, a so-called risk barometer tracking the performance of innovative and high-growth SMEs in China, has also dropped 8% since Dec. 31, according to charting platform TradingView.

Lastly, the yield on the 10-year Chinese government bond has fallen to 1.6%, a remarkable decline of 100 basis points from a year ago. This ongoing drop contrasts sharply with the rising yields in advanced economies, including the U.S., and reflects growing concerns over worsening deflation.

All of this is likely to trigger capital flight from the country, potentially boosting demand for alternative investments such as bitcoin, according to LondonCryptoClub.

«China appears to be letting the currency slide and no longer defending it, allowing the peg to crawl if not an outright devaluation. This will accelerate capital outflows from China, which we’re seeing with Chinese stocks under pressure. Bitcoin will be an obvious destination for some of those flows, especially with capital controls in place making it difficult to get capital out of China via traditional channels,» Founders of the LondonCryptoClub told CoinDesk.

«When China devalued in 2015, Bitcoin promptly traded over 3x higher,» founders added.

Note that the PBOC has relied solely on its daily fix and other liquidity measures to arrest the slide in the yuan rather than on outright intervention, which can become a headwind for crypto.

On Monday, the PBOC set the daily reference rate stronger than the widely-watched 7.20 per USD in a bid to temper bearish CNY expectations. The daily fix has been the central bank’s preferred tool in managing market expectations and has held consistently stronger than 7.20 per USD since Trump’s victory in the U.S. election in early November.

Meanwhile, the PBOC has also taken steps to tighten liquidity in the offshore (Hong Kong) market to support the yuan, as evidenced by the spike in the offshore yuan’s overnight interbank interest rate in Hong Kong rose to 8.1%, the highest since June 2021.

That said, BTC bulls need to keep an eye out for a potential outright intervention involving the sale of dollars to prop up the yuan, as that could boost the dollar index, capping the upside in the greenback-denominated assets like BTC.

Whenever the PBOC sells the dollar to shore up the yuan, it concurrently buys the greenback against other currencies to keep the proportion of the USD in reserves stable. The process, thus, causes financial tightening through the FX channel.

The dollar index has already surged from roughly 100 to 108 in just over three months, largely tracking the uptick in the Treasury yields. Further strength could zap investor appetite for riskier assets.

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Can Bitcoin Break Conference Curse at This Week’s Las Vegas Event?

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As bitcoin BTC enters this week’s Bitcoin Conference in Las Vegas priced at roughly a record high above $109,000, traders and analysts are closely watching whether it what’s become a trend of poor performance after these events.

Historical data compiled by Galaxy Research across five prior conferences from San Francisco in 2019 to Nashville in 2024 reveals that bitcoin has generally fared poorly both during and especially after these gatherings.

For example, the 2019 event saw a 10% decline during the conference and BTC went on to tumble 24% over the following month. The 2022 conference in Miami showed a similar trajectory: down 1% during the event and a steep 29% slide in the month after. Both of those instances, however, occurred in the middle of bear markets.

Even in bull market years like 2023, though, price action remained flat or slightly negative.

The most recent 2024 conference in Nashville in July — which featured then-presidential candidate Donald Trump promising a strategic bitcoin reserve — posted a 4% gain during the event, but a fast 20% decline shortly after, coinciding with the unwinding of the yen carry trade that triggered a broader risk-off move across global markets.

The setup this year — which is set to feature current Vice President J.D. Vance — could be materially different as institutional engagement is rising. Still, with historical data stacked against it, bitcoin faces a psychological hurdle as much as a technical one. Conference weeks have become sell-the-news moments.

BTCUSD Price Performance During and After BTC Conferences (Galaxy Research)

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Ethereum Surges 4% on Massive Volume as Institutional Interest Grows

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Ethereum ETH has staged an impressive recovery in the past 24 hours, climbing 3.8% amid significant market volatility. The second-largest cryptocurrency found solid support at $2,530, where exceptional trading volume (242,521 ETH) created a clear bottoming pattern.

This was followed by a decisive breakout during the early trading hours, supported by massive volume surges exceeding 550,000 ETH that pushed prices above key resistance levels.

The recent price action confirms a short-term trend reversal, with ETH now trading above $2,575 after establishing new local highs. Institutional interest remains robust, with spot Ethereum ETFs recording $248 million in total net inflows over the past week, suggesting growing confidence from larger investors despite relatively subdued retail participation.

Market analysts point to the $2,800 level as a critical resistance zone where many investors who previously bought at that level may look to exit at break-even. However, with ETH breaking out of its recent consolidation pattern and the broader crypto market showing signs of strength, bulls are now targeting the $2,650-$2,745 range as the next significant hurdle.

Technical Analysis

  • A clear bottoming pattern formed during the 01:00 hour with exceptionally high volume (242,521 ETH), establishing strong volume support.
  • A decisive breakout occurred during the 06:00-07:00 hours with massive volume surges (553,348 ETH and 221,502 ETH respectively).
  • The price action showed three distinct phases: initial consolidation (07:04-07:29), powerful breakout (07:30-07:32) with high volume spikes exceeding 7,000 ETH per minute, and sustained uptrend.
  • The $2,600 level is now established as a new support zone with momentum indicators suggesting potential for further upside toward $2,650.
  • High-volume support at $2,530 now serves as a critical floor for any retracements.

This technical analysis was conducted according to CoinDesk s research model analysing CoinDesk Data

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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SharpLink Gaming Soars 400% as Joseph Lubin’s Consensys Leads $425M Funding for ETH Treasury Strategy

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Shares of sports marketing company SharpLink (SBET) rose 412% on Tuesday after it announced plans to create an Ethereum ETH treasury reserve strategy with involvement from the blockchain’s own co-founder, Joseph Lubin.

The Minneapolis-based firm, founded in 1995, is currently trading at $34.45, up from $7 Friday, with a market cap now of $23 million.

The company is raising roughly $425 million though a private investment in public equity (PIPE) offering. The proceeds will be used to buy ether, which will then serve as the primary treasury reserve asset.

Ethereum software developer Consensys, which was also co-founded by Lubin, was the lead investor with further participation by Pantera Capital, Galaxy Digital, and Ondo, among smaller names.

The offering is expected to close on May 29th, according to the release. Lubin will become chairman of the board of directors upon the closing.

SharpLink joins an increasing number of microcap companies trying to mimic the success of Strategy (MSTR), the first company to adopt a bitcoin BTC treasury strategy, resulting in an over 3,000% increase of its share price over the past five years.

Along those lines, Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) Tuesday morning announced a $2.5 billion capital raise to begin a bitcoin treasury strategy.

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