Uncategorized
Bitcoin Boom Likely as Bond Yields Surge — Yes, You Read That Correctly

Hardening government bond yields, especially on U.S. treasury notes, have traditionally been viewed as a headwind for bitcoin (BTC) and other risk assets.
However, recent persistent resilience in treasury yields suggests a different story — one driven by factors that could be bullish for bitcoin, according to analysts.
The U.S. data released Tuesday showed the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month for both headline and core in April, below the 0.3% readings expected. That resulted in a headline year-on-year inflation reading of 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021.
Still, prices for the 10-year treasury yield, which is influenced by inflation, dropped, pushing the yield higher to 4.5%, the highest since April 11, according to data source TradingView.
The so-called benchmark yield is up 30 basis points in May alone and the 30-year yield has increased to 4.94%, sitting near the highest levels of the last 18 years.
This has been the theme of late: Yields remain elevated despite all the news about tariff pause, the U.S.-China trade deal and slower inflation. (The 10-year yield surged from 3.8% to 4.6% early last month as trade tensions saw investors sell U.S. assets)
The uptick in the so-called risk-free rate usually sparks fears of rotation of money out of stocks and other riskier investments such as crypto and into bonds.
Fiscal splurge
The latest yield surge, however, stems from expectations for continued fiscal expansion during President Donald Trump’s tenure, according to Spencer Hakimian, founder of Tolou Capital Management.
«Bonds down on a weak CPI day is telling [of] fiscal expansion like crazy,» Hakimian said on X. «Everyone plays to win the midterm. Debt and deficits be damned. It’s great for Bitcoin, Gold, and Stocks. It’s terrible for Bonds.»
Hakimian explained that Trump’s tax plan would immediately add another $2.5 trillion to the fiscal deficit. In other words, the fiscal policy under Trump will likely be just as expansionary as under Biden, acting as a tailwind for risk assets, including bitcoin.
The details of the tax cut plan reported by Bloomberg early this week proposed $4 trillion in tax cuts and about $1.5 trillion in spending cuts, amounting to a fiscal expansion of $2.5 trillion.
Arif Husain, head of global fixed income and chief investment officer of the fixed income division at T. Rowe Price, noted that fiscal expansion will soon become the overriding focus for markets.
«Fiscal expansion may be growth supportive, but most importantly, it would likely put even more pressure on the treasury market. I am now even more convinced that the 10‑year U.S. treasury yield will reach 6% in the next 12–18 months,» Husain said in a blog post.
Sovereign risk
Per Pseudonymous observer EndGame Macro, the persistent elevated Treasury yields represent fiscal dominance, an idea first discussed by economist Russel Napier a couple of years ago and Maelstrom’s CIO and co-founder, Arthur Hayes, last year, and repricing of U.S. sovereign risk.
«When the bond market demands higher yields even as inflation falls, it’s not about the inflation cycle it’s about the sustainability of U.S. debt issuance itself,» EndGame Macro said on X.
The observer explained that higher yields create a self-reinforcing spiral of higher debt servicing costs, which call for more debt issuance (more bond supply) and even higher rates. All this ends up raising the risk of a sovereign debt crisis.
BTC, widely seen as an anti-establishment asset and an alternative investment vehicle, could gain more value in this scenario.
Moreover, as yields rise, the Fed and the U.S. government could implement yield curve control, or active buying of bonds to cap the 10-year yield from rising beyond a certain level, let’s assume 5%.
The Fed, therefore, is committed to buy more bonds every time the yield threatens to rise beyond 5%, which inadvertently boosts liquidity in the financial system, galvanizing demand for assets like bitcoin, gold and stocks.
Uncategorized
Banks Exploring Stablecoin Amid Fears of Losing Market Share, BitGo Executive Says

As the stablecoin competition is heating up with looming regulation in the U.S., traditional finance institutions are taking notice—largely out of fear of losing out to digital dollars, said Ben Reynolds, BitGo’s managing director of stablecoins, at Consensus 2025 in Toronto.
Speaking at a panel discussion, he said that BitGo’s recently launched stablecoin-as-a-service has seen “incredible inbound” interest from U.S. and foreign banks wanting to tokenize deposits or issue stablecoins.
«A lot of banks are just being defensive—they’re afraid they’re going to lose their deposits,” Reynolds said. «They look at stablecoins and say: How do we not get left behind?»
Yield-bearing versions of stablecoins and tokenized money market funds have seen rapid growth recently, but still make up only a fraction of the $230 billion stablecoin market.
A16z’s Sam Broner said that while yield-bearing stablecoins are a promising market segment, their primary use case is for payments and transactions where users don’t really care about yields. Still, a near-term killer use case could be “collateral mobility”—the ability to instantly move money to meet obligations across different platforms.
«You can’t do a lot of things with a share of a money market fund,» Broner said. «You’ve got lock-up periods, business-hour settlement, and contracts that have to be manually reviewed. Crypto gives you programmatic, permissionless flexibility.»
Yield-bearing stablecoins could also be attractive for institutions, said Matt Kunke, crypto product strategist at BlackRock. «If you’re a DAO, protocol, or market maker, moving between crypto holdings on an exchange and your brokerage account is slow and full of friction,» he said. «Stablecoins that carry yield just reduce that drag.”
However, regulatory distinctions will shape the market. “A tokenized Treasury fund is a security, and an actual stablecoin is not,” he explained. “They deserve fundamentally different markets.»
Joseph Saldana, chief financial officer of the Wyoming Stable Token Commission, pointed out that yield–generating tokens have the power to broaden investors’ access compared to mutual funds that often have minimum limits of investment that «lock out a lot of people.»
«We want to service the underbanked and give broader access to instruments the rest of us enjoy every day,» Saldana said.
Uncategorized
Trump Still on Track to Sign Crypto Legislation By August, White House’s Bo Hines Says

TORONTO — Despite a recent setback, U.S. President Donald Trump should be able to sign stablecoin and market structure legislation before Congress goes on break in August, said White House official Bo Hines on Wednesday.
Lawmakers are still discussing the legislation, which is good, said Hines, the executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, said on stage at Consensus 2025 in Toronto.
«Negotiations are ongoing,» he said. «But I remain steadfast in my optimism that we’re going to achieve — the President’s desire is to do it — but stablecoin legislation and market structure legislation before the August recess.»
Still, he acknowledged that the legislative process was «evolving.»
Hines said earlier in the day that Trump’s crypto ventures, as well as the president’s family’s tie-ups, did not pose any conflicts of interest.
«His sons have the right to engage in capital markets as private business people, like anyone else does in the U.S.,» he said on CoinDesk TV. «I don’t see any conflict in doing so. By the way, it should be exciting that they’re engaging in this space. If you’re a good business person, you should be looking at digital assets and saying, ‘how can I get involved?’ Because this is the next generation of finance.»
He repeated this argument on stage at Consensus.
«As we launch these tariff negotiations and trade negotiations play themselves out, we want to establish ourselves as a leader in digital asset financial technology more generally,» he said.
Asked on CDTV about reports that a small company was purchasing TRUMP coins, Hines said, «I’ll say very firmly, the president of the United States can’t be bought.»
The White House and members of its working group are still working on a strategic Bitcoin reserve, Hines said on stage.
Uncategorized
Cantor Fitzgerald Chairman Brandon Lutnick Says He Personally Checked Tether’s Reserves

Cantor Fitzgerald Chairman Brandon Lutnick personally verified Tether’s reserves when the firm began its relationship with the stablecoin giant, he said on Wednesday at Consensus 2025 in Toronto.
The 27-year-old said that in the early days of Cantor Fitzgerald and Tether’s relationship, there were “a lot of rumors” that Tether didn’t have the assets it claimed to have, referring to then-rampant speculation that Tether was not fully backed. New York Attorney General Letitia James alleged in 2019 that Tether had a nearly $1 billion hole in its books, though the regulator later settled these allegations with Tether and its sister firm, Bitfinex.
“I personally checked a lot of their reserves, and we proved a lot of those rumors wrong,” Lutnick said. Tether has maintained it has been fully backed, at least since its settlement with New York.
Lutnick was appointed chairman of Cantor Fitzgerald — the private parent company that controls the investment bank of the same name, brokerage BCG Group, and commercial real estate company Newmark Group — in February, shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump named his father, Cantor Fitzgerald’s former CEO Howard Lutnick, U.S. Commerce secretary.
Prior to taking the helm at Cantor Fitzgerald, Lutnick worked for the firm in another executive role. He denied reports from Bloomberg that he interned with Tether in Lugano, Switzerland in 2023.
“Bloomberg actually reported that I was a Tether intern. That is not true,” Lutnick said. “But I did learn a lot about crypto from the Tether guys — they orange-pilled me.”
-
Fashion7 месяцев ago
These \’90s fashion trends are making a comeback in 2017
-
Entertainment7 месяцев ago
The final 6 \’Game of Thrones\’ episodes might feel like a full season
-
Fashion7 месяцев ago
According to Dior Couture, this taboo fashion accessory is back
-
Entertainment7 месяцев ago
The old and New Edition cast comes together to perform
-
Business7 месяцев ago
Uber and Lyft are finally available in all of New York State
-
Sports7 месяцев ago
Phillies\’ Aaron Altherr makes mind-boggling barehanded play
-
Entertainment7 месяцев ago
Disney\’s live-action Aladdin finally finds its stars
-
Sports7 месяцев ago
Steph Curry finally got the contract he deserves from the Warriors