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Asia Morning Briefing: U.S. Loads Up, Germany Cashes Out as BTC Holds Near $119K

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Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:

Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.

As bitcoin (BTC) trades near $119,500, having just recently broken through another all-time high of $120,000, digital asset investment products are also breaking records for inflows – but there’s a regional disparity.

According to CoinShares, U.S.-listed funds dominated with $3.74 billion in inflows, while Germany saw $85.7 million in outflows, underscoring a growing divergence in global institutional sentiment.

This robust institutional appetite in the U.S. is exemplified by Vanguard’s evolving stance on crypto investments. Despite once branding bitcoin as an «immature asset class,» the $10 trillion asset manager is now Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy (MSTR)’s largest shareholder, indirectly becoming the most significant Bitcoin holder in traditional finance, as Presto Research recently noted in a daily markets update.

Meanwhile, QCP Capital highlights in a recent note that institutional enthusiasm remains notably robust, exemplified by over $2 billion net inflows into spot BTC ETFs last week.

Yet, derivatives markets suggest a more nuanced approach. Leveraged long positions are expanding aggressively, with perpetual funding rates approaching an elevated 30% and open interest surpassing $43 billion, levels unseen since BTC reclaimed $100k in January. Such aggressive positioning raises caution flags, recalling February’s abrupt $2 billion liquidation event.

“Froth is building,” QCP warns.

(CoinDesk)

BTC Continues to Outpace Luxury Watches

Bitcoin (BTC) is up 27.87% year-to-date and 13.22% in the past month, easily outperforming the luxury watch market’s modest +4.5% rebound in Q2, according to a recent report co-authored by Morgan Stanley and WatchCharts.

Gains were concentrated in flagship models, Daytona, Nautilus, Royal Oak, while brands like Panerai, Breitling, and IWC underperformed. Inventory for watches under $5,000 remains historically elevated, and dealer turnover in that range continues to lag.

“Price recovery remains narrow and concentrated,” the report notes, driven by “renewed interest from high-end collectors and improved global risk appetite.”

Both BTC and watches, it adds, tend to benefit from “expansionary monetary environments and periods of wealth creation.”

But the speculative capital isn’t flowing evenly. Bitcoin has attracted more of the macro-driven bid, with institutional inflows and 24/7 liquidity making it the preferred high-beta asset.

The pandemic-era correlation between BTC and watches, both beneficiaries of easy money and speculative excess, broke down in late 2023 with the approval of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs.

BTC has since matured into a macro-sensitive, institutionally backed asset, while watches have returned to their roots: fashion.

Market Movements:

BTC: Bitcoin briefly approached $123,000 before cooling off, while crypto-related stocks held modest gains and analysts said the market remains far from euphoric, with one projecting BTC’s $2.5 trillion market cap could eventually converge with gold’s $22 trillion.

ETH: ETH surged past $3,079 in early trading on strong volume before retreating in the afternoon to settle near $3,011, forming a textbook breakout-pullback pattern with support holding above the key $3,000 level.

Gold: Gold slipped 0.1% after hitting a three-week high amid renewed tariff threats from President Trump and focus on trade talks and U.S. data, while silver surged to its highest level since September 2011.

Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets opened mixed Tuesday, with investors brushing off President Trump’s tariff shifts and turning attention to upcoming Chinese economic data, while Japan’s Nikkei 225 remained flat.

S&P 500:RBC Capital Markets raised its 2025 S&P 500 target to 6,250 from 5,730, but unlike Goldman and BofA, it expects little upside from current levels, with the index already above 6,280 as of July 11.

Elsewhere in Crypto

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Standard Chartered Says It’s the First Global Bank to Offer Spot Bitcoin, Ether Trading

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Cryptocurrency-friendly lender Standard Chartered is claiming bragging rights of being the first global bank to offer spot trading in bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH) to institutional clients.

The offering, rolled out through the bank’s UK branches, is available initially via our U.K. entity, during Asia and Europe trading hours, with 24/5 access under consideration as client demand evolves, said Rene Michau, global head of digital assets.

“Standard Chartered is the first global systemically important bank to be offering cryptoasset trading.” Michau said in an email. “We define institutional clients as financial institutions such as asset managers and investors, and large multinational companies who are clients of our corporate and investment banking division.”

Standard Chartered has been involved in crypto and digital assets for some time. The bank now offers digital assets custody and trading through its corporate and investment bank, and through the companies StanChart invested in, such as Zodia Custody and Zodia Markets. It also offers digital asset tokenization services, through its portfolio company Libeara.

The new service is integrated into Standard Chartered’s existing trading platforms, allowing corporates, asset managers and institutional investors to access crypto markets through familiar FX interfaces. Clients can settle trades to a custodian of their choice, including Standard Chartered’s in-house custody service.

The focus for now will remain on BTC and ETH spot trading with plans to expand the services suite for these crypto assets including the introduction of non-deliverable forwards (NDFs) trading, Michau said.

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Strategy Bears Cave In as Anti-MSTR Leveraged ETF Hits Rock Bottom

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Those betting against bitcoin (BTC)-holder MicroStrategy (MSTR) seem to have run out of patience and look to be exiting bearish bets.

On Monday, a U.S.-listed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that provides a leveraged bearish exposure to shares of bitcoin holder MicroStrategy sank to lifetime lows on the back of near-record trading activity.

Prices for the Defiance daily target 2x short MSTR ETF, listed under the ticker SMST on Nasdaq, slipped 7.58% to $18.17 on Monday, hitting a record low for the fourth consecutive day, according to data source TradingView.

The decline happened as 2.88 million shares changed hands, the second-largest trading volume tally ever.

SMST's daily chart. (TradingView)

Bears capitulate as BTC surges

SMST’s high-volume collapse points to capitulation of bears – those betting against MSTR have likely given up and are exiting the market.

A high-volume record low typically indicates capitulation – market participants surrendering to the relentless bearish trend and exiting all their positions, giving up all hope of a recovery. This type of price action often marks peak bearishness in the market or bottoms.

Bitcoin’s price tapped record highs above $122,000 during Monday’s Asian trading hours, providing bullish cues to all things tied to crypto. Later in the day, shares in MSTR rose over 3% to $456, the highest since November.

Leveraged bearish bet

The 2x short ETF seeks to deliver daily investment results that are -200%, or minus 2x, the daily percentage change in the MSTR share price. In other words, it’s a leveraged bearish bet.

The ETF’s price, however, has collapsed from over $2,000 on the inception day in August last year, and has been primarily in a downtrend, barring the brief uptrend from $1,600 to $2,368 in late August last year. As of Friday, the fund had a net inflow of $8.2 million in six months, according to VettaFi.

MSTR’s share price has increased multi-fold from $100 to over $440 during the same time. MicroStrategy is the largest publicly-listed bitcoin holder in the world, boasting a coin stash of 601,550 BTC ($70.56 million) as of writing.

2x long MSTR ETF rises

The Defiance daily target 2x long MSTR ETF rose to nearly $50 on Monday, the highest since January 24, with trading volumes rising for the fourth straight day to tally 9.2 million.

As of Friday, MSTX had a net six-month outflow of over $175 million, per VettaFi.

Read more: Anti-Bitcoin Vanguard Might Be the Largest Institutional Holder of MSTR Stock

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XRP Tumbles 8% as Token Sees Resistance at $3 Ahead of ProShares ETF Launch

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What to know:

  • XRP fell 8% from $3.02 to $2.78 between July 14 06:00 and July 15 05:00, posting a 7% intraday range between $2.80 and $3.02.
  • Morning volume peaked at 216.12M during a coordinated push to $3.02, before systematic profit-taking set in.
  • A late-session recovery from $2.82 to $2.87 (+2%) occurred during the 04:09–05:08 window, with 112.75M in volume — indicating corporate re-entry into support.
  • The drawdown aligns with institutional de-risking ahead of the July 18 ProShares XRP Futures ETF launch.

News Background
The SEC’s still-unresolved digital asset framework continues to dominate institutional risk models, forcing treasuries to balance early exposure with compliance optics.
The upcoming ProShares XRP Futures ETF — set for launch on July 18 — has introduced a new capital allocation vector, particularly for pension and endowment portfolios.
Amid that setup, corporate flows spiked in both directions: buying early at $2.95–$3.02, and selling heavily overnight as risk management protocols kicked in.

Price Action Summary

  • Range: $3.02 → $2.80 | Volatility: 7%
  • Peak Time: 13:00 — volume hit 216.12M as XRP touched $3.02
  • Breakdown Zone: $2.95–$2.90 failed to hold during 00:00–03:00 session
  • Final Hour Recovery: XRP rose from $2.82 → $2.87 (+2%) from 04:09–05:08
  • Volume Support: 112.75M confirms corporate reallocation near $2.87

Technical Analysis

  • Price failed at $3.02 on heavy volume; structure turned bearish on lower highs
  • Overnight breakdown saw algorithmic selling from $2.95 to $2.80
  • Recovery into close suggests corporate treasury accumulation at $2.82–$2.87
  • $3.00 remains the psychological resistance that bulls must reclaim
  • Key levels: Support = $2.80 / Resistance = $2.95–$3.02

What Traders Are Watching

  • Can XRP hold above $2.87 ahead of the ProShares launch and ETF-related flows?
  • Reclaiming $3.00 would validate bullish institutional theses tied to payment utility
  • Ongoing regulatory noise could suppress upside until ETF flow clarity emerges
  • Treasury desks remain cautious but active — favoring low-exposure accumulation around volatility bands

Takeaway
XRP’s 8% drop reflects more than volatility — it’s corporate positioning in real-time.
While whales and treasuries sold into strength above $3.00, the closing bounce and ETF timeline suggest re-entry setups are forming.

If regulatory clarity firms and the ProShares vehicle gains traction, XRP may see renewed inflows — but until then, expect tight risk-managed trading from institutions.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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