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Asia Morning Briefing: BTC’s Institutional Waves Are Building, Not Breaking

Good Morning, Asia. Here’s what’s making news in the markets:
Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during U.S. hours and an overview of market moves and analysis. For a detailed overview of U.S. markets, see CoinDesk’s Crypto Daybook Americas.
Fund manager Jeff Dyment of Saphira Group wants you to zoom out and stop sweating the short-term charts.
His thesis: Data points that suggest institutional bitcoin (BTC) buying is losing steam miss the bigger picture.
In a note shared with CoinDesk, Dyment argues that fears of fading institutional demand for bitcoin are overblown, rooted in narrow snapshots of the market.
Yes, ETF and corporate purchases have cooled recently – Michael Saylor’s Strategy bought just 16,000 BTC last month, down sharply from December’s 171,000 BTC haul. But this, Dyment insists, is not a sign of decline. It’s a natural ebb in what he calls a “cyclical wave” of adoption.
“Institutional flows often come in waves rather than a steady linear increase,” Dyment wrote. “Short-term demand fluctuations in the spot market are minor ripples on what is, in fact, a rising tide of institutional engagement.”
Dyment points to the addition of 51 new corporate BTC treasuries in the first half of 2025 alone, equal to the total from 2018 to 2022 combined, and a 375% year-over-year increase in corporate BTC buying.
Public companies now hold 848,902 BTC, or approximately 4% of the total supply, with Q2 2025 alone seeing 131,000 BTC added to their balance sheets.
He also highlights the explosive growth of Bitcoin ETFs as further evidence of deepening institutional participation. BlackRock’s IBIT fund, now the largest in the world, holds 699,000 BTC, more than 3.3% of total supply, after becoming the fastest-growing ETF in history.
U.S. spot ETFs have collectively captured approximately 1.25 million BTC, or roughly 6% of the total supply, in just 18 months since their launch, he points out in the note.
Dyment’s thesis is finding echoes in the options market.
In QCP Capital’s recent note, the Singapore-based fund pointed to whales that are continuing to build exposure to upside risk, snapping up September $130K BTC calls and holding $115K/$140K call spreads.
“Vols remain pinned near historical lows, but a decisive breach of the $110K resistance could spark a renewed volatility bid,” QCP wrote in a Monday note.
So while bears may point to stagnant spot flows and the nearly empty mempool as signs of fatigue, Dyment argues those are just surface-level ripples.
Underneath, the tide is rising, and Wall Street, with its trillions upon trillions of regulated capital, is hungry for crypto. It’s just not going to come all at once.
BTQ Pushes Quantum-Safe Framework for Stablecoins
BTQ Technologies has introduced the Quantum Stablecoin Settlement Network (QSSN), a framework designed to help banks, payment firms, and digital asset platforms future-proof stablecoin issuance against threats from quantum computing.
In a press release, BTQ detailed how the system could support quantum-secure versions of popular stablecoin models, including JPMorgan’s proposed USD deposit token (JPMD), by upgrading privileged actions like minting and burning with dual cryptographic signatures (ECDSA and Falcon-512), while preserving compatibility with existing token standards, workflows, and wallets.
The launch comes as the stablecoin market surpasses $225 billion and lawmakers push for regulation with an eye on cybersecurity.
The GENIUS Act, currently advancing in the U.S. Congress, would formalize federal standards for fiat-backed stablecoins and encourage quantum-safe architecture.
BTQ, which has worked with NIST for over a decade, aims to shape those standards and position QSSN as critical infrastructure.
Market Movements
BTC: Bitcoin fell 1.02% from July 6 at 22:00 to July 7 at 21:00, testing key support at $107,519.64 amid heavy selling, before staging a V-shaped recovery off $107,800 as on-chain data showed strong support clusters at $106,738 and $98,566 held by 1.68 million addresses, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis bot.
ETH: ETH rose 1.67% amid volatile trading, swinging nearly 3% between $2,529 and $2,604 as support at $2,530 held firm, institutional inflows topped $1.1 billion, and above-average volume marked both the surge and subsequent sell-off.
Gold: Gold dipped on a stronger dollar but rebounded on tariff-driven safe-haven demand, with central bank buying and de-dollarization fueling forecasts of a rally toward $4,000.
S&P 500: Stocks fell Monday as Trump announced new tariffs on imports from seven countries, sending the S&P 500 down 0.79% to 6,229.98.
Nikkei 225: Asia-Pacific markets mostly rose despite Trump announcing steep U.S. tariffs on 14 trading partners, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 up 0.36% as duties of up to 40% were outlined for countries including South Korea, Indonesia, and Thailand.
Elsewhere in Crypto
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NEAR Protocol Slides 5% as Altcoin Season Abruptly Ends

NEAR Protocol endured a turbulent 24-hour stretch between July 22 15:00 and July 23 14:00, declining from $2.97 to $2.81 in a 5.41% move that underscored broader weakness across the altcoin complex.
The token traded within a volatile $0.28 range, peaking at $3.04 before slumping to an intraday low of $2.76. The sharpest selloff emerged during the July 23 13:00 hour as NEAR tumbled from $2.84 to $2.76, with trading volumes spiking to 14.19 million tokens—nearly five times its 24-hour average.
This dynamic established significant resistance at $2.84, suggesting traders will be watching that level for signs of reversal.
During a critical hour from 13:10 to 14:09 UTC, NEAR briefly stabilized after plunging 2.46% from $2.84 to $2.77, before recovering to $2.80.
Trading intensity peaked between 13:41 and 13:51 when over 850,000 units changed hands per minute, highlighting the fragility of support near $2.76.
While the rebound hints at a potential short-term consolidation, the wider altcoin market’s softness raises questions about whether NEAR can sustain upward momentum.
Adding to the mix, NEAR Foundation’s partnership with Everclear to develop cross-chain settlement infrastructure could act as a catalyst for renewed interest. Meanwhile, traders continue to eye the rise of narrative-driven projects such as MAGACOIN FINANCE, which has diverted speculative capital as NEAR contends with development delays heading into Q4 2025.
Technical Analysis
- Price Action: NEAR fell 5.41% from $2.97 to $2.81 (July 22–23), with a trading range of $3.04 (high) to $2.76 (low).
- Volume Spike: 14.19M tokens exchanged during peak selloff, far above the 2.89M daily average.
- Resistance Level: $2.84 established as significant overhead resistance after multiple failed retests.
- Support Level: $2.76 held as a key floor during high-volume volatility.
- Altcoin Context: Broader market weakness weighs on NEAR’s recovery prospects.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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ICP Drops 5% as Crypto Market Rotates, Resistance Holds

Internet Computer (ICP) recorded a 5.35% pullback over the last 24 hours, dropping from $6.01 to $5.69 as weakness set in among the broader altcoin market. ICP struggled to maintain bullish momentum, encountering firm resistance in the $6.00–$6.10 zone that had capped multiple breakout attempts.
The sharpest decline came during the 13:00 UTC hour on Thursday, when ICP slid to $5.62 from $5.97 in just a few minutes, driven by an outsized surge in trading volume. Total daily turnover reached 2.58 million tokens — nearly four times the 24-hour average — underscoring institutional-scale distribution pressure, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis data model.
The broader market showed similar dynamics, with altcoins such as SOL, AVAX and ADA pulling back amid profit-taking and regulatory developments. Analysts characterized the retracement as a healthy rotation following President Donald Trump-related rallies and renewed attention to stablecoin legislation. Despite individual bullish catalysts, many tokens failed to sustain upside traction, with traders reallocating capital and defending key support zones.
Technical Analysis
- ICP dropped 5.35% from $6.01 to $5.69 between July 22 and July 23.
- Intraday high of $6.14 and low of $5.62 established a volatile $0.52 range (8.4% spread).
- Price fell to $5.62 from $5.97 at 13:00 UTC on July 23 amid 2.58 million token volume.
- Volume during capitulation exceeded 100K per minute, nearly 4× daily average of 650K.
- Resistance confirmed at $6.00–$6.10 with multiple failed breakout attempts.
- Critical support formed at $5.62 after heavy selloff during 13:40–13:51 UTC window.
- Market struggled to reclaim $5.83, with persistent selling on minor rebounds.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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ATOM Sinks 5% Amid Altcoin Weakness, Faces Key Support Test

Cosmos Hub’s ATOM token suffered a steep decline over the past 24 hours, falling from $5.08 to $4.82 as institutional participants intensified liquidation activity. The 5.1% drop was accompanied by a surge in trading volume, with a peak of 7.73 million tokens changing hands during a particularly heavy sell-off between 09:00 and 14:00 UTC on July 23.
The sharp move reinforced resistance around the $5.07-$5.13 range, while accumulation interest surfaced in the $4.78-$4.88 zone, offering tentative support. However, persistent breakdowns below the $5.00 threshold highlighted ongoing distribution pressure that could challenge recovery attempts without sustained buying momentum.
During the final hour of trading on July 23, ATOM experienced pronounced volatility. The price tumbled from $4.90 to a session low of $4.78 before rebounding to $4.81. This recovery, while notable, came on declining volume—potentially signaling exhaustion among short-term buyers.
Akash Network (AKT), another Cosmos-based project, continues to show strength in long-term forecasts, with a potential target of $6.19 in 2025, contrasting ATOM’s current technical fragility.
Technical Analysis Highlights
- 24-Hour Movement: ATOM fell 5.1% from $5.08 to $4.82 with a total range of $0.35 (6.8%).
- Peak Liquidation: July 23, 09:00-14:00 UTC saw volumes surge to 7.73M, well above the 1.11M average.
- Critical Support: $4.78-$4.88 zone showing accumulation on elevated volume.
- Intermediate Resistance: $4.98-$5.00 level faced multiple rejections.
- Institutional Pressure: Sustained breakdown below $5.00 signals distribution activity.
- Intraday Volatility: July 23, 13:10-14:09 UTC saw a sharp dip from $4.90 to $4.78, followed by a rebound to $4.81.
- Rebound Weakness: Recovery to $4.81 occurred on declining volume, suggesting possible exhaustion.
Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.
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