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Can Crypto Unlock the Vibe Launch?

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This year has seen the emergence of a new Internet person empowered by AI coding tools to build software for the Internet’s long tail: the vibe coder. The vibe coder heralds an era of software development that is democratized, effortless and instant, and an Internet economy propelled by builders rather than influencers.

Vibe coders need a viral and organic way to market their products. Crypto could provide it. A new generation of token launchers, such as Believe and L( )ng, is trying to unlock the vibe launch using tokenized idea markets that allow users to launch and trade product ideas. If those tokenized ideas attract enough support, these platforms assign a portion of the trading fees to builders who are willing to execute on them.

Ideas markets are a clever way to harness democratized token creation and speculative trading towards dispersed innovation. For the vibe coder, they are a way to spark virality, attract community and gain access to Internet capital markets. Provided these new platforms can find ways to control abuses, cultivate committed communities and gain mainstream traction, they could help define the Internet’s next chapter and its new main character.

Meet the Vibe Coder

New technologies create new persons. Or, as Marshall McLuhan put it, “first we build the tools, then they build us.” Meet the vibe coder: the product of the vibe-coding revolution. Andrej Karpathy, a co-founder of OpenAI, coined the term “vibe coding” about four months ago. Since then, the term has set off a stampede towards this Internet persona.

Vibe coders are non-technical creators who build software products using AI coding tools (e.g. Cursor and Windsurf) that are flow-based and chatbot-oriented, and that enable fast and intuitive product development. Like past successful Internet personae, anyone can become a vibe-coder builder. With AI doing the coding, what matters is creativity, flow and intent, not technical knowledge.

Among the defining traits of vibe coders is that they put their products into production practically as they conceived of them. They also iterate quickly, collaborate often and welcome strange and unexpected turns during product development, which they guide more than they control. Their creations extend to niche and esoteric fields but remain responsive to the current moment.

Vibe coders must rely on the viral and memetic properties of the web to bring their creations to market. They have many ancestors but the most immediate is the cracked Gen Z indie hacker.

Vibe coders are still in their emergent phase so we are just getting to know them, but they may soon bestride the web with the ubiquity of influencers in the age of corporate social networks or bloggers at the dawn of websites, and they may become a default persona for young people unable to find entry-level white-collar jobs.

Vibe It and Launch It

Vibe coders want an early market signal about which ideas and products are timely, so they can immediately seize upon them. They avoid venture capital for funding and aim to bootstrap development while attracting early users.

A new generation of token launchpads is trying to deliver on those wants using ideas markets. An illustrative early mover is Believe, which has been compared to a Kickstarter for ideas and projects for the long tail of the Internet. Believe’s flow is simple. A founder or scout can submit a project through the app or tag an idea post on social media with @launchacoin, which automatically creates an idea token tied to that idea. That token then immediately begins trading in an ideas market that determines the idea’s fair value based on the scale and importance of the problem being solved, and the builder’s ability to execute.

The ideas market allows builders to gauge the timeliness of the product idea and to assess market demand while creating conditions for viral distribution. If enough trading fees are generated in the ideas market, the builders can claim part of them to start or continue building the product itself. This means that product ideas with early viral traction can begin producing real revenue before the product has matured or a full ecosystem has formed. It also means that vibe coders can bootstrap early users economically motivated to support rapid iteration.

Over time, builders can begin integrating the idea token within the real product and its economics, imbuing it with more economic fundamentals and aligning token-holders with its long-term success. Believe offers a suite of APIs that support that integration, including a burning mechanism that burns tokens based on the product’s ability to convert users.

Believe has competitors, such as L( )ng and an evolving Pump.fun, which recently turned on creator fee sharing. What they have in common is that they are relying on ideas markets for incidentally launching real products. Those products so far include Dupe (finds cheap dupes of high-end furniture and décor), CreatorBuddy (optimizes your presence on X), AVO (a marketplace for trading agents), Kaiko (an app studio) and Fitcoin (an AI virtual closet). AllianceDAO, a crypto accelerator, recently accepted its first startup that launched on Believe.

Vibe Kill

Crypto is no stranger to co-opting hot narratives before failing to deliver on them, and this latest experiment has its fair share of detractors.

A prominent criticism is that these vibe launch platforms are wrappers for memecoins. While it is true that idea tokens possess the basic characteristics of memecoins, they trade in markets aimed at processing information constructively and subsidizing product development as a byproduct. At least in theory, this is similar to the way that prediction markets reveal truth or policy markets promote better policymaking—what Vitalik Buterin calls info finance. That said, in order to prevent an extractive industry growing up around ideas markets, platforms must curb automated sniping and dumping while cultivating devoted communities, or even product cults, by design. In this regard, Believe repels sniping with taxes on early purchases and uses APIs to align token-holders with the product long-term. L( )ng goes considerably further by orchestrating Dutch auctions for idea tokens and embedding vesting schedules.

Another criticism is that the business model is non-compliant because it orchestrates ICOs. Yet, ideas markets might actually be a compliant path to fund products (not legal advice!) because product funding is generally the byproduct, or the exhaust, of the meme/idea market, not of any fundraising sales to the public. The absence of a legal relationship between builders and holders of the tokens, which can be initiated by third parties (i.e. scouts), makes it even more challenging to locate a traditional securities issuer or an investment contract. And a friendlier SEC has begun permitting certain creators to monetize their creations using tokens, at least when it involves NFTs. At minimum, the “vibe raise” will be a case of first impression for courts and regulators.

Finally, detractors contend that ideas markets like Believe’s will not attract mainstream builders and consumers who fear the wild west of crypto. Yet, Believe is steered by a Web2 founder and has attracted mostly Web2 builders. Growth hacker Nikita Bier is an investor and vocal booster. Mainstream success rests on curation, safeguards and sustainable economics. Here, Believe’s record is mixed. While it has taken great pains to prevent spam and rugs spam and rugs, its monetization take rate of 50% is more extractive than the AppStore’s (only 30%), and it is not above featuring flash-in-the-pan gambling games. The more recently launched L( )ng is searching for mainstream traction by integrating verified communities for curation and aggressively courting long-term builders outside of Web3

A Builder Economy

Vibe-coding is rapidly ushering in an Internet builder economy populated by an influx of builders and their nearly instant creations. At the same time, democratized token issuance and ideas markets are creating a blueprint for the tokenized vibe launch. Together, they can power the proliferation of a range of niche and eccentric products to serve the web’s long tail and likely make it even longer. That is a good thing for the web and for the crypto ecosystem.

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Trump Media and Semler Scientific Could Be Cheapest Bitcoin Treasury Companies by This Metric

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A tsunami of new bitcoin BTC treasury companies — firms that almost exclusively dedicate themselves to accumulating bitcoin — is flooding the market.

Since all of them are more or less following Strategy’s (MSTR) playbook, questions are rising about the best ways to value them, and compare them to each other.

“The most important metric for a bitcoin treasury is the premium it trades at relative to its underlying net assets, including any operating company,” Greg Cipolaro, global head of research at bitcoin financial firm NYDIG, wrote in a June 6 report.

On the surface, that means adding up the company’s bitcoin, cash and enterprise value excluding the bitcoin stuff, and subtracting obligations such as debt and preferred stock. “It’s this premium that allows these companies to convert stock for bitcoins, effectively acting as a money changer converting shares for bitcoins,” Cipolaro said.

One of the most popular metrics, mNAV, measures a company’s valuation to its net asset value — in these cases, their bitcoin treasuries. An mNAV above 1.0 signals that investors are interested in paying a premium for exposure to the stock relative to its bitcoin stash; however, an mNAV below 1.0 means the equity is now worth less than the company’s holdings.

But mNAV alone is “woefully deficient” to analyze the strengths and weaknesses of these firms, Cipolaro said. The research report made use of other metrics such as NAV, mNAV measured by market capitalization, mNAV by enterprise value, and equity premium to NAV to provide a more complex picture.

BTC Treasury chart

The table shows, for example, that Semler Scientific’s (SMLR) and Trump Media’s (DJT) equity premium to NAV (which measures the percentage difference between a fund’s market price and its net asset value), are the lowest of the eight measured companies, coming in at -10% and -16% respectively, despite the fact that both companies have an mNAV above 1.1.

Alas, both SMLR and DJT are little-changed on Monday even as bitcoin climbs to $108,500 versus Friday evening’s $105,000 level. MSTR is higher by just shy of 5%.

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U.S. SEC Chair Says Working on ‘Innovation Exemption’ for DeFi Platforms

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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is working on policy to exempt decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms from regulatory barriers, said Chairman Paul Atkins.

Software developers building DeFi tools have no business being blamed for how they’re used, Atkins and other SEC Republicans contended at the final of five crypto roundtables that have been held at the agency since the leadership turnover under President Donald Trump.

The chairman told a roundtable of DeFi experts on Monday that he’s directed the SEC staff to look into changes to agency rules «to provide needed accommodation for issuers and intermediaries to seek to administer on-chain financial systems.» Atkins called that potential exemptive relief «an innovation exemption» that would let entities under SEC jurisdiction bring on-chain products and services to market «expeditiously.»

«Many entrepreneurs are developing software applications that are designed to function without administration by any operator,» Atkins said in remarks at the event. While he noted the technology enabling private peer-to-peer transactions can «sound like science fiction,» he said «blockchain technology makes possible an entirely new class of software that can perform these functions without an intermediary.»

«We should not automatically fear the future,» Atkins said.

DeFi is a subsection of the broader cryptocurrency industry that seeks to recreate financial tools and products with code that replaces the role of traditional intermediaries such as banks and brokerages.

The Republican members of the commission — currently outnumbering the Democrat 3-1 — have been eager to move forward with crypto-friendly policy. While DeFi is often given short shrift in policy discussions that focus more on regulation of the higher-volume industry of crypto exchanges, brokers and custodial services. Though DeFi developers have faced years of distrust from U.S. government agencies, Republicans now in power are seeking to lighten those pressures.

«The SEC must not infringe on First Amendment rights by regulating someone who merely published code on the basis that others use that code to carry out activity that the SEC has traditionally regulated,» said Commissioner Hester Peirce, who has led the SEC Crypto Task Force established this year. However, she also noted that «centralized entities can’t avoid regulation simply by rolling out the decentralized label.»

Erik Voorhees, the founder of decentralized exchange ShapeShift, joked that when he got his first SEC subpoena 12 years ago, he didn’t think he’d be invited to speak at the agency years later.

«I appreciate the change of tone and the change of stance for the commission,» he said. «I think that’s absolutely a positive for America.»

Read More: U.S. SEC’s Crypto Trading Roundtable Delves Into Easing Path for Platforms

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Plasma’s XPL Token Sale Attracts $500M as Investors Chase Stablecoin Plays

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Plasma, a crypto startup developing a blockchain optimized for stablecoins, attracted $500 million in deposits for its token sale on Monday — 10 times more than originally planned.

The fundraising cap was filled in five minutes as investors scrambled to earn an allocation for the token distribution, according to blockchain data from Arkham Intelligence. The ceiling was lifted from $250 million, which had already been increased from a $50 million original target announced just two weeks ago.

Over 1,100 wallets participated in the sale of Plasma’s XPL token, with a median allocation of roughly $35,000, the company said in an X post. The offering was conducted on Sonar, a public token sale platform built by Echo, a crypto-focused private fundraising startup led by prominent investor Cobie.

The outsized demand underscores surging investor interest in stablecoins — cryptocurrencies pegged to traditional currencies like the U.S. dollar — and the infrastructure that supports them. Stablecoins have become a dominant force in crypto, with total supply surpassing $250 billion, and are increasingly used for everyday finances like payments, remittances and savings.

While Bitcoin BTC remains the oldest and most secure blockchain, most stablecoin activity today occurs on newer networks such as Ethereum, Tron, and Solana. Plasma aims to bring native stablecoin utility to Bitcoin by building a sidechain fully compatible with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), the software standard that underpins much of decentralized finance.

The team says the Plasma chain will address key challenges faced by stablecoins on existing blockchains — including high fees and scalability limits — by leveraging Bitcoin’s security and enabling zero-fee transactions for Tether’s USDT USDT.

Plasma’s fundraising follows a string of market signals pointing to rising appetite for stablecoin exposure. Just last week, Circle (CRCL), issuer of the $60 billion USDC stablecoin, completed a blockbuster public market debut, with shares surging over $110 from a $31 IPO price.

«Circle up another 20% at the open and Plasma’s $500M public token sale sold out in the first block. The people want exposure to stablecoins,» crypto analyst Will Clemente posted.

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