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Bitcoin’s 50-Day Average Hits Record High, but There’s a Catch

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The widely tracked 50-day simple moving average of bitcoin’s BTC price is giving off mixed signals.

The measure hit a record high, climbing into six figures for the first time in a sign of the broader bullish outlook for the leading cryptocurrency by market capitalization. At the same time, however, the spread between the price and the average has narrowed, suggesting scope for a price correction, or drop of at least 10%.

The SMA surpassed the previous peak of around $99,300 recorded on Jan. 31, according to data source TradingView. Analysts track the average as an indicator of market trends and as a potential zone of demand and supply.

The new high for the average comes weeks after the spot price set a lifetime peak of over $111,000 on May 22. The rally was likely led by strong inflows into the spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and a broader shift away from U.S. assets.

The gains have stalled since then, with the price retreating to $105,000 and narrowing the gap over the 50-day SMA, indicating waning upside momentum. In other words, buying pressure has weakened, raising the risk of a price pullback.

The caution suggested by the price-to-50-day SMA spread is consistent with the on-chain data showing increased profit taking by holders.

BTC's daily chart. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

The lower pane on the chart shows the difference between the spot price and the 50-day SMA. Positive and rising values suggest strengthening upward momentum, while negative values suggest the opposite.

The spread, though positive, has been narrowing since May 22, indicating a weakening of the bull momentum. A potential correction could find support of the 50-day SMA at $100,295.

A similar pattern was observed through December, marking uptrend exhaustion above $100,000. The spread eventually flipped negative in February, presaging a multiweek sell-off to $75,000.

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Bitcoin Holds Above $105K Despite Donald Trump’s Threats Against Elon Musk

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Bitcoin BTC held firm above $105,000 on Saturday despite an unusually combative and personal escalation in the Trump-Musk feud that could rattle traditional markets next week.

On Saturday, in a phone interview with NBC News, President Trump warned that there would be “serious consequences” if Elon Musk financially backed Democratic candidates running against Republicans who support the GOP’s budget bill. “If he does, he’ll have to pay the consequences for that,” Trump said, adding later, “He’ll have to pay very serious consequences if he does that.”

Trump, who has often boasted of past support from Musk, firmly dismissed the idea of mending ties. “No,” he said when asked whether he wished to repair the relationship. “I would assume so, yeah,” he added when asked if the rift was permanent.

Despite the intensifying feud between two of the most influential figures in U.S. politics and technology, Bitcoin remained unfazed. The cryptocurrency held onto earlier gains and continues to trade near weekly highs. The market’s composure suggests that traders may increasingly view BTC as a hedge against institutional dysfunction, or at least as an asset insulated from the partisan fallout that tends to impact equities more directly.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • BTC traded in a 24-hour range of $1,162 (1.13%), from a low of $104,624 to a high of $105,786, according to CoinDesk Research’s technical analysis model.
  • Strong support formed at $104,800, where above-average volume confirmed buyer interest.
  • Resistance at $105,200 was broken and has since flipped into a short-term support zone.
  • Volume peaked at 378 BTC during key breakout moments, especially around 13:43–13:46 and 13:53.
  • A short consolidation occurred between $104,300–$104,600 before the final surge to near highs.
  • An ascending price channel remains intact, showing bullish structure despite intermittent pullbacks.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Ether Holds Steady Above $2,500 as ETF Demand Signals Institutional Confidence

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Ether ETH has rebounded firmly from key support near $2,460, recovering losses and stabilizing above the $2,500 threshold amid broader market volatility.

The rally follows a higher low formation backed by above-average volume, signaling growing market confidence.

Institutional participation appears to be reinforcing the trend, with BlackRock’s ETHA ETF reporting $492 million in net inflows last week.

Total holdings now exceed $4.84 billion, reinforcing long-term bullish sentiment even as price action remains sensitive to geopolitical developments.

Traders are watching to see if ETH can challenge resistance in the $2,520–$2,530 range.

Technical Analysis Highlights

  • ETH traded within a $72 range over 24 hours, from a low of $2,460.35 to a high of $2,532.41.
  • A key support zone formed at $2,460–$2,470, where ETH bounced on strong volume during midnight hours.
  • Final hour surge reached $2,515.11, backed by 5,919 ETH in volume.
  • Higher low structure established with interim support at $2,485 and resistance at $2,503.
  • Final retracement held support at $2,507, with price consolidating around $2,510 into the close.

Disclaimer: Parts of this article were generated with the assistance from AI tools and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and adherence to our standards. For more information, see CoinDesk’s full AI Policy.

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Coinbase, BiT Global End Legal Fight Over WBTC Delisting

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Coinbase and BiT Global have reached a legal settlement that ended their dispute over the delisting of BiT Global’s wrapped bitcoin (wBTC) token on Coinbase.

According to a joint court filing, BiT Global has agreed to dismiss its lawsuit against the crypto exchange with prejudice, meaning the case cannot be brought again in the future. The filing notes that both companies will cover their own legal expenses.

BiT Global had filed the lawsuit last year in the Northern District of California after Coinbase delisted the token over what it said was “unacceptable risk” that the tokenized BTC would “fall into the hands of Justin Sun.”

Sun became affiliated with wBTC in August last year through a partnership, prompting Coinbase to question BiT Global about his role. Sun, a Chinese-born crypto billionaire, has nevertheless been supporting the token, with World Liberty Financial dropping its cbBTC for wBTC after he joined as an advisor.

The suit alleged the exchange’s decision was unjustified and harmed the token’s liquidity and reputation while favoring Coinbase’s competing asset cbBTC. Coinbase launched cbBTC just two months before announcing it was delisting wBTC.

The dismissal does not disclose any settlement terms beyond the cost arrangement.

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