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Crypto Daybook Americas: PEPE Signals Altcoin Frenzy as Rampant Ether Outpaces Bitcoin

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

As the crypto rally gathers pace ether has widened its lead over bitcoin in terms of volatility expectations, signaling relatively greater action not just in the second-largest cryptocurrency, but in the broader digital asset market as a whole.

Deribit’s ether implied volatility index (ETH DVOL), which represents the 30-day expected price turbulence, has shot up 11% to an annualized 7% this week while the bitcoin equivalent, BTC DVOL, held steady near multimonth lows around 45%, according to data source TradingView.

The divergence has widened the spread between the two to 27%, the most in at least two years. Clearly, traders are anticipating greater volatility in ETH and the broader altcoin market.

According to some observers, ETH has turned deflationary because the Pectra upgrade implemented this week has boosted on-chain activity and led to over 38,000 ETH burned or destroyed in the past 24 hours. Some market participants are buying higher strike ETH calls on Deribit in anticipation of continued price gains.

We could be on the verge of an altcoin season, as the BTC dominance rate looks to end its five-month-long uptrend. (Check out Technical Analysis).

In key news, American fast-food chain Steak ‘n Shake said Thursday it will begin accepting BTC as a payment mode at all U.S. locations starting May 16, allowing its 100 million customers to shop with the world’s biggest digital-asset token.

T-Rex, the Web3 consumer entertainment platform, which is backed by Portal Ventures, North Island Ventures, Framework Ventures and Arbitrum Gaming Ventures, raised $17 million in pre-seed financing.

Finally, just in case you missed it, cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase agreed to buy the world’s largest crypto options exchange, Deribit, for $2.9 billion in cash and shares in the crypto industry’s largest ever M&A deal. Deribit controls over 80% of the activity, meaning Coinbase will be able to offer a full suite of spot and derivative products, boosting liquidity on the platform. Stay alert!

What to Watch

  • Crypto:
  • Macro
    • May 9, 8 a.m.: The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) releases April consumer price inflation data.
      • Inflation Rate MoM Prev. 0.56%
      • Inflation Rate YoY Prev. 5.48%
    • May 9, 8:30 a.m.: Statistics Canada releases April employment data.
      • Unemployment Rate Est. 6.8% vs. Prev. 6.7%
      • Employment Change Est. 2.5K vs. Prev. -32.6K
    • May 9-12: Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng will hold trade talks with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent during his visit to Switzerland.
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • May 9: TeraWulf (WULF), pre-market
    • May 12: Exodus Movement (EXOD), post-market
    • May 13: Semler Scientific (SMLR), post-market
    • May 14: Bitfarms (BITF), pre-market
    • May 14: IREN (IREN), post-market
    • May 15: Bit Digital (BTBT), post-market
    • May 15: Bitdeer Technologies Group (BTDR), pre-market
    • May 15: KULR Technology Group (KULR), post-market

Token Events

  • Governance votes & calls
    • A Sei Network developer proposed ending support for Cosmos to simplify the blockchain and align more closely with Ethereum to reduce complexity and infrastructure overhead and boost Sei’s adoption.
    • May 15, 10 a.m.: Moca Network to host a Discord townhall session discussing network updates.
  • Unlocks
    • May 9: Movement (MOVE) to unlock 2.04% of its circulating supply worth $8.08 million.
    • May 11: Solayer (LAYER) to unlock 12.87% of its circulating supply worth $35.66 million.
    • May 12: Aptos (APT) to unlock 1.82% of its circulating supply worth $57.45 million.
    • May 13: WhiteBIT Coin (WBT) to unlock 27.41% of its circulating supply worth $1.14 billion.
    • May 15: Starknet (STRK) to unlock 4.09% of its circulating supply worth $17.7 million.
  • Token Launches
    • May 9: OKX lists Jito with JITOSOL/USDT pair.
    • May 9: BitMart lists Minutes Network Token with MNTX/USDT pair.
    • May 16: Galxe (GAL), Litentry (LIT), Mines of Dalarnia (DAR), Orion Protocol (ORN), and PARSIQ (PRQ) to be delisted from Coinbase.

Conferences

CoinDesk’s Consensus is taking place in Toronto on May 14-16. Use code DAYBOOK and save 15% on passes.

Token Talk

By Shaurya Malwa

  • PEPE is up more than 40% in the past 24 hours, outperforming most major tokens as traders continue to treat it as a high-beta ETH play — a speculative vehicle to gain outsized exposure to ether (ETH).
  • The memecoin has become a proxy for ETH upside since early 2024 because the PEPE price tends to react strongly to ETH narratives such as the recent Pectra upgrade, which preceded a 20% jump in the second-largest cryptocurrency.
  • Trading volumes for PEPE surged past $3.5 billion in the past 24 hours, several times more than Wednesday’s $500 million.
  • This marks one of the token’s strongest weeks in the past year and signals a return of risk appetite in the memecoin space.
  • Derivatives data shows rising open interest and funding rates for PEPE futures, suggesting a wave of leverage-fueled bets are targeting the frog-themed token in the hope of higher volatility ahead.
  • Meanwhile, Solana-based hippo token MOODENG rallied over 150%. The project, known for its absurdist branding based on a viral Thai hippo, is popular among Asian trader circles.
  • Cat-themed MOG also posted double-digit gains, but PEPE remains the most liquid and visible memecoin in the current ETH-beta trade.

Derivatives Positioning

  • BTC and ETH annualized futures basis on the CME has surprisingly held steady near 7% despite the price rallies. That could be a sign of market maturity as cash and carry arbitrage narrows price discrepancies.
  • On off-shore exchanges, perpetual funding rates for BTC, ETH and most major tokens are hovering between annualized 10% and 14%, reflecting a bullish bias.
  • In the options market, BTC and ETH risk reversals show call bias. Block flows featured a short position in the $95K put expiring on May 15 and calendar spreads in May and June expiries.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 1.19% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $102,725.44 (24hrs: +2.92%)
  • ETH is up 9.9% at $2,328.10 (24hrs: +20.03%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 4.59% at 3,116.42 (24hrs: +8.86%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 15 bps at 3.04%
  • BTC funding rate is at 0.01% (10.95% annualized) on Binance

CD20 May 9 2025 (CoinDesk)

  • DXY is down 0.26% at 100.38
  • Gold is up 0.67% at $3,325.99/oz
  • Silver is up 0.45% at $32.60/oz
  • Nikkei 225 closed +1.56% at 37,503.33
  • Hang Seng closed +0.4% at 22,867.74
  • FTSE is up 0.48% at 8,572.92
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.38% at 5,308.85
  • DJIA closed on Thursday +0.62% at 41,368.45
  • S&P 500 closed +0.58% at 5,663.94
  • Nasdaq closed +1.07% at 17,928.14
  • S&P/TSX Composite Index closed +0.37% at 25,254.06
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed +1.8% at 2,557.27
  • U.S. 10-year Treasury rate is unchanged at 4.38%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.11% at 5,690.75
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.23% at 20,193.50
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are unchanged at 41,445.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 63.94 (-0.80%)
  • Ethereum to bitcoin ratio: 0.2282 (6.79%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 925 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $55.50
  • Total Fees: 6.54 BTC / $655,033
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 149,545 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 31.3 oz
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 8.86%

Technical Analysis

BTC's dominance rate. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

  • BTC’s dominance rate, or the largest cryptocurrency’s share of the crypto market, might soon drop below a trendline, characterizing BTC outperformance relative to the broader market since December.
  • The breakdown will likely mean the onset of the altcoin season.

Crypto Equities

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed on Thursday at $414.38 (+5.58%), up 1.75% at $421.65 in pre-market
  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed at $206.5 (+5.06%), down 1.33% at $203.76
  • Galaxy Digital Holdings (GLXY): closed at $27.67 (+4.45%)
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $14.29 (+7.2%), down 1.33% at $14.10
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $8.44 (+7.65%), up 1.42% at $8.56
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $9.45 (+6.18%), up 2.54% at $9.69
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $8.68 (+8.09%), down 1.73% at $8.53
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $15.53 (+6.44%)
  • Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $35.24 (+6.63%) , up 1.87% at $35.90
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $42.49 (+6.2%), unchanged in pre-market

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs:

  • Daily net flows: $117.4 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $40.81 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~ 1.17 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$16.1 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $2.47 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~ 3.45 million

Source: Farside Investors

Overnight Flows

Overnight flows, May 9 2025 (CoinDesk)

Chart of the Day

The MOVE Index. (TradingView/CoinDesk)

  • The MOVE index, which measures the expected volatility in the U.S. Treasury market that underpins global finance, has nearly reversed the late March to early April spike.
  • The decline supports increased risk-taking in financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

While You Were Sleeping

In the Ether

ITE May 9 2025 (Scott Bessent/X)ITE May 9 2025 (Ryan Rasmussen/X)ITE May 9 2025 (Bitcoin For Corporations/X)ITE May 9 2025 (Bo Hines/X)ITE May 9 2025 (Santiment/X)

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Bitcoin Challenges $105K on Positive Weekend Macro Headlines

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They crypto bull move continued into the weekend thanks to a trio of positive macro developments.

Likely most responsible for the move was a President Trump Truth Social post regarding trade talks being held in Switzerland between the U.S. and China.

«A very good meeting today,» said Trump. «Many things discussed, much agreed to,» he continued. «A total reset negotiated in a friendly, but constructive, manner. We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business. GREAT PROGRESS MADE!!!»

Earlier Saturday, Trump also announced a «full and immediate» ceasefire in the brewing war between India and Pakistan.

Completing the trio of good news, Russian President Putin said he was «in the mood for serious talks with Ukraine,» and suggested talks «without preconditions» in Turkey next week.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose to just a few dollars short of $105,000 before pulling back to the current $104,500, ahead 1.5% over the past 24 hours. Ether (ETH) has continued its recent outperformance, up 7.7% over the same time frame.

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Lido Proposes a Bold Governance Model to Give stETH Holders a Say in Protocol Decisions

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Lido Finance, Ethereum’s largest liquid staking platform by locked value, has introduced a proposal that grants staked ether (stETH) holders direct voting power alongside existing DAO tokenholders.

The upgrade, dubbed Lido Improvement Proposal (LIP) 28, outlines a dual governance system allowing stETH holders — those who stake ETH via Lido and receive a liquid token in return — to participate in a veto mechanism on key protocol decisions. Currently, only holders of LDO, Lido’s governance token, have a say in how the protocol evolves.

Under the new system, stETH holders could veto certain proposals approved by LDO tokenholders, though the veto would not enable them to push proposals through unilaterally.

The proposed system is framed as a mechanism to increase accountability and decentralization, especially as Lido continues to dominate Ethereum’s staking landscape. Over 25% of all ETH is staked on the network running through its infrastructure.

How it works

The Dual Governance system adds a special timelock contract between Lido DAO’s decisions and their execution, giving stETH holders a way to intervene if they strongly oppose a proposal.

The «dynamic» time lock is necessary because it is how on-chain governance technically works behind the scenes.

In the current system, decisions don’t take effect right away, as there is a set period before they’re executed. That gives users time to react if they don’t agree with certain changes.

However, Ethereum staking is different because one can’t quickly unstake or withdraw ETH, even with the current timelock. It takes time, liquidity is complex, and there is often a queue that could take several days to clear.

The new proposal wants to tackle that.

The proposed dynamic timelock assumes that, as enough users, who aren’t satisfied with a proposed change, deposit their stETH (or wrapped stETH and withdrawal of NFTs) into a designated escrow contract for withdrawal, the timelock duration begins to increase — this is called crossing the “first seal” (set at 1% of total Lido ETH staked).

If discontent continues and deposits cross the “second seal” threshold (10% of Lido’s ETH TVL), a «rage quit» is triggered: execution of the DAO’s decision is completely blocked until all protesting stakers have had the chance to withdraw their ETH.

This creates a sort of safety valve — allowing stakers to signal objection and exit — while still giving the DAO time to respond or cancel the contentious action.

The plan comes as Ethereum has surged more than 30% over the past week, riding momentum from its Pectra upgrade, which introduced execution-layer reforms to improve scalability and efficiency.

The rally has sparked renewed attention on Ethereum-native applications like Lido, which is critical in capital flow and validator participation across the chain — and directly impacts ETH market structure.

The LIP-28 proposal is still in its discussion phase, with a formal on-chain vote expected in the coming weeks.

If approved, the change could shift how governance is distributed across Ethereum’s staking ecosystem, setting a precedent for other DeFi protocols seeking to include users, not just tokenholders, in decision-making. Lido’s other competitors include Rocket Pool and Frax Ether.

LDO prices have risen 6.5% in the past 24 hours, while the CoinDesk 20 Index, a broader market gauge, climbed 2.5%.

Read more: Ethereum Activates ‘Pectra’ Upgrade, Raising Max Stake to 2,048 ETH

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State of Crypto: Mapping Out the Senate Stablecoin Bill’s Next Steps

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House Republicans unveiled a discussion draft of a market structure bill but all eyes this week were on the Senate, where a largely bipartisan effort to advance stablecoin legislation ran up against a wall.

PS: I’ll be in Toronto next week for Consensus. In town? Come say hi.

You’re reading State of Crypto, a CoinDesk newsletter looking at the intersection of cryptocurrency and government. Click here to sign up for future editions.

Unstable movement

The narrative

Stablecoin and market structure bills are the two big things around crypto that Congress is expected to get to President Donald Trump’s desk this year. There was a press conference by crypto and AI czar David Sacks with the chairs of the House and Senate committees. Everyone had this rough deadline of «before the August recess.»

Why it matters

Of these two bills, the stablecoin legislation was supposed to be the easier lift. It’s focused on just a part of the crypto sector, while the market structure bill will define how a much broader part of the industry operates and is overseen by federal regulators. And up until just over a week ago, the stablecoin bill was largely sailing through with few issues. Now — while it’s still expected to become law — the timing of its passage is far less certain.

Breaking it down

First thing’s first: No one this reporter has spoken to this week thinks the Senate’s stablecoin bill — the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act — is dead. According to multiple individuals familiar with the situation, lawmakers were already back to negotiating after Thursday’s failed vote, and lawmakers could vote again as soon as next week — potentially even Monday.

Thursday’s vote failed after Democrats raised an alarm last weekend that certain provisions around national security, the soundness of the financial system and accountability, though Republicans argued that ongoing stablecoin usage requires swift passage. U.S. President Donald Trump’s profiting off of stablecoins also raised alarm bells for lawmakers, senators introducing multiple bills that would prevent the President from issuing financial assets, including the «End Crypto Corruption Act,» which would block all members of Congress, the president, vice president, other executive branch officials and their families from «issuing, endorsing or sponsoring crypto assets

On Wednesday, one individual told CoinDesk that it appeared that a deal might be in place so that Democrats would get a vote on the End Crypto Corruption Act, either as an amendment to the GENIUS Act or as a standalone bill, ahead of the procedural vote on the GENIUS Act itself.

This ultimately did not happen, with lawmakers proceeding directly to the so-called cloture vote on Thursday; it fell 48-49.

The vote did not fail on party lines either: though no Democrats voted in favor of the bill, Republicans Josh Hawley and Rand Paul joined 46 Democrats in voting against the motion (Majority Leader John Thune initially voted in favor of the bill, but flipped in a procedural move that will let him bring the bill back for a vote later).

Among other issues was the fact that there was no bill text available at the time the vote kicked off.

The cloture vote, which would open 30 hours of debate, is likely the main piece of leverage Democrats have to try and get their priorities into the bill because it needs 60 Senators to pass. After the debate, there will be another cloture vote before the final passage vote, but it would be difficult for a lawmaker who voted to open debate to walk that back afterward, one of the individuals told CoinDesk.

Having their priorities sorted before getting to the final set of votes would also just generally provide more comfort to lawmakers, the individual said.

None of the individuals who spoke to CoinDesk expect that an actual provision blocking the U.S. President from issuing or being tied to an issuer of a stablecoin will become part of the final bill.

One of the individuals said ongoing negotiations are more focused on how foreign issuers are treated and anti-money laundering provisions.

A broader concern was that a hefty delay in passing the stablecoin legislation may slow down the process for advancing the market structure bill, which will rewrite the law around how the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and Securities and Exchange Commission oversee digital assets, including how cryptocurrencies might be defined as securities. A discussion draft was introduced in the House this week.

If the Senate votes on the stablecoin bill in the next week or so, it should not hold up the other bill, two individuals told CoinDesk.

Stories you may have missed

This week

soc 050625

Tuesday

  • 10:00 a.m. ET (14:00 UTC) The House Financial Services and Agriculture Committees were scheduled to hold a joint hearing on digital asset market structure, but FSC Ranking Member Maxine Waters objected and instead held her own hearing on Trump’s crypto tie-ups.

Thursday

Elsewhere:

  • (404 Media) It turns out former National Security Advisor Michael Waltz was not using Signal, but rather an unofficial version called TeleMessage, which was then hacked and later suspended services temporarily.
  • (The San Francisco Standard) Jeffy Yu appeared to fake his own death to pump a memecoin, or something. The once late Yu is alive and kicking at his parents’ home, the San Francisco Standard reported.

If you’ve got thoughts or questions on what I should discuss next week or any other feedback you’d like to share, feel free to email me at nik@coindesk.com or find me on Bluesky @nikhileshde.bsky.social.

You can also join the group conversation on Telegram.

See ya’ll next week!

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