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Bitcoin Faces ‘Cloud Resistance’ at $85K, Neutralizes Risk Reward for Bulls

In markets, securing the best entry point is often half the battle, as timing and level significantly influence success by skewing the risk-reward ratio in traders’ favour.
While bitcoin’s (BTC) near-term outlook may appear constructive with increased demand for bullish bets in the options market, the cryptocurrency’s proximity to key resistance that capped the upside in recent months means the risk-reward profile for those looking to capitalize on the bullish prospects is less favourable.
Since Saturday, BTC has been pushing against the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud at around $85K. Developed by a Japanese journalist in the 1960s, the Ichimoku cloud is a technical analysis indicator that offers a comprehensive view of market momentum, support, and resistance levels.
The indicator comprises five lines: Leading Span A, Leading Span B, Conversion Line or Tenkan-Sen (T), Base Line or Kijun-Sen (K) and a lagging closing price line.
The difference between Leading Span A and B forms the Ichimoku Cloud, with its upper and lower boundaries serving as potential support and resistance levels based on the price’s position relative to the cloud. When prices are above the cloud, it indicates a bullish trend, while prices below suggest a bearish trend.
In early February, BTC fell below $100K, trading beneath the Ichimoku Cloud. Since then, the lower boundary of the cloud has functioned as a strong resistance and supply zone, limiting recovery rallies.
As BTC trades near this level again, bulls, especially those looking to hit the market with fresh bids, might want to be cautious, as the immediate upside may be restricted by cloud resistance around $85K, while support lies below $75K, that is nearly $10K lower from the going market rate. The situation equates to an unfavourable risk-reward for longs.
The rejection at the Ichimoku Cloud on April 2 resulted in a substantial sell-off, pushing BTC below $75K, mirroring a similar pattern that followed the February 21 rejection.
Thus, the latest interaction with cloud resistance warrants close monitoring for the potential return of selling pressure. A downturn from this resistance level would shift attention back to the $75K mark.
On the contrary, a potential move beyond $90K, marking a breakout above the cloud, would signal a resumption of the broader bull run and a rally to record highs.
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CoinDesk 20 Performance Update: AVAX Falls 2.1% as Nearly All Assets Trade Lower

CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2428.16, down 1.0% (-25.41) since 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.
One of 20 assets is trading higher.
Leaders: AAVE (+0.2%) and BTC (-0.1%).
Laggards: AVAX (-2.1%) and BCH (-2.1%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
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Resolv Labs Raises $10M as Crypto Investor Appetite for Yield-Bearing Stablecoins Soars

Resolv Labs, the firm behind the $450 million decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol Resolv, has closed a $10 million seed round to expand its crypto-native yield platform and USR stablecoin, the team told CoinDesk in an exclusive interview.
The investment round was led by Cyber.Fund and Maven11, with additional backing from Coinbase Ventures, Susquehanna’s subsidiary SCB Limited, Arrington Capital, Gumi Cryptos, NoLimit Holdings, Robot Ventures, Animoca Ventures and others.
Stablecoins, a $230 billion and rapidly expanding class of cryptocurrencies with pegged prices to an external asset, are capturing attention well beyond their traditional use in payments and trading. A growing cadre of crypto protocols offer yield-bearing stablecoins or «synthetic dollars,» wrapping diverse investment strategies into a digital token with a stable price and passing on part of the earnings to holders.
«I view stablecoins as the perfect rails for yield distribution,» Ivan Kozlov, founder and CEO of Resolv, said in an interview with CoinDesk. «This may actually become larger than transaction stablecoins like [Tether’s] USDT in the future.»
The most notable example of the trend is Ethena’s $5 billion USDe token, which primarily pursues a delta-neutral position by holding cryptocurrencies like BTC, ETH and SOL and simultaneously shorting equal size of perpetual futures, scooping up yield from funding rates.
Resolv also pursues a similar strategy: its USR token, anchored to $1, is a delta-neutral stablecoin designed to deliver stable yields from crypto markets, while shielding holders from sharp price swings.
The protocol achieves this by splitting risk between two layers, inspired by Kozlov’s background in structured products in traditional finance. USR stablecoin holders sit in the less risky senior tranche earning stable but lower yields, with risk-tolerant investors in the protocol’s insurance layer represented by the RLP token with floating price. This model, borrowed from structured finance, aims to make crypto yields more predictable without sacrificing decentralization, Kozlov explained.
Following its launch in September 2024, the protocol quickly ballooned to over $600 million in assets driven by attractive yields during the crypto rally after Donald Trump’s election victory, DefiLlama data shows. However, as markets turned bearish and yields compressed, Resolv’s total value locked (TVL) also slid around $450 million this month.
With the new capital raise, Resolv plans to expand its yield sources to include bitcoin (BTC)-based strategies and deepening its integrations with institutional digital asset managers, Kozlov said. The protocol also aims to expand to new blockchains, widening its reach beyond early crypto adopters.
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Trump-Family Backed World Liberty Gets $25M Investment From DWF Labs

DWF Labs is investing $25 million in World Liberty Financial (WLFI), the decentralized finance protocol backed by U.S. President Donald Trump and his family.
The crypto market maker is also entering the U.S. market with a new office in New York City as part of its broader expansion plans, according to a press release on Wednesday.
By establishing a physical presence in the U.S., DWF aims to work more closely with traditional financial institutions, expand its local workforce and engage more directly with U.S. regulators.
The firm also plans to deepen ties with American colleges and universities to promote education on cryptocurrencies. The WLFI token purchase gives DWF Labs a governance stake in the project, which includes USD1, the project’s soon-to-launch stablecoin backed by short-term U.S. Treasury bills, cash, and equivalents.
DWF Labs said it will supply liquidity for the USD1 ecosystem, using its trading infrastructure to support activity on both centralized and decentralized platforms.
Zak Folkman, co-founder of WLFI, said DWF’s involvement is expected to accelerate “the next-generation infrastructure we’re actively building and deploying at WLFI.” DWF Labs Managing Partner Andrei Grachev, meanwhile, said that the firm’s physical presence in the U.S. reflects its confidence in “America’s role as the next growth region for institutional crypto adoption.”
WLFI is positioning USD1 as a stable, institutional-grade stablecoin designed to meet rising demand from “sovereign investors and major institutions.”
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